Everything Mitchell Green said on any show that made the record, most notable first. Each card names its show and opens the statement there.
Mitchell Green: 50% to 60% of VCs add negative value
“I think 50% of people in the venture business should not actually be in the business. There's too much money and there's like too many tourists. 50, 60% of people in this industry that actually probably add negative value to companies.”
Mitchell Green: China will win the global AI competition
“Don't count China out. I bet they win the AI world.”
Mitchell Green: Assuming 20x-25x exit multiples for AI deals is insanity
“I think how they're going to get in trouble today and all this AI stuff is they just assume the exit multiple is 20 to 25 times. That's insanity.”
Mitchell Green: Investing in OpenAI at a $100B valuation is 'a little insane'
“And I think investing in open AI, a hundred billion is a little insane personally, but like, I don't know if it goes on to do like a trillion dollars of earnings. Yeah. I was going to be very wrong. I should have invested.”
Mitchell Green: Overlevered PE-Owned Software Assets Are Ripe for Disruption
“I worry that a bunch of these private equity owned assets that are over levered are ripe for disruption versus like independent software companies that are focused on growth, that are trying to innovate.”
Mitchell Green: The AI CapEx bubble will end badly
“Overhyped, overfrothed and I believe this AI CapEx bubble will end badly.”
Mitchell Green predicts AI foundation models will commoditize
“Look, our fundament, my fundamental belief
Is that the models will commoditize.”
Mitchell Green: $2B valuations for AI spinout ideas are complete lunacy
“People that spin out of Like, Anthropic or OpenAI and raise money at, like, two billion dollars for a freaking idea. Like, there's nothing more than an idea and a napkin. To us, that seems complete lunacy.”
Mitchell Green: 98% of VC and PE investors have never run a company
“I've never run a company in my life. By the way, nor have, like, 98% of venture investors or private equity investors.”
Mitchell Green: Multi-billion VC funds are insane and require hitting next Google
“I think it's insane. I think these funds are way too, and they, just do the math, the fund math on like how, they're clearly, you have to have the next open, you have to have the next Google, effectively, or the math doesn't work, I don't think.”
Green: AI infrastructure investing today mirrors website investing in 1997
“I think investing in AI infrastructure today is like investing in websites in 1997.”
Green: The idea of a single-person AI company is comical
“The idea of a single-person AI company I think is, like, comical at best.”
Green: If a company responds to VC cold calls, it sucks
“And you realize if the company calls you back, the company sucks.”
Green: A Benchmark-backed Silicon Valley version of SafeSend would've fetched $500M
“Had that deal, been backed by Benchmark, like Vishra or Fett, Peter Fett, and one of those guys, backed a Benchmark, doing a minority deal based in Silicon Valley, it would have been five hundred million dollars.”
Green: Lead Edge bought ByteDance at 5x earnings
“Late last year we were buying ByteDance. We were paying five times earnings for it. It grows, like, 25, 30% a year.”
Green: Expecting consistent 3x net VC funds is a fallacy
“Please tell me where all these like three X net funds are all run. It's a complete fallacy.”
Green: DPI is the most important VC metric; marks are for suckers
“I believe I believe that, like, DPI is the most important thing, and marks are completely for suckers.”
Green: MicroStrategy's strategy of issuing debt for crypto is a house of cards
“The idea, like, from what I understand, microstrategy is effectively issuing debt to buy, to go in the market and buy more To go to buy more like crypto and they just keep doing it. But if that reverses, eventually got paid on the debt. I don't know. It just s…”
Green: VCs holding stock in 2021 cost LPs hundreds of billions
“I think the amount of money that private equity Growth equity, venture firms cost their investors by not selling in mid to late 21 is in the tens, if not hundreds of billions of dollars.”
Vintage 2020 and 2021 alternative asset funds will deliver awful returns
“I think the venture growth ecosystem gets like a bad rap, but it's gonna be every alternative asset. Their 20 and 21 funds are gonna be awful relative to earlier funds because you had, you know, people thought they were gonna make, you know, a forex in, you kn…”
Good growth businesses have cumulative historical cash burn below current revenue
“We're looking for, like, this one-to-one ratio. In a world where capital is a commodity, if you can build a business that's growing nicely while burning less than your, well, burning less than your revenues, you've got a pretty good business.”
Mitchell Green: Software Moats Come from Distribution and Retention, Not R&D
“Our belief, for right or wrong, is that the competitive advantage of software company has never been about R&D.
We're not building semiconductor chips.
Like we're not, it's, we're not building biotech and pharma companies.
This isn't that it's to build like ch…”
Mitchell Green: Best Risk-Adjusted Returns Right Now Are in Public Software
“I think the best Chris suggested returns right now are in
Public software names.”
Mitchell Green: Lead Edge Capital is buying public software stocks like Procore, Workday, Appian
“We are buyers. We're buying software stocks right now. You know, a portion of our funds can be invested in public equities, so we're buying companies like Procore, Workday, Appian.”