Deterrence
topic on 8 shows · 11 statements across 11 episodes · said 24 times in 12 episodes since 2024
TBPN 24 
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11 statements about Deterrence, every show
Mead argues automating foreign policy with AI increases deterrence by eliminating hesitation
“Automating your foreign policy decision-making process increases deterrence, and so we've turned that over to the AI, and if the AI thinks you're doing this, wham, right? And anything less than that is, no, I'm leaving a human decision point because I might de…”
Reil: Peace requires making aggression too expensive through deterrence
“In order for that not to dominate everything else, you need to make sure that the rest of the population is, is sufficiently protected so that it's too expensive to try And, you know, use force to take what you want. That's basically what it boils down to. And…”
Neuberger: Military deterrence relies on software innovation speed over military size
“Deterrence is no longer just the size of a military. I think as we see in the Strait of Hormuz, or we saw in the Red Sea, it's the pace of innovation in reacting to cheap software-built tech that adversaries may be using, whether they're a country, criminal, o…”
Sankar: Deterrence comes from the ability to generate stockpiles, not static inventory
“What we got wrong to summarize it would be we thought the stockpile was the deterrent. It's not the stockpile. It's the ability to generate the stockpile.”
Sankar: The United States has lost its global military deterrence
“We have frog boiled our way to a place where we've lost deterrence.”
Sankar: The US is in an undeclared emergency having lost deterrence
“I can't look my kids in the eye and not say that I'm ringing the bell that we're in an undeclared state of emergency. That really the first major public thing I put out there was the 18 theses, which is to say, like, we're an emergency. We've lost deterrence.”
Apologizing when blameless incentivizes attacks, whereas holding firm builds strategic deterrence
“If your apology and your subsequent contrition and attempt to make amends is not correlated with whether you did anything wrong, then of course everybody should come after you all the time because it's a lottery ticket, right? Just come after you and then mayb…”
Sankar: The United States empirically lost deterrence a decade ago
“I think empirically, we lost deterrence, and we lost deterrence about a decade ago.”
Hendrycks: Geopolitical deterrence will delay superintelligence development
“This is why I think it might take a while for superintelligence to be developed, because there'll be deterrence around it later on.”
Hendrycks: Deterrence can restrict superpower intent, but not AI capabilities
“So you can restrict their intent, which is what deterrence does, but I don't think you can reliably or robustly restrict their capabilities.”
Hays: Defense tech ignores high-volume munitions manufacturing
“A lot of the high profile defense tech companies like Andrew roll have been going after these sort of very sexy programs like drones and autonomous submarines. And there hasn't been a player yet that's come out and made a made an effort to rebuild the sort of …”