product manager

also referred to as: pms · product managers

74 statements across 41 episodes · 14 bullish · 18 bearish · 41 people on the record · first statement Aug 12, 2016 by Adam Nash · across every show →

Everything said about product manager, oldest first

Aug 12, 2016
Insight
Adam Nash: Product managers must define the game and set metrics
“The best product managers do a good job for their cross-functional teams of leading them by defining what game they're playing. And then second, how do you keep score?”
Adam Nash Aug 12, 2016 ▶ 5:16 20VC: Wealthfront's Adam Nash on What Makes Great CEO's & Why Humans Suck At Investing
Sep 12, 2016
Assertion Supported
Tunguz: Google required product manager candidates to score 3.5 out of 4.0
“I remember at Google, when we were interviewing product managers, we would take these packets and we would have all these different, we were doing structured interviews at the time. It was on a four point O scale. You need to score above a 3.5.”
Tomasz Tunguz Sep 12, 2016 ▶ 14:28 20VC: Redpoint's Tom Tunguz on Winning with Data: How To Gain A Competitive Advantage & Dominate Markets with Data and 5 Steps To Create A Data Driven Company
Nov 19, 2018
Insight
Jeff Morris Jr.: Product managers should apply portfolio theory to decisions
“And one piece that I'd like to add to that list is, is portfolio theory. So I think every product manager should have some sense of the portfolio of products they want to build and really apply an investor's mindset to making those decisions.”
Jeff Morris Jr. Nov 19, 2018 ▶ 7:21 20VC: Investing Lessons From Observing Doug Leone and Bill Gurley, Why It Is Easier To Be Contrarian As A VC Than As An Angel & What It Takes To Run Tinder's Product and Revenue Alongside A Seed Fund with Jeff Morris Jr, Founder @ Chapter One
Mar 16, 2022
Insight
Rachitsky: PM interviews shouldn't test on-the-spot problem solving
“Personally, I hate putting people on the spot with a really hard task because as a PM, you don't need to be like on the spot solving really hard problems. You have time to think. And process and research.”
Lenny Rachitsky Mar 16, 2022 ▶ 16:27 20 Product: Lenny Rachitsky on The 3 Key Roles of the Product Manager, 5 Skills All The Best PMs Have, When To Hire Your First PM, How to Structure the Hiring Process for PMs & What Leaders Can Do to Make Their PMs Successful
Mar 16, 2022 negative
Insight
Rachitsky: Startup founders should delay hiring their first product manager
“My first piece of advice always is you should wait longer than you think you need to.”
Lenny Rachitsky Mar 16, 2022 ▶ 11:21 20 Product: Lenny Rachitsky on The 3 Key Roles of the Product Manager, 5 Skills All The Best PMs Have, When To Hire Your First PM, How to Structure the Hiring Process for PMs & What Leaders Can Do to Make Their PMs Successful
Mar 16, 2022
Insight
Rachitsky: PM candidates fail by jumping straight to solutions
“One mistake that PMs often make is jumping to a solution. When someone asks them, how would you approach this? It's just like, here's the answer, versus asking questions to better understand Context and the space and understand things that the person maybe has…”
Lenny Rachitsky Mar 16, 2022 ▶ 20:03 20 Product: Lenny Rachitsky on The 3 Key Roles of the Product Manager, 5 Skills All The Best PMs Have, When To Hire Your First PM, How to Structure the Hiring Process for PMs & What Leaders Can Do to Make Their PMs Successful
Mar 16, 2022 positive
Opinion
Anyone who dislikes product managers has only worked with bad ones
“My feeling is, if you don't like PMs, you've worked with a bad PM, because PMs should make everything better, should make you happier, should make you more efficient, should let you do better work.”
Lenny Rachitsky Mar 16, 2022 ▶ 39:05 20 Product: Lenny Rachitsky on The 3 Key Roles of the Product Manager, 5 Skills All The Best PMs Have, When To Hire Your First PM, How to Structure the Hiring Process for PMs & What Leaders Can Do to Make Their PMs Successful
Mar 16, 2022
Insight
Lenny Rachitsky defines product management by three core responsibilities
“Basically, your job as a PM is to shape the product, to ship the product, and to synchronize the people, and all of that in order to drive impact for the business.”
Lenny Rachitsky Mar 16, 2022 ▶ 8:02 20 Product: Lenny Rachitsky on The 3 Key Roles of the Product Manager, 5 Skills All The Best PMs Have, When To Hire Your First PM, How to Structure the Hiring Process for PMs & What Leaders Can Do to Make Their PMs Successful
Apr 20, 2022
Insight
Chennapragada: PMs lose engineering credibility by underestimating technical complexity
“The fastest way to lose credibility with the team, with the engineering team, as a product manager, is suggesting something that sounds simple, but that takes three years.”
Aparna Chennapragada Apr 20, 2022 ▶ 20:38 20 Product: Robinhood CPO on The 3 Stages of Product Management, How to Structure and Execute Great Product Reviews, The Secret to Building a World-Class Hiring Funnel in Product Team Building with Aparna Chennapragada
Jun 8, 2022
Insight
Beykpour: Startups need a PM when teams become purely reactive to fixes
“Well, I think one signal is if the team is constantly reacting to what the product needs. Like if you're constantly underwater and the things you end up prioritizing are the things that you learn really late are broken. And you're not feeling like you can be p…”
Kayvon Beykpour Jun 8, 2022 ▶ 18:04 Kayvon Beykpour: How to Structure and Manage the Best Product Reviews | 20VC #894 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Jun 8, 2022
Insight
Beykpour: Product managers must explicitly ignore certain customer feedback
“And your job as a team and as a product manager is to take all that input in. And make organization and prioritization out of chaos. You cannot react to all the things you should not react to all the things. And you should have a well-tuned barometer about kno…”
Kayvon Beykpour Jun 8, 2022 ▶ 37:12 Kayvon Beykpour: How to Structure and Manage the Best Product Reviews | 20VC #894 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Aug 10, 2022
Insight
Product managers define problems while marketers focus on solutions
“The job of a PM, great PMs crystallize problems and then present them to their engineers and their engineers are like, oh yeah, we believe in this problem. Here's how we think about this problem. And we will go and figure out how we build that solution, right?…”
Kieran Flanagan Aug 10, 2022 ▶ 51:48 Kieran Flanagan: Hiring Tips for Growth; North Star Metrics; Hubspot's Mistake | 20VC #916 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Aug 10, 2022 positive
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Growth functions will decentralize into product management roles
“I think at some point you can see growth being much more decentralized into just how PMs create the product itself. We build in mechanisms to promote the product through virality or these other things. We build onboarding flows. We build upgrade flows to get p…”
Kieran Flanagan Aug 10, 2022 ▶ 2:48 Kieran Flanagan: Hiring Tips for Growth; North Star Metrics; Hubspot's Mistake | 20VC #916 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Aug 22, 2022 positive
Insight
Wesley Chan: Sales Leaders and CMOs Often Make the Best Product Managers
“Some of the salespeople, some sales, you know, leaders and CMOs have lots of product expertise. You have to remember, they're close to the customer. They've explained to the customer what the product does. They, you know, in their previous jobs have learned wh…”
Wesley Chan Aug 22, 2022 ▶ 42:09 Wesley Chan: How I Created Google Analytics; The Founding Story of Gmail & Canva | 20VC #919 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Sep 21, 2022
Insight
Lieb: Prior domain experience is anti-correlated with top product performance
“In my experience, most of the really strong PMs that have emerged, say on the Google Photos team came from backgrounds with no experience in this domain really at all. Like you talked to some of them. In fact, I would say, I would probably go so far as to say …”
David Lieb Sep 21, 2022 ▶ 46:05 David Lieb: How I Founded Google Photos & Bump; Why I Left Google | 20VC #927 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Sep 21, 2022 negative
Insight
Lieb: Product managers should oversee design, engineering, and analytics
“I think the product manager role as defined by the world is way too pigeonholed. I think we should broaden the responsibilities of the PM role. I think they should be much more responsible for design, much more responsible for engineering, for analytics. Like,…”
David Lieb Sep 21, 2022 ▶ 1:07:17 David Lieb: How I Founded Google Photos & Bump; Why I Left Google | 20VC #927 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Nov 9, 2022
Insight
Barra: PMs should listen to user behaviors but ignore their opinions
“Listen to their behaviors, ignore most of their opinions.”
Hugo Barra Nov 9, 2022 ▶ 54:00 Hugo Barra: How I Built Hardware for Android, Xiaomi, and Oculus | 20VC #947 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Nov 9, 2022
Insight
Hugo Barra: Many PMs Fail Because They Resist Business-Wide Responsibilities
“So it's this it's a sudden push for maturity that a lot of product managers fail to have. They want to stay in their box, you know, working with design and engineering and not caring as much about the rest of the business as they need to, or otherwise they can…”
Hugo Barra Nov 9, 2022 ▶ 53:02 Hugo Barra: How I Built Hardware for Android, Xiaomi, and Oculus | 20VC #947 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Nov 9, 2022
Insight
Product organizations break when product managers must become general managers
“I think product words begin to break when the product manager job starts to morph into more of a general manager, you know, a GM job, you know, when, you know, companies, companies grow and product teams are forced to scale with that growth you know, product m…”
Hugo Barra Nov 9, 2022 ▶ 51:57 Hugo Barra: How I Built Hardware for Android, Xiaomi, and Oculus | 20VC #947 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Nov 21, 2022 negative
Opinion
Shah: Big Tech product managers hold political, not entrepreneurial, roles
“Once you make it through to like certain organizations and you are in this PM role, you do have more of like a political job than you do a breaking glass job.”
Semil Shah Nov 21, 2022 ▶ 12:19 Semil Shah: Lessons Learned Scaling from a $1M to a $50M Fund | 20VC #951 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Dec 7, 2022
Insight
Great products come from product teams, not individual product managers
“I've never seen a product come from a product manager. I've only seen great products come from product teams.”
Marty Cagan Dec 7, 2022 ▶ 0:42 Marty Cagan: Product Lessons from Steve Jobs and Elon Musk; Why do we idolize engineers? | 20VC #957 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Feb 3, 2023
Insight
Pearl: Early product leaders must execute the founder's vision, not redefine it
“Pre-product markets sit, founders usually doing most of the product management, working directly with the engineers, getting things built. So then usually, you know, you find product market fit and maybe you bring on your first product manager or your first, y…”
Annie Pearl Feb 3, 2023 ▶ 14:27 20Product: When to Hire a CPO, The Three Different Types of CPO, How To Know What You Need, How To Structure the Hiring Process, What Are the Must-Ask Questions, What Tests and Case Studies Should Be Used, How Should Their Compensation Package Be Structur
Feb 3, 2023 negative
Opinion
David Lieb: Domain experience anti-correlates with top PM performance
“Most of the really strong PMs that have emerged, say, on the Google Photos team came from backgrounds with no experience in this domain. I would probably go so far as to say that it's anti-correlated with the top performers.”
David Lieb Feb 3, 2023 ▶ 26:04 20Product: When to Hire a CPO, The Three Different Types of CPO, How To Know What You Need, How To Structure the Hiring Process, What Are the Must-Ask Questions, What Tests and Case Studies Should Be Used, How Should Their Compensation Package Be Structur
Mar 29, 2023
Insight
Duggal: Product managers must test hypotheses as judges, not lawyers
“And what is really important is to have a hypothesis, to be really clear on your hypothesis, not to go in with a vague set of, I want to ask you about this general area of your life, but to have a couple of sharp hypotheses you're out to test, but to be entire…”
Jag Duggal Mar 29, 2023 ▶ 10:28 Jag Duggal: How We Scaled Nubank to 80M Users; Google's Brutal Hiring Practices | E995 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
May 19, 2023 negative
Insight
Operational roles teach empathy and scrappiness that college-grad PMs lack
“In those roles, you kind of learn a level of scrappiness, you learn customer empathy, you learn humility that sets you up for success in a bunch of ways that like, you know, the traditional kind of PM that has started right out of college doesn't necessarily h…”
Ryan Wiggins May 19, 2023 ▶ 27:05 Ryan Wiggins: Scaling WhatsApp from 0-100M; How to Build a Growth Team; Mercury Neobank | E1016 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Aug 31, 2023 negative
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Shazeer: Character.ai Rejects Product Managers Who Push for Vertical Specialization
“And like, you know, we talked to like some you know, potential product managers early on and they all say the same thing. Oh yeah. Pick your verticals, narrow it down to me, to make it usable. And like, no, we're not going to hire these people. That's like the…”
Noam Shazeer Aug 31, 2023 ▶ 11:00 Noam Shazeer: How We Spent $2M to Train a Single AI Model and Grew Character.ai to 20M Users | E1055 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Sep 22, 2023
Insight
Kleinerman: Product managers today cannot succeed without deep technical knowledge
“For the most part, no. There may be a few types of products that you might get by, but I like deep technical PMs.”
Christian Kleinerman Sep 22, 2023 ▶ 42:30 Christian Kleinerman: Do OpenAI and Anthropic Have a Sustaining Moat? Who Wins the AI Wars? | E1063 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Sep 29, 2023 positive
Insight
Niparko: Data analysts make incredible product managers
“I like to think analysts make incredible product managers largely because you're forced to think broadly about the business, really dive deep into data, both quantitative and qualitative and the signals that you can gather to really inform strategy.”
Kevin Niparko Sep 29, 2023 ▶ 1:41 Kevin Niparko: Big Mistakes Founders Make When Hiring Product Teams | E1066 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Nov 1, 2023 negative
Insight
David Meyer: Product management is making incremental progress while surviving
“It's finding a way to make baby steps towards the vision while staying alive, basically.”
David Meyer Nov 1, 2023 ▶ 10:59 David Meyer: Why You Should Hire People Who Aren’t In Product Already | E1076 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Nov 1, 2023
Insight
Meyer: Only hire people who instinctively act like PMs without the title
“But if you can live as a sales engineer or an engineer without doing that, if you can take the spec and build it without fighting, you can never be a, so if you cannot not product manage, then you should be a product manager.”
David Meyer Nov 1, 2023 ▶ 11:44 David Meyer: Why You Should Hire People Who Aren’t In Product Already | E1076 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Nov 1, 2023
Insight
Meyer: Great product managers inherently alienate either sales or engineering
“If you're rocking it as a product manager, everybody thinks you suck. If sales loves you, engineering hates you. Because you're chasing deals and you're not thinking about the long-term future. If engineering loves you, sales hates you, because you're just doi…”
David Meyer Nov 1, 2023 ▶ 0:19 David Meyer: Why You Should Hire People Who Aren’t In Product Already | E1076 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Nov 1, 2023 negative
Opinion
Meyer: Product managers today are worse on average than years ago
“On average, yes.”
David Meyer Nov 1, 2023 ▶ 0:03 David Meyer: Why You Should Hire People Who Aren’t In Product Already | E1076 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Nov 1, 2023 negative
Opinion
Meyer: PMs who do not obsessively track post-launch usage data are insane
“I've known a lot of product managers That ship a product and don't observe how it's behaving in the wild through data. I think they're fucking insane. Like, you spent all this energy and willpower creating this thing, and you're not obsessively watching exactl…”
David Meyer Nov 1, 2023 ▶ 28:37 David Meyer: Why You Should Hire People Who Aren’t In Product Already | E1076 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Nov 22, 2023
Insight
Seibert: Product managers focus on competitors when lacking product vision
“I think a lot of product managers get too distracted watching the competition. And they don't have a vision for their own product.”
Jeff Seibert Nov 22, 2023 ▶ 58:35 Jeff Seibert: Why OpenAI Will Become an Infrastructure Play | E1085 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Dec 6, 2023
Insight
Products Usually Fail Because the Underlying Hypothesis Was Wrong
“I think oftentimes PM are enamored with their solution and they're not actually good at defining the hypothesis that led them to that solution. And they just ship this product and the product doesn't work. And then they have to go back and say, like, why didn'…”
Geoff Charles Dec 6, 2023 ▶ 35:44 Geoff Charles: How To Hire Product Teams & Increase Product Velocity | E1091 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Dec 6, 2023
Insight
Product Managers Default to Confirmation Bias in Customer Research
“Oftentimes like product managers, they have an idea and they ask the question to validate their idea and it's actually the wrong idea.”
Geoff Charles Dec 6, 2023 ▶ 2:04 Geoff Charles: How To Hire Product Teams & Increase Product Velocity | E1091 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Dec 6, 2023
Insight
Founders or First PMs Must Sell the First 100 Customers
“The founder or the first product manager should be selling the first hundred customers.”
Geoff Charles Dec 6, 2023 ▶ 8:47 Geoff Charles: How To Hire Product Teams & Increase Product Velocity | E1091 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Feb 14, 2024
Insight
Gonto: Product managers often know users less well than marketing teams
“I've worked with so many companies where the product managers don't really know the user as much. Marketing has to know the user because they are in events. They are in trade shows. They are online. And they need to send that information back to products and t…”
Martin Gontovnikas (Gonto) Feb 14, 2024 ▶ 54:55 Martin Gontovnikas (Gonto): The Biggest Mistakes Startups Make When Scaling into Enterprises | E1115 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Feb 21, 2024 negative
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Williamson: Founders rely on pedigree bias when hiring product managers
“Most of them haven't been a product manager. They have no idea what this role is about. So they don't know what to look for. They don't know how to grade it. And so they go off of pedigree. Oh, they were at Google or B they know the lingo, you know, they talke…”
Scott Williamson Feb 21, 2024 ▶ 35:27 Scott Williamson: Hiring the Best Product People in Five Steps, Why the Best PMs are Writers | E1118 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Feb 21, 2024
Insight
Williamson: Scaling to 10+ PMs requires formal systems to maintain quality
“And when you get to maybe, maybe when it's still three PMs, there's still not a big need for big structure process, but when you get up to 10 plus, You're only as good as sort of the average PM's performance. And if you don't think about the broader system tha…”
Scott Williamson Feb 21, 2024 ▶ 7:14 Scott Williamson: Hiring the Best Product People in Five Steps, Why the Best PMs are Writers | E1118 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Feb 21, 2024
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Williamson: Budget constraints are forcing PMs into short-term tactical work
“There are fewer engineers, fewer PMs, fewer designers. People are being asked to do more with less. I would guess the average PM probably has less time to get out of the building. And there's more focus on revenue. And if you're a product manager and you're tr…”
Scott Williamson Feb 21, 2024 ▶ 51:33 Scott Williamson: Hiring the Best Product People in Five Steps, Why the Best PMs are Writers | E1118 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Feb 21, 2024 negative
Insight
Williamson: Founders should not hire product leaders before achieving product-market fit
“And I think if you hand it off before then, it can be very problematic because it's these decisions, which ICP, what are we going to prioritize to build for them? What's the core user experience? These things are so central to a company, especially if it's a P…”
Scott Williamson Feb 21, 2024 ▶ 10:34 Scott Williamson: Hiring the Best Product People in Five Steps, Why the Best PMs are Writers | E1118 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Feb 21, 2024 neutral
Opinion
Williamson: MBAs are unnecessary for PMs unless aiming for executive roles
“If you want to be a badass PM, I don't think you really need it. You can learn the skills that you need to learn through product-focused training, through being in the right situation, through learning from Jedi Masters at your company. If you want to be a CPO…”
Scott Williamson Feb 21, 2024 ▶ 2:46 Scott Williamson: Hiring the Best Product People in Five Steps, Why the Best PMs are Writers | E1118 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Feb 21, 2024
Insight
Williamson outlines a five-step interview process for hiring product managers
“Five interviews total. First one's a 30 minute recruiter screen or hiring manager screen if you don't have a recruiter. Just checking for the basics. Then the hiring manager should spend an hour with them checking on sort of the clear the bar for the core comp…”
Scott Williamson Feb 21, 2024 ▶ 11:50 Scott Williamson: Hiring the Best Product People in Five Steps, Why the Best PMs are Writers | E1118 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Feb 21, 2024
Insight
Williamson defines four core PM competencies: validation, build, business, and communication
“There's four buckets for an individual PM. One is around valid. I call it validation. Customer interviewing, product usage data, kind of like gathering insights. Two is build, which is how well do you work with engineering? How can you make trade-offs? Can you…”
Scott Williamson Feb 21, 2024 ▶ 0:00 Scott Williamson: Hiring the Best Product People in Five Steps, Why the Best PMs are Writers | E1118 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Feb 21, 2024
Insight
Williamson: PMs should spend 50% of time with customers, not 5%
“Now, to do that well, you need about half your time to be out of the building. Most PMs spend about 95% of their time facing engineering. And zero to fives talking to customers and being out in the world.”
Scott Williamson Feb 21, 2024 ▶ 8:33 Scott Williamson: Hiring the Best Product People in Five Steps, Why the Best PMs are Writers | E1118 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Apr 17, 2024 bullish
Insight
Peng: Linear succeeded by prioritizing engineers over product managers
“Most of these issue tracking tools go for PMs first. Right. It's like, you're the manager, you're the planner, you're planning the development, the roadmap, the cycle, all this kind of stuff. That's the target customer. And the fact that they kind of flipped t…”
Vickie Peng Apr 17, 2024 ▶ 52:07 Vickie Peng: Why the Best Product People Actually Build Less Product? | E1141 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
May 17, 2024 positive
Insight
Zhang: The best product managers have spent time in gaming
“I think the best PMs actually have done some stint in gaming, right?”
Jiaona Zhang May 17, 2024 ▶ 2:22 Jiaona Zhang: Why All Product Teams Should Have a Scorecard & How to Use It | E1154 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
May 17, 2024 positive
Insight
Zhang: Great product managers sweat every word because communication is critical
“And I think that really great product people, they like sweat every word because they realize that like communication is so much of the job and what you say and the words you pick matter.”
Jiaona Zhang May 17, 2024 ▶ 26:11 Jiaona Zhang: Why All Product Teams Should Have a Scorecard & How to Use It | E1154 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Jun 14, 2024
Insight
Janie Lee: Early-Career PMs Excel at Only One Core Skill
“Early in your career, you don't have a ton of tools in your toolkit. Most PMs are typically really great at one thing, something like execution or something like writing a doc. And I think people expand their toolkit over time.”
Janie Lee Jun 14, 2024 ▶ 12:01 Janie Lee: Three Core Skills that Make the Best PMs | E1165 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Aug 14, 2024 neutral
Insight
Nejatian: Every product manager must understand how code is written
“I'm not saying all PMs need to write code, but all PMs need to understand how code is written.”
Kaz Nejatian Aug 14, 2024 ▶ 0:30 Kaz Nejatian: How Shopify Built a $90BN Business to Last 100 Years | E1189 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Sep 13, 2024
Insight
Hudack: Product teams should be 6-8 people and PMs are optional
“I think every product team should be probably between six to eight people. Most of those people should be engineers. If possible, one of those people should be a data scientist. One should be a designer. And then I think a PM is optional.”
Mike Hudack Sep 13, 2024 ▶ 0:10 Mike Hudack: How Facebook, Monzo and Deliveroo Build Great Products | E1201 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Oct 18, 2024 negative
Insight
Le Nel: Good product managers don't need A/B testing
“If you're a good product manager, you don't need an A-B test. You should be able to know what is the right product.”
Antoine Le Nel Oct 18, 2024 ▶ 6:02 Antoine Le Nel, CGO @Revolut: How Revolut Launch and Grow Products & Why CAC is a BS Metric | E1216 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Nov 29, 2024 neutral
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Podjarny: Technical product manager and software developer roles will merge
“Some PMs are quite technical, and they're close to the software. I think those roles will definitely merge.”
Guy Podjarny Nov 29, 2024 ▶ 32:45 Guy Podjarny: The Future of AI Software Development - What is Real & What is BS | E1232 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Jan 8, 2025 positive
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Carvana expects massive operating leverage in software headcount as sales double
“I do not think that to sell twice as many cars, we need twice as many product managers or twice as many software developers. We should be expecting incredible leverage over our fixed expense base in those areas and expecting those people to cover more ground o…”
Dan Gill Jan 8, 2025 ▶ 1:00:26 Dan Gill, CPO @Carvana: The Most Wild Story in Public Markets | E1243 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Jan 8, 2025 positive
Assertion Supported
Carvana recruits product managers internally from frontline roles like delivery drivers
“We have a number of product managers in our organization that were customer advocates. They were on the phones listening to customers and dealing with customers all day, every day. We have ones that were loan underwriters. We have ones that did home delivery o…”
Dan Gill Jan 8, 2025 ▶ 35:30 Dan Gill, CPO @Carvana: The Most Wild Story in Public Markets | E1243 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Jan 8, 2025 negative
Insight
Product managers are not 'CEOs of the product'
“I don't. I think that being the PM, you need to be obsessed with every aspect of the experience, and I think that you need to really intimately understand the system. And what I mean by that is that any good experience has so many inputs and so many outputs, A…”
Dan Gill Jan 8, 2025 ▶ 7:56 Dan Gill, CPO @Carvana: The Most Wild Story in Public Markets | E1243 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Feb 7, 2025
Insight
Tolkin: AI expands PM tools but core product skillset stays unchanged
“I think what changes is your ability to communicate those ideas, your ability to do more upfront, your ability to do better user research because you can show prototypes easier. So I think the tool chest gets bigger, but the core skillset of like, Actually fig…”
Brian Tolkin Feb 7, 2025 ▶ 7:22 Brian Tolkin, Head of Product @Opendoor: How to Hire the Best Product Teams | E1257 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Mar 31, 2025 positive
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Scott: Future AI product managers must be deep domain experts
“Your product managers are probably going to have to be domain experts, like people who sort of deeply understand something like medicine or, you know, drug discovery or early round venture investing, or, you know, like, you know, just sort of pick your thing.”
Kevin Scott Mar 31, 2025 ▶ 22:53 Kevin Scott, CTO @ Microsoft: An Evaluation of Deepseek and How We Underestimate the Chinese · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Apr 11, 2025
Insight
Nayak: Hypergrowth PMs Should Act as WD-40, Not Organizational Glue
“The framing that you should probably have is you're not glue, you're WD-forty.”
Aatish Nayak Apr 11, 2025 ▶ 10:34 20Product: How Scale AI and Harvey Build Product | Why PMs Are Wrong: They are not the CEOs of the Product | How to do Pre and Post Mortems Effectively and How to Nail PRDs | The Future of Product Management in a World of AI with Aatish Nayak
Apr 11, 2025 negative
Insight
Nayak: PMs Suffer From Main Character Syndrome and Try to Be CEO
“PMs have a main character syndrome sometimes that they have to be the CEO of the product, be this face of the product.”
Aatish Nayak Apr 11, 2025 ▶ 11:25 20Product: How Scale AI and Harvey Build Product | Why PMs Are Wrong: They are not the CEOs of the Product | How to do Pre and Post Mortems Effectively and How to Nail PRDs | The Future of Product Management in a World of AI with Aatish Nayak
May 16, 2025 negative
Insight
Yamashita: Early-stage startups should not hire product managers
“Smaller companies shouldn't have PMs because the founder is playing that role.”
Yuhki Yamashita May 16, 2025 ▶ 32:20 20Product: Figma CPO on How Figma Builds Products: What Works, What Does Not | How Figma Does Testing and Product Reviews | The Future of Design, Engineering and Product with Yuhki Yamashita
May 16, 2025
Insight
Yamashita: Non-designers prefer linear workflows over Figma's 2D infinite canvas
“But as we started building other products, we realized, and other audiences, they're like, oh no, people are confused by a two D canvas. They would prefer to be in more of a workflow where they can see one thing at a time. And so as we contemplated other Types…”
Yuhki Yamashita May 16, 2025 ▶ 27:23 20Product: Figma CPO on How Figma Builds Products: What Works, What Does Not | How Figma Does Testing and Product Reviews | The Future of Design, Engineering and Product with Yuhki Yamashita
Jun 2, 2025
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Mohan: Future PMs will build prototypes themselves using AI
“I think the expectation for PMs is not going to be down the line. It's not going to be, I tell someone to go and build something. It's going to be, you should go out and build it too, right?”
Varun Mohan Jun 2, 2025 ▶ 34:09 Windsurf CEO & Co-Founder, Varun Mohan: AI's Biggest Acquisition to Date! · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Jun 20, 2025 negative
Opinion
Kansu: Calling a product manager a "mini CEO" is the worst definition
“Product managers are sometimes viewed as these like, I'm the mini CEO. I decide strategy and then people execute. That is like the worst definition of a product manager that I've ever heard.”
Cem Kansu Jun 20, 2025 ▶ 6:41 20Product: How Duolingo Build Product 10x Faster with AI | Duolingo's Biggest Lessons on Paywalls, Push Notifications and In-App Purchases | Why Small Teams are the Future of Product | Why PMs Will Become Extinct with Cem Kansu, CPO @ Duolingo
Jun 20, 2025 positive
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Kansu: AI tools will cause engineering, product, and design roles to converge
“I think what is likely to happen is there is clear work definitions of what an engineer does today, what a product manager does, and what a designer does. I think these are going to converge way more than what's happening today in technology organizations.”
Cem Kansu Jun 20, 2025 ▶ 16:14 20Product: How Duolingo Build Product 10x Faster with AI | Duolingo's Biggest Lessons on Paywalls, Push Notifications and In-App Purchases | Why Small Teams are the Future of Product | Why PMs Will Become Extinct with Cem Kansu, CPO @ Duolingo
Jun 20, 2025 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Kansu: AI will completely transform product management within two years
“Honestly, now, probably in 12 to 24 months, the job of a PM will look entirely different. So I think we're talking about five years because that feels safe, but honestly, my guess now, or what I've changed my mind on is, it's going to be in two years, is my gu…”
Cem Kansu Jun 20, 2025 ▶ 1:12:34 20Product: How Duolingo Build Product 10x Faster with AI | Duolingo's Biggest Lessons on Paywalls, Push Notifications and In-App Purchases | Why Small Teams are the Future of Product | Why PMs Will Become Extinct with Cem Kansu, CPO @ Duolingo
Jul 27, 2025
Insight
Fanton: Playing Chess And Guitar Is A Strong Heuristic For Exceptional PMs
“If you know how to play chess and play guitar, your will be a great PM because it's the creative side together with analytical side. Chess is a great proxy for analytical capability and playing instruments is an amazing proxy. For creativity.”
Fernando Fanton Jul 27, 2025 ▶ 18:07 20Product: Should We Kill the PM Role Entirely | How Does Product Design Change Most in a World of AI | How Do Monzo Build Product Today: What Works, What Does Not | Why Most Product Sucks and What Makes Truly Great Product
Jul 27, 2025 neutral
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Fanton: Product Manager Roles Will Survive But Product Teams Will Shrink
“No, I don't think so. I think all the teams become smaller and more productive and more cross-functional.”
Fernando Fanton Jul 27, 2025 ▶ 17:49 20Product: Should We Kill the PM Role Entirely | How Does Product Design Change Most in a World of AI | How Do Monzo Build Product Today: What Works, What Does Not | Why Most Product Sucks and What Makes Truly Great Product
Aug 29, 2025 bullish
Opinion
James: 15 hours from elite fractional PM beats 50 full-time hours
“So I, I've worked with, like, a hundred PMs probably over the course of my career. I like his 15 to 20 hours more than most of their, like, 50 to 60 hours.”
Jason James Aug 29, 2025 ▶ 24:51 20Product: Why Most CPOs are Bad | Why You Do Not Need PMs in a World of AI | Why the Design Stage is Dead and How to Use Vibe Coding to Replace It | The Three Roles All Founders End Up Firing on Repeat with Jason James @ Tezi
Aug 29, 2025 negative
Opinion
James: Framing product managers as 'CEO of the product' is obnoxious
“Even just the idea of like CEO of the product, I think is really obnoxious and not helpful.”
Jason James Aug 29, 2025 ▶ 10:38 20Product: Why Most CPOs are Bad | Why You Do Not Need PMs in a World of AI | Why the Design Stage is Dead and How to Use Vibe Coding to Replace It | The Three Roles All Founders End Up Firing on Repeat with Jason James @ Tezi
Nov 14, 2025 negative
Opinion
Rivera: Product managers are not 'CEOs of their products'
“I don't like the thing like PMs are the CEOs of their teams because I think PMs serve the context they're in and their job is to keep a team aligned to the direction of the company.”
Carl Rivera Nov 14, 2025 ▶ 57:24 20Product: How AI Changes Product Design | Does the Design Phase Become Irrelevant in a World of Vibe Coding | The Five Pillars of Truly Great Product Design with Carl Rivera, Chief Design Officer at Shopify
Nov 14, 2025
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Rivera: Product managers and engineers will handle standard UI design via vibe coding
“I also don't think you will need a designer for all things. Like so much of this is going to just come from vibe coding and vibe designing. I think many of the surfaces that you have a designer's waste their time on today can be done just as well by a product …”
Carl Rivera Nov 14, 2025 ▶ 33:23 20Product: How AI Changes Product Design | Does the Design Phase Become Irrelevant in a World of Vibe Coding | The Five Pillars of Truly Great Product Design with Carl Rivera, Chief Design Officer at Shopify
Jun 6, 2026 positive
Insight
Lauritzen: AI Allows PMs to Test Prototypes Before Involving Engineers
“PEMs can prototype super, super fast. Which is really, really great because that means you can front load a lot of the work. So like a PM can start hyper long before once he or she has the, you know, smallest inkling of an idea that we might want to do this. T…”
Jacob Lauritzen Jun 6, 2026 ▶ 12:48 Inside Legora's Tech Stack: Why Token Maxing is Failing Enterprise Startups | Legora CTO · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
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