Tony Conrad

Partner, True Ventures · 1 appearance on the record.

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Tony Conrad is a venture capitalist at True Ventures. He appeared on the podcast to discuss startup culture, venture capital dynamics, and the impact of artificial intelligence.

16statements → 4claims → 0claims resolved → 3.88/5average certainty → 2.44/5average debate potential →

4 not checkable as stated how the 4 claims stand · each chip opens the sources

2 predictions · 2 assertions · 5 opinions · 3 insights · 4 disclosures · every statement was checked. The predictions and assertions are the 4 claims: statements the public record can support or contradict. 0 are resolved, and 4 name no date, number or outcome precise enough to check. Everything else (opinions, insights, what ifs, disclosures) can never be settled by the record, so it carries no assessment.

The record, in short

What the tape says about how Tony argues and how the claims held up. Everything they said, and everything said about them, is in the tabs below.

How they sound: not measured why? →

We measure speaking style by listening to the audio itself, and a fair number needs at least 2,000 words from one person on tape we have measured. There is too little of Tony Conrad on measured tape to publish a rate. This says nothing about how they speak.

Everything Tony Conrad said on More or Less that made the record, most notable first. Filter by type, assessment or year in the ledger →

Prediction Not checkable as stated
Tony Conrad: True Ventures Portfolio Company Will Hit $150M AI ARR
“We have one portfolio company that, and these are real numbers, not venture numbers... It's already unicorn status valuation that opened a new in December had zero revenue around this new product line. And this year ends at minimum one 50 AR are on that busine…”
Tony Conrad Aug 29, 2025 ▶ 30:39 #114 Seed Rounds at $2B? The Dangers of AI Hype in VC With Tony Conrad · More or Less Podcast
Insight
Tony Conrad: AI answer engines favor direct press releases over earned media
“In AO, it's just the opposite. It is about actually putting value disproportionate amount of value of whatever's coming from the horse's mouth. Right? So whatever it is that we're putting out there. So a press release, you may not have done one lately because …”
Tony Conrad Aug 29, 2025 ▶ 41:20 #114 Seed Rounds at $2B? The Dangers of AI Hype in VC With Tony Conrad · More or Less Podcast
Disclosure
Conrad: True Ventures has paused investing in non-AI startups
“Like, I think it's just required us to just say, pause for a second on all things that are non AI, because we're going to have catch up like almost every firm, by the way.”
Tony Conrad Aug 29, 2025 ▶ 50:38 #114 Seed Rounds at $2B? The Dangers of AI Hype in VC With Tony Conrad · More or Less Podcast
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Conrad: Many fast-growing AI startups have net negative margins
“A lot of these are net negative margin.”
Tony Conrad Aug 29, 2025 ▶ 58:30 #114 Seed Rounds at $2B? The Dangers of AI Hype in VC With Tony Conrad · More or Less Podcast
Insight
Conrad: VCs Win Deals Through the Firm Brand, Not Personal Brands
“Yes, your hustle does source deals, and you do have to make the call, but ultimately you win these deals often because of the body at work and the reputation of the most important brand, which is not The me brand, but the us brand.”
Tony Conrad Aug 29, 2025 ▶ 3:58 #114 Seed Rounds at $2B? The Dangers of AI Hype in VC With Tony Conrad · More or Less Podcast
Opinion
Tony Conrad: Kleiner Perkins lost its way before Mamoon Hamid revitalized it
“Mamoon, the work he's done over at Kleiner is like, to me, Incredibly inspirational. I mean, I felt like Kleiner had really lost his way at one point in time. And honestly, in some weird way, it kind of saddened me because I, they were such an important firm i…”
Tony Conrad Aug 29, 2025 ▶ 18:37 #114 Seed Rounds at $2B? The Dangers of AI Hype in VC With Tony Conrad · More or Less Podcast
Insight
Tony Conrad: Junior VCs must network at least three nights a week
“I tell our younger team, if you're not out at least three nights a week, then you're probably shouldn't be doing this at the end of the day.”
Tony Conrad Aug 29, 2025 ▶ 28:09 #114 Seed Rounds at $2B? The Dangers of AI Hype in VC With Tony Conrad · More or Less Podcast
Opinion
Conrad: Enterprise Software Has Moved Past the Word 'SaaS'
“I would say SaaS is, you know, like, if you're an enterprise person, you're not saying the word SaaS anymore. That's dead. I mean, literally, you're not saying that. Nobody thinks that's hot, right?”
Tony Conrad Aug 29, 2025 ▶ 35:49 #114 Seed Rounds at $2B? The Dangers of AI Hype in VC With Tony Conrad · More or Less Podcast
Opinion
Conrad: Anthropic Holds an Enterprise Lead Over Competitors
“I think Anthropic actually has on the enterprise side of the equation... I think has definitely a lead here, or at least reputationally, I think it does.”
Tony Conrad Aug 29, 2025 ▶ 38:28 #114 Seed Rounds at $2B? The Dangers of AI Hype in VC With Tony Conrad · More or Less Podcast
Disclosure
Conrad: True Ventures Strives to Be a Non-Attribution Firm
“We're definitely, we strive to be a non-attribution firm. Although everybody in internally certainly knows who does the deals and who's working on deals and founders definitely have a dedicated person, but We have a tendency just to think that, you know, one s…”
Tony Conrad Aug 29, 2025 ▶ 2:34 #114 Seed Rounds at $2B? The Dangers of AI Hype in VC With Tony Conrad · More or Less Podcast
Opinion
Tony Conrad: Sarah Guo's Conviction has quickly reached venture's forefront
“Then you got Sarah Gow's fund, Conviction, which is really quickly, you know, has moved up into the forefront of everybody's, you know, list.”
Tony Conrad Aug 29, 2025 ▶ 19:48 #114 Seed Rounds at $2B? The Dangers of AI Hype in VC With Tony Conrad · More or Less Podcast
Disclosure
Conrad: True Ventures refuses to submit data to Forbes Midas List
“We don't do Midas lists. Like we don't, this is back to non-attribution.”
Tony Conrad Aug 29, 2025 ▶ 43:03 #114 Seed Rounds at $2B? The Dangers of AI Hype in VC With Tony Conrad · More or Less Podcast
Opinion
Tony Conrad: LinkedIn is surprisingly amazing and powerful
“The social network of LinkedIn is, like, kind of amazing and powerful, powerful, right? And like, I would have never, like, oh my god, like, take me out back and force me to, like, to post on LinkedIn. Now I'm posting all the time”
Tony Conrad Aug 29, 2025 ▶ 46:59 #114 Seed Rounds at $2B? The Dangers of AI Hype in VC With Tony Conrad · More or Less Podcast
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Conrad: Categorizing companies as AI vs non-AI will soon end
“I think pretty soon it's just like, we're just gonna talk, it's gonna just be back to being tech. It's like, everything's gonna be AI if it's whatever. And we'll get back to the normal classifications of, Tech and non-tech, right?”
Tony Conrad Aug 29, 2025 ▶ 1:00:53 #114 Seed Rounds at $2B? The Dangers of AI Hype in VC With Tony Conrad · More or Less Podcast
Disclosure
Conrad: True Ventures will not invest in AI infrastructure layer
“And so I just think for us as a firm where we're not going to invest in the kind of the infrastructure, you know, kind of layer per se, right? That's just not, you know, the, those checks were already just way still beyond. That's what we talked about. Fifty m…”
Tony Conrad Aug 29, 2025 ▶ 50:02 #114 Seed Rounds at $2B? The Dangers of AI Hype in VC With Tony Conrad · More or Less Podcast
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Conrad: John Mayer advised Hodinkee and attended board meetings regularly
“You know, we were, he was one of our advisors at Hodinkee. And so he would show up all the time to our Hodinkee. Board stuff and whatnot. He's a great advocate.”
Tony Conrad Aug 29, 2025 ▶ 1:06:28 #114 Seed Rounds at $2B? The Dangers of AI Hype in VC With Tony Conrad · More or Less Podcast

Appearances (1)

EpisodeDateSpeaking time
#114 Seed Rounds at $2B? The Dangers of AI Hype in VC With Tony Conrad · More or Less Pod Aug 29, 2025 36m
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