Microsoft

includes Microsoft Windows, Microsoft Excel, Microsoft Office, Microsoft PowerPoint, Microsoft Word, Microsoft Azure, Microsoft Surface, Microsoft Outlook, Microsoft Bing, Microsoft 365, Microsoft Bob, Microsoft HoloLens and 26 more

116 statements across 87 episodes · 34 bullish · 35 bearish · 55 people on the record · first statement Jul 15, 2017 by Benedict Evans · said 1,583 times in 332 episodes since 2017 · across every show →

Mentions by year, the whole family

brought up most by Steven Sinofsky (305), Benedict Evans (279), Marc Andreessen (73), Chris Dixon (67), Alex Rampell (60), Michael Copeland (42), Ben Horowitz (36), Martin Casado (35)

tap a year for its mentions
005001001,0002002017201820192020202120222023202420252026episodesmentions
01002002017201820192020202120222023202420252026episodes it came up in
00310062002017201820192020202120222023202420252026episodesmentions per episode
2026 142 mentions in 31 episodes 5 per episode
2025 340 mentions in 58 episodes 6 per episode
2024 72 mentions in 23 episodes 3 per episode
2023 55 mentions in 17 episodes 3 per episode
2022 8 mentions in 5 episodes 2 per episode
2021 2 mentions in 1 episode
2020 17 mentions in 3 episodes 6 per episode
2019 859 mentions in 168 episodes 5 per episode
2018 38 mentions in 9 episodes 4 per episode
2017 50 mentions in 17 episodes 3 per episode

every mention, scene by scene, with the transcript →

Everything said about Microsoft, oldest first

Jul 15, 2017 bearish
Assertion Supported
Evans: Microsoft's share of connected computing devices fell below 25%
“The other company that's been affected here, of course, is Microsoft, which has gone from selling the vast majority of connected computing devices to under a quarter, simply because there are so many more phones out there than there are PCs.”
Benedict Evans Jul 15, 2017 ▶ 5:56 Mobile Is Eating the World, 2014
Jul 15, 2017 bearish
Assertion Supported
Evans: Microsoft's share of connected device sales plummeted from 90% to 20%
“Microsoft's share of connected devices has gone down from 80 or 90% to perhaps 50 to 20% of the devices being sold.”
Benedict Evans Jul 15, 2017 ▶ 6:09 Mobile Is Eating the World, 2015
Jul 15, 2017 positive
Assertion Supported
Microsoft adopted Chris Ré's Hogwild algorithm for its Project Atom
“A while ago, last year, Microsoft released their Project Atom, and they had a great demo where they were showing they were releasing, you know, recognizing Shih Tzus with Windows phones. Using deep learning. And the reason I will love Microsoft forever is the …”
Chris Ré Jul 15, 2017 ▶ 19:39 Chris Re
Jul 15, 2017 positive
Assertion Supported
Evans: Tech giants occupy the top five spots by market valuation
“Today, Google, Apple, Facebook, Amazon, and yes, Microsoft are all the five, are the five biggest companies on the stock exchange.”
Benedict Evans Jul 15, 2017 ▶ 3:26 Mobile Is Eating the World, 2016
Jul 16, 2017 negative
Assertion Supported
Horowitz: Microsoft beat Google in cloud productivity due to enterprise culture
“Google, like had, they built Google Apps, like what, like five years before Microsoft really got going with Office three 65, and Microsoft ran right by them. Why? Because there was no enterprise culture in Google, none.”
Ben Horowitz Jul 16, 2017 ▶ 25:50 Culture and Revolution
Jul 16, 2017 positive
Assertion Partly supported
Chen: Microsoft DeepCoder builds software by remixing code samples
“Microsoft has a system called deep coder that creates software in much the same way that human developers do, which is they go find some sample code and they sort of remix it for their purposes.”
Frank Chen Jul 16, 2017 ▶ 24:08 The Promise of AI
Jul 28, 2017 negative
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Mars: AI assistant infrastructures are monopolized by major tech companies
“These kinds of infrastructures are monopolized essentially by companies like Apple, Google, Microsoft, and so forth.”
Jason Mars Jul 28, 2017 ▶ 3:14 Jason Mars
Dec 5, 2017 neutral
Insight
Evans: Dominant Tech Giants Always Look Invulnerable Right Before They Fall
“The winners always look invulnerable until they don't. So, IBM looked invulnerable, then Microsoft, Intel, Nokia did, then the internet giants of the last bubble, now Google, Apple, Facebook, Amazon look invulnerable, but all the previous ones fell, and it was…”
Benedict Evans Dec 5, 2017 ▶ 4:57 10 Year Futures (vs. What's Happening Now)
Jul 15, 2018 negative
Opinion
Dixon: Tech power concentration is at its highest since peak Microsoft
“We live in a time where I think we have probably the greatest concentration of power in, on the internet that, that I mean, you know, or in the technology world since probably Microsoft at its peak in the nineties.”
Chris Dixon Jul 15, 2018 ▶ 6:10 An Intro to Crypto: Decentralization, the Big Picture
Oct 26, 2018 negative
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Casado: Microsoft created multi-billion-dollar shelfware businesses through product bundling
“So Microsoft is notorious for making multiple billion-dollar businesses of basically shelfware because the consumption behavior didn't change and the consumer behavior didn't change.”
Martin Casado Oct 26, 2018 ▶ 11:06 Going to Market When No Market Exists
Jan 2, 2019 positive
Insight
Levie: Building custom data centers loses value versus buying cloud compute
“You're probably better off letting Amazon, Microsoft, Google all compete for your dollars than you going and building them out yourself, and then by the time you deploy them, Moore's Law cycle, another Moore's Law cycle has already occurred, and you've lost, y…”
Aaron Levie Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 6:24 a16z Podcast | Mapping the Information Economy -- Where’s the Cloud Going Next?
Jan 2, 2019 negative
Insight
Sinofsky: Non-tech firms cannot compete with tech giants on security
“It also allows IT to focus much less on the deployment and management and scale and reliability and security, which of course, the idea of competing with, you know, the Googles and the Amazons and the Microsofts on security, if you're, you know, an appliance m…”
Steven Sinofsky Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 7:38 a16z Podcast | Mapping the Information Economy -- Where’s the Cloud Going Next?
Jan 2, 2019 positive
Opinion
Evans: Google is the new Microsoft in its universal computing platform ambition
“I think there's a macro point here that Google is the new Microsoft, and this is the thing that came out really strongly last year, and indeed this year, is the sort of self-confidence and the ambition to do absolutely everything to become the global computing…”
Benedict Evans Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 10:12 a16z Podcast | Google I/O -- A Three-Hour Tour (in 30 minutes)
Jan 2, 2019
Insight
Reichert: Governments Cannot Abandon Tech Laggards Like Private Corporations Do
“And unlike a corporation, you can't fire those as customers, right? You know, the people are still on Windows XP. You know, they want to upgrade, and Microsoft eventually says, you know what? You can't upgrade anymore. You got to move on. You can't do that if …”
Tom Reichert Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 12:08 a16z Podcast | Government Transparency Powered by Software
Jan 2, 2019
Insight
Thiel: Easy success or early failure teaches founders the wrong lessons
“Most of the time people are either in companies that fail, and then the lesson you learn is that it's impossible to build a great company, and so the next time around you try for something that's less ambitious, and so And then you certainly will not build a g…”
Peter Thiel Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 22:50 a16z Podcast | The (Definite) Optimism of Peter Thiel
Jan 2, 2019 bearish
Opinion
Thiel: Legacy tech giants like Microsoft and Oracle bet against innovation
“There's a whole set of companies in the Nasdaq 100 that are actually bets against technological innovation. So Microsoft is a bet that there will never be anything like Linux. It's a bet that there will be that the operating system won't shift to mobile platfo…”
Peter Thiel Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 38:03 a16z Podcast | The (Definite) Optimism of Peter Thiel
Jan 2, 2019 bearish
Opinion
Stamos: Backward compatibility neutralized Microsoft's $1 billion security investment
“It's the reason why Microsoft has spent probably a billion dollars on security in the last decade, and they still haven't gone anywhere. It's because they're not willing to do a tax service minimization due to the way they do backwards compatibility.”
Alex Stamos Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 7:20 a16z Podcast | Security’s Wakeup Call
Jan 2, 2019 negative
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Evans: Android destroyed vast wealth for mobile hardware manufacturers
“Google were actually afraid of Microsoft rather than afraid of Apple, and so they created this mobile phone platform that's been Enormously successful for Google, vast destroyer of wealth for the entire manufacturing industry”
Benedict Evans Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 9:27 a16z Podcast | Enough with the Old Stuff -- Time for New Questions in Mobile
Jan 2, 2019 positive
Disclosure
Dixon: A16z viewed Microsoft as Oculus's top competitor during investment diligence
“Cause when we invested in Oculus, whatever it was a year and a half ago, we did, you know, we were sort of analyzing the competitors and had heard a bunch of rumors about that, but had heard it was a gaming and heard it was very good by the way. Like the best …”
Chris Dixon Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 7:58 a16z Podcast | Virtual Reality v Augmented Reality, and What's Next
Jan 2, 2019 bullish
Assertion Supported
Evans: Apple outsold Microsoft-Nokia's total handset volume in Q4 2014
“Apple sold more phones than Nokia. I mean, the Nokia, you know, this is still Microsoft, because Nokia did, Nokia Microsoft did ten million numis and forty million feature phones. Right. Apple did seventy-five million smartphones.”
Benedict Evans Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 6:35 a16z Podcast | Mobile is Eating the World (and Apple is Gobbling Fastest)
Jan 2, 2019
Assertion Supported
Zetter: Microsoft uses civil lawsuits to dismantle botnets and malicious IP infrastructure
“We've seen this a couple of times with Microsoft, where they've gone to, ah, they filed a civil action court in order to get certain IP addresses or hosting companies taken down in order to control botnets and other malicious activities that's sort of, ah, con…”
Kim Zetter Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 22:59 a16z Podcast | How Hacks Happen (Let’s Just Say Mistakes Have Been Made)
Jan 2, 2019
Insight
Chris Dixon: Tech strategy shifted from Microsoft's horizontal model to Apple's vertical
“I think there used to be the more, I think in the business theory world, A stronger belief in kind of core competency. And that people, you know, it was sort of the, it was the Microsoft model as opposed to the Apple model, right? It was like, let me do one th…”
Chris Dixon Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 8:40 a16z Podcast | Verizon Plus AOL -- Why? -- The Short Answer is Mobile
Jan 2, 2019 bearish
Opinion
Evans: Microsoft and Intel No Longer Set Tech Industry Agenda
“And again, that doesn't mean that Microsoft or Intel have gone away, it just means that they're not setting the agenda anymore at all.”
Benedict Evans Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 5:56 a16z Podcast | A Copernican Update ... In Tech, the Smartphone is the Center
Jan 2, 2019
Assertion Not checkable as stated
IBM killed a 1982 OS deal to protect its Microsoft relationship
“They killed the deal because of IBM didn't want to mess up the relationship with this new guy, Bill Gates or his company, Microsoft.”
Jim Gilliam Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 4:14 a16z Podcast | The Internet is His Religion
Jan 2, 2019 positive
Assertion Supported
Markoff: Microsoft's Chinese AI chatbot Xiaoice reached 10 million intense daily users
“They've gotten twenty million users. Ten million of them are intense users who have multiple conversations within a day”
John Markoff Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 25:21 a16z Podcast | Talking Humans and Machines with NYT’s John Markoff
Jan 2, 2019
Assertion Supported
Markoff: 25% of Microsoft's Xiaoice chatbot users told it "I love you"
“25% of the Zhao Ice users have said, I love you, to the program.”
John Markoff Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 25:41 a16z Podcast | Talking Humans and Machines with NYT’s John Markoff
Jan 2, 2019
Assertion Supported
Boneh: Big tech security teams possess the authority to delay product launches
“In big companies like Microsoft, Apple, Google security teams in fact are involved in the process from the design phase, which is really important. And then if a product is about to ship out and a security, the security team discovers a big vulnerability, they…”
Dan Boneh Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 37:23 a16z Podcast | Crypto, Security, CS, Quantum Computing, and More with Our New Professor-in-Residence
Jan 2, 2019 neutral
Assertion Partly supported
Microsoft hires Fields Medalists over traditional coders for topological quantum computing
“So if you look at Microsoft, this topological Cubit, you know, the program that they're doing, they've got Fields Medal winners taken away from the blackboards. Not people who code.”
Ilyas Khan Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 35:54 a16z Podcast | Quantum Leap
Jan 2, 2019 negative
Opinion
Davies: DOJ antitrust prosecution derailed Microsoft for years
“Arguably, I think it derailed them for years, possibly derailed them until now, to some extent.”
Russell Davies Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 7:05 a16z Podcast | London Calling for Tech Done in a Different Way
Jan 2, 2019 bearish
Prediction Didn’t hold up
Evans: There are even odds Windows Phone disappears within a year
“It's, that, that, I would be, I think there's even odds that that product won't exist in a year.”
Benedict Evans Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 15:11 a16z Podcast | The Year Mobile Began to Truly Dominate Tech
Jan 2, 2019 positive
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Evans: Microsoft Azure will be a good number two in cloud
“Azure will be like a good number two.”
Benedict Evans Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 15:51 a16z Podcast | The Year Mobile Began to Truly Dominate Tech
Jan 2, 2019 bullish
Assertion Supported
Hobson: Microsoft's valuation multiple once dropped to 10x earnings
“Microsoft was in that from an earnings, from a P ratio, absolutely, I think got down to 10 times.”
Mellody Hobson Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 13:54 a16z Podcast | Mellody Hobson and Ben Horowitz Talk Investing, Career, and Star Wars!
Jan 2, 2019 negative
Opinion
Butterfield: Microsoft is the only competitor Slack really worries about
“To be totally frank, it's the one company that I really worry about from a competitive angle.”
Stuart Butterfield Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 28:00 a16z Podcast | Nobody Discusses Work Software Outside of Work -- and Then There’s Slack
Jan 2, 2019 positive
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Tanium uncovered hundreds of unused SQL Server licenses during a pilot
“We could also show them that they had hundreds of copies of SQL Server that were installed that they weren't using, that they were paying for. Hundreds of copies of SQL Server is hundreds of thousands of dollars a year of spend. And they started really delving…”
Orion Hindawi Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 18:57 a16z Podcast | The Fundamentals of Security and the Story of Tanium’s Growth
Jan 2, 2019 negative
Opinion
The Mobile Device Management market is broken due to OS vendors
“The answer for you is that MDM, at least in my estimation, is a pretty broken market today, and the reason it's broken is the vendors of the platforms that provide, you know, Google, Microsoft, Apple, really Apple is kind of the real, real offender here. They …”
Orion Hindawi Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 34:36 a16z Podcast | The Fundamentals of Security and the Story of Tanium’s Growth
Jan 2, 2019 negative
Opinion
Horowitz: Apple undershot its enterprise market potential by 100x
“If you look at Apple's products and their product position, and you look at their success in the enterprise versus say Microsoft which is selling competing products, you would, I would argue Apple's undershot their potential with the products they have by prob…”
Ben Horowitz Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 7:03 a16z Podcast | The Why, How, and When of Sales
Jan 2, 2019
Disclosure
Sinofsky: Microsoft used 'stupid computer trick' bug tags for AI glitches
“We had a kind of bug that you could open up with the descriptor stupid computer trick, which was like, the algorithm went nuts.”
Steven Sinofsky Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 7:03 a16z Podcast | Innovation vs. Invention at Google I/O
Jan 2, 2019
Assertion Supported
Alex Rampell: Microsoft never restricted Windows software like Apple restricts iOS
“Microsoft, in my opinion, never really They never did the same amount of control. Like, they never said, hey, this software product cannot be downloaded onto your Windows PC.”
Alex Rampell Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 23:26 a16z Podcast | Fintech Revolution or Evolution?
Jan 2, 2019
Assertion Partly supported
Unicode Voting Power Concentrated Among US Tech Giants, SAP, and Oman
“No, so of those 12, so of those 12, nine are U.S. Multinational tech companies. Oracle, IBM, Google, Yahoo, Adobe, Facebook, Microsoft, and Symantec. Then of the other three full voting members, one is the German software company SAP, another is the Chinese te…”
Jenny Lee Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 25:13 a16z Podcast | Not all Network Effects Are Created Equal
Jan 2, 2019 negative
Opinion
Rampell: EU regulatory hostility toward US tech giants is driven by jealousy
“I think the EU is very jealous that Google's not a European company. I think they're jealous that Apple's not a European, like, Google is bad in Europe. In my personal opinion, I don't think they're nearly the monopolist that Microsoft was like in the late nin…”
Alex Rampell Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 16:20 a16z Podcast | The Movement of Money
Jan 2, 2019 negative
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Schuler: Aside from tech giants, major corporations lack an AI strategy
“Pretty much everyone has missed the boat on an AI strat, like everybody. There's a handful of companies, Google, Microsoft, Facebook that are doing it, but Everybody, I mean, I talk to companies with 15, twenty billion in revenue, they go, we don't have an AI …”
Cameron Schuler Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 20:38 a16z Podcast | Machine Intelligence, from University to Industry
Jan 2, 2019
Assertion Supported
Microsoft search logs revealed unreported side effects of combining common drugs
“In a collaboration with Microsoft, we looked at what people who were on, well, we don't know if they were on these drugs. We just looked at search logs and said, how often do people type in these two drugs and words that might be associated with the symptoms o…”
Russ Altman Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 10:47 a16z Podcast | The Genetics Of Drug Delivery
Jan 2, 2019 positive
Insight
Jensen Harris: Startups beat Google and Microsoft on tailored security policies
“A huge advantage that a startup has that some big company trying to do the same thing doesn't have, which is we can tailor our security policies, tailor the way that we handle the data, the way that we sanitize the data, and the way that we use the data in a v…”
Jensen Harris Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 9:14 a16z Podcast | The Product Edge in Machine Learning Startups
Jan 2, 2019 neutral
Assertion Partly supported
Primack: Top five companies by market cap are all tech companies
“If you look at the top five Stocks, I think, or top five companies in terms of market cap now are tech companies, whereas just five years ago, I think only Microsoft was in that group.”
Dan Primack Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 2:45 a16z Podcast | From Jobs to Flying Cars
Jan 2, 2019 positive
Assertion Supported
Harris: Negotiating mobile privacy standards with tech platforms avoided regulation
“Over the course of six months, we worked out, I think, an all too rare example of government and industry coming together to solve a problem. Short of regulation or litigation or legislation. And what we did is we came up with an understanding that would, that…”
Kamala Harris Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 8:02 a16z Podcast | Taking the Measure of Tech in Policy -- with Kamala Harris
Jan 2, 2019
Assertion Partly supported
Ehrsam: Only two top 50 websites were created by pre-internet companies
“One thing I think is really interesting to look at is the top 50 sites on the internet today. Guess how many of them were made by companies that existed before the internet was popularized? It's two. MSN.com and Microsoft.com, both by Microsoft. Every other si…”
Fred Ehrsam Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 27:27 a16z Podcast | Why Crypto Tokens Matter
Jan 2, 2019 positive
Assertion Supported
Chokshi: Microsoft has more GitHub commits than any other company
“The most interesting thing I saw this past week is this stat that Microsoft now has more commits to GitHub than any other company. And can you just think about that for a moment? Like Microsoft on GitHub.”
Sonal Chokshi Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 10:37 a16z Podcast | A New Lab Rises
Jan 2, 2019
Disclosure
Sinofsky: Microsoft could not formally prove to Boeing that Excel actually worked
“I couldn't go to people at Boeing or people at the Navy or wherever in Wall Street and prove that Excel worked.”
Steven Sinofsky Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 29:13 a16z Podcast | Revenge of the Algorithms (Over Data)... Go! No?
Jan 2, 2019
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Sinofsky: Bing's biggest barrier to fighting Google was crawling the internet fast
“It turns out that was what the barrier to entering the search market, even for Microsoft and Bing, Was like, sucking in the entire internet fast enough.”
Steven Sinofsky Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 22:58 a16z Podcast | Revenge of the Algorithms (Over Data)... Go! No?
Jan 2, 2019 neutral
Assertion Supported
Spisak: Microsoft has shifted its strategy from mobile-first to AI-first
“And Microsoft has switched from a mobile first over to an AI first now as well.”
Joe Spisak Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 2:09 a16z Podcast | AI, from 'Toy' Problems to Practical Application
Jan 2, 2019
Assertion Supported
Forsgren: Only one-third of well-designed Microsoft features deliver customer value
“Even companies like Microsoft, where they are very good at understanding what their customer base looks like. They have a very mature product line. Ronnie Kahavi has done studies there, and only about one third of the well-designed features deliver value.”
Dr. Nicole Forsgren Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 7:25 a16z Podcast | Feedback Loops -- Company Culture, Change, and DevOps
Jan 2, 2019
Assertion Supported
Arthur: Early Contracts Allowed Microsoft to Lock In 1980s PC Software
“Microsoft got ahead with certain contracts very early in the game. They locked in a lot of the personal software in the 19 eighties.”
W. Brian Arthur Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 6:24 a16z Podcast | Network Effects, Origin Stories, and the Evolution of Tech
Jan 2, 2019 positive
Assertion Supported
Ehrensvärd: Mozilla and Microsoft are adding native hardware security key support
“Google was the first. Mozilla is coming on board. Microsoft is coming on board.”
Stina Ehrensvärd Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 16:15 a16z Podcast | The Hard Things about Security
Jan 2, 2019 negative
Opinion
Horowitz: 1990s Microsoft suppressed tech innovation far more than modern Big Tech
“If you compare it to the early nineties, when Microsoft was super strong, that was really actually a far bigger suppression of innovation.”
Ben Horowitz Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 33:54 a16z Podcast | Beyond Zero-Sum Thinking in the Game of Tech... and Life
Jan 2, 2019 neutral
Insight
Evans: PC makers commoditized while Microsoft and Intel captured industry profits
“Apple did not win PCs. So you can all talk about whether Apple disrupted IBM, but Apple didn't actually get the benefit from that. Not in, and in fact, PC companies didn't really get the benefit from that. PC companies became low margin commodity companies, an…”
Benedict Evans Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 2:45 a16z Podcast | Tesla and the Nature of Disruption
Jan 2, 2019 neutral
Prediction Held up
Wilson: Cloud market will split to Amazon 60%, Google 30%, Microsoft 10%
“But I think it could be like Amazon has 60% of the market, Google has 30% of the market, and Microsoft has 10% of the market. I think it's gonna be a three player game in that business, and that's good.”
Fred Wilson Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 19:34 a16z Podcast | Technological Trends, Capital, and Internet 'Disruption'
Apr 27, 2019
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Sinofsky: Early 1990s Microsoft assumed home and work software were distinct markets
“And it was in that era when we thought what you used at home would just be so dramatically different than what you used at work.”
Steven Sinofsky Apr 27, 2019 ▶ 10:12 Clippy: The Unauthorized Biography
Apr 27, 2019
Disclosure
Sinofsky: Microsoft demoted Clippy's interactivity in Office 2000
“So what we ended up doing was, the next release of Office, which became Office 2000, we sort of demoted Clippy, and reduced his interactions, or its interactions, or her interactions some”
Steven Sinofsky Apr 27, 2019 ▶ 55:26 Clippy: The Unauthorized Biography
Apr 27, 2019
Assertion Partly supported
Sinofsky: Office 95's Answer Wizard was Microsoft's first shipped AI feature
“And so Answer Wizard was this breakthrough AI. It was the first time we shipped any kind of AI thing.”
Steven Sinofsky Apr 27, 2019 ▶ 15:02 Clippy: The Unauthorized Biography
Apr 27, 2019 positive
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Sinofsky: Early usability tests for Microsoft's Office Assistant prototype were overwhelmingly positive
“So we actually had like many people go and use Pogo to try to figure out if it worked, and like the response was crazy positive.”
Steven Sinofsky Apr 27, 2019 ▶ 29:47 Clippy: The Unauthorized Biography
Apr 27, 2019 neutral
Assertion Supported
Microsoft used costume actors and Flash animations to publicly retire Clippy
“Lisa Gurry on the office marketing team, like, had this, like, let's really go crazy. Yeah. And, like, actually, Like, have a retirement party, and so we went, we flew down to San Francisco, we met with the press to tell them this, and then at one point we jus…”
Steven Sinofsky Apr 27, 2019 ▶ 57:13 Clippy: The Unauthorized Biography
Apr 27, 2019 neutral
Assertion Supported
Sinofsky: Clippy had only ~30 animations due to floppy disk space constraints
“Plus we could only have like, you know, 30 different little animations, like types of things like here's waving or smiling or looking, thinking or whatever. And each one can only have a few frames. Right. Because we had to fit on the floppies.”
Steven Sinofsky Apr 27, 2019 ▶ 33:09 Clippy: The Unauthorized Biography
Apr 27, 2019
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Sinofsky: About a dozen people worked on Microsoft Clippy
“There were a good dozen people working on this, and I was just one.”
Steven Sinofsky Apr 27, 2019 ▶ 1:40 Clippy: The Unauthorized Biography
Apr 27, 2019
Assertion Open · timeframe Apr 2019
Sinofsky: Comedian Gilbert Gottfried voiced Clippy in Microsoft promotional blues song
“Gilbert Gottfried, the comedian, was the voice.”
Steven Sinofsky Apr 27, 2019 ▶ 1:01:31 Clippy: The Unauthorized Biography
Jan 16, 2020 positive
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Shum: Longest XiaoIce conversation lasted over 29 hours and 7,000 turns
“Incredibly, the longest conversation any human user ever talked to XiaoAis is actually over 29 hours of 7000 turns.”
Harry Shum Jan 16, 2020 ▶ 4:32 Explaining AI
Jan 16, 2020 positive
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Shum: Microsoft's XiaoIce social chatbot has 120 million monthly active users
“Ah, XiaoEyes now is very popular, ah, with a hundred twenty million, ah, monthly active users.”
Harry Shum Jan 16, 2020 ▶ 2:47 Explaining AI
Jan 16, 2020 positive
Assertion Partly supported
Shum: Microsoft AI surpassed human transcribers with 5.1% error rate
“In speech, ah, there's this very standard dataset called the switchboard dataset that is really recording of two, ah, from two sides and, ah, phone conversations. Ah, two years ago, we accomplished the 5.1% of the error rate. Ah, that is really, really, ah, am…”
Harry Shum Jan 16, 2020 ▶ 1:21 Explaining AI
Feb 20, 2020
Assertion Supported
Casado: JPMorgan spends $600M and Microsoft spends over $1B on cybersecurity
“So for example, JPMorgan Chase alone will estimate about six hundred million dollars in cybersecurity. And Microsoft will spend over a billion dollars in security.”
Martin Casado Feb 20, 2020 ▶ 2:04 The Latest in Cyber Attacks
Jul 27, 2023 positive
Assertion Partly supported
Matthews: Minecraft Education reaches millions of monthly players across 119 countries
“Minecraft education is now in a 119 countries, and we've got Millions of players every month”
Allison Matthews Jul 27, 2023 ▶ 20:19 Classroom 2050: Unleashing AI, XR, Gaming
Sep 25, 2023 positive
Opinion
Scott: OpenAI is by far Microsoft's most important AI partner
“I think if you think about AI, like, by far, in a way, the most important partner we have is is OpenAI.”
Kevin Scott Sep 25, 2023 ▶ 3:28 AI Copilots and the Future of Knowledge Work with Microsoft's Kevin Scott
Sep 25, 2023 bullish
Assertion Not checkable as stated
GitHub Copilot's primary benefit is keeping developers in a flow state
“The thing that it really does in our observation with developers more than anything else is it helps keep them in flow state. Longer than they otherwise would.”
Kevin Scott Sep 25, 2023 ▶ 12:44 AI Copilots and the Future of Knowledge Work with Microsoft's Kevin Scott
Sep 25, 2023
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Microsoft gets requests for GPUs almost every hour of the day
“It's you know, hours in the day that go by where someone's not asking for GPUs is almost non-existent.”
Kevin Scott Sep 25, 2023 ▶ 2:59 AI Copilots and the Future of Knowledge Work with Microsoft's Kevin Scott
Dec 16, 2023
Assertion Supported
Lai: Mobile gaming was won by new startups, not legacy publishers
“The winners in mobile games were largely new companies Supercell, King, Zynga, and not the PC console and companies, right? It wasn't Electronic Arts or Activision or Microsoft.”
Jonathan Lai Dec 16, 2023 ▶ 13:58 2024 Big Ideas: AI-First Games That Never End with Jonathan Lai
Feb 28, 2024 negative
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Horowitz: VCs refused to fund PC applications in the mid-1990s
“If you go back to like the mid nineties, you could not get an application funded on a PC by a VC because, you know, they knew that Microsoft would just put you out of business.”
Ben Horowitz Feb 28, 2024 ▶ 27:42 Future of Crypto, Blockchain & Web3 w/ Chris Dixon
Mar 5, 2024
Assertion Supported
Hicks: DoD R&D budget exceeds Alphabet, Apple, Meta, Microsoft combined
“It's more than what Alphabet, Apple, Meta, and Microsoft combined spent on R&D last year.”
Kathleen Hicks Mar 5, 2024 ▶ 4:16 Collaborative Disruption at DoD
Mar 11, 2024 negative
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Mulchandani: Universities lack compute power to compete with tech giants
“When you go talk to universities right now, one point they make is they don't have the compute power to be able to rival Microsoft and OpenAI and these companies”
Nand Mulchandani Mar 11, 2024 ▶ 33:56 Intelligence in the Age of AI with new CTO of the CIA
Mar 18, 2024 positive
Assertion Supported
Ulevitch: Microsoft formed dedicated nuclear energy procurement teams
“And then companies like Microsoft have spun up nuclear teams, nuclear energy teams to figure out how do they procure energy that comes from a nuclear power plant.”
David Ulevitch Mar 18, 2024 ▶ 21:13 A Nuclear Comeback: Are New Reactors the Answer?
Apr 2, 2024 negative
Assertion Open · timeframe Apr 2027
Horowitz: Big Tech's startup cloud deals involve illegal roundtripping accounting
“The big tech companies have done this thing which we thought was illegal because we observed it occur at AOL and people went to jail, but what they've done is they invest in startups, you know, huge amounts of money. Microsoft and Amazon and Google are all doi…”
Ben Horowitz Apr 2, 2024 ▶ 54:30 Politics & the Future of Tech
Apr 2, 2024 negative
Opinion
Horowitz: Google and Microsoft push for centralized Chinese-style AI control
“Like we go to the China model that Google and Microsoft are advocating for this Chinese model of only a few can control AI. We're going to be in big trouble.”
Ben Horowitz Apr 2, 2024 ▶ 1:24:54 Politics & the Future of Tech
Apr 30, 2024 negative
Opinion
Holding LLM creators liable is like holding Microsoft liable for Windows misuse
“Let's make the LLM creators liable for every bad thing that happens with an LLM. To me, that is the exact equivalent of saying, let's make Microsoft Liable for every bad thing that someone does on a Windows computer, right? They're fully general, and so these …”
Marty Chavez Apr 30, 2024 ▶ 30:49 Marty Chavez (Sixth Street): Finding a Single Source of AI Truth
May 9, 2024 negative
Assertion Partly supported
Horowitz: Google and Microsoft use safety rhetoric to lobby against open-source AI
“And they do it like the really kind of nasty thing is they claim, oh, it's for safety. You know, we've created an alien that we can't control, but we're not going to stop working on it. We're going to keep building it as fast as we can. And we're going to buy …”
Ben Horowitz May 9, 2024 ▶ 1:12:46 Build Your Startup With AI
May 9, 2024 positive
Assertion Supported
Andreessen: Microsoft's Phi model competes with larger LLMs using curated data
“Microsoft released their five small language model yesterday, and apparently, apparently it's like, it's competitive. It's a very small model competitive with much larger models. And the big thing they say that they did was they basically optimized the trainin…”
Marc Andreessen May 9, 2024 ▶ 19:48 Build Your Startup With AI
Jun 28, 2024
What-if
Horowitz: Delayed browser creation would have enabled proprietary network monopolies
“If you had not had the idea when you had it, The internet as we know it probably doesn't happen in that the kind of Microsoft alternative, the Oracle alternative would have had an opportunity to gain a network effect. And so the chance of all this getting buil…”
Ben Horowitz Jun 28, 2024 ▶ 34:08 Marc Andreessen on Inventing The Internet Browser (How We all Access the Internet)
Jun 28, 2024 neutral
Assertion Partly supported
Andreessen: Original Internet Explorer was relabeled Spyglass Mosaic code
“Microsoft had the press conference where they originally announced Internet Explorer, their browser, which was Spyglass Mosaic, again, our code relabeled and there's a famous, famous moment where the Microsoft guys are on stage and they're, and then they do th…”
Marc Andreessen Jun 28, 2024 ▶ 1:53:45 Marc Andreessen on Inventing The Internet Browser (How We all Access the Internet)
Jun 28, 2024 neutral
Assertion Partly supported
Andreessen: Microsoft licensed Spyglass Mosaic for a $1 million flat fee
“Spyglass gets this call from Microsoft and so the Microsoft guys call Spyglass, and they're like, yeah, we want to license Spyglass Mosaic so we can build it into Windows, and the Spyglass guys say, you know, yeah, that sounds great, you know, basically how mu…”
Marc Andreessen Jun 28, 2024 ▶ 1:52:23 Marc Andreessen on Inventing The Internet Browser (How We all Access the Internet)
Dec 9, 2024 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Immerman: Apple could gain 1 billion search users overnight
“They are not investing the capex like Meta and Google and Microsoft and Amazon, but they control a central node to the consumer, and if they wanted to build a search application, the next day they could have a billion users.”
Alex Immerman Dec 9, 2024 ▶ 11:58 The 2025 AI Search Race
Feb 6, 2025 neutral
Assertion Contradicted
Sinofsky: Microsoft spent $30B to $40B developing Bing
“People forget that Microsoft poured, I don't know, 30, forty billion dollars into Bing.”
Steven Sinofsky Feb 6, 2025 ▶ 20:57 What DeepSeek Means For The Future Of AI | Tech Veterans Weigh In
Jun 18, 2025 neutral
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Sinofsky: Surface exists because PC makers refused to build aluminum laptops
“The reason Surface exists is because the PC makers wouldn't build, like, an aluminum computer, basically, or an all-in-one, for that matter.”
Steven Sinofsky Jun 18, 2025 ▶ 31:57 Former Microsoft Executive on Apple’s Hidden China Problem
Jun 18, 2025 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Sinofsky: Microsoft will eventually develop much more first-party AI software
“I, it seems obvious that at some point, you know, Microsoft will have much more first party software.”
Steven Sinofsky Jun 18, 2025 ▶ 9:59 Former Microsoft Executive on Apple’s Hidden China Problem
Jun 18, 2025 positive
Insight
Sinofsky: Microsoft succeeds through enterprise bundling, not best-in-class products
“The strength of Microsoft is that you never have to be best. You just have to be included.”
Steven Sinofsky Jun 18, 2025 ▶ 11:59 Former Microsoft Executive on Apple’s Hidden China Problem
Jun 18, 2025 negative
Assertion Contradicted
Sinofsky: Microsoft shut down Hotmail in China over server access demands
“Like, we had to shut down Hotmail for forever because, like, we wouldn't let them see the data center servers, which weren't even in China, and all sorts of complexities.”
Steven Sinofsky Jun 18, 2025 ▶ 36:52 Former Microsoft Executive on Apple’s Hidden China Problem
Jul 16, 2025 neutral
Assertion Contradicted
Price-Wright: Microsoft contracted over a third of Georgia's electricians last year
“When Microsoft was building their new data center in Georgia last year, at one point, they had on staff at Microsoft, or on contract, more than a third of the electricians in the state of Georgia.”
Erin Price-Wright Jul 16, 2025 ▶ 46:27 America's Energy Problem: We Need A New Grid
Aug 5, 2025 negative
Assertion Partly supported
Andreessen: Seattle tech executives elected a candidate wanting to nationalize Amazon
“Seattle, to give you a sense how crazy things are, the district in Seattle, the city council district where the most Microsoft and Amazon executives lived, live, elected a city council woman who's, who ran a platform of nationalizing Microsoft and Amazon.”
Marc Andreessen Aug 5, 2025 ▶ 12:22 Marc Andreessen: The US is in a AI Arms Race & It Decides The World's Future
Aug 8, 2025 negative
Opinion
Srinivasan: Tech platforms face market constraints, but Washington DC is a monopoly
“See the thing is these platforms are at least competing with other platforms, and if Apple or Microsoft or Google makes too bad decision, Then the people on those platforms have exit, they have choice, they can move between platforms, so there's ultimately a m…”
Balaji Srinivasan Aug 8, 2025 ▶ 17:57 Steven Sinofsky & Balaji Srinivasan on the Future of M&A, AI & Tech
Aug 18, 2025 bearish
Opinion
Patel: Microsoft's custom AI silicon lags behind Amazon, Google, and Meta
“Microsoft, their custom silicon kind of sucks but the other three, they're really upping their orders massively over the last year. You know, Amazon is making millions of Tranium. Google's making millions of TPUs. TPUs clearly are like a hundred percent utiliz…”
Dylan Patel Aug 18, 2025 ▶ 21:29 Dylan Patel on GPT-5’s Router Moment, GPUs vs TPUs, Monetization
Aug 22, 2025 positive
Assertion Supported
Casado: Early AI coding tools reached $400M to $600M in ARR
“The first kind of monetized AI app was code, right? It was Copilot, and so Microsoft had invested a ton of money and matured the market with Copilot, with VS Code, and so everybody knew it. It's just, like, the models weren't quite ready then, and so you had, …”
Martin Casado Aug 22, 2025 ▶ 12:36 The State of AI: Growth, Fragmentation, and the Next Wave
Sep 24, 2025
Assertion Partly supported
Casado: Microsoft's initial Copilot product was actually created by OpenAI
“I learned recently it was created by OpenAI, so that kind of explains it.”
Martin Casado Sep 24, 2025 ▶ 45:04 Software Finally Eats Services - Aaron Levie
Oct 15, 2025
Insight
Horowitz: Big company partnerships fail without massive financial commitments
“Look, you got to get them to put enough, they're such a big company that they're going to lose interest many times. So if you don't have them write you such a big check that somebody in there is going to get fired if it doesn't go well, you're, it doesn't matt…”
Ben Horowitz Oct 15, 2025 ▶ 28:58 Ben Horowitz and Ali Ghodsi: How to Run a $100 Billion Business
Oct 16, 2025 bearish
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Rabois: Microsoft is losing its lead in AI coding to startups
“They started with an advantage in coding, Copilot, etc. They're losing that.”
Keith Rabois Oct 16, 2025 ▶ 22:24 Keith Rabois: Israel, OpenAI, Opendoor, and DOGE
Oct 16, 2025 neutral
Assertion Supported
Keith Rabois says Vinod Khosla intervened to stop Sam Altman joining Microsoft
“Or like, yeah, for like, 24 hours until Vinod and some other friends intervened a fair amount.”
Keith Rabois Oct 16, 2025 ▶ 24:05 Keith Rabois: Israel, OpenAI, Opendoor, and DOGE
Oct 20, 2025
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Hoffman: Microsoft's long-term AI agent experiments get trapped in polite loops
“So Microsoft has had running for years now, agents talking to each other long form, like, just like, let's go for a year and do that and see what happens. And so often they get into like, oh, thank you. No, thank you. No, thank you. One month later. Thank you.…”
Reid Hoffman Oct 20, 2025 ▶ 18:42 Reid Hoffman on AI, Consciousness, and the Future of Labor
Oct 30, 2025 bullish
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Baker: GPT-V is not evidence that AI scaling laws are ending
“GPT-V is a smaller model. It was not designed to be better. It was designed to be more economical for OpenAI and Microsoft to run. Any reference to GPT-V and scaling loss is crazy.”
Gavin Baker Oct 30, 2025 ▶ 22:57 "Is there an AI bubble?” Gavin Baker and David George
Nov 10, 2025 bearish
Opinion
Truell: Microsoft will struggle to compete in AI code editing
“I think it's one of the things that makes it pretty tricky for a Microsoft to really compete in a big way.”
Michael Truell Nov 10, 2025 ▶ 26:58 Michael Truell: How Cursor Builds at the Speed of AI
Nov 24, 2025
Assertion Supported
Epoch AI: Microsoft's Mount Pleasant data center will consume half NYC's power
“The one we found that's actually seriously underway and has permits and is, you know, setting up the electrical infrastructure for is one by Microsoft, which is going to be used by OpenAI, at least in part in Mount Pleasant. They're calling it Microsoft Fairwa…”
Epoch AI Researcher Nov 24, 2025 ▶ 51:30 The 2045 Superintelligence Timeline: Epoch AI’s Data-Driven Forecast
Jan 26, 2026 positive
Opinion
David George: Big tech can easily absorb potential AI capex overbuild
“It turns out they're the best companies, you know, probably ever created you know, companies like Google, Facebook you know, Amazon and Microsoft, and they can bear you know, potential capacity overbuild and things like that.”
David George Jan 26, 2026 ▶ 2:37 The Biggest Bottlenecks For AI: Energy & Cooling
May 29, 2026 bullish
Assertion Not checkable as stated
George: Anthropic and OpenAI add more monthly revenue than tech giants
“Anthropic and OpenAI are adding more revenue per month than Meta, Google, or Microsoft.”
David George May 29, 2026 ▶ 1:43 The New Rule for Picking AI Winners | The a16z Show
Jun 8, 2026
Assertion Open · timeframe Dec 2026
Evans: Microsoft, Meta, and Google spending over 50% of revenue on CapEx
“Microsoft, Meta, and Google are all on, in line to spend over 50% of revenue on CapEx this year.”
Benedict Evans Jun 8, 2026 ▶ 48:31 The Economics of AI Usage and What's Next For SaaS | Benedict Evans on a16z
Jun 8, 2026
Assertion Supported
Evans: Big Tech produces more profits than the entire telecoms industry
“You have a pretty safe bet that Google, Meta, Amazon Microsoft, Apple produce more profits than the entire telecoms industry.”
Benedict Evans Jun 8, 2026 ▶ 56:37 The Economics of AI Usage and What's Next For SaaS | Benedict Evans on a16z
Jul 3, 2026 negative
Opinion
Horowitz: Microsoft created cyber theft opportunities by deploying Windows online prematurely
“When it went from vandalism to theft, the vandalism company, Microsoft, is one who created all the theft opportunities By putting windows on the internet when it wasn't ready to be on the internet because it wasn't built for that kind of idea.”
Ben Horowitz Jul 3, 2026 ▶ 36:02 Ben Horowitz on the Global Race for Tech, Power, and Influence
Aug 11, 2026 bearish
Opinion
Garry Tan: AI startups will not replace incumbent giants like Microsoft
“There are real motes to these things. Like, there are structural reasons why a Microsoft isn't going anywhere. And then, I guess, This is sort of a little antithetical to what most, you know, most people in Silicon Valley would say, like, I want to start up to…”
Garry Tan Aug 11, 2026 ▶ 41:14 Garry Tan: New Rules for Founders
Aug 11, 2026 negative
Disclosure
Tan: Turning down early Palantir offer was a $2B to $4B mistake
“Peter said, I'm so sure this is the right thing for you. Like, here's a check for 70 grand. That was how much I made at Microsoft at the time. And I said, thank you very much, Mr. Thiel, but I might get promoted to level 60 this year. Which I did, but I think …”
Garry Tan Aug 11, 2026 ▶ 8:01 Garry Tan: New Rules for Founders
Aug 11, 2026 bullish
Insight
Tan: Startups use AI to compress six-month product releases into days
“Like you could release something in a day or two that would have taken like six months. And if you could like multiply that out across, like the thing is like probably an org like Microsoft can't. But, like, a startup can. And every startup must.”
Garry Tan Aug 11, 2026 ▶ 36:37 Garry Tan: New Rules for Founders
Aug 25, 2026 bullish
Insight
Casado: AI gives startups competitive footing with incumbents by solving distribution
“And like, what's crazy is AI, A, solves the distribution problem. It just solves the demand problem. And B, these companies are able to raise so much money that they're actually on competitive footing with like the Microsofts and the medicine and the Microsoft…”
Martin Casado Aug 25, 2026 ▶ 47:01 How AI Changes the Economics of Innovation
Aug 25, 2026 neutral
Insight
Sinofsky: Microsoft worries far more about Amazon and Google than startups
“The only incumbents are only interested in what the other incumbents are doing. Microsoft is worried way more about what Amazon and Google are doing than anyone in a startup space.”
Steven Sinofsky Aug 25, 2026 ▶ 49:53 How AI Changes the Economics of Innovation
Aug 27, 2026 bullish
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Casado: Cursor navigated Microsoft/Anthropic competition and M&A in two years
“I mean, imagine like starting competing with Microsoft, ending, ending up competing with say, Anthropic, you know, both of these kind of, you know, mega companies with tremendous amount of capital and power and distribution. In the meantime, you evolve like fu…”
Martin Casado Aug 27, 2026 ▶ 29:22 How Cursor Built One of AI’s Fastest-Growing Companies
Aug 31, 2026 negative
Opinion
Microsoft Failed to Build Competitive In-House Frontier AI Models
“They clearly tried to make a frontier model. They failed. You know, Satya said, we're gonna have our own models that are very competitive. Like, I think he said that 18 months ago. They don't have their own models that are competitive.”
Gavin Baker Aug 31, 2026 ▶ 48:15 Why AI Demand Is Outrunning Compute Supply
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