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“The arguments that were made that that Trump has actually repeated that Iran was about to attack us, I see no evidence for that. That Iran was about to get a nuclear weapon, I see no evidence for that. That Iran was building an ICBM that was going to attack th…”

“Business as usual in the relationship between the US and China will likely produce history as usual.”

“This is Bibi's war. If your reader or your listeners don't remember Moby Dick, they should go look at it again. Ahab had this fixation, obsession, with the white whale, and tried to find a way to kill the white whale whenever he could. For the last two decades…”

“Interfering in American politics invites pushback. So I think this could have a big long-term negative effect, both in the Democratic Party and the Republican Party, especially younger, under younger people.”

“Taiwan is halfway around the world, as President Trump says, and 90 miles off the shore of China, and we're far away, and we have a lot of other things to worry about, so it's a little bit like Cuba. So inherently indefensible if China were seriously determine…”

“Modi is basically undermining the multi-ethnic democracy that Nehru had built by Getting support from the majority by oppressing the minority.”

“If the U.S. Had to play this game only U.S. Versus China, I think we lose.”

“Will there come to be some degree of difference and accommodation, if a war is to be avoided? And the answer is yes.”

“So my Inclination, again, if we were just doing prediction markets, is that he's going to find a way to declare this over before then, because he needs a little time to get his mind set on that.”

“If I were betting it, it'll end up that the guys with the guns will in some version be the next iteration.”

“All the patriots that were to hope to prevent missile strikes from Russia on Ukraine are now In the Middle East.”

“I think the likelihood of an attack on Taiwan this year or next year or even into 28, but let me just do 26 and 27, absent some major provocation by Taiwan or some other third incident is very low. I'd put it at about where the prediction markets are, five per…”

“Today, 90, 95 states could have nuclear weapons in a year or two if they decided to build them.”

“If things are on the current path, well, maybe South Korea or Japan will have nuclear arsenal in their backyard.”

“It's just not stable in a democracy. If everybody gets a vote, And if the top 10 or 20% are taking 80% or 70% of the pie, that's not Stable and sustainable, I think.”

“China is not just another great power, but it's going to be the biggest power in the history of the world.”

“So if you ask me bottom line quickly, a war between the US and China in the year ahead? No. I'll give you 99% of that one. War between the US and China the next four years? No. I'd say 90%. Ah, no.”

“So it's quite plausible that China will have a larger GDP even by market exchange rates than the U.S.”

“If there's a war between the U.S. And China in the next year, or four years, or decade, how is it gonna happen, in my view, the most likely? Not this way. It's gonna happen the same way the last war happened.”

“Tencent's AI machine is a pretty good competitor for GPT-IV in the science or math, but if you ask a question about, you know how do freedom-centered societies perform, it can't answer that question, because the thought of Xi Jinping says this.”

“If Gore, if the count had gone right in Florida, and Gore had been president, would we have gone into Iraq? No.”

“And in fact, I think if you were able to greenfield, ah, the Defense Department today for half the money, you could get twice the bang for the buck.”

“I find 16 cases in which a rising power threatened to displace a ruling power. In 12 of the cases, the outcome was war. In four of the cases, the outcome was not war.”

“International economies, and I believe the best yardstick is purchasing power parity, which is also the yardstick that CIA and IMF think is the best yardstick. By that yardstick, China is currently the largest economy in the world.”

“The Chinese Not only have economic power, but they exercise economic power. So when the Philippines behaves in a way they don't like, they say, I think your bananas that you're importing to China may be suspect. So they just leave them on the dock till they ro…”

“So basically, I would say, interestingly, we now virtually have a Cold War in cyber between the U.S. And China.”

“Breaking something's a lot easier than building something, and destroying targets is something that our military knows very well how to do. Building a new regime, regime change, is something that we know historically doesn't work very well, at least in Iraq an…”

“And I think it's, I mean, I think Bibi is a magician. I think his single-mindedness, ah, is impressive. I think his agility in making arguments and developing arguments is impressive.”

“We can, we the U.S. Can get everything we want from Greenland without invading it or owning it.”

“Their economy is essentially fiercely capitalist. I mean, you have the One of my friends has gladiatorial conflict that makes the competition in Silicon Valley look, look tame as the, you know, as the parties fight each other.”

“Kim Jong-un have now more than a hundred nuclear warheads and missiles that can reach the American homeland”

“In the book I look at the last 500 years, there's 16 times we've seen a rapidly rising power threaten a colossal ruling power. Think of Germany's rise, beginning of the 20th century, and the challenge to Great Britain, that became World War I. So most often, o…”

“Had thousands of people not been taken off the chessboard, you would have seen many repeats of nine 11.”

“No one imagines India is going to displace the U.S. As the predominant power in Asia.”

“So now, for development loans, the Chinese development banks, if you take the group together, including AAAB, have four times the capital of the World Bank.”

“Four years before that, five years before that, Xi Jinping became president of China. And what does his banner say? If colloquially, make China great again.”

“And so we basically threatened war with Canada unless they gave us this territory, and we took it.”

“One of the most dangerous development in the, on the horizon today, what's happening on the North Korean peninsula, and why is it so dangerous? Because it's an element in this Thucydidean dynamic.”

“Chinese, ah, conception of order is extremely different than American conceptions of order. In the Chinese conception of order, you have basically a hierarchical dominance. In which somebody's at the top of the pyramid, and everybody else is, is located in rel…”

“So mainstream historians don't really like it, because it seems a little too applied, in the same way that theorists don't like applied, and physicists look down on engineers.”

“Today, by pursuing power parity, it's 25% larger.”

“I think we're on track to a resolution there.”

“80 years. This is the longest piece in recorded history since Rome.”

“China was, at the beginning of the century, 10% of the U.S. GDP. Today it's three quarters of the U.S. GDP.”

“The idea that this might work so successfully that China could become, could come to have an economy as large as ours, Didn't occur to anybody at the time.”

“If you go around the ASEAN countries, or you go around Northeast Asia, the principal buyer, the principal seller, the principal investor is China.”

“He's trying to purify, as he puts it, to rectify the party, to make it virtuous. Again, how can you do this? We build some cadre, Who will be so competent in performing the functions of government that citizens will say, well, they're doing a good job, and, yo…”

“About half of their electricity comes from their natural gas”