Bond Market
topic on 5 shows · 15 statements across 14 episodes
Founder's Journal
American Optimist
WTF is with Nikhil Kamath
Capital Allocators
All-In
15 statements about Bond Market, every show
Banga: World Bank bond financing is 60% private money, 40% central banks
“The rest is it goes into capital and retained earnings with us, which we leverage up through the bond market, which is mostly, I would say about 60%, Private money, as in insurance companies and pension funds and asset managers. But 40% could be central bank's…”
Friedberg: Dropping short-term rates will spike 30-year bond yields via inflation
“The problem is, as a lot of economists have talked about, and as we've seen in the bond market, is that that could Really push up the long end of the curve, because if you suddenly start to flood the market with capital in the short term by dropping rates toda…”
Sacks: Bond market pressure is the only thing that will force austerity on Washington
“Probably the bond market forces it on the politicians, forces it on Washington.”
Palihapitiya: Bond market will re-underwrite federal budget at 5% to 5.5%
“I think what's going to happen is the bond market will sensitize this budget at real rates. They're not going to use the 3.6 that Freebrook pointed to. They're just going to re underwrite this at five, five and a quarter, five and a half.”
Joe Lonsdale: Bond markets hate war because it is inflationary
“Bond markets hate war. War is expensive or is inflationary.”
Sacks: Debt monetization will drive interest rates up and clobber equities and real estate
“If you're going to allow higher inflation, basically monetizing the debt, the bond markets are going to make the government pay higher interest rates on its debt, right? So we're going to be in a world of higher interest rates, which means that equities get cl…”
Leveraged loan defaults may soon exceed bond defaults, reversing historical norms
“So we think there's a probability that the default rate in the loan market might exceed that in the bond market. And the recovery rate in the loan market might be lower than that of the bond market, which is different than what it was in the past.”
Penner: Bond Market Had No Access Points Into Real Estate Before CMBS
“Up until that moment, the bond market had no active or access points, active participation or access points into real estate. And I kind of opened that door or built that bridge for that wealth of money to kind of come in and express itself into real estate.”
Gagliardi: The Bond Market Has Nine Million CUSIPs Versus 10,000 Stock Issues
“So the stock market has like 10,000 issues. The bond market has nine million individual CUSIPs.”
Blitz: Market liquidity risks are underrated due to superficial intraday churn
“I think liquidity risks right now are underrated and underappreciated. There's a lot of optics of good liquidity in markets. But a lot of that liquidity, especially in equity markets, is just day trading back and forth, and if you need to get out of a fairly s…”
Friedberg warns of a 2008-style global capital flow freeze
“I think I mentioned a while ago that dollars were kind of locked up in March and then I went to this conference and people were like, yeah, we're loosening up and making a plan again in July because the market was kind of turning back up and now equity markets…”
Jensen: Bond sell-off and rate rise will exceed market expectations
“I believe that's setting up a much bigger bond sell-off and interest rate rise than the markets are expecting.”
Mauboussin: Bond markets faced widespread bid-ask freezes in Q4 2018
“I think that came to the forefront in the fourth quarter of 2018.
I think there were people that wanted to trade bonds that simply there weren't bids and offers out there for the most part.”
When a stock rallies but bonds fall, the bond market is right
“Let's look at trailing price momentum for the bonds and the stocks, and let's look at things where the stock went way up and the bonds went down. Who's right? Turns out, in those cases, that the bond market's right. The stock should come down.”
PE Sponsors Will Not Subordinate Equity to Save Distressed Bondholders
“So they will be economic animals. They will look for the best return for the reward of what, for the risk they're taking, and there is no reason why they come in and just subordinate themselves to bonds and save the bond market.”