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Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks, across all 44 shows. Pick shows below, then mix any filter with any other.

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a16z Assertion Supported
Schimpf: China possesses 250 times the shipbuilding capacity of the US
“Where there's something like 250 times the shipbuilding capacity you know, massively, massively, probably thousands of times on the weapon side. You know, it is just on drones. It's massive. Like, you just, kind of look category by category, massively outpacin…”
Brian Schimpf Sep 29, 2025 ▶ 48:04 Anduril CEO: China Has Scale. Can America Catch Up?
a16z Assertion Supported
Schimpf: Wargames show key U.S. munition stockpiles run out in eight days
“You know, one of the areas where we see it is showing up with weapons, so when you look at these wargaming sort of scenarios, and you know, all these wargames are sort of questionable in their own ways but pretty consistently the stockpile of key U.S. Munition…”
Brian Schimpf Jan 28, 2025 ▶ 24:33 How AI Is Changing Warfare, with Anduril CEO Brian Schimpf
a16z Assertion Not checkable as stated
Schimpf: Pentagon oversight bureaucrats outnumber accountable leaders 10 to 1
“It's just there are 10 times as many people who say no as there are to people who are accountable for doing it.”
Brian Schimpf Jan 28, 2025 ▶ 30:17 How AI Is Changing Warfare, with Anduril CEO Brian Schimpf
SOURCERY Prediction Not checkable as stated
Schimpf: US defense budgets cannot shrink without sacrificing necessary military capability
“I don't see a world where, like, the defense budgets could magically shrink, and we still have the military that we need to have, but I do think these things can be done wildly more efficiently than they ever have in the past.”
Brian Schimpf Dec 16, 2025 ▶ 15:15 Anduril CEO Brian Schimpf on $1B+ Revenue & Still Doubling · Sourcery with Molly O'Shea
SOURCERY Prediction Open · timeframe Dec 2030
Schimpf: Europe will spend 4x US defense procurement over next five years
“Europe is going to spend something like Four times the amount of procurement that the U S is over the next five years.”
Brian Schimpf Dec 16, 2025 ▶ 22:01 Anduril CEO Brian Schimpf on $1B+ Revenue & Still Doubling · Sourcery with Molly O'Shea
SOURCERY Assertion Not checkable as stated
Schimpf: US has sufficient PCB, composites, and CNC capacity for defense
“Is there enough composites capacity or printed circuit board capacity in the U S or CNC shops? The answer is absolutely yes. There is definitely enough capacity”
Brian Schimpf Dec 16, 2025 ▶ 24:08 Anduril CEO Brian Schimpf on $1B+ Revenue & Still Doubling · Sourcery with Molly O'Shea
SOURCERY Prediction Open · timeframe Dec 2030
Schimpf: Europe will outspend US procurement fourfold over next five years
“Europe is going to spend something like four times the amount of procurement that the U.S. Is over the next five years.”
Brian Schimpf Dec 15, 2025 ▶ 10:41 Inside Anduril: Exclusive HQ Tour w/ Palmer Luckey, Brian Schimpf, Matt Grimm & Trae Stephens · Sourcery with Molly O'Shea
a16z Assertion Supported
Schimpf: Russia outproduces NATO in 155mm artillery munitions after two-year ramp
“Russia today is outproducing NATO on one five five munitions and took about two years.”
Brian Schimpf Sep 29, 2025 ▶ 0:00 Anduril CEO: China Has Scale. Can America Catch Up?
a16z Assertion Not checkable as stated
Schimpf: The US lacks a strategic plan for supply preservation
“We have no strategic plan as a country for how we preserve supply in a catastrophic situation.”
Brian Schimpf Sep 29, 2025 ▶ 20:42 Anduril CEO: China Has Scale. Can America Catch Up?
a16z Assertion Supported
Schimpf: China has legally banned the export of magnet-making technology
“China has strategically kind of strangleholded that, you know, not only did they have the processing of those rare earths, but now they've exported, controlled, so they don't allow the export of magnet-making technology. That is now a restricted national techn…”
Brian Schimpf Sep 29, 2025 ▶ 12:55 Anduril CEO: China Has Scale. Can America Catch Up?
a16z Assertion Not checkable as stated
Schimpf: EPA non-attainment zone designations kill local manufacturing growth
“An area can be designated a non attainment zone that is over polluted on a certain pollutant. And so then going forward, the EPA says that any new construction requires to remediate that pollutant by any means available, not cost benefit, not that there is any…”
Brian Schimpf Sep 29, 2025 ▶ 31:33 Anduril CEO: China Has Scale. Can America Catch Up?
a16z Prediction Not checkable as stated
Schimpf: Next 30 years of defense tech relies on cheap autonomous systems
“So number one, the tech for the next 20 or 30 years was going to be like primarily how do you just have more cheap autonomous systems on the battlefield, just more sensors, just more information flowing in.”
Brian Schimpf Jan 28, 2025 ▶ 0:30 How AI Is Changing Warfare, with Anduril CEO Brian Schimpf
a16z Prediction Not checkable as stated
Schimpf: Military surveillance and strikes will soon achieve high automation levels
“Yeah, I, look, I think the mechanics of, okay, there's this airfield, and you want to go surveil it, and, like, take it you can do some strike, you can do some surveillance, you can do all these things. That, there will be a large degree of automation in that,…”
Brian Schimpf Jan 28, 2025 ▶ 11:18 How AI Is Changing Warfare, with Anduril CEO Brian Schimpf
a16z Assertion Supported
Schimpf: Sam Altman publicly committed OpenAI to supporting US national defense
“Sam especially has been very clear that he supports our war fighters and he cares about having the best minds in AI working on national security and like who better exists to work through these hard problems.”
Brian Schimpf Jan 28, 2025 ▶ 14:56 How AI Is Changing Warfare, with Anduril CEO Brian Schimpf
a16z Prediction Not checkable as stated
Schimpf: Anduril doesn't need government procurement reform to succeed
“Do I think it's necessary to change for us to be successful? Not really. Like, we're just going to play the game that they present.”
Brian Schimpf Jan 28, 2025 ▶ 17:33 How AI Is Changing Warfare, with Anduril CEO Brian Schimpf
a16z Assertion Contradicted
Schimpf: SpaceX received one-third of Boeing's Starliner funding
“I think SpaceX had a third the amount of money that Boeing was given to make Starliner work.”
Brian Schimpf Jan 28, 2025 ▶ 19:01 How AI Is Changing Warfare, with Anduril CEO Brian Schimpf
a16z Assertion Partly supported
Schimpf: China conducts hundreds of hypersonic weapon tests annually versus US's four
“The single best stat for this is they are running hundreds of tests a year of hypersonic weapons. The US is running, like, four.”
Brian Schimpf Jan 28, 2025 ▶ 22:26 How AI Is Changing Warfare, with Anduril CEO Brian Schimpf
a16z Assertion Supported
Schimpf: Russia retooled defense production and outproduces all of NATO on munitions
“Empirically, Russia, You know, about same duration, about two years to retool their industry against defense production. They are now out producing all of NATO on munitions.”
Brian Schimpf Jan 28, 2025 ▶ 24:02 How AI Is Changing Warfare, with Anduril CEO Brian Schimpf
a16z Assertion Not checkable as stated
Schimpf: Traditional defense weapons face four-year lead times from bespoke components
“Most of these traditional weapons where it's like overly bespoke components, you're like, it's like, we got to get the dude that knows how to solder this one thing out of retirement. Like in the supply chains are super deep. Like four year lead times on these …”
Brian Schimpf Jan 28, 2025 ▶ 27:08 How AI Is Changing Warfare, with Anduril CEO Brian Schimpf
a16z Assertion Not checkable as stated
Schimpf: Traditional defense primes refuse firm fixed-price contracts after heavy losses
“Actually a lot of the primes right now are saying they will not do firm fixed price. Contracts anymore because they've often taken a significant loss on most of the programs that they're doing with this.”
Brian Schimpf Mar 7, 2024 ▶ 17:18 From Silicon Valley to the Pentagon: The Future of Defense Innovation
a16z Prediction Held up
China is actively investing in and will deploy autonomous weapons
“We know that China is, you know, investing in similar technologies. We know they're going to move out on it,”
Brian Schimpf Mar 5, 2024 ▶ 6:08 Securing America's Future: How Technology Companies and Washington Are Building A Safer World
a16z Prediction Not checkable as stated
Drone attacks on U.S. military bases will increase in frequency
“The attack in Tower 22 is very tragic, and it's the type of thing that I think is going to, frankly, increase in frequency.”
Brian Schimpf Mar 5, 2024 ▶ 9:12 Securing America's Future: How Technology Companies and Washington Are Building A Safer World
a16z Assertion Contradicted
Nearly every country now possesses cruise missile-equivalent drone technology
“Nearly every country has what is the equivalent of cruise missiles.”
Brian Schimpf Mar 5, 2024 ▶ 9:32 Securing America's Future: How Technology Companies and Washington Are Building A Safer World
a16z Assertion Supported
The U.S. military fires $2 million missiles at $100,000 aerial threats
“As a result, we're shooting Patriot missiles and, you know, advanced air-to-air missiles at these 100,000 dollars threats, shooting two million dollar missiles at them.”
Brian Schimpf Mar 5, 2024 ▶ 11:14 Securing America's Future: How Technology Companies and Washington Are Building A Safer World
a16z Prediction Not checkable as stated
Defense manufacturing capacity constraints will be eliminated within five years
“So our belief is this is a solvable problem. You could take advantage of commercial innovation on this, and there should be no capacity constraints you know, over any sort of five-year period to actually be able to produce these systems.”
Brian Schimpf Mar 5, 2024 ▶ 12:30 Securing America's Future: How Technology Companies and Washington Are Building A Safer World
NO PRIORS Prediction Open · timeframe Jun 2028
Schimpf: US will not adopt autonomous robots making lethal strike decisions
“The U S is not going to adopt systems that have autonomous robots going out and making sort of lethal decisions about, you know, what to attack or not. That's not really how the U S works. We assign accountability to the person that employed a weapon system. T…”
Brian Schimpf Jun 1, 2023 ▶ 19:20 No Priors Ep. 19 | With Anduril CEO Brian Schimpf
NO PRIORS Assertion Not checkable as stated
Schimpf: Hypersonic startups operate at 5x pace and fraction of Lockheed's cost
“There are multiple companies doing very credible things on, you know, hypersonic air vehicles, hypersonic rockets and missiles that will be wildly cheaper than the state of the art defense. And it's something that, you know, historically you would have said th…”
Brian Schimpf Jun 1, 2023 ▶ 36:42 No Priors Ep. 19 | With Anduril CEO Brian Schimpf
NO PRIORS Prediction Not checkable as stated
Schimpf: Drones and satellites will eliminate need to risk carrier strike groups
“Proliferated satellites and drones you know, an ability to consume mass amounts of information, make sense of the whole battle space, and the ability to engage with targets at outrageously long ranges on a very quick timeline, that fundamentally alters the cha…”
Brian Schimpf Jun 1, 2023 ▶ 37:29 No Priors Ep. 19 | With Anduril CEO Brian Schimpf
SOURCERY Assertion Not checkable as stated
Schimpf: Anduril has 7,000 employees and is still doubling revenue past $1B
“So we're eight years ish in we're at about 7000 employees. We have consistently doubled revenue like every year, right? So even like over a billion, we're still doubling revenue.”
Brian Schimpf Dec 16, 2025 ▶ 2:21 Anduril CEO Brian Schimpf on $1B+ Revenue & Still Doubling · Sourcery with Molly O'Shea
SOURCERY Prediction Held up
Schimpf: Anduril will produce autonomous fighter jets in months
“We're making autonomous fighter jets. You know, like three years ago, we weren't believable to make autonomous fighter jets. Now we're doing it. And we're going to have them be produced in a production facility in like months from now.”
Brian Schimpf Dec 16, 2025 ▶ 4:17 Anduril CEO Brian Schimpf on $1B+ Revenue & Still Doubling · Sourcery with Molly O'Shea
SOURCERY Assertion Contradicted
US defense procurement relative to GDP is at an all-time low
“The procurement budget as a percentage of GDP, for example, is I think the lowest it's ever been.”
Brian Schimpf Dec 16, 2025 ▶ 13:49 Anduril CEO Brian Schimpf on $1B+ Revenue & Still Doubling · Sourcery with Molly O'Shea
a16z Assertion Supported
Schimpf: US government guaranteed price floor for MP Materials
“I think the way they're structuring some of these is actually really clever, right? Like they basically, with one of these, this empty materials company, they basically guaranteed a minimum offtake and a price floor.”
Brian Schimpf Sep 29, 2025 ▶ 13:32 Anduril CEO: China Has Scale. Can America Catch Up?
a16z Prediction Not checkable as stated
Anduril CEO: Rebuilding domestic manufacturing competitiveness will take years
“This is where I think tariffs applied on more of like, you know, kind of a national security industrial policy basis can be really advantageous. Create the time for, you know, American and allied industry to be able to get price competitive. It's just going to…”
Brian Schimpf Sep 29, 2025 ▶ 13:56 Anduril CEO: China Has Scale. Can America Catch Up?
a16z Assertion Not checkable as stated
Schimpf: Rebuilding unplanned defense supply chains takes five years in a crisis
“But if we are looking at, you know, we've got to add a crisis work all the way back to the raw materials that we didn't plan for. Now you're looking at five years of lack of being able to reconstitute that supply chain.”
Brian Schimpf Sep 29, 2025 ▶ 24:27 Anduril CEO: China Has Scale. Can America Catch Up?
a16z Assertion Supported
Palantir streamlined Ukraine military targeting workflows from satellite imagery to approval
“You know, I think a lot of the things that were starting to happen in Ukraine, a lot of the great work Palantir did was on things like this, where it was like the targeting process of going from satellite imagery through to, hey, this looks like a tank, throug…”
Brian Schimpf Jan 28, 2025 ▶ 11:50 How AI Is Changing Warfare, with Anduril CEO Brian Schimpf
a16z Assertion Not checkable as stated
Schimpf: Defense budget allocates under 0.2% to modern autonomous systems
“The amount of money that's actually spent on capabilities like the types of things we're working on is somewhere like between .1 and .2% of the defense budget.”
Brian Schimpf Jan 28, 2025 ▶ 28:12 How AI Is Changing Warfare, with Anduril CEO Brian Schimpf
a16z Prediction Not checkable as stated
Defense tech will not produce hundreds of major startup success stories
“I think the hard reality with this is it's just like venture. It's just like any sort of industry where there isn't going to be 500 success stories. That is unlikely to be the case, right?”
Brian Schimpf Mar 5, 2024 ▶ 2:31 Securing America's Future: How Technology Companies and Washington Are Building A Safer World
a16z Assertion Supported
Anduril fielded its first weapon system in under two years
“It was just like under two years from when we started from Never having done a weapons program to having a fielded weapon capability”
Brian Schimpf Mar 5, 2024 ▶ 10:14 Securing America's Future: How Technology Companies and Washington Are Building A Safer World
NO PRIORS Assertion Partly supported
Schimpf: US produces only 1.7 nuclear submarines annually as workforce retires
“We are producing less nuclear submarines per year, year over year than we have in the past. So we're like, 1.7 per year we can produce these submarines. It's not getting better, and the workforce to make these is retiring.”
Brian Schimpf Jun 1, 2023 ▶ 9:18 No Priors Ep. 19 | With Anduril CEO Brian Schimpf
NO PRIORS Assertion Supported
Schimpf: Low-cost drones give adversaries cruise missile equivalents under $100K
“Historically the US has been one of the few countries that has been able to make like cruise missiles, but with the low cost of drones, now effectively Iran and nearly every country has the equivalent of low cost cruise missiles. For, you know, like a 100,000 …”
Brian Schimpf Jun 1, 2023 ▶ 16:19 No Priors Ep. 19 | With Anduril CEO Brian Schimpf
NO PRIORS Assertion Not checkable as stated
Schimpf: Adversaries deploy new drone technologies in months, not decade cycles
“This was not like 10 year development programs. They're able to turn new drone technologies in months.”
Brian Schimpf Jun 1, 2023 ▶ 17:10 No Priors Ep. 19 | With Anduril CEO Brian Schimpf
NO PRIORS Prediction Not checkable as stated
Schimpf: Starship will enable mega-constellations for the cost of four satellites
“Just, you know, the dollars to launch, you know, any given amount of satellite with Starship is going to be so cheap. It changes things so fundamentally that, I don't think people have fully realized how monumental a shift that is going to be in terms of the a…”
Brian Schimpf Jun 1, 2023 ▶ 35:46 No Priors Ep. 19 | With Anduril CEO Brian Schimpf
a16z Assertion Not checkable as stated
Schimpf: Standard drone communication links fail under electronic jamming in Ukraine
“Nearly every drone company that's been deployed into there has had the same reaction. Very little works on that communication link. You gotta actually very quickly innovate on it and solve these problems.”
Brian Schimpf Feb 6, 2023 ▶ 21:54 AI & The Future of Modern Warfare
SOURCERY Prediction Not checkable as stated
Schimpf: Anduril will be involved in nearly every aspect of US/allied defense
“Over the next few years, we are going to become So involved in nearly every aspect of U S and international defense in a way that I think is going to be very positive for us, very positive for the world, but just the sheer scale and breadth that we will be op…”
Brian Schimpf Dec 16, 2025 ▶ 27:46 Anduril CEO Brian Schimpf on $1B+ Revenue & Still Doubling · Sourcery with Molly O'Shea
SOURCERY Assertion Not checkable as stated
Schimpf: Brokers are offering secondary Anduril stock they don't possess
“Everyone is slinging Andurl stock that they don't have.”
Brian Schimpf Dec 16, 2025 ▶ 30:23 Anduril CEO Brian Schimpf on $1B+ Revenue & Still Doubling · Sourcery with Molly O'Shea
SOURCERY Assertion Partly supported
Schimpf: Over half of US defense budget covers personnel and facilities
“More than half goes to personnel costs, to facilities, to military construction. So you just have an outrageous percentage going to these fixed costs that you have that are not next generation technology. And then There's an outrageous cost as well then to sus…”
Brian Schimpf Dec 15, 2025 ▶ 3:59 Inside Anduril: Exclusive HQ Tour w/ Palmer Luckey, Brian Schimpf, Matt Grimm & Trae Stephens · Sourcery with Molly O'Shea
SOURCERY Assertion Supported
Schimpf: US defense procurement as percentage of GDP is historically low
“The procurement budget as a percentage of GDP, for example, is I think the lowest it's ever been.”
Brian Schimpf Dec 15, 2025 ▶ 4:31 Inside Anduril: Exclusive HQ Tour w/ Palmer Luckey, Brian Schimpf, Matt Grimm & Trae Stephens · Sourcery with Molly O'Shea
a16z Prediction Not checkable as stated
Schimpf: US manufacturing rebuild will start in defense and aerospace
“I don't think it's gonna start with, you know, making low cost iPhones, but I think starting in defense production, starting in aerospace, Areas where there's like a national interest in keeping this on the U.S., and then looking at mass-producibility there.”
Brian Schimpf Sep 29, 2025 ▶ 5:51 Anduril CEO: China Has Scale. Can America Catch Up?
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