The Ledger, every show

Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks, across all 44 shows. Pick shows below, then mix any filter with any other.

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KNOWLEDGE PROJECT Assertion Not checkable as stated
Pincus: Zynga had a $400M handshake deal to acquire Supercell
“And I had a handshake with Ilka, the founder and CEO, to buy the company for four hundred million in cash.”
Mark Pincus Jun 2, 2026 ▶ 57:16 You Don’t Need To Innovate To Be Successful | FarmVille Creator
ALL-IN Prediction Not checkable as stated
Mark Pincus: Gavin Newsom's anti-Trump posture will fail if Trump proves popular
“The more that FDR style Trump and people get popular support, it's going to become a more and more isolating, lonely place in two years to still be Like, you know, California, Gavin, everyone's saying, don't worry, we're gonna protect you against these people.…”
Mark Pincus Jan 18, 2025 ▶ 22:27 Red-pilled Billionaires, LA Fire Update, Newsom's Price Caps, TikTok Ban, Jobless MBAs
20VC Prediction Not checkable as stated
Cryptocurrencies can enable a post-capital and post-corporation world
“Now I got involved with cryptocurrencies and Bitcoin early, and then I thought I was Too early, and maybe it wasn't going to happen, and now I'm completely drinking the Kool-Aid, and I'm completely enthralled by just the potential of cryptocurrencies to get us…”
Mark Pincus Nov 20, 2017 ▶ 21:20 20VC: Zynga's Mark Pincus on When To Ride Your Winners and Cut Your Losers, Why People With "Broken Resumes" Make The Best Hires & The 2 Biggest Lies Told In Silicon Valley By Founders and VCs
MASTERS OF SCALE Prediction Not checkable as stated
Pincus: The metaverse will be huge, but not inside VR goggles
“I think that the metaverse is starting to happen and I think it's going to happen and it's going to be As big as Zuck thought, and it's just not going to happen inside of an immersive game goggle that is painful and hot to wear on your head, even if the form f…”
Mark Pincus Jul 2, 2026 ▶ 27:37 Mark Pincus unpacks his "Proven, Better, New" framework (with Reid Hoffman) | Masters of Scale
SOURCERY Prediction Open · timeframe Jun 2031
Pincus: Multi-trillion tech companies will reach $10T to $20T valuations
“I think these two to five trillion dollar companies are going to be 10 to 20 trillion dollar companies or more.”
Mark Pincus Jun 23, 2026 ▶ 1:24:06 Mark Pincus: How to Spot a Fake CEO · Sourcery with Molly O'Shea
LENNY'S PODCAST Assertion Supported
Pincus: OMGPOP built Draw Something by copying Words with Friends
“They said, we're going to take this proven game and do everything about it that in as perfect students of what is already working and viral on mobile, and they perfectly copied our turn-based system from Words with Friends, and they made a massive hit.”
Mark Pincus Jun 14, 2026 ▶ 23:27 The hidden pattern behind successful products | Mark Pincus (FarmVille, Words with Friends, & more)
LENNY'S PODCAST Prediction Not checkable as stated
Pincus: Today's AI token volume will be basically free in two years
“If we think that the amount of tokens that we're buying today, you know, that will basically be free in a year or two, that, that, that, that token, you know, supply is going to go up so much.”
Mark Pincus Jun 14, 2026 ▶ 1:07:02 The hidden pattern behind successful products | Mark Pincus (FarmVille, Words with Friends, & more)
LENNY'S PODCAST Assertion Not checkable as stated
Pincus: Zynga held two-hour daily spreadsheet stand-ups up to 50 employees
“We had a stand-up call that would go on for two hours, and I had everyone's name in a spreadsheet, and I had what they were supposed to do yesterday and what they're gonna do today. And I go through name by name and say, okay, did you get that done? Can everyo…”
Mark Pincus Jun 14, 2026 ▶ 1:21:52 The hidden pattern behind successful products | Mark Pincus (FarmVille, Words with Friends, & more)
KNOWLEDGE PROJECT Assertion Not checkable as stated
Pincus: Friendster founder Jonathan Abrams doesn't speak to me to this day
“And Jonathan Abrams was I'm very paranoid about any of us as investors doing anything close. In fact, he doesn't speak to me to this day. He feels like tribe. He feels like we all kind of usurped and stole his idea for social networking by doing what we we…”
Mark Pincus Jun 2, 2026 ▶ 20:04 You Don’t Need To Innovate To Be Successful | FarmVille Creator
KNOWLEDGE PROJECT Assertion Not checkable as stated
Pincus: Feud between Peter Thiel and Sequoia killed early Zynga financing
“The first round I raised, Was impossibly hard, and I got caught in between a fight, in a fight in between Peter Thiel and Sequoia, and he had just started Founders Fund, and Sequoia didn't like that, and they were mad at each other, and Peter had said, I'm gon…”
Mark Pincus Jun 2, 2026 ▶ 41:24 You Don’t Need To Innovate To Be Successful | FarmVille Creator
KNOWLEDGE PROJECT Assertion Contradicted
Pincus: Every Amazon C-staff member was once Jeff Bezos's technical assistant
“In fact, I believe every C staff member at Amazon was at one point Jeff Bezos' tech assistant, And Andy Jassy was, and the CEO.”
Mark Pincus Jun 2, 2026 ▶ 1:06:40 You Don’t Need To Innovate To Be Successful | FarmVille Creator
ALL-IN Prediction Not checkable as stated
Mark Pincus predicts DOGE will be more aggressive and overdeliver
“But I love what they're doing, and I just say that my own opinion, and this is not knowing anything I think that it's going to, I think it's going to over deliver not to set expectations, they don't want that, but I think it's going to be more aggressive and o…”
Mark Pincus Jan 20, 2025 ▶ 39:09 All-In Inauguration Day Livestream with the Besties from Washington, DC!
ALL-IN Assertion Not checkable as stated
Mark Pincus: Peter Thiel and Reid Hoffman had a deep falling out
“Between Peter and Reed they've been friends for life, and they had a falling, deep falling out over all this”
Mark Pincus Jan 20, 2025 ▶ 53:34 All-In Inauguration Day Livestream with the Besties from Washington, DC!
Y COMBINATOR Assertion Supported
Pincus: Early backers sold Facebook stock because none foresaw its ultimate scale
“I don't think Reed or I Ever imagined how, I know none of us ever imagined how big this, Peter Thiel, all of us, we all sold our stock in Facebook, so we voted with our shares, you know, none of us could have ever described how big this all got.”
Mark Pincus Jun 25, 2026 ▶ 6:02 Zynga Founder: Consumer Is Not Investible Right Now - Thats Why You Should Build It · Y Combinator
SOURCERY Assertion Partly supported
Zero percent of 40,000 recent App Store games sustained top 25 rankings
“I believe last year there was 40,000, 40,000 games launched in the App Store, and zero percent of them sustained a top 25 position.”
Mark Pincus Jun 23, 2026 ▶ 36:54 Mark Pincus: How to Spot a Fake CEO · Sourcery with Molly O'Shea
LENNY'S PODCAST Assertion Not checkable as stated
Pincus: Sid Meier's Facebook game failed due to poor onboarding UX
“Sid Meyers, like, the, you know, godfather of game design, who's the most revered game designer, he came out with, I think, a social civilization on Facebook, and we thought, oh god, here comes, like, the ultimate game designer, and 10 minutes after the game c…”
Mark Pincus Jun 14, 2026 ▶ 5:19 The hidden pattern behind successful products | Mark Pincus (FarmVille, Words with Friends, & more)
LENNY'S PODCAST Prediction Not checkable as stated
Pincus: The gaming industry will see massive growth by unlocking adult engagement
“I actually think there's another massive growth waiting in games because they're this big and it's this boring and adults aren't doing it”
Mark Pincus Jun 14, 2026 ▶ 51:48 The hidden pattern behind successful products | Mark Pincus (FarmVille, Words with Friends, & more)
LENNY'S PODCAST Assertion Not checkable as stated
Pincus: Quitting Facebook and Instagram plunges user Net Promoter Score to -35
“I, we looked at NPS, net promoter scores, and we saw That when people quit Facebook and quit Instagram, they went from a plus 35 to a -35.”
Mark Pincus Jun 14, 2026 ▶ 52:39 The hidden pattern behind successful products | Mark Pincus (FarmVille, Words with Friends, & more)
LENNY'S PODCAST Assertion Supported
Pincus: Zero of 40,000 new App Store games sustained top 50 ranks
“You know, there was something like 40,000 new games launched last year in the app store and zero, you know, became top 10 hits and zero even sustained top 25 or 50.”
Mark Pincus Jun 14, 2026 ▶ 1:04:16 The hidden pattern behind successful products | Mark Pincus (FarmVille, Words with Friends, & more)
LENNY'S PODCAST Assertion Not checkable as stated
Pincus: Facebook absorbed all platform verticals except music and games
“With us, you know, we saw it on Facebook, you know, they, the two areas that they just didn't care about going into was music. Cause it was really painful with IP rights and games because they didn't want to like hire artists. But everything else they did abso…”
Mark Pincus Jun 14, 2026 ▶ 1:15:21 The hidden pattern behind successful products | Mark Pincus (FarmVille, Words with Friends, & more)
KNOWLEDGE PROJECT Assertion Not checkable as stated
Pincus: Only Zynga and Spotify survived Facebook's app ecosystem
“The entire Facebook experience for Zynga was a near-death experience, and not just us, for everyone in their app ecosystem, it was the least stable app ecosystem ever imagined or invented, and many companies did die in it. Most. There's only two companies that…”
Mark Pincus Jun 2, 2026 ▶ 45:54 You Don’t Need To Innovate To Be Successful | FarmVille Creator
KNOWLEDGE PROJECT Assertion Supported
Pincus: Zynga drove 20% of Facebook page views and 10% of revenue at IPO
“They gave it on Friday, and they said, you have till Monday to sign this agreement, or we're gonna take down your apps, which was their right and that could have happened the whole way through, and who knows what would have happened, because, you know, at this…”
Mark Pincus Jun 2, 2026 ▶ 47:44 You Don’t Need To Innovate To Be Successful | FarmVille Creator
KNOWLEDGE PROJECT Prediction Not checkable as stated
Pincus: Voice interfaces will make typing and texting look obsolete
“But I do think that voice will be the biggest thing that'll feel obvious, that we wasted so much time typing and texting and reading, and I think we're going to turn on our ears and our voices a lot more.”
Mark Pincus Jun 2, 2026 ▶ 1:08:30 You Don’t Need To Innovate To Be Successful | FarmVille Creator
ALL-IN Assertion Contradicted
Pincus: Outside contractors account for 70% of US federal labor spending
“70% of the labor spend is for outside contractors, so I'm curious how far they can push that, because they might not have to go through all the legal labor side to cut. I think it's 1.2 trillion total spent on labor, and so, 70% of that, eight hundred billion …”
Mark Pincus Jan 20, 2025 ▶ 18:28 All-In Inauguration Day Livestream with the Besties from Washington, DC!
ALL-IN Prediction Not checkable as stated
Pincus: Political campaigns will require authentic, long-form candidate media presence
“We're, we have a new way of doing politics after this election, that there's only authentic, like, only long form, and you, you're gonna have, you're, even the Democrats aren't gonna be able to field a candidate that isn't the full color”
Mark Pincus Jan 20, 2025 ▶ 25:55 All-In Inauguration Day Livestream with the Besties from Washington, DC!
ALL-IN Assertion Not checkable as stated
Mark Pincus: MBA jobs at Meta and Google have dried up
“Everyone wants a job at Meta or Google, and that's the get rich quick place, and it's, I don't even think that's necessarily true anymore, and they can't get those jobs because those companies are now trying to get rid of middle management. So those jobs have …”
Mark Pincus Jan 18, 2025 ▶ 1:22:59 Red-pilled Billionaires, LA Fire Update, Newsom's Price Caps, TikTok Ban, Jobless MBAs
Y COMBINATOR Assertion Not checkable as stated
Pincus: Y Combinator probably has very few consumer startups currently
“You probably don't have a whole lot of consumer companies coming through right now.”
Mark Pincus Jun 25, 2026 ▶ 14:29 Zynga Founder: Consumer Is Not Investible Right Now - Thats Why You Should Build It · Y Combinator
SOURCERY Assertion Partly supported
Pincus: Smartphone users download an average of zero new apps monthly
“I mean, we download an average of zero new apps a month.”
Mark Pincus Jun 23, 2026 ▶ 36:40 Mark Pincus: How to Spot a Fake CEO · Sourcery with Molly O'Shea
SOURCERY Assertion Not publicly verifiable
Pincus: First Round Offered Repeat Founders $250k Notes Sight Unseen
“And then I met with Josh Koppelman, and they had this deal at first round that they would give any second time founder, a 250 K bridge note with a ten million dollar cap, sight unseen.”
Mark Pincus Jun 23, 2026 ▶ 1:20:05 Mark Pincus: How to Spot a Fake CEO · Sourcery with Molly O'Shea
LENNY'S PODCAST Assertion Not publicly verifiable
Pincus: Zynga generated $19M selling early access keys for FarmVille expansion
“We started selling keys to people for you and a friend, and we ended up selling nineteen million dollars worth of keys to get early access to, you know, the new expansion pack.”
Mark Pincus Jun 14, 2026 ▶ 39:01 The hidden pattern behind successful products | Mark Pincus (FarmVille, Words with Friends, & more)
LENNY'S PODCAST Assertion Not checkable as stated
Pincus: Four active social round trips drove 80% multi-day monthly retention
“We built a metric called ASN, and it stood for what we measured, what was your active social network? So we looked at how many round trips you had with a friend or another player? Meaning you took a turn and they took a turn back. You gifted them and they gift…”
Mark Pincus Jun 14, 2026 ▶ 46:31 The hidden pattern behind successful products | Mark Pincus (FarmVille, Words with Friends, & more)
LENNY'S PODCAST Assertion Partly supported
Pincus: Average mobile app installs per user per month is zero
“You know, the average App installs per user per month is zero.”
Mark Pincus Jun 14, 2026 ▶ 1:04:02 The hidden pattern behind successful products | Mark Pincus (FarmVille, Words with Friends, & more)
LENNY'S PODCAST Assertion Contradicted
Pincus: Every member of Andy Jassy's C-suite was Bezos's technical assistant
“And in fact, Andy Jassy at Amazon, everyone on the C staff used to be someone who'd been the tech assistant to Bezos.”
Mark Pincus Jun 14, 2026 ▶ 1:24:49 The hidden pattern behind successful products | Mark Pincus (FarmVille, Words with Friends, & more)
KNOWLEDGE PROJECT Assertion Not checkable as stated
Pincus: Every click cuts users by half and downloads lose 80-90%
“You lose at least half your users every click. Every time you say click here, half people don't click. And you lose 80% when you say download this. At least. It's probably 90 or more. 90% or more in the app store.”
Mark Pincus Jun 2, 2026 ▶ 25:51 You Don’t Need To Innovate To Be Successful | FarmVille Creator
KNOWLEDGE PROJECT Prediction Not checkable as stated
Pincus: Vibe coding will let builders instantiate ideas with near-zero capital
“I think that the future state of all this is that we all get to live in some way like Elon. The ultimate vibe coding is life of the speed of play, and it's that you get to have an idea and bring it to life in some way for almost no capital. And get to instanti…”
Mark Pincus Jun 2, 2026 ▶ 31:51 You Don’t Need To Innovate To Be Successful | FarmVille Creator
KNOWLEDGE PROJECT Assertion Not checkable as stated
Pincus: VCs doubted Zynga would be serious due to his age and wealth
“I think that, that my all-in has always been underestimated, so we'll get to, like, when I, life when I started Zynga, but the VCs didn't believe, like, I'd already been successful and made all this money, and they just were like, this is a lifestyle thing. I …”
Mark Pincus Jun 2, 2026 ▶ 33:14 You Don’t Need To Innovate To Be Successful | FarmVille Creator
KNOWLEDGE PROJECT Assertion Not publicly verifiable
Zynga's Words with Friends turnaround generated $180M revenue, $100M contribution margin
“And because of V and the team, and committing to this failure machine, this testing machine first, game did a hundred and eighty million in revenues, did a hundred million in contribution, so it did more dollars in contribution than they were projecting it wou…”
Mark Pincus Jun 2, 2026 ▶ 52:35 You Don’t Need To Innovate To Be Successful | FarmVille Creator
KNOWLEDGE PROJECT Assertion Partly supported
Pincus: Supercell made $500M profit the year after Zynga passed
“You know, and Supercell made five hundred million in profit the next year”
Mark Pincus Jun 2, 2026 ▶ 58:17 You Don’t Need To Innovate To Be Successful | FarmVille Creator
ALL-IN Assertion Not checkable as stated
Mark Pincus: Rival Playdom once burned a mannequin of him on stage
“They hated me and my company so much that they burned a mark mannequin on stage”
Mark Pincus Jan 20, 2025 ▶ 54:24 All-In Inauguration Day Livestream with the Besties from Washington, DC!
ALL-IN Assertion Partly supported
Mark Pincus: California Coastal Commission's stated policy is managed retreat
“The people running both the staff there and the people on the board have stated on their website that their policy is managed retreat.”
Mark Pincus Jan 18, 2025 ▶ 58:53 Red-pilled Billionaires, LA Fire Update, Newsom's Price Caps, TikTok Ban, Jobless MBAs
MASTERS OF SCALE Assertion Not checkable as stated
Pincus: Legacy studios spent $15M-$20M over two years before testing demand
“At the time, game companies would build an entire game and take even two years and 15, twenty million dollars before they even know if anyone wanted it, and we could come out with it on the web, maybe only spend four weeks.”
Mark Pincus Jul 24, 2018 ▶ 18:06 How to kill your bad ideas (with Zynga's Mark Pincus)
20VC Assertion Not checkable as stated
Mobile distribution is bigger than ever, but lacks easy viral paths
“The distribution is there bigger than ever, but there are not easy proven paths that people can follow”
Mark Pincus Nov 20, 2017 ▶ 6:58 20VC: Zynga's Mark Pincus on When To Ride Your Winners and Cut Your Losers, Why People With "Broken Resumes" Make The Best Hires & The 2 Biggest Lies Told In Silicon Valley By Founders and VCs
20VC Assertion Not checkable as stated
Mark Pincus pitched Zynga by listing ten reasons not to invest
“I started off by saying to investors, let me tell you the top 10 reasons you're not going to want to back us. And if you still want to talk after that, we will, but then we won't waste time. And 95% of investors thanked me and said, I don't want to meet.”
Mark Pincus Nov 20, 2017 ▶ 13:51 20VC: Zynga's Mark Pincus on When To Ride Your Winners and Cut Your Losers, Why People With "Broken Resumes" Make The Best Hires & The 2 Biggest Lies Told In Silicon Valley By Founders and VCs
Y COMBINATOR Assertion Supported
Pincus: Sean Parker worked for him as an intern at age 16
“He worked for me as an intern when he was 16.”
Mark Pincus Jun 25, 2026 ▶ 4:28 Zynga Founder: Consumer Is Not Investible Right Now - Thats Why You Should Build It · Y Combinator
LENNY'S PODCAST Assertion Not checkable as stated
Pincus: Steve Jobs spent a conference demo obsessing over MIT's touchscreen
“I was there at the tech conference when this team from MIT was demoing their touch screen and they did it on a gigantic whiteboard and Steve jobs was obsessed with it. They had a whiteboard and they had a table with it. And I watched him, and he spent the whol…”
Mark Pincus Jun 14, 2026 ▶ 12:55 The hidden pattern behind successful products | Mark Pincus (FarmVille, Words with Friends, & more)
KNOWLEDGE PROJECT Assertion Not checkable as stated
Pincus: TCI Considered $400M Prodigy Stake Instead of Buying AOL for $110M
“At one point, TCI was going to buy a third of Prodigy. It was The biggest online provider at the time, and it was terrible... And AOL had just gone public and was worth a hundred and ten million. Prodigy, this deal was to pay four hundred million for a third o…”
Mark Pincus Jun 2, 2026 ▶ 8:07 You Don’t Need To Innovate To Be Successful | FarmVille Creator
KNOWLEDGE PROJECT Assertion Supported
Pincus: Roughly 20% of Facebook users played FarmVille at its peak
“And Farmville was the first time that we hit this, like, mass market consumer tipping point where lots of people knew about Mafia Wars, but with Farmville, we hit this density on the social network and the feed with Facebook that something I think, like, 20% o…”
Mark Pincus Jun 2, 2026 ▶ 43:26 You Don’t Need To Innovate To Be Successful | FarmVille Creator
ALL-IN Assertion Supported
Pincus: pump.fun users generate around 20,000 meme coins daily
“It's a website that lets people create meme coins. I think they create like 20,000 a day through this.”
Mark Pincus Jan 20, 2025 ▶ 48:10 All-In Inauguration Day Livestream with the Besties from Washington, DC!
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