bond market

also referred to as: bond markets

6 statements across 6 episodes · 0 bullish · 3 bearish · 6 people on the record · first statement Jul 2, 2018 by Peter Troob · across every show →

Everything said about bond market, oldest first

Jul 2, 2018 neutral
Insight
PE Sponsors Will Not Subordinate Equity to Save Distressed Bondholders
“So they will be economic animals. They will look for the best return for the reward of what, for the risk they're taking, and there is no reason why they come in and just subordinate themselves to bonds and save the bond market.”
Peter Troob Jul 2, 2018 ▶ 22:06 Peter Troob – Monkey Business in High Yield (Capital Allocators, EP.59)
Feb 17, 2020 neutral
Insight
When a stock rallies but bonds fall, the bond market is right
“Let's look at trailing price momentum for the bonds and the stocks, and let's look at things where the stock went way up and the bonds went down. Who's right? Turns out, in those cases, that the bond market's right. The stock should come down.”
Dan Rasmussen Feb 17, 2020 ▶ 45:48 Dan Rasmussen – Private Equity Risk and Public Equity Opportunity at Verdad Advisers (First Meeting, EP.15)
Mar 23, 2020
Assertion Supported
Mauboussin: Bond markets faced widespread bid-ask freezes in Q4 2018
“I think that came to the forefront in the fourth quarter of 2018. I think there were people that wanted to trade bonds that simply there weren't bids and offers out there for the most part.”
Michael Mauboussin Mar 23, 2020 ▶ 18:14 Michael Mauboussin – Consilient Observations in a Crisis (Capital Allocators, EP.127)
Aug 12, 2021 bearish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Jensen: Bond sell-off and rate rise will exceed market expectations
“I believe that's setting up a much bigger bond sell-off and interest rate rise than the markets are expecting.”
Greg Jensen Aug 12, 2021 ▶ 29:21 Greg Jensen – Bridgewater Associates (Manager Meetings, EP.06)
May 29, 2023 bearish
Opinion
Blitz: Market liquidity risks are underrated due to superficial intraday churn
“I think liquidity risks right now are underrated and underappreciated. There's a lot of optics of good liquidity in markets. But a lot of that liquidity, especially in equity markets, is just day trading back and forth, and if you need to get out of a fairly s…”
Adam Blitz May 29, 2023 ▶ 20:24 Hedge Fund Master Class – Craig Bergstrom, Adam Blitz, and Dan Fagan (Capital Allocators, EP.318)
Sep 12, 2024 bearish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Leveraged loan defaults may soon exceed bond defaults, reversing historical norms
“So we think there's a probability that the default rate in the loan market might exceed that in the bond market. And the recovery rate in the loan market might be lower than that of the bond market, which is different than what it was in the past.”
Dave Brizano Sep 12, 2024 ▶ 33:12 David Breazzano - High Yields and Low Risk at Polen Capital (EP.405)
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