The Ledger
Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.
why aren't all 426 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Fallows: Alternative asset allocations rise in direct correlation with investor net worth
“If you start to get into a seven or an eight-figure portfolio, people, we, you do find that their so-called alternative asset or their private market exposure goes up in correlation with their net worth. So whereas your average person with a million dollars ma…”
Weisbrot: Vibe-coding AI tools are known to destroy sections of code
“Vibe coding tools have also been known to destroy sections of code.”
Windley: Traditional search firms charge a 33.3% fee per search
“And what you've pointed out is my theory of why there hasn't been as much change in this industry as in others, because it's such a good model for the hydrogen struggles, for the corn fairies, charging 33 and a third percent. Per search, right?”
Bilkowski: AI tools will adopt baseline platform fees with token overages
“Something like, say, a cursor or a lovable is a, you know, intermediary between you and these models. Likely what will happen is some sort of baseline platform fee, and then what looks like a added, added value cost per token on top of that that's fluctuating.”
Blue: Millennials Make Up Close to 60% of B2B Buyers
“It's close to 60% of B to B buyers are now millennials”
Kelly: Vast majority of US VC capital goes to a couple dozen firms
“There's 3200 VCs in the U S and You know, the vast majority of the capital goes into a couple of dozen of them, you know, in a handful of markets.”
Spahr: Claude, ChatGPT, and Grok cite press releases as authoritative sources
“And we have even seen in some of the answers that we've received back that Claude or ChatGPT or Grok is citing a published press release as an authoritative source of content.”
Hepworth: More millionaires exist on Earth than the 21M total Bitcoin supply
“There's only twenty one million. And so there's literally more millionaires on the planet than there are Bitcoin.”
Hepworth: Crypto Estate Planning and Inheritance Issues Have Been Solved
“And so the market is actually already solved for these issues. If you were just to Google like crypto, like Estate solutions. There's so many companies that are solving for this now. So these were issues maybe five, 10 years ago, and people aren't aware to the…”
Weldon: Study found 80% of SDR tasks can be automated
“I think the last study was 80% of them of the tasks they do are something that could be automated.”
Fish: European-style security doors and windows were never made in the US
“These types of doors and windows that we make have never been made in the U.S.”
McKay: Shopify Does Not Natively Recalculate Sales Tax on Edited Orders
“If you do it in Shopify, Shopify doesn't natively recalculate tax for you.”
The largest startup investor in France is the public bank
“Like the biggest investor in France is the French public bank, which is bonkers, if you ask me.”
Jamison: Venture capital liquidity timelines have stretched to 12-15 years
“The time to liquidity is getting pushed out way further. It used to be, you know, five, six, seven, eight years to get your money back. Now it's like 12, 1315, like even these venture funds keep getting extended.”
Corkadillo: Most business operators will use virtual AI agents within 12 months
“I will predict it within 12 months here. Most operators and entrepreneurs will have virtual agents all around them doing menial tasks.”
Stuart Cohen: Creators Cannot Pursue Infringement Damages Without Copyright Registration
“So then if you do not register your work, aside from making it harder to protect, you also cannot go after any kind of damages if people use your work without permission.”
Stuart Cohen: Many Photography Collections Have Licensed Archives to AI Models
“And then a lot of collections in, in the photography world, Have licensed large language models to scrape their archive to.”
Davis: The majority of YouTube views now occur on smart TVs
“Like now the majority of YouTube views are happening on smart TVs, right?”
Weisbrot: AI models already exist that read emotions from camera video
“If an AI has the ability to see your camera, then it can read your emotions. That, that, that kind of modeling has already been done.”
Goleshuk: AI interviewers dynamically probe candidates based on high-level screening goals
“With AI, you can just define the high level task. With like, this is what you need to figure out and AI will be interviewer from in yeah, in our case will essentially try to dig into the specific part of the candidate's experience to be able to get the answer.…”
Weisbrot: Lovable generates a full website and content in two minutes
“Now with lovable, I can literally give it a prompt and it will generate the website and the content inside the website for me in two minutes for free.”
Renoui: Saudi Arabia Consumes More Perfume Than Any Other Country
“You know, Saudi consumes perfume more than any other country in the world.”
Renoui: Trump tariffs add 10% to 50% to e-commerce cost of goods
“And we can talk, start talking about the tariffs that Trump just enforced. This is something that's adding anywhere from 10 to 50% on your cost of goods.”
Renoui: Cat Food Brands Outperform Dog Brands in the Middle East
“So cats are very popular here. So you also see cat Supplement brands or cat food brands do really well in this region, but when it comes to dog brands, it doesn't really pick up as much.”
Weisbrot: US CMOs with scaling experience demand $250k and 5% equity
“Like if we wanted to hire a chief marketing officer who's scaled a company from launch to You know, a million dollars a year in revenue, or two, two, five, 10, whatever. That person, especially if they're coming from a country like America, they're looking at …”
Todd: Company was first to sell residential and commercial HVAC online D2C
“We were the first to sell residential and light commercial heating and air conditioning equipment online direct to consumer, which broke open an industry and capitalized on the wave of e-commerce prior to many people even knowing that e-commerce was a thing.”
Booth: Front loader heavy equipment operators make $100K annually
“He's running a front loader and making a hundred grand a year and he's in an air conditioned cab and there's a lot of knowledge to moving dirt and moving earth and making it level and operating this equipment.”
Booth: Only 55-65% finish college, and 40% work in their field
“I think like only 55 or 65% finish college if they go to a four-year, and then within 10 years, only about 40% of them are doing what they went to school for.”
Franchises account for 8% of US retail businesses but 40% of revenue
“The little known fact is, is that franchising only makes up eight percent of retail businesses in America, only eight percent. But They produce 40% of the revenue.”
Verboven: Research shows CEO appointments succeed only half the time
“And we see from research that it's success one out of two. It's like flipping a coin.”
Bramlett: Stripe and PayPal close supplement merchant accounts at scale
“So if you use Stripe, which you can't really use in the supplement space, especially at scale or PayPal, they will close your accounts.”
Smith: Synchronous audio and video for celebrity AI clones is coming soon
“Today it is Techspace Chat. But in the very near future, it'll be full video with full audio and synchronous and that fundamentally changes the psychological kind of interaction that starts happening there because you know you're interacting with a virtual bei…”
Reaching age 85 carries a 50% likelihood of developing Alzheimer's
“The sad facts are that once we get to 85, we're about fifty-fifty likely to have Alzheimer's.”
CMS generally bars the use of psychotropics in US long-term care
“Today these psychotropics as a class of medications are not permitted for use in long-term care facilities here in the U S not permitted by the centers for Medicare and Medicaid services under most circumstances.”
Shelter dog adoption speed directly correlates with inner eyebrow movement
“There was a study done out of the UK that wanted to understand why certain dogs in shelters were adopted before others, and they looked at variables such as size, color, breed, disposition. None of that seemed to matter. What mattered was how well a particular…”
Tulla: Germany legally bans bankrupt founders from starting new companies
“If you build a company in Germany, and the company goes under and goes bankrupt, you are banned of starting a new company within a certain timeline.”
Cox: Plant Life Uses Up to 50 'Words' to Communicate
“Plant life has up, like, 50 words that, that they're communicating back and forth with each other. They share resources.”
Weisbrot: AI Can Now Analyze Brain Patterns to Visualize Dreams
“One of them was we can have an AI Review the brain patterns while you're sleeping and visualize your dream”
Weisbrot: AI Can Interpret Chicken Emotions From Sounds and Movements
“We can use AI to look at the sounds and the movements that chickens and other animals make and interpret their emotions.”
Appel: Occupancy rates in top-tier malls are near all-time highs
“And if anything, what's interesting is, you know, among the better properties, the occupancy rate is almost higher than it's ever been.”
Schurig: 79% of Voluntary Turnover Stems from Lack of Appreciation or Bad Managers
“CareerBuilder had a study showing that 79% of voluntary turnovers cited lack of employee appreciation as a number one reason or the immediate hiring manager.”
Schurig: 80% of New Recruiters Fail Within Their First Year
“80% of people that go into the industry don't make it a year, and then the statistics for recruitment firms that don't make it within a businesses is even, you know, seeing a higher failure rate.”
Schurig: Voluntary Turnover Costs Companies 0.5x to 4x Annual Salary
“25% of employees leave annually voluntarily, and so the cost to a company for that is anywhere from half of the annual salary to four times.”
Schurig: 70% of At-Risk Employees Believe Leaving Is Necessary for Career Advancement
“The other thing is that it showed that 70% of high risk employees are being recruited away, that they stated that they would most likely have to leave their company to be able to grow their career in advance.”
Schurig: 70% of Medical Device 510(k) Submissions Fail Initial FDA Approval
“70% of five 10 K submissions in, in the medical device space are not approved the first time.”
Hazlett: More people play pro football than serve as Fortune 1000 officers
“There are more people playing professional football than there are Fortune 1000 officers.”
Weisbrot: Wi-Fi light bulbs can map room interiors in real time
“Light bulbs enabled with Wi-Fi can essentially use light to create an image of the room in real time that can be recorded and sent somewhere else. You can essentially, without being inside of a room, see what's going on in that room from a distance using Wi-Fi…”
Washington AG let Todd's dot-com startup pay 6 cents on the dollar
“We ended up owing like a 100,000 dollars to people in that bubble burst and we couldn't pay any of the bills and people complained to the Washington state attorney general and Washington state attorney general contacted us, which was very scary. The very first…”