The Ledger

Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.

clear all ✕

why aren't all 21 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable

Prediction Partly held up
Yanowitz: Stock markets are 100% going to tank again
“Stocks are going to tank again 100%.”
Jason Yanowitz Apr 15, 2020 ▶ 14:55 New podcast: Jason Yanowitz on Consequences of Fed Stimulus, Socialism Next, Bitcoin Halving
Prediction Partly held up
Britton: Suzy will reach $100M ARR by mid-2025
“We will be there in the middle of 20, 25.”
Matt Britton Jan 30, 2024 ▶ 9:09 Suzy.com did $65m Revenue Last Year. 18% was services so how did he keep 75% gross margin?
Prediction Partly held up
Yanowitz: Federal Reserve balance sheet will reach $10 trillion
“I think we're, we'll be at 10 trillion dollars right on the feds balance sheet, which is basically the amount of money that's in the economy right now.”
Jason Yanowitz Apr 15, 2020 ▶ 20:12 New podcast: Jason Yanowitz on Consequences of Fed Stimulus, Socialism Next, Bitcoin Halving
Prediction Partly held up
Pompliano: Gold will crack $2,000 but not exceed $2,500
“My opinion is that it'll probably go, it'll crack 2000, but it won't go past 2500, right? So it'll kind of end up in like a 2020, a hundred dollar gold price point.”
Anthony Pompliano Apr 13, 2020 ▶ 50:48 New podcast: Anthony Pompliano on Price of Bitcoin, Gold, Chinese Power, Corporate Bailouts and 3 Places He's Investing
Prediction Partly held up
Eugene Levin expects SEMrush to pass $80 million ARR in 2018
“I need to check the model, but yeah.”
Eugene Levin Nov 9, 2018 ▶ 21:06 1203 SEMRush to hit $80m ARR This Year, Here's How
Prediction Partly held up
Gutenberg lets anyone build New York Times-style rich layouts for free
“What New York Times spent probably tens of thousands of dollars to do a few years ago will be able to enable anyone with WordPress and Gutenberg to do just kind of out of the box.”
Matt Mullenweg Feb 12, 2018 ▶ 8:52 933 Why Wordpress CEO Raised $300m, Replaced Himself, and New Gutenberg
Prediction Partly held up
Rokt expects 2021 gross profit of just under $90M
“No, we, our gross profit, if you will, it will be about just under ninety million. So we measure it It's a slightly different way we measure it, but yeah, if you looked at it on a gross profit or gross contribution level, it's about ninety million.”
Bruce Buchanan Mar 22, 2021 ▶ 3:33 Rokt Breaks $90m Gross Profit Coming out of Pandemic, 3 Revenue LInes, $500m+ Valuation?
Prediction Partly held up
Cognism projects $11.5M revenue in 2020 and $20M in 2021
“We should finish this year at 11.5, and then next year, you know, I'm certain with the kind of metrics that we've got that we'll get, but we'll be at 20 at the end of next year.”
James Isilay Oct 14, 2020 ▶ 19:19 Cognism Prospecting Tool Hits $10m Revenue, 40% Of Last Round Was Secondary
Prediction Partly held up
Pompliano: 2020 Pandemic Bailouts Will Widen US Wealth Inequality Gap
“And I think the same thing's going to happen here. Unfortunately, Is we're just going to continue to see a widening of that wealth inequality gap because the rich, right? And it's not even the top, it's like the top two percent understand how the game is playe…”
Anthony Pompliano Apr 13, 2020 ▶ 29:46 New podcast: Anthony Pompliano on Price of Bitcoin, Gold, Chinese Power, Corporate Bailouts and 3 Places He's Investing
Prediction Partly held up
Google Will Soon Index Audio, Massively Boosting Podcast SEO
“No, but I think if you're a betting man, betting person, you would say Google will start indexing audio very soon, and that's what we think. So the SEO impact of podcasting will get massive, you know, for folks that have hundreds of shows.”
Craig Hewitt Mar 27, 2020 ▶ 10:42 1707 How He Cheated Growth With $5k Acquisition on Day 1
Prediction Partly held up
UserTesting expects to cross $100M ARR by mid-2020
“So we're going to cross a hundred million in ARR probably mid this year growing about 40%.”
Andy MacMillan Mar 19, 2020 ▶ 6:10 1699 UserTesting Grabs $100m Series D w/ $84m in Revenues While Rest Of World Virus Panics, How Will CEO Spend Money?
Prediction Partly held up
VMware's revenue growth will continue to slow, but it will not die
“They're not going to die. I think their growth rate is going to continue to slow, but I don't think they're going to die. They've got a huge amount of cash that they generate.”
Ben Nye Nov 3, 2016 ▶ 13:01 EP 467: $60M Raised To Help CIO's Manage Their Cloud with CEO Ben Nye
Prediction Partly held up
Volpini: WordLift reached €1.35M in H1 2023 and targets €2.5M by year-end
“In June this year, we've done 1.3 52. So we went beyond a hundred percent growth in the first semesters. And now, you know, the numbers is kind of slightly going down, but we were targeting 2.5000000 euro by the end of the year.”
Andrea Volpini Oct 10, 2023 ▶ 4:33 AI Tool Profited $70k Last Month on $195k of Revenue. Plans to hit $3m ARR By December then Raise $5m.
Prediction Partly held up
Haaland projects SalesScreen will reach $8 million in revenue in 2023.
“Just to set, like, sales screen in a bit of a context we should be around eight million dollars this year.”
Sindre Haaland Jun 16, 2023 ▶ 2:18 How We Built a Culture To Drive Efficiency, $8m ARR, and $150k in ARR per Employee
Prediction Partly held up
Akhtar: CyberSmart raised $10M and will likely raise $10M+ within weeks
“We've raised about ten million in cash, and we're gonna raise a lot more probably than ten million in the next few weeks”
Jamie Akhtar Nov 13, 2022 ▶ 20:43 How I hit $3m in ARR during a pandemic, a war and a looming recession
Prediction Partly held up
Mediafly Expects to Close Series C by Early 2021
“We think we'll close this, our series C somewhere end of this calendar year first couple months of the next.”
Carson Conant Jul 12, 2020 ▶ 8:07 MediaFly To Acquire More, $20m in ARR, Burning $600k/mo, $28m Raised
Prediction Partly held up
Gorni: MailUp Group will reach €60M revenue in 2020, growing over 50%
“This year, our overall revenue will be around sixty million. So six zero. So growing more than 50%.”
Nazareno Gorni Jul 8, 2020 ▶ 2:55 MailUpGroup Market Cap Is $65m, CEO Feels Undervalued
Prediction Partly held up
Brightpearl on track to finish 2018 over $13.5M ARR
“We're on track for just over 13 and a half million.”
Derek O'Carroll Feb 4, 2019 ▶ 19:43 1290 How New CEO Rightsized Brightpearl, passed $12m in ARR
Prediction Partly held up
Kleczynski: Malwarebytes will surpass $130M ARR this year
“I think this year we'll go north of one 30.”
Marcin Kleczynski Feb 17, 2018 ▶ 8:55 938 Will 28 Year King of Malware IPO with $130m in ARR in Next 12 months?
Prediction Partly held up
Barry: ConvertKit will generate $3.5M to $4M in 2016 revenue
“I tend to focus on the monthly numbers, but it's going to be, you know, three and a half, four million.”
Nathan Berry Jan 3, 2017 ▶ 12:25 EP 528: ConvertKit Hits $480k MRR, Helping 10,000 Professional Bloggers Grow Email Lists with CEO Nathan Barry
Prediction Partly held up
Raizlabs projected $13 million to $14 million in 2016 revenue
“We're on track to 13, 14 this year.”
Greg Reyes Oct 13, 2016 ▶ 4:59 EP 447: $0 to $13M Agency Revenue in 10 Years with RaizLabs CEO Greg Raiz
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