Everything Mike Maples said on any show that made the record, most notable first. Each card names its show and opens the statement there.
Founders Must Be Able to Get Out of the Present
“A lot of people say to me, Hey, well, I don't have a natural way to get out of the present. And I'm like, okay, then maybe you shouldn't be thinking of starting a startup.”
Maples: VC follow-on returns are so bad LPs would revolt
“If the LPs knew, like if they tracked, what's the return on follow-on checks versus first checks, there'd be pitchforks and like, Revolts in the street. It's so bad.”
Maples: The federal $40B broadband initiative has created zero broadband connections
“We've passed some, what was it? Forty billion dollar build broadband, better bullshit bill that nobody's built any broadband connections I'm aware of.”
Maples: Raising $4M seed rounds just to sell 20% equity is stupid
“People are raising four million bucks because that's what it takes to dilute 20%. And that's just stupid. It's not a good way to get started, and it hurts the founders even more than it hurts the VCs because the one thing you never get back as a founder is you…”
Maples: High-Priced Seed Deals Like Character.ai Won't Return 100x
“Expensive, high-priced investment, and hopefully it works, but you're not going to make a thousand times your money on that deal. You're probably not going to make a hundred times your money, even in the best of circumstances.”
Maples: Venture outliers usually start at low seed valuations
“I believe that the outliers usually start out at a low price, because they're outliers. Because they're non-consensus and right. People tend to believe that the world is divided between low price deals with low upside and high price deals with high upside. I d…”
Maples: US Dollar Will Lose Reserve Status Without Fiscal Responsibility
“It's inevitable that the dollar will not be the reserve currency that If we are not more responsible with the stewardship of our money.”
Maples: Clubhouse had 'COVID market fit', not true product-market fit
“I don't think so. I think it had COVID market fit. I think it had a bunch of people staying home, bored out of their minds, trying to figure out what to do, and it became, it was kind of this meme-worthy thing”
Maples: Decentralized cloud societies will eventually function like future nation-states
“What I think happens at the limit is that all of these different cloud cultures are like their own societies.
And so right now the main, main organizing principle of society is the nation state, which is also an economies of scale centric model.
Right.
But if …”
Maples: Most VC Funds Have at Most One Great Investor
“The problem with most firms is that they have less than or equal to one really good investor, and then they force the, what's called the limited partners or the LPs to buy the bundle of everybody else who's not a good investor.”
Maples: Startups Create Value by Changing the Subject, Not Compounding Moats
“A startup capitalist is a different type of capitalist that they don't They don't create value through persistent compounding or competitive moats. They create value by changing the subject. And they break the pattern of how people do things. And only by doing…”
Maples: A startup's only advantage is turning incumbents' strengths into weaknesses
“When you're a startup, the only advantage you have is your ability to change the subject. And so you want to have something that disorients the incumbents that turns, you know, Airbnb, they didn't try to have a better hotel. They turned the strengths of hotels…”
A Founder's True Failure is Wasting Years on the Wrong Idea
“In my view, the only way to really fail as a founder is to lose your time. And it's to, you know, be three years in on an idea that you now realize wasn't good enough, wasn't worthy of your time.”
Maples: Seed rounds should only raise enough to de-risk the core hypothesis
“So let's figure out what the biggest risk is and let's raise the minimum amount of money we can raise to take out that risk as soon as possible. If we can't take out that risk, we're not going to succeed, but at least we get our time back. If we take out that …”
Validated Learning Enables Scaling $1M to $10M ARR in Two Years
“Validated learning about customers, if it's truly valid, should allow you to go from one to ten million in two years or less.”
Maples: Startups reaching PMF first win regardless of capital raised
“It's not first mover advantage. It's first to product market fit that wins regardless how much they raise. And if you can get to product market fit without much money, You're gonna win even if the other guy raises more.”
Maples: Avoided many AI investments due to competitor and OpenAI risks
“For that reason, I haven't made a lot of AI investments. And so I've seen a lot of AI ideas where I'm like, I totally see the inflection. I can totally see why people are going to love this product. I just don't know why there won't be 10 just like it, or I do…”
Maples: B2B PMF requires a salesperson to cover company-wide burdened costs
“So if you have product market fit, a salesperson should be able to pay for their entire burdened cost across the entire company. Because if you have that, then you can hire new salespeople at will, because every incremental salesperson will be a breakeven new …”
Maples: Fund size dictates VC strategy due to power law math
“Your fund size is your strategy, and I guess I'm kind of famous for saying that for a long time. I don't know if I've ever really expressed why that is, so here's why. The power law is real, and so people don't realize that Pareto is not just eighty-twenty, it…”
Maples: 3x and 10x VC funds have nearly identical loss ratios
“And so the loss ratio is about the same between a three X fund and a 10 X plus fund. What matters is the magnitude of your big winners”
Maples: Floodgate's best startup deals have historically been their cheapest, not most expensive
“No. Actually the reverse is true, but I don't know if that would still be the case.”
Maples: Seed funds are better positioned for secondary sales than multi-stage funds
“You can make money on the buy, and you can make money on the sell. And what most people don't understand is that the seed funds are actually better positioned to make money on the sell than anybody. Better, better positioned than the multi-stage by a wide marg…”
Maples: Most overfunded startups without PMF won't clear preference stacks
“I think most of them won't clear their preference stack.”
Maples: SpaceX could become the most valuable company in the world
“I don't have to squint too hard to see a world where they're the most valuable company in the world.”