software

47 statements across 41 episodes · 26 bullish · 11 bearish · 39 people on the record · first statement Apr 13, 2016 by Roy Bahat · across every show →

Everything said about software, oldest first

Apr 13, 2016 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Machine intelligence will eat software while software eats the world
“Yes, I think machine intelligence will eat software. While software is eating the world.”
Roy Bahat Apr 13, 2016 ▶ 8:50 20VC: Why Machine Intelligence Will Eat The World Of Software with Roy Bahat, Head of Bloomberg Beta
Jun 17, 2016 negative
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Orloff: Traditional banks in the US and globally outsource their software
“Banks in the United States, and I'm, I think all over the world, outsource their software.”
Sasha Orloff Jun 17, 2016 ▶ 14:58 20VC: Raising $150m, Meeting Yuri Milner & Revolutionising Mobile Finance with Sasha Orloff @ LendUp
Aug 17, 2016 positive
Insight
Einstein: Hardware is a Trojan horse for software in new environments
“So really hardware is this really great Trojan horse to get software into places that it can't currently exist.”
Ben Einstein Aug 17, 2016 ▶ 11:29 20VC: Why Hardware Is Actually Software Wrapped In Plastic & "Of Course Hardware Is Hard, Everything Is Hard" with Ben Einstein, Founder & General Partner @ Bolt VC
Sep 14, 2016 negative
Insight
Sarver: Overseas manufacturing errors make hardware development far slower than software
“It's just, you're talking about physical devices, and if you don't have the right hood over your over your manufacturing line, you have too much dust that settles into the devices, and all of a sudden you manufacture a thousand devices that are totally invalid…”
Ryan Sarver Sep 14, 2016 ▶ 20:00 20VC: Do VC's Really Hustle Enough? The Takeaways From Watching Twitter Scale From 30 to 2,500 & Why Chris Sacca Is Like Yoda with Ryan Sarver, Partner @ Redpoint
Sep 28, 2016 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Morin: Biotech and Software Intersection Starts 30-Year Shift Like PCs
“I really think that we're on, we're at the beginning of a thirty-year journey that's similar to the personal computer that is going to Be based on genomics, technology, and software.”
Dave Morin Sep 28, 2016 ▶ 24:53 20VC: Dave Morin on Why Building A Fund Is Like A Company, Why Venture Is A Craft & The Journey To Establish Slow Ventures
Dec 30, 2016
Insight
Banta: AGI development is bottlenecked by software complexity, not compute
“I actually don't think the limitation will be compute power, but the limitation will more be around the type of software that you need to build something as complex and dynamic as a person.”
Nitesh Banta Dec 30, 2016 ▶ 22:44 20VC: How AI Can Enhance Not Replace Humans? What Will Differentiate Between The Winners & The Losers In AI? Why AGI Is Further Away Than We Think with Nitesh Banta, Founder & CEO @ B12
Mar 13, 2017 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Grady: Next software wave will be driven by design-data feedback loops
“Now, I think the next generation of great software will actually embrace what the cloud enables you to do, and it won't be a business model transition. It'll be a user experience transition. And specifically, I think for that next generation, the companies tha…”
Pat Grady Mar 13, 2017 ▶ 8:54 20VC: Sequoia Partner, Pat Grady on Why Data Is The New Oil, Why We Will See The Return of The Apprenticeship Model in VC & The Defining Characteristics of The Next Generation of Great Software
Mar 22, 2017 neutral
Insight
Mittal: Hard science startups cannot yet match software's speed and cost
“Everyone, founders, investors, everyone needs to recognize that we're not yet at the speed of software in the hard sciences. And so nor are we at the cost.”
Alex Mittal Mar 22, 2017 ▶ 18:58 20VC: How Every VC Firm Is A Marketplace, Why A Large Amount of Promise in AI Today Is Impossible & Entrepreneurs 3 Main Pain Points of Fundraising with Alex Mittal, Founder & CEO @ Funders Club
Jul 19, 2017 bullish
Assertion Supported
Only 15 percent of software is delivered as SaaS
“Even today, only fifteen-ish percent of total software is delivered as SaaS, so we're still early in that transition”
Jason Pressman Jul 19, 2017 ▶ 5:21 20VC: Why It Is BS That You Never Regret Paying A High Price To Get Into A Good Company, Why There Are Only 2 Price Points That Work in SaaS and Why eSports Will Be Bigger Than Traditional Sports in 5 Years Time with Jason Pressman @ Shasta Ventures
May 6, 2019 neutral
Insight
Series A and B retail startups carry lower loss risk than software
“I think the loss ratio generally should be lower because you can underwrite a more stable business. So because valuation multiples are lower within e-commerce and retail investing, the ability to massively overvalue a business with very low revenue Who might a…”
Brendan Wallace May 6, 2019 ▶ 24:06 20VC: Why Consumer Brands Must Embrace Physical Retail To Avoid Inflated Online CACs, How To Alter Fund Strategy When Investing In Consumer Retail & Why The Era of The 1,000 Store Brand Is Over with Brendan Wallace, Founder and Managing Partner @ Fifth Wa
Apr 11, 2022
Insight
Garg: Software eliminates middle markets by converting regional monopolies into power-law global markets
“It like destroys these local and regional monopolies and turns them into global markets. And once you're competing at a global scale, it tends to have this sort of concentration effect. It creates a power law and it creates concentration in the head and it unl…”
Avichal Garg Apr 11, 2022 ▶ 23:10 20VC: Why Crypto is Software Eating Money, Why Crypto Firms Will Outcompete Traditional Venture Firms, How To Price Tokens and When To Have Them, DAOs: How Are They Structured and What Makes One Successful with Avichal Garg, Co-Founder @ Electric Capital
Mar 27, 2023 bullish
Prediction Held up
Khosrowshahi: Uber will focus exclusively on software moving forward
“I will tell you right now, based on everything I see, we're going to stay squarely in software, because we're really, really good at it.”
Dara Khosrowshahi Mar 27, 2023 ▶ 27:21 Dara Khosrowshahi: How I Became CEO of Uber; Uber Eats vs DoorDash; The Postmates Acquisition | E994 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
May 22, 2023 positive
Insight
Wittenborn: Application layer verticalization drives most software value creation
“A lot of the value that has been built in software over the last 20 years has actually been in the application layer that takes these breakthroughs and just verticalizes them for a specific use case or a specific customer demographic and monetizes them.”
Nico Wittenborn May 22, 2023 ▶ 58:39 Nico Wittenborn: Consumer Subscription Apps; Using Evolutionary Biology to Invest; Solo GP's | E1017 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Aug 21, 2023 negative
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Huber: Software will never clean, build, or maintain physical infrastructure
“Those things are not cleaned, built, maintained by software, and they never will be. There's a huge part of the world that is localized and physical and requires sweat and work.”
Nick Huber Aug 21, 2023 ▶ 32:29 Nick Huber: Biggest Lies of Silicon Valley; Lost Art of Delegation; How to Grow Your Network | E1051 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Sep 18, 2023 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Grimshaw: AI software will sell finished work outcomes rather than seat licenses
“The way to encapsulate would be this idea of selling the work, not the software. And that we'll move from a paradigm where you might think of it as moving from what we see right now as a copilot and moving to what I think about as a control center, where we'll…”
Miles Grimshaw Sep 18, 2023 ▶ 1:05:42 Miles Grimshaw: The 5 Pillars of Venture Capital & Why Co-Pilot is an Incumbent Strategy | E1061 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Sep 18, 2023 neutral
Insight
Grimshaw: Most software today is just a database with a form
“What's most software? It's a database with a form on top of it for users to manage information, put information, get information out.”
Miles Grimshaw Sep 18, 2023 ▶ 1:06:09 Miles Grimshaw: The 5 Pillars of Venture Capital & Why Co-Pilot is an Incumbent Strategy | E1061 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Oct 9, 2023 positive
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Farquhar: Software Won't Become Free Despite the Collapse of Per-Seat Pricing
“So, in general, the premise is true. I don't think we know what we move to, and I don't think software is suddenly going to become free because, you know, per user pricing just doesn't work.”
Scott Farquhar Oct 9, 2023 ▶ 39:20 Scott Farquhar: Founding Atlassian; How We Scaled to a $50B Valuation; The 4 Jobs of a CEO | E1070 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Oct 23, 2023
Insight
Rouif: Build software for paying customers, not to stop non-paying bypasses
“Build for the people who are paying, not build, don't build for people that won't pay anyway, they go to another app.”
Matthieu Rouif Oct 23, 2023 ▶ 22:25 Matthieu Rouif: The Story of PhotoRoom, Is This YC’s Most Capital Efficient Company? | E1074 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Jan 4, 2024 bearish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Lemkin: 2023's software market growth deceleration may be permanent
“This is the first year I'm worried. The deceleration That we saw last year. I'm worried some of it may be permanent. You could only spend so much of the global GDP on software.”
Jason Lemkin Jan 4, 2024 ▶ 0:23 Jason Lemkin: Predictions for 2024 - What Does a Trump Administration do for Startups? | E1099 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
May 6, 2024 bullish
Insight
Tavel: Selling AI work expands target markets by 10x-50x over software
“Part of the opportunity with selling work as an AI startup is that the market for that could actually be 10 or 50 X bigger than if you were selling software. Why is that? You're selling a 95% productivity improvement instead of a 10% productivity improvement. …”
Sarah Tavel May 6, 2024 ▶ 25:44 Sarah Tavel: Will Foundation Models Be Commoditised? | E1149 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Jun 19, 2024 positive
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Eisenberg: Software is McKinsey's fastest-growing business unit
“The fastest growing business inside of McKinsey is software.”
Michael Eisenberg Jun 19, 2024 ▶ 19:33 Michael Eisenberg: How China Could Overtake the US in the AI Race | E1167 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Jun 26, 2024 positive
Insight
Bialecki: High-Margin Software Startups Should Be Profitable From Day One
“I think software it's high margin. You know, if we're really good at building, if we get close to customers, you ought to be able to build a profitable business, you know, from the start.”
Andrew Bialecki Jun 26, 2024 ▶ 17:27 Andrew Bialecki: Is Klaviyo the Most Under-Priced Public Company? | E1170 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Aug 7, 2024 positive
Opinion
Alexis Ohanian: Most sports teams fail to utilize software force multipliers
“So many of the things that we do are done better, cheaper, faster using software. Built tools so founders can help themselves using software. It's a force multiplier. We built things into our teams. Like even the merchandising around that thank you video app. …”
Alexis Ohanian Aug 7, 2024 ▶ 47:44 Alexis Ohanian: The Full P&L Breakdown of the World's Most Valuable Women's Sports Team | E1187 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Aug 21, 2024 positive
Opinion
Narang: Software, not fintech, is why customers choose Toast
“Customers care deeply about our software. That's why they picked Toast. Found it fundamentally. So maybe, maybe that's what I'll say.”
Aman Narang Aug 21, 2024 ▶ 30:54 Aman Narang: 5 Lessons Scaling Toast to $14BN Market Cap | E1192 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Oct 2, 2024
Insight
Bret Taylor: Software is shifting from fixed rules to goals and guardrails
“We like to say software's going from the age of rules to the age of goals and guardrails.”
Bret Taylor Oct 2, 2024 ▶ 55:21 Bret Taylor: Why Pre-Training is for Morons & Companies Will Build Their Own Software | E1209 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Oct 16, 2024 negative
Insight
Perret: OKRs were built for manufacturing and fail in software development
“OKRs were built for manufacturing. We don't manufacture software.”
Zach Perret Oct 16, 2024 ▶ 0:08 Zach Perret: Why ‘Founder Mode’ is the Most Dangerous Blog Post for Founders | E1215 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Jan 15, 2025 negative
Opinion
Riparbelli: AI is nowhere near ready to fully automate complex software
“But if you look at most software out there today, it's very complex and it's not just technology, right? It's a lot of humans, it's customers, it's feedback loops. And I don't think we're anywhere near being able to automate those things.”
Victor Riparbelli Jan 15, 2025 ▶ 21:44 Victor Riparbelli, CEO @Synthesia: OpenAI vs Anthropic vs X.ai - Who Wins and Why | E1246 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Feb 20, 2025 bearish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Hiremath: Software will be commoditized quickly as coding agents improve
“And I think like the implication for software is that software is going to get commoditized very, very quickly as these coding agents get really, really good.”
Adarsh Hiremath Feb 20, 2025 ▶ 30:27 Adarsh Hiremath @ Mercor: The Fastest Growing Startup in Silicon Valley | E1261 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Feb 20, 2025 neutral
Insight
Hiremath: Zero software cost businesses must rely on network effects
“The businesses that succeed in a world where software costs approach zero will be built on network effects.”
Adarsh Hiremath Feb 20, 2025 ▶ 30:49 Adarsh Hiremath @ Mercor: The Fastest Growing Startup in Silicon Valley | E1261 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Mar 21, 2025 bullish
Insight
Torres: Future software will eliminate human operators, functioning like driverless cars
“Software that has been built in the past 2030 years had the assumption, it was built kind of like we build cars. We build a car all around, and we build the entire environment, so a human goes and drives the car. Right? It requires an operator. The future is n…”
Elias Torres Mar 21, 2025 ▶ 16:03 Elias Torres, Co-Founder and CEO @ Agency: What No One Tells You About Selling Your Company · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
May 19, 2025 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Hacker: Lower software production costs will lead to more app creation
“And then the other thing it does, it just lowers the cost of lines of code, of software, right? So production, producing software. And then there's the Jervin's paradox, which says, you know, if you, the cost of a good goes down, you will actually have more de…”
Severin Hacker May 19, 2025 ▶ 14:42 Duolingo Co-Founder, Severin Hacker: How AI Impacts the Future of Work and Education · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Oct 13, 2025 positive
Insight
Cannon-Brookes: Design becomes the primary software moat as AI explodes output
“There will certainly be far more software. It's probably a fairly safe assumption. Far more technology. What differentiates it is probably how it feels and how it works. And that's very hard to copy, right?”
Mike Cannon-Brookes Oct 13, 2025 ▶ 20:32 Atlassian CEO, Mike Cannon-Brookes on Why Everything is Overvalued & Are We in an AI Bubble · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Nov 13, 2025 positive
Opinion
Lemkin: B2B Software Has Not Improved in a Decade Until AI
“This is the first time software has gotten better since the three of us met. It hasn't gotten any better since all of us met. It's the same crap.”
Jason Lemkin Nov 13, 2025 ▶ 1:11:21 Michael Burry Shorts NVIDIA and Palantir & Has Defensibility Died in a World of AI? · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Nov 17, 2025 negative
Insight
Andrew Ng: Proprietary software is a significantly weaker moat today
“Previously software used to be a moat, right? If you had, you know, invested 10 years to build a software, it's really hard to replicate that. That one moat is much weaker than before”
Andrew Ng Nov 17, 2025 ▶ 41:14 AI Fund’s GP, Andrew Ng: LLMs as the Next Geopolitical Weapon & Do Margins Still Matter in AI? · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Feb 9, 2026 bullish
Opinion
Acharya: Software market is oversold and vibe-coding narrative is wrong
“The general story that we're going to vibe code everything is flat wrong, and the whole market is oversold software.”
Anish Acharya Feb 9, 2026 ▶ 5:12 a16z, Anish Acharya: Is SaaS Dead? Do Margins Still Matter? Why We Are Not in an AI Bubble? · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Feb 9, 2026 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Acharya: Software will eventually capture 80% to 90% of discretionary spend
“We're going to asymptote to 80 to 90%, I believe, for consumer spend and enterprise spend. The way we do that is by pushing the frontier, not by Cutting. The sort of discretionary spend. Of course, there's going to be, you know. Rent and food. But yes, dude, I…”
Anish Acharya Feb 9, 2026 ▶ 1:01:54 a16z, Anish Acharya: Is SaaS Dead? Do Margins Still Matter? Why We Are Not in an AI Bubble? · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Feb 12, 2026 positive
Opinion
Cannon-Brookes: The idea that software is dead is ludicrous
“The idea that software as a category is dead is ludicrous to me.”
Mike Cannon-Brookes Feb 12, 2026 ▶ 0:00 Anthropic's Super Bowl Ad: Who Won & Lost? | Sierra Hits $150M ARR: Is Customer Support Too Crowded? · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Feb 16, 2026 bearish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Siemiatkowski: Software Creation Cost Is Heading to Zero
“You should think that software cost of creating software is going down to zero. That's it. So and that means that like everyone will be able to generate software at any point of time. So it is a massive change. And I was a hundred percent con, you know, convic…”
Sebastian Siemiatkowski Feb 16, 2026 ▶ 1:30 Klarna CEO: SaaS is Dead: Why Systems of Record Will Die in an Agentic World · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Feb 19, 2026 neutral
Assertion Supported
O'Driscoll: Software accounts for four percent of US GDP
“Software was the best industry of the last 2030 years. At the end of 2030 years, it accounts for four percent of the US GDP.”
Rory O'Driscoll Feb 19, 2026 ▶ 26:19 Thrive Raises New $10B Fund | OpenAI Buys OpenClaw | Stripe at $140B: Is Adyen Wildly Undervalued? · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Feb 28, 2026 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Jerry Murdock: AI agents will write software faster and cheaper than humans
“Autonomous agents, and it may take a year or longer for most enterprises to actually enable and get committed to autonomous agents, but they're going to write software faster, cheaper than any human being on the planet.”
Jerry Murdock Feb 28, 2026 ▶ 23:30 The SaaS Apocalypse: Who Lives & Who Dies | Insight Partners Co-Founder, Jerry Murdock · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Mar 2, 2026 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Zinman: Enterprise spending on software will grow 100x
“The time of software, how much companies are going to spend on software is going to be a hundred X for what it is today.”
Eran Zinman Mar 2, 2026 ▶ 0:34 Monday.com CEO on Is SaaS Dead: Will Everything Be Vibe Coded | Eran Zinman · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Mar 2, 2026 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Zinman: Companies will shift spending from headcount to software as AI scales
“As AI become more dominant, companies will spend much more on software and much less on headcount going forward because they'll just become more efficient, and they'll gladly spend that.”
Eran Zinman Mar 2, 2026 ▶ 17:59 Monday.com CEO on Is SaaS Dead: Will Everything Be Vibe Coded | Eran Zinman · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Mar 2, 2026 neutral
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Zinman: Monday.com spends 60-70% on headcount versus 7-8% on software
“A company like Monday, let's say we have like one billion in expenses, a company like Monday will probably spend, you know, 60, 70% of the budget on headcount and then seven, eight percent on software.”
Eran Zinman Mar 2, 2026 ▶ 17:36 Monday.com CEO on Is SaaS Dead: Will Everything Be Vibe Coded | Eran Zinman · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Mar 2, 2026 negative
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Zinman: Buyers will reject software that doesn't do most work
“Nobody will want to buy The software, they're not doing the majority of the work for them.”
Eran Zinman Mar 2, 2026 ▶ 0:26 Monday.com CEO on Is SaaS Dead: Will Everything Be Vibe Coded | Eran Zinman · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Apr 20, 2026 bullish
Insight
Levie: Future software development will center on background systems, not apps
“There's a limit to, again, the number of software you need to build that looks like an app on your phone. There's an unlimited amount of software you need to build That looks like a background system process that's connecting different data sources, automating…”
Aaron Levie Apr 20, 2026 ▶ 12:37 Aaron Levie: Everyone is Wrong; We'll Have More Developers in 5 Years · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Jun 20, 2026 positive
Insight
Ryan Petersen: Physical goods companies spend 5% of revenue on logistics
“The logistics is a much bigger market than software. If you, for example, like a typical, like a medium sized company will spend, call it five percent of their revenue, companies spend about five, if they're physical goods companies, they'll spend like five pe…”
Ryan Petersen Jun 20, 2026 ▶ 24:23 Flexport CEO: Two Questions Every Founder Needs to Ask · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Aug 2, 2026 bearish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Angelopoulos: Software will cease to be a business moat within five years
“Software is no longer really a moat because it can be produced instantaneously, right? Let's project out five years. That's what's going to happen. And so what moats exist? Network effects exist and data moats exist.”
Anastasios Angelopoulos Aug 2, 2026 ▶ 7:26 Arena CEO: There Will be a $100BN US Open-Source Model & Data is a Trillion Dollar Market
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