The Ledger, every show
Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks, across all 44 shows. Pick shows below, then mix any filter with any other.
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every show 44 of 44
Kellogg: VCs stop calling SaaS startups with CAC payback exceeding 24-36 months
“I do think somewhere around 24 to 36 months people stop calling you back, so you have a different problem. It doesn't matter how good your story is if you don't get the meaning.”
Kellogg: Founder replacements will increase and favor GTM executives
“If and when you replace a founder, which was extremely unpopular for the last five years, but I think will get more popular going forward, you will tend to replace them with a GTM person.”
Kellogg: Andreessen Horowitz paused Silicon Valley founder replacements for over a decade
“Jason Horowitz, in my opinion, Put that trend on hold for a decade or more, right?”
Dave Kellogg: AI sales tools will reduce sales support headcount by 30%
“Well, you know, battery came up with a famous slide well now famous slide, but they basically said, I'm going to get the, I think to support 30 sellers, they argued that today it takes a 110 personal organization and that tomorrow it'll take 75. So they're say…”
Benioff dismissed early Zendesk threats to Salesforce to avoid fear-based leadership
“I did a year at Salesforce in the middle of all that, and I was mentioning Zendesk. I was like, hey, there's these guys called Zendesk, and they might be a problem for, like, our customer service business and I got the kind of uh-oh moment where, like, oh, and…”
Kellogg: Net Dollar Retention Shows Almost Zero Correlation With SaaS Multiples
“The R squared is only .O six between net dollar retention and enterprise value to next 12 months revenue.”
Kellogg: Outbound sales worked significantly better four years ago than today
“I think Outbound actually worked better four years ago than it does today, because I think everyone's doing it, and people are getting flooded with it, and they don't like getting called on their cell phone, they're not answering their regular phone, and you c…”
Kellogg: Subscription SaaS Companies Were Hit Harder Recently But Still Grow Faster
“The great paradox right now is that people who are in subscription pricing generally have been hit harder than those who are not, but they're nevertheless still growing faster.”
Kellogg: Only startups that raised huge pre-crash rounds survived 2002
“In 2002, there were only two types of startups in existence. Those that had raised a large amount of money at a ridiculous valuation prior to April 2001, or dead. There was no other type of startup in 2002, when the internet bubble burst.”
Dave Kellogg: AI sales tools market will consolidate within 18 months
“So if I were a founder of one of these companies, I'd be very aggressive right now to get myself known and established in the market, because this market will organize, right? We're in the chaos phase of the market, and so from the vendor side, this will organ…”
Kellogg: Competitor Used One-Dollar Renewals to Manipulate Churn Metrics
“I competed against the company that did one dollar renewals. And they would juice their churn rate so they could offset their SAS metrics.”
Kellogg: Consulted for a startup that missed targets despite 100x pipeline coverage
“I literally did a consulting gig with a company that had 100 X pipeline coverage. Can you imagine? So their pipeline was a hundred times bigger, and they still missed their numbers. So, so think about that. And the answer is they don't have what I call pipelin…”
Kellogg: Monday.com spends 5x more on sales and marketing than R&D
“Monday.com, the Work OS, aren't they kind of a PLG company, product-led growth? Doesn't the product kind of sell itself? Well, they spend five times as much on sales and marketing as they do in R&D.”
Kellogg: Chief Marketing Officers typically last 1.5 to 2.5 years
“CMOs last one and a half, two, two and a half years. You're gonna be hiring one soon, whether you just hired one or not.”
Kellogg: SaaS CAC ratio averages 1.3; over 3.0 becomes uninvestable
“So I like the CAC ratio very important SAS metric, you know, typically runs around 1.3, you know, below 1.3 is getting to be quite good. Below one is really good. Best I've ever seen was .4. Anything between 1.5 and two people start to scratch their eyebrows a…”
Kellogg: PE firms recalculate all SaaS metrics from raw data
“In the VC side, frankly, I don't see as much recalculation, but when you meet PE people, they will literally take all your financials and just recalculate everything. You know, you're going to say your churn is, you know, only 10%. They're like, well, we'll fi…”
Kellogg: ASC 606 flattens price ramping into straight-line GAAP revenue
“It will drive on an ARR basis, epic net dollar retention, but on a revenue basis, ASC. So six will flatten it out. It will see right through this trick and you will just end up with a 120 K per year in gap revenue.”
Kellogg: Private SaaS companies will start tracking Remaining Performance Obligations
“I think the next metric we're going to see private companies start to look at is now kind of second billing in public companies, RPO remaining performance obligation.”
Host Analytics won CFO deals using 75-cent 'I heart EBITDA' stickers
“And we've won business literally for the cost of a 75 cent sticker. I met a CFO of a public company in a restaurant. One of my guys met a CFO of a public company in a bar. People just come up and start talking to you and wow, 75 cents.”
Cloud penetration in enterprise performance management software is only around 5%
“If you look at the cloud penetration of this market, it's around five percent.”
Finance departments lag sales by 10 to 15 years in cloud adoption
“Like the finance department is like 10 to 15 years behind sales in adoption. If you take the two endpoints, right, sales was the first department to go cloud, and finance is really the last department to go cloud.”
It takes 11 to 13 years on average to reach IPO
“You know, it takes on average 13 years to build a public company. I guess it was 11 years for the twenty-twenty-one cohort. It was only 11.”
Kellogg: 90% of SaaS companies spend more on sales and marketing than R&D
“Nine out of 10 SaaS companies spend more on sales and marketing than R&D, 50% of SaaS companies spend more than double on sales and marketing than R&D, and it only goes up from there, right?”
Kellogg: Expansion ARR CAC is roughly 40% of new customer acquisition cost
“By the way, it does grow at 40% of the cost of new logo customer acquisition. If you look at the customer acquisition cost ratio, for example, in the key bank survey that I'm citing down below, you'll see that the expansion CAC or the customer acquisition cost…”
Kellogg: 2020 SaaS IPOs Averaged $330M ARR, 49% Growth, 120% NDR
“The average one had three hundred and thirty million in ARR, 49% revenue growth, and a 120% net dollar retention.”
Kellogg: SaaS ARR Growth Correlates to Valuation Multiples at 0.5 R-Squared
“The R squared between ARR growth and enterprise value multiple Is a .5”
Host Analytics had roughly $10M ARR when Dave Kellogg joined
“So, so I think it was, let's just say plus or -10 in ARR.”
Host Analytics grew ARR roughly 4x during Dave Kellogg's tenure
“So I'd say grow it four, four X plus or minus over the timeframe.”