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Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks, across all 44 shows. Pick shows below, then mix any filter with any other.

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MY FIRST MILLION Prediction Open · timeframe Feb 2027
Holiday: Shopify will become the biggest company in the world
“This is why I think Shopify is gonna be, like, the biggest company in the world, because they, like, let people do that.”
Ryan Holiday Feb 8, 2022 ▶ 8:58 Ryan Holiday On The Economics Of Book Publishing
TOP FOUNDERS Prediction Not checkable as stated
Holiday in 2016: Trump's campaign tactics will make him a horrible president
“What's made Donald Trump a great campaigner will ultimately make him a horrible president, and maybe even make it impossible for him to actually become president, because he is not actually aware of why what he's doing is working, right?”
Ryan Holiday Jun 20, 2016 ▶ 20:41 EP 331: Trump Suicide Predicted By Best-Seller Ryan Holliday, Sites Ego
BIGDEAL Assertion Not checkable as stated
Holiday: Every Retired Pro Athlete Regrets Not Enjoying Playing More
“There's not a single athlete That you've, you will ever talk to who's retired, who doesn't say something like, I wish I enjoyed playing more, because at some point it just goes away, and then at that point the winning and losing stops mattering, and all they t…”
Ryan Holiday Dec 31, 2025 ▶ 22:14 How To Build Self-Discipline For 2026 (5 Step Routine) | Ryan Holiday
KNOWLEDGE PROJECT Prediction Not checkable as stated
Holiday: AI Will Eliminate Average Workers but Boost Elite Leverage and Pay
“These technologies aren't eliminating They're going to be eliminating large chunks of the people who are able to do that thing. But the people who could do that thing at an elite or an excellent level will probably it's leverage will be better at it and be mor…”
Ryan Holiday Nov 26, 2024 ▶ 1:33:53 Ryan Holiday: How to Win the War with Yourself
AMERICAN OPTIMIST Assertion Supported
Holiday: Brown University students campaigned to remove Marcus Aurelius statue
“There's actually a protest at Brown University the last couple years. They wanted to pull down, there's a stat, an equestrian statue of Marcus Aurelius on campus,”
Ryan Holiday Feb 2, 2023 ▶ 30:25 Ryan Holiday: How Stoicism Changed the World · Joe Lonsdale
KNOWLEDGE PROJECT Prediction Not checkable as stated
Holiday: Much of Everyday Communication Will Become AI Talking to AI
“Well, just like social media is bots talking to bots, like A lot of our life is going to be like AI talking to AI.”
Ryan Holiday Nov 26, 2024 ▶ 1:35:00 Ryan Holiday: How to Win the War with Yourself
AMERICAN OPTIMIST Assertion Contradicted
Holiday: 60% to 70% of young Americans cannot join the military due to fitness
“What, like, 70, 60% of young people could not join the military if they wanted to because they're so out of shape.”
Ryan Holiday Apr 19, 2023 ▶ 20:12 Ep 54: Peter Attia, Ryan Holiday & Joe Lonsdale Discuss Longevity & America's Health · Joe Lonsdale
AMERICAN OPTIMIST Assertion Not checkable as stated
Holiday: 2011 media manipulation tactics are now cyber warfare playbooks
“And so a lot of the things that I was talking about in that book are now part of the sort of like cyber warfare playbook or the media manipulation playbook.”
Ryan Holiday Feb 2, 2023 ▶ 3:35 Ryan Holiday: How Stoicism Changed the World · Joe Lonsdale
AMERICAN OPTIMIST Assertion Partly supported
Holiday: Famous Revolutionary War slogans originated in Addison's play Cato
“Even like, even some of the famous lines, like, give me liberty or give me death. I regret I have but one life to lose my country. Those are lines from the play.”
Ryan Holiday Feb 2, 2023 ▶ 20:24 Ryan Holiday: How Stoicism Changed the World · Joe Lonsdale
MY FIRST MILLION Assertion Contradicted
Holiday: BookScan excludes sales from author-owned bookstores
“The Wall Street Journal or BookScan, which is owned by Nielsen, just flat out told me they just don't include sales from stores owned by the author anymore”
Ryan Holiday Oct 4, 2022 ▶ 2:32 Ryan Holiday Reveals How Much Best Selling Authors Make, Crazy Peter Thiel Stories & More (#370)
MY FIRST MILLION Assertion Not checkable as stated
Holiday: Most Nonfiction Authors Make More Money From Speaking Than Books
“Most nonfiction authors make more money from speaking than from books.”
Ryan Holiday Feb 8, 2022 ▶ 28:58 Ryan Holiday On The Economics Of Book Publishing
KNOWLEDGE PROJECT Assertion Not checkable as stated
Holiday wrote four books in four years using unsearchable physical notecards
“Yeah, I've written four books in four years. Like, it's not, not having Unsearchable has not held me back in any way that I can currently tell.”
Ryan Holiday May 16, 2016 ▶ 26:49 #11 Ryan Holiday: The Stoic Whisperer
BIGDEAL Assertion Not checkable as stated
Holiday reveals the Daily Stoic email reaches one million people daily.
“The Daily Stoic email goes out to a million people every day.”
Ryan Holiday Dec 31, 2025 ▶ 1:20:48 How To Build Self-Discipline For 2026 (5 Step Routine) | Ryan Holiday
MASTERS OF SCALE Assertion Not publicly verifiable
Holiday: The Obstacle Is the Way grew sales for 10 straight years
“It sold more copies every year for like 10 years in a row.”
Ryan Holiday Oct 31, 2025 ▶ 16:54 The Daily Stoic's Ryan Holiday: How smart people lose their way | Masters of Scale
MASTERS OF SCALE Assertion Supported
Holiday: The Obstacle Is the Way didn't hit bestseller lists until 2019
“It didn't hit a bestseller list until 2019.”
Ryan Holiday Oct 31, 2025 ▶ 18:41 The Daily Stoic's Ryan Holiday: How smart people lose their way | Masters of Scale
MASTERS OF SCALE Prediction Held up
Ryan Holiday: Daily Stoic will easily reach 1M daily email readers by 2026
“We'll go into twenty-twenty-six with easily a million people getting it every day.”
Ryan Holiday Oct 31, 2025 ▶ 20:57 The Daily Stoic's Ryan Holiday: How smart people lose their way | Masters of Scale
MASTERS OF SCALE Assertion Supported
Holiday: Friends held an AA-style intervention over Musk investing in SpaceX
“Apparently they, some of Elon Musk's friends staged a Alcoholics Anonymous style intervention when he was considering dumping all his money into SpaceX.”
Ryan Holiday Oct 31, 2025 ▶ 27:32 The Daily Stoic's Ryan Holiday: How smart people lose their way | Masters of Scale
KNOWLEDGE PROJECT Assertion Supported
Holiday: Elon Musk's friends staged an intervention against founding SpaceX
“When Elon Musk was planning what became SpaceX, his friends held a literal AA style intervention that said, you cannot start a rocket company. This is the worst idea. You will lose all your money.”
Ryan Holiday Nov 26, 2024 ▶ 3:09 Ryan Holiday: How to Win the War with Yourself
KNOWLEDGE PROJECT Assertion Partly supported
Holiday: Amazon prohibits meetings without pre-edited written memos
“You're not allowed to call a meeting unless you've written a memo about what's going to be discussed at the meeting. And multiple people have to edit that memo before you could sit down and do it.”
Ryan Holiday Nov 26, 2024 ▶ 1:23:48 Ryan Holiday: How to Win the War with Yourself
AMERICAN OPTIMIST Assertion Supported
Holiday: 'The Obstacle is the Way' approached two million copies sold
“You know, which is, you know, sold a million and a half, two million, on the verge of two million copies.”
Ryan Holiday Feb 2, 2023 ▶ 7:35 Ryan Holiday: How Stoicism Changed the World · Joe Lonsdale
AMERICAN OPTIMIST Assertion Supported
Holiday: Stoic Musonius Rufus argued for genderless virtue in ancient Rome
“Musonius Rufus, who's Epictetus's philosophy teacher, is like, He gives a speech on, he says, should women be taught philosophy? He says, is virtue the same in men and in women? And he makes this argument, you know, in Rome around the first century that virtue…”
Ryan Holiday Feb 2, 2023 ▶ 34:34 Ryan Holiday: How Stoicism Changed the World · Joe Lonsdale
AMERICAN OPTIMIST Assertion Not checkable as stated
Holiday: Daily Stoic newsletter reaches over 500,000 subscribers every day
“Look, the Daily Stoic email goes out to over a half a million people every day. That is the, without a doubt, the largest collection Of people interested in stoic philosophy to ever have been assembled at one time in human history, right?”
Ryan Holiday Feb 2, 2023 ▶ 37:24 Ryan Holiday: How Stoicism Changed the World · Joe Lonsdale
MY FIRST MILLION Prediction Held up
Holiday: Discipline Is Destiny will sell over 40,000 copies in week one
“We'll probably come in a bit above 40,000 copies the first week. I would venture to guess could be higher if they keep trending this way.”
Ryan Holiday Oct 4, 2022 ▶ 1:23 Ryan Holiday Reveals How Much Best Selling Authors Make, Crazy Peter Thiel Stories & More (#370)
MY FIRST MILLION Assertion Supported
Holiday: 'The Obstacle Is the Way' took 5 to 6 years to hit 1M copies
“I know it crossed the 100,000 copies mark within the first year, because there was a bonus attached to it. So it took, you know, 12 months to sell a 100,000 copies, but it probably took an additional four to five years before it crossed the one million copy ma…”
Ryan Holiday Oct 4, 2022 ▶ 20:56 Ryan Holiday Reveals How Much Best Selling Authors Make, Crazy Peter Thiel Stories & More (#370)
MY FIRST MILLION Assertion Contradicted
Holiday: Publishers Cap Subscription Book Discounts at 50%
“At the very, very best, you're gonna be able to get those books at 50% off from the publisher.”
Ryan Holiday Oct 4, 2022 ▶ 31:55 Ryan Holiday Reveals How Much Best Selling Authors Make, Crazy Peter Thiel Stories & More (#370)
MY FIRST MILLION Assertion Not checkable as stated
Holiday: Cerro Gordo lost money rapidly before Brent Underwood moved there
“Brent's idea was buy this place, find, build a hotel on the site and make it some sort of like luxury resort thing that, that, that they failed to do for like two years, maybe even three years. He had no intention of living up there. It was losing money hand o…”
Ryan Holiday Oct 4, 2022 ▶ 56:05 Ryan Holiday Reveals How Much Best Selling Authors Make, Crazy Peter Thiel Stories & More (#370)
MY FIRST MILLION Assertion Not checkable as stated
Holiday: Daily Stoic Podcast Crossed 100 Million Downloads
“Like I think we crossed a hundred million downloads.”
Ryan Holiday Oct 4, 2022 ▶ 1:10:50 Ryan Holiday Reveals How Much Best Selling Authors Make, Crazy Peter Thiel Stories & More (#370)
MY FIRST MILLION Prediction Not checkable as stated
Holiday's debut book took ten years to earn out its publisher advance
“It will probably earn out its advance By this summer, which will be the 10th anniversary of it, like, by the, I'm, it's looking like the royalty statement I will get in July of 20, 22, which will be the 10 year anniversary of the book. It will finally go from …”
Ryan Holiday Feb 8, 2022 ▶ 22:49 Ryan Holiday On The Economics Of Book Publishing
MY FIRST MILLION Assertion Not checkable as stated
Holiday: 'The Obstacle Is the Way' Advance Was Only $75,000
“I got 75,000 dollars for the obstacle is the way which is sold, you know, many, many times more copies than trust me, I'm lying.”
Ryan Holiday Feb 8, 2022 ▶ 33:46 Ryan Holiday On The Economics Of Book Publishing
KNOWLEDGE PROJECT Assertion Not checkable as stated
Tony Robbins offered Holiday double his rate for a million-copy bestseller
“Tony Robbins called me and wanted me to work on his book for, like, double the amount, and that book has sold, like, a million copies since.”
Ryan Holiday May 16, 2016 ▶ 14:55 #11 Ryan Holiday: The Stoic Whisperer
BIGDEAL Assertion Supported
The US military deployed a backup helicopter for the Bin Laden raid.
“I mean, on the famous Bin Laden raid, they had an extra helicopter because they planned that one might crash, right?”
Ryan Holiday Dec 31, 2025 ▶ 30:08 How To Build Self-Discipline For 2026 (5 Step Routine) | Ryan Holiday
BIGDEAL Assertion Supported
Holiday: Tolstoy's 'Calendar of Wisdom' was banned until the late 1980s
“So he wrote it, he thought it was his greatest book, this thing called Calendar of Wisdom, and then you know, the Russian Revolution happens, like, almost right after his death, and so it's banned. And it's not really rediscovered until the late eighties.”
Ryan Holiday Dec 31, 2025 ▶ 40:05 How To Build Self-Discipline For 2026 (5 Step Routine) | Ryan Holiday
KNOWLEDGE PROJECT Assertion Supported
Holiday: Historical records show Marcus Aurelius cried but never lost his temper
“We have a couple of stories of Mark's realest crying, but we don't have any stories of him losing his temper.”
Ryan Holiday Nov 26, 2024 ▶ 53:31 Ryan Holiday: How to Win the War with Yourself
MY FIRST MILLION Assertion Supported
Holiday: Mark Manson built an audience for a decade before his book
“To give Mark credit though, Mark doesn't hit the lottery. I mean, Mark was an online copywriter and marketer and had a platform for a decade before he writes a book, right?”
Ryan Holiday Oct 4, 2022 ▶ 1:01:06 Ryan Holiday Reveals How Much Best Selling Authors Make, Crazy Peter Thiel Stories & More (#370)
KNOWLEDGE PROJECT Assertion Not checkable as stated
The most famous Stoics dominate because their written works survived completely
“The reason Seneca, Marcus Aurelius, and Epictetus are also the most famous is because their works survive the most completely. So all you really get from the other people are fragments anyway.”
Ryan Holiday May 16, 2016 ▶ 5:33 #11 Ryan Holiday: The Stoic Whisperer
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