why aren't all 21 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public
record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable
ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't;
assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card:
▮▮▮▮▮ certainty ·
▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Prediction Partly held up
Yanowitz: Stock markets are 100% going to tank again
“Stocks are going to tank again 100%.”
Prediction Partly held up
Britton: Suzy will reach $100M ARR by mid-2025
“We will be there in the middle of 20, 25.”
Prediction Partly held up
Yanowitz: Federal Reserve balance sheet will reach $10 trillion
“I think we're, we'll be at 10 trillion dollars right on the feds balance sheet, which is basically the amount of money that's in the economy right now.”
Prediction Partly held up
Pompliano: Gold will crack $2,000 but not exceed $2,500
“My opinion is that it'll probably go, it'll crack 2000, but it won't go past 2500, right? So it'll kind of end up in like a 2020, a hundred dollar gold price point.”
Prediction Partly held up
Eugene Levin expects SEMrush to pass $80 million ARR in 2018
“I need to check the model, but yeah.”
Prediction Partly held up
Gutenberg lets anyone build New York Times-style rich layouts for free
“What New York Times spent probably tens of thousands of dollars to do a few years ago will be able to enable anyone with WordPress and Gutenberg to do just kind of out of the box.”
Prediction Partly held up
Rokt expects 2021 gross profit of just under $90M
“No, we, our gross profit, if you will, it will be about just under ninety million. So we measure it It's a slightly different way we measure it, but yeah, if you looked at it on a gross profit or gross contribution level, it's about ninety million.”
Prediction Partly held up
Cognism projects $11.5M revenue in 2020 and $20M in 2021
“We should finish this year at 11.5, and then next year, you know, I'm certain with the kind of metrics that we've got that we'll get, but we'll be at 20 at the end of next year.”
Prediction Partly held up
Pompliano: 2020 Pandemic Bailouts Will Widen US Wealth Inequality Gap
“And I think the same thing's going to happen here. Unfortunately, Is we're just going to continue to see a widening of that wealth inequality gap because the rich, right? And it's not even the top, it's like the top two percent understand how the game is playe…”
Prediction Partly held up
Google Will Soon Index Audio, Massively Boosting Podcast SEO
“No, but I think if you're a betting man, betting person, you would say Google will start indexing audio very soon, and that's what we think. So the SEO impact of podcasting will get massive, you know, for folks that have hundreds of shows.”
Prediction Partly held up
UserTesting expects to cross $100M ARR by mid-2020
“So we're going to cross a hundred million in ARR probably mid this year growing about 40%.”
Prediction Partly held up
VMware's revenue growth will continue to slow, but it will not die
“They're not going to die. I think their growth rate is going to continue to slow, but I don't think they're going to die. They've got a huge amount of cash that they generate.”
Prediction Partly held up
Volpini: WordLift reached €1.35M in H1 2023 and targets €2.5M by year-end
“In June this year, we've done 1.3 52. So we went beyond a hundred percent growth in the first semesters. And now, you know, the numbers is kind of slightly going down, but we were targeting 2.5000000 euro by the end of the year.”
Prediction Partly held up
Haaland projects SalesScreen will reach $8 million in revenue in 2023.
“Just to set, like, sales screen in a bit of a context we should be around eight million dollars this year.”
Prediction Partly held up
Akhtar: CyberSmart raised $10M and will likely raise $10M+ within weeks
“We've raised about ten million in cash, and we're gonna raise a lot more probably than ten million in the next few weeks”
Prediction Partly held up
Mediafly Expects to Close Series C by Early 2021
“We think we'll close this, our series C somewhere end of this calendar year first couple months of the next.”
Prediction Partly held up
Gorni: MailUp Group will reach €60M revenue in 2020, growing over 50%
“This year, our overall revenue will be around sixty million. So six zero. So growing more than 50%.”
Prediction Partly held up
Brightpearl on track to finish 2018 over $13.5M ARR
“We're on track for just over 13 and a half million.”
Prediction Partly held up
Kleczynski: Malwarebytes will surpass $130M ARR this year
“I think this year we'll go north of one 30.”
Prediction Partly held up
Barry: ConvertKit will generate $3.5M to $4M in 2016 revenue
“I tend to focus on the monthly numbers, but it's going to be, you know, three and a half, four million.”
Prediction Partly held up
Raizlabs projected $13 million to $14 million in 2016 revenue
“We're on track to 13, 14 this year.”