Human Judgment
topic on 6 shows · 8 statements across 8 episodes
We Live to Build 
American Optimist 
BigDeal 
Lenny's Podcast 
Invest Like the Best 
Capital Allocators
8 statements about Human Judgment, every show
Altman: AI will continue struggling to model human judgment and taste
“The number of things that it can't do, I expect to keep receding, but in an evolving world, I think human judgment and taste will continue to be hard for AIs to model like where that's going to go.”
Sanchez: As AI Cheapens Intelligence, Human Judgment and Authenticity Gain Value
“If intelligence is cheap, then judgment probably matters more. If content is infinite, then what type of content means more? If perfection is standard, Then authenticity is probably what we're chasing.”
Howard: Replacing Human Judgment with Rulebooks Paralyzed Government
“There was a kind of a fatal theoretical flaw that they, ah, that they committed, ah, which was to try to create a government that was better than people. They wanted to create governing as a kind of a software program where, If you had a thousand-page rule boo…”
Windley: Judgment-based processes will be the last AI agents automate
“Those processes where you still need human judgment will be the last ones that the AI agents will take over.”
Janakiraman: AI judgment will surpass human strategic judgment by processing multiple signals simultaneously
“I think there is a crossover point where the sort of the human judgment will be inferior to sort of something that's able to process, you know, multiple signals simultaneously.”
Verboven: Shift to AI Once It Beats Average Human Judgment
“Well, once AI is better than an average human judgment, we should stop using the humans and use AI systems.”
Massey: The primary benefit of predictive models is consistency over human noise
“The main benefit of models is that they're more consistent than humans are. There's just so much noise in human judgment that it degrades the whole process and models ringing out that noise.”
Karp: Discoverable market anomalies get arbitraged away, but disciplined human judgment does not
“And I had a mentor a long time ago who told me that he believed that almost everything that was discoverable in finance would be arbitraged away, but human judgment would not, and that human judgment, good judgment, was rare, and that balancing it with emotion…”