Opinion
Founders Must Be Able to Get Out of the Present
“A lot of people say to me, Hey, well, I don't have a natural way to get out of the present. And I'm like, okay, then maybe you shouldn't be thinking of starting a startup.”
Insight
Maples: Startups Create Value by Changing the Subject, Not Compounding Moats
“A startup capitalist is a different type of capitalist that they don't They don't create value through persistent compounding or competitive moats. They create value by changing the subject. And they break the pattern of how people do things. And only by doing…”
Insight
Maples: A startup's only advantage is turning incumbents' strengths into weaknesses
“When you're a startup, the only advantage you have is your ability to change the subject. And so you want to have something that disorients the incumbents that turns, you know, Airbnb, they didn't try to have a better hotel. They turned the strengths of hotels…”
Insight
A Founder's True Failure is Wasting Years on the Wrong Idea
“In my view, the only way to really fail as a founder is to lose your time. And it's to, you know, be three years in on an idea that you now realize wasn't good enough, wasn't worthy of your time.”
Insight
Maples: Seed rounds should only raise enough to de-risk the core hypothesis
“So let's figure out what the biggest risk is and let's raise the minimum amount of money we can raise to take out that risk as soon as possible. If we can't take out that risk, we're not going to succeed, but at least we get our time back. If we take out that …”
Insight
Validated Learning Enables Scaling $1M to $10M ARR in Two Years
“Validated learning about customers, if it's truly valid, should allow you to go from one to ten million in two years or less.”
Insight
Maples: Startups reaching PMF first win regardless of capital raised
“It's not first mover advantage. It's first to product market fit that wins regardless how much they raise. And if you can get to product market fit without much money, You're gonna win even if the other guy raises more.”
Disclosure
Maples: Avoided many AI investments due to competitor and OpenAI risks
“For that reason, I haven't made a lot of AI investments. And so I've seen a lot of AI ideas where I'm like, I totally see the inflection. I can totally see why people are going to love this product. I just don't know why there won't be 10 just like it, or I do…”
Insight
Maples: B2B PMF requires a salesperson to cover company-wide burdened costs
“So if you have product market fit, a salesperson should be able to pay for their entire burdened cost across the entire company. Because if you have that, then you can hire new salespeople at will, because every incremental salesperson will be a breakeven new …”
Insight
Maples: Radically Successful Startups Often Ignore Standard Business Playbooks
“I found that a lot of the companies that I worked with that had massive success didn't do the stuff you're supposed to do. They didn't do the business model canvas. They didn't do the kind of experiments you're supposed to run. They didn't hire the people the …”
Insight
Maples: Lean Startup iteration on small ideas leads only to local maximums
“Iterate and execute perfectly in lean startup mode, but if you're pursuing a small idea, you'll iterate to a local maximum.”
Insight
Great Ideas Come From Living in the Future, Not Formal Research
“Most startup ideas I find come from not having a formal assessment process, but rather by living in the correct future and tinkering with what's happening in the future. And by tinkering with the future, you learn what's new about it, but you also learn what's…”
Insight
Maples: Great Startups Force a Choice Rather Than a Comparison
“A great startup
Forces a choice and not a comparison, right? Like a great startup.
If a customer says after seeing your startup idea, how does that compare to X?
You either explained it wrong or you don't have a big enough idea by definition.”
Insight
Maples: The Best Startup Ideas Are Polarizing, Not Consensus-Driven
“And so the best startup ideas tend to be the polarizing ideas, you know, ideas that probably most people don't like because they're not ready to live in the future, but a tiny subset of people say,
oh my gosh, where have you been all my life?
I can't unsee thi…”
Insight
Maples: Raising large amounts of early funding generally hurts startups
“I think for the most part, raising a lot of money early is it, it's, it makes the company worse rather than better for the most part.”
Insight
Maples: Fundraising drag races compete away profits more than people realize
“For the most part, I think that, that the profits get competed away in those things more than most people realize.”
Insight
Maples: A niche segment is cross-referenceable customers sharing common desperation
“To me, the valid definition of a niche segment is a set of cross-referenceable customers with common desperation.”
Assertion Supported
Maples: Zapier built a giant company raising only $1.5 million
“Wade was the founder of Zapier, and they went from Missouri to California and have built this giant company raising only 1.5 million.”
Assertion Supported
Maples: Chegg verified textbook rental demand using a fake website
“In the early days of Chegg, we put up this fake site called textbook flicks. We didn't have any textbooks to rent. We didn't have enough money to buy textbooks, but we had a fake site and people would try to rent them and they'd get a four or four error. But w…”