Assertion Supported AI assessment confidence: 98% certainty 5/5 debate potential 3/5

Allison: 12 of 16 historical power transitions have resulted in war

Graham Allison · a16z Podcast | Centers of Power, War, and History · Jan 2, 2019 · at 3:51

Graham Allison, political scientist and former dean of the Harvard Kennedy School, discusses historical precedents for rising versus ruling power rivalries on the a16z Podcast.

0:00 / 0:09exact quote · 9.8s
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“I find 16 cases in which a rising power threatened to displace a ruling power. In 12 of the cases, the outcome was war. In four of the cases, the outcome was not war.”

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