| 67% | “67%” | Coogan: WSJ reports Anthropic valuation up 173% and Q2 profitability | John Coogan | May 22, 2026 | Supported |
| 67% | “67%” | Coogan: Roblox Captured 67% of Non-China Gaming Spend Growth | John Coogan | Feb 19, 2026 | Supported |
| 66.7% | “66.7%” | Hays: Ellison submitted escalating Paramount bids starting at $19 per share | Jordi Hays | Dec 10, 2025 | Supported |
| 64.6% | “64.6%” | Coogan: GPT-6 Astra scores 64.6% on Terminal Bench Science | John Coogan | Sep 4, 2026 | Supported |
| 62% | “62%” | Prediction markets give Paramount a 62% chance to acquire Warner Bros. | John Coogan | Feb 27, 2026 | Partly supported |
| 62% | “62%” | Vail Resorts' season pass revenue mix rose from 26% to 62% | John Coogan | Jan 7, 2025 | Supported |
| 61% | “61%” | Coogan: 61% of all VC funding went to AI last year | John Coogan | Jun 2, 2026 | Supported |
| 61% | “61%” | Coogan: Tesla delivered 5,175 Cybertrucks in July, up 61% MoM | John Coogan | Oct 14, 2024 | Supported |
| 60% | “60%” | Chesky: 60% of Airbnb Code Is Now Written by AI | Brian Chesky | May 8, 2026 | — |
| 60% | “60%” | Elon Musk's Memphis AI cluster operates at 11% utilization, wasting $12 billion | Anjney Midha | May 5, 2026 | — |
| 60% | “60%” | Huang: China produces at least 60% of mainstream chips | Jensen Huang | Apr 16, 2026 | Contradicted |
| 60% | “60%” | Field: Non-designers create 60% of files in Figma Make | Dylan Field | Feb 20, 2026 | — |
| 60% | “60%” | Coogan: Los Angeles sound stage occupancy has plummeted from 90% to 60% | John Coogan | Jan 21, 2026 | Supported |
| 60% | “60%” | Kalshi Markets Give Musk 60% Odds to Win OpenAI Lawsuit | John Coogan | Jan 20, 2026 | Supported |
| 60% | “60%” | Tesla's Texas refinery can supply lithium for over 500,000 EVs annually | Tyler Denk | Jan 16, 2026 | Supported |
| 60% | “60%” | Hays: Ellison submitted escalating Paramount bids starting at $19 per share | Jordi Hays | Dec 10, 2025 | Supported |
| 60% | “60%” | The 1930 Smoot-Hawley Tariff Act Caused Global Trade To Drop 60% | Andrew Ross Sorkin | Oct 15, 2025 | Partly supported |
| 60% | “60%” | Armstrong: AI Now Handles Roughly 60% of Coinbase Support Inquiries | Brian Armstrong | May 31, 2025 | — |
| 60% | “60%” | Petersen: China-to-US ocean freight bookings have dropped 60% | Ryan Petersen | May 4, 2025 | — |
| 60% | “60%” | Soda is the top SNAP item; 60% buys ultra-processed food | Calley Means | Apr 26, 2025 | Partly supported |
| 60% | “60%” | Hammond: China distorts trade via suppressed consumption and overproduction, not currency | Samuel Hammond | Apr 10, 2025 | — |
| 60% | “60%” | Kirsten Green says 60% of consumers prioritize health over friends and family | Kirsten Green | Apr 9, 2025 | Partly supported |
| 60% | “60%” | Asparouhov: Half of hard tech startups will die or sell for cheap | Delian Asparouhov | Apr 1, 2025 | — |
| 60% | “60%” | Akhund: About 60% of Mercury customers come from organic word of mouth | Immad Akhund | Mar 28, 2025 | — |
| 60% | “60%” | Coogan: AI could increase law firm margins despite 40% volume drop | John Coogan | Jan 23, 2025 | — |
| 60% | “60%” | Major Banks Offer 60% Valuation Buyouts for Government Appointees' Illiquid Shares | Jordi Hays | Nov 23, 2024 | Contradicted |
| 60% | “60%” | Donald Trump Owns 60% of Trump Media and Refuses to Sell | John Coogan | Nov 6, 2024 | Supported |
| 55% | “55%” | Hays: Private Funding for Video Game Studios Fell 55% in 2025 | Jordi Hays | Feb 21, 2026 | Supported |
| 53% | “53%” | Coogan: 53% of Odyssey Attendees Cited Nolan as Main Reason | John Coogan | Jul 20, 2026 | Supported |
| 52.9% | “52.9%” | Coogan: GPT-5.2 Thinking Benchmark Leaps to 52.9% from 17.6% | John Coogan | Dec 12, 2025 | Supported |
| 51% | “51%” | Sony Sells 51% of Bravia TV Business to TCL | John Coogan | Jan 24, 2026 | Supported |
| 50% | “50%” | Coogan: Meta Reassigned 30% to 50% of Core Engineers to Data Labeling | John Coogan | Jun 27, 2026 | — |
| 50% | “50%” | Ries: Meta-study of 55,000 companies links employee ownership to revenue growth | Eric Ries | May 26, 2026 | Supported |
| 50% | “50%” | Jensen Huang Calls AI Existential Threats and Job Destruction Claims Ridiculous | Jensen Huang | May 1, 2026 | — |
| 50% | “50%” | Huang: China has 50% of global AI researchers | Jensen Huang | Apr 16, 2026 | Partly supported |
| 50% | “50%” | Novak: Arm gross margins will drop to ~50% making chips | Turner Novak | Mar 27, 2026 | — |
| 50% | “50%” | Prediction markets give Paramount a 62% chance to acquire Warner Bros. | John Coogan | Feb 27, 2026 | Partly supported |
| 50% | “50%” | Hays: AI Job Losses Stem from Copying Twitter Cuts, Not AI | Jordi Hays | Feb 13, 2026 | — |
| 50% | “50%” | Hays: AI job cuts are mostly tech companies copying Twitter's layoffs | Jordi Hays | Feb 14, 2026 | — |
| 50% | “50%” | Coogan: Major Alcohol Stocks Suffered Massive Five-Year Declines | John Coogan | Jan 8, 2026 | Supported |
| 50% | “50%” | Coogan: MicroStrategy stock dropped 50% following a controversial published statement | John Coogan | Nov 15, 2025 | Supported |
| 50% | “50%” | Yan: Perpetuals trading generated over 50% of all crypto revenue | Jeff Yan | Oct 22, 2025 | Not publicly verifiable |
| 50% | “50%” | GameStop reduced SG&A expenses by around 50% | Ryan Cohen | Oct 21, 2025 | Supported |
| 50% | “50%” | Intel Stock Has Dropped Roughly 50% Since Early 2024 | Jordi Hays | Aug 30, 2025 | Supported |
| 50% | “50%” | Coogan: Gemini Daily Requests Grew Over 50% Quarter-Over-Quarter | John Coogan | Jul 26, 2025 | Supported |
| 50% | “50%” | Snap's market cap equals Meta's $14B Scale AI deal | John Coogan | Jun 14, 2025 | Supported |
| 50% | “50%” | Brown: DeepSeek's efficiency comes from stacking 10 to 15 compound gains | Will Brown | Apr 26, 2025 | — |
| 50% | “50%” | Farid: US has offered automation subsidies and 50% matching grants for a decade | Saman Farid | Apr 26, 2025 | Supported |
| 50% | “50%” | Means: Tobacco giants controlled 50% of US food supply in early 1990s | Calley Means | Apr 26, 2025 | Contradicted |
| 50% | “50%” | Means: Pharma makes up over 50% of news channel advertising | Calley Means | Apr 26, 2025 | Contradicted |
| 50% | “50%” | Means: 50% of US teens are overweight and 38% pre-diabetic | Calley Means | Apr 26, 2025 | Partly supported |
| 50% | “50%” | Hausman: Pi-05 model achieves 50% to 80% task success in unfamiliar homes | Karol Hausman | Apr 26, 2025 | Supported |
| 50% | “50%” | Groom: Consumer robotics deployment will require 98% to 99% reliability | Lachy Groom | Apr 26, 2025 | — |
| 50% | “50%” | Swyx: AI Autonomous Task Horizon Doubles Every 3 to 7 Months | Shawn 'swyx' Wang | Apr 9, 2025 | Supported |
| 50% | “50%” | Percentage of holdings sold signals more than absolute dollar size | Christian Garrett | Mar 27, 2025 | — |
| 50% | “50%” | Akhund: About 60% of Mercury customers come from organic word of mouth | Immad Akhund | Mar 28, 2025 | — |
| 50% | “50%” | Asparouhov: SpaceX holds 99% market share with ~50% gross margins | Delian Asparouhov | Mar 14, 2025 | — |
| 50% | “50%” | Hays: Roughly 50% of YouTube viewership takes place on TVs | Jordi Hays | Oct 14, 2024 | Supported |
| 49% | “49%” | Rosenthal: Microsoft owned 49% of OpenAI when ChatGPT launched | David Rosenthal | Oct 9, 2025 | Contradicted |
| 49% | “49%” | Meta is buying a 49 percent stake in Scale AI for $15B | John Coogan | Jun 14, 2025 | Supported |
| 47% | “47%” | Cohen: GameStop cut SG&A by 47% and $800M | Ryan Cohen | May 5, 2026 | Partly supported |
| 46% | “46%” | Polymarket Gives Google 46% Odds for Top AI Model by Year-End | Jordi Hays | Jul 26, 2025 | Supported |
| 45% | “45%” | Coogan: Oracle, Silver Lake, and MGX to own 45% of TikTok US | John Coogan | Dec 20, 2025 | Supported |
| 45% | “45%” | Coogan: Ramp data shows enterprise AI adoption stalled at 45% in November | John Coogan | Dec 12, 2025 | Supported |
| 42% | “42%” | Coogan: Magnificent Seven drove 42% of S&P 500 returns in 2025 | John Coogan | Mar 6, 2026 | Supported |
| 42% | “42%” | Coogan: China imports 74% of its oil and 42% of its gas | John Coogan | Jan 24, 2026 | Supported |
| 41% | “41%” | Coogan: Academic study finds Google AI Overviews cut organic clicks 40% | John Coogan | Jul 2, 2026 | Supported |
| 40% | “40%” | Shkreli: Some tech funds will be revealed down 30% to 40% | Martin Shkreli | Jul 30, 2026 | — |
| 40% | “40%” | Coogan: Academic study finds Google AI Overviews cut organic clicks 40% | John Coogan | Jul 2, 2026 | Supported |
| 40% | “40%” | Coogan: OpenAI bought 40% of global raw DRAM wafer output | John Coogan | Jun 27, 2026 | Partly supported |
| 40% | “40%” | Hays: Roku controls over 40% of connected TV engagement | Jordi Hays | Jun 16, 2026 | Supported |
| 40% | “40%” | Hays: Dell stock is up 222% year-to-date after earnings surge | Jordi Hays | May 30, 2026 | Supported |
| 40% | “40%” | Chesky: AI Resolves 40% of Airbnb Customer Support Inquiries | Brian Chesky | May 8, 2026 | — |
| 40% | “40%” | Samsung supplies HBM to Nvidia for H100 and Blackwell systems | John Coogan | Mar 19, 2026 | Supported |
| 40% | “40%” | Cuban: High Insurance Deductibles Turn Hospitals Into Subprime Lenders | Mark Cuban | Mar 19, 2026 | — |
| 40% | “40%” | Prediction markets give Paramount a 62% chance to acquire Warner Bros. | John Coogan | Feb 27, 2026 | Partly supported |
| 40% | “40%” | Block reduces its workforce by 40 percent, cutting 4,000 employees | Jordi Hays | Feb 27, 2026 | Supported |
| 40% | “40%” | Coogan: Block laid off 40% of staff and nearly 70% of engineers | John Coogan | Mar 3, 2026 | Partly supported |
| 40% | “40%” | Coogan: Figma Announced 70% WAU Growth and 40% YoY Revenue Growth | John Coogan | Feb 19, 2026 | Partly supported |
| 40% | “40%” | Patel: Hedge funds make up 40% to 50% of SemiAnalysis's business | Dylan Patel | Feb 3, 2026 | — |
| 40% | “40%” | Paul Tudor Jones Believes Current Market Resembles October 1999 Dot-Com Bubble | Andrew Ross Sorkin | Oct 15, 2025 | — |
| 40% | “40%” | Coogan: Azure Non-AI margins are 73% vs 30-40% for AI | John Coogan | Aug 9, 2025 | — |
| 40% | “40%” | Asparouhov: Salesforce Holds Only a 25% CRM Market Share | Delian Asparouhov | Aug 16, 2025 | Partly supported |
| 40% | “40%” | Coogan: Figma reaches around 70% on the Rule of 40 metric | John Coogan | Aug 2, 2025 | Supported |
| 40% | “40%” | Congress is considering a 40 percent budget cut to the NIH | Andrew Huberman | Jun 14, 2025 | Partly supported |
| 40% | “40%” | Huberman: Congress is considering a 40% cut to NIH research budget | Andrew Huberman | Jun 26, 2025 | Partly supported |
| 40% | “40%” | Sankar: Digital twins act like CI checks to integrate enterprise value chains | Shyam Sankar | Apr 28, 2025 | — |
| 40% | “40%” | Tisch: Early-stage startup deal flow has surged to 170% AI-focused | David Tisch | Apr 26, 2025 | — |
| 40% | “40%” | Handmer: Global Solar Panel Production Exceeds 1 TW, Growing 30-40% Annually | Casey Handmer | Apr 6, 2025 | Partly supported |
| 40% | “40%” | Coogan: AI could increase law firm margins despite 40% volume drop | John Coogan | Jan 23, 2025 | — |
| 40% | “40%” | Coogan: Average US Insurance Premiums Outpaced Inflation by 40% From 2017-2022 | John Coogan | Jan 13, 2025 | Supported |
| 40% | “40%” | Hays: Rapidly hiring 1,000 people produces a 20% to 40% failure rate | Jordi Hays | Dec 6, 2024 | — |
| 39% | “39%” | Hays: Chegg's 2025 revenue dropped 39% to $376M as market cap collapsed | Jordi Hays | Aug 14, 2026 | Supported |
| 39% | “39%” | US and Switzerland Reach Deal to Cut Tariffs on Swiss Exports | Jordi Hays | Nov 15, 2025 | Supported |
| 39% | “39%” | Coogan: Non-AI core infrastructure drove Microsoft Azure revenue growth | John Coogan | Aug 9, 2025 | Supported |
| 38% | “38%” | Coogan: Major Alcohol Stocks Suffered Massive Five-Year Declines | John Coogan | Jan 8, 2026 | Supported |
| 38% | “38%” | Polymarket Odds of Astronomer CEO Ouster Sit at 38% | Jordi Hays | Jul 19, 2025 | Supported |
| 38% | “38%” | Means: 50% of US teens are overweight and 38% pre-diabetic | Calley Means | Apr 26, 2025 | Partly supported |
| 36.9% | “36.9%” | Coogan: San Francisco office vacancy dropped from 36.9% to 33.5% | John Coogan | Mar 6, 2026 | Supported |
| 36% | “36%” | Apple receives 36% of Google's Safari search advertising revenue. | Tyler Cosgrove | Sep 6, 2025 | Supported |
| 36% | “36%” | Coogan: 77% of Chinese Expect AI Job Growth vs 36% in US | John Coogan | Jan 25, 2025 | Supported |
| 35% | “35%” | Means: 35% of American teens take chronic disease medications | Calley Means | Apr 26, 2025 | Contradicted |
| 34% | “34%” | Hays: Software Has Suffered Its Largest Non-Recessionary Drawdown in 30+ Years | Jordi Hays | Feb 13, 2026 | Supported |
| 34% | “34%” | Hays: Software stocks saw record 34% non-recessionary drawdown wiping out $2T | Jordi Hays | Feb 14, 2026 | Supported |
| 33.5% | “33.5%” | Coogan: San Francisco office vacancy dropped from 36.9% to 33.5% | John Coogan | Mar 6, 2026 | Supported |
| 33% | “33%” | Salesforce Ventures' $5 billion fund is generating an estimated 33% IRR | Marc Benioff | Oct 17, 2025 | — |
| 33% | “33%” | Coogan: Non-AI core infrastructure drove Microsoft Azure revenue growth | John Coogan | Aug 9, 2025 | Supported |
| 33% | “33%” | Coogan: Garnet Station Partners has compounded at 33% since 2014 | John Coogan | Dec 2, 2024 | Supported |
| 33% | “33%” | Sequoia-Backed Companies Represent 33% of Nasdaq Market Value | John Coogan | Dec 11, 2024 | Contradicted |
| 33% | “33%” | Coogan: AI ARC Prize completion rates rose from 33% to over 50% in 2024 | John Coogan | Dec 11, 2024 | Supported |
| 32% | “32%” | Coogan: Magnificent Seven drove 42% of S&P 500 returns in 2025 | John Coogan | Mar 6, 2026 | Supported |
| 32% | “32%” | Coogan: Americans over 70 hold 32% of US wealth | John Coogan | Feb 20, 2026 | Supported |
| 32% | “32%” | Hays: Polymarket puts only a 32% chance on Fordow being destroyed before July | Jordi Hays | Jun 28, 2025 | Supported |
| 32% | “32%” | Coogan: Hims & Hers drops record 32% after Novo Nordisk split | John Coogan | Jun 28, 2025 | Supported |
| 31% | “31%” | Walker: Tariffs shrink the retail-to-secondary watch price premium gap | Quaid Walker | Apr 17, 2025 | — |
| 31% | “31%” | Coogan: Hospital care is 31% of US health spending, outpatient drugs 8% | John Coogan | Nov 19, 2024 | Supported |
| 30% | “30%” | Shkreli: Some tech funds will be revealed down 30% to 40% | Martin Shkreli | Jul 30, 2026 | — |
| 30% | “30%” | Coogan: SpaceX's 10% to 30% day-one pop marks a successful IPO | John Coogan | Jun 13, 2026 | — |
| 30% | “30%” | Cue: 30% of Formula 1 Viewers Use Multiview on Apple | Eddy Cue | Apr 1, 2026 | — |
| 30% | “30%” | Kim: Geopolitical fears are causing an irrational Nvidia stock drawdown | Tae Kim | Mar 30, 2026 | — |
| 30% | “30%” | Coogan: Power transformer lead times reached over three years | John Coogan | Mar 6, 2026 | Supported |
| 30% | “30%” | Hays: TSMC's Arizona Fab Could Handle 30% of Advanced Production | Jordi Hays | Mar 6, 2026 | Partly supported |
| 30% | “30%” | Coogan: AI agents will entirely replace human GitHub commits by year-end | John Coogan | Feb 6, 2026 | — |
| 30% | “30%” | Coogan: Oracle, Silver Lake, and MGX will each own 15% of TikTok US | John Coogan | Jan 24, 2026 | Supported |
| 30% | “30%” | Coogan: Oracle, Silver Lake, and MGX to own 45% of TikTok US | John Coogan | Dec 20, 2025 | Supported |
| 30% | “30%” | Coogan: Apple's growth model shifted to extracting 30% from third-party apps | John Coogan | Dec 16, 2025 | — |
| 30% | “30%” | Sequoia-backed companies comprise roughly 30% of NASDAQ's total market cap | Shaun Maguire | Oct 30, 2025 | Supported |
| 30% | “30%” | SpaceX could eventually provide 20% to 30% of global mobile data | Shaun Maguire | Oct 30, 2025 | — |
| 30% | “30 percent” | Hays: Nvidia invests $10B for every $35B in GPUs OpenAI buys | Jordi Hays | Sep 27, 2025 | Supported |
| 30% | “30%” | Tan: Roughly 30% of YC companies pivot during their batch | Garry Tan | Jun 23, 2025 | — |
| 30% | “30%” | Roughly 30 percent of YC startups pivot during the batch | Garry Tan | Jun 14, 2025 | — |
| 30% | “30%” | Sankar: Digital twins act like CI checks to integrate enterprise value chains | Shyam Sankar | Apr 28, 2025 | — |
| 30% | “30%” | Brown: DeepSeek's efficiency comes from stacking 10 to 15 compound gains | Will Brown | Apr 26, 2025 | — |
| 30% | “30%” | Farid: Custom engineering represents 70% of industrial robotics costs | Saman Farid | Apr 26, 2025 | Supported |
| 30% | “30%” | Walker: Tariffs shrink the retail-to-secondary watch price premium gap | Quaid Walker | Apr 17, 2025 | — |
| 30% | “30%” | Randle: Top-tier scale startups can raise practically unlimited private capital | Everett Randle | Apr 17, 2025 | — |
| 30% | “30%” | Rauch: 5% of Vercel signups come from ChatGPT, growing 30% MoM | Guillermo Rauch | Mar 26, 2025 | — |
| 30% | “30%” | Automakers will increase consumer incentives as the vehicle market sits 30% oversupplied | Car Dealership Guy | Mar 19, 2025 | Held up |
| 30% | “30%” | Petersen: 30% of large Shopify merchants fulfilled US orders duty-free from Mexico | Ryan Petersen | Feb 28, 2025 | — |
| 30% | “30%” | Kering Asia-Pacific sales dropped 30% in 2024 | Jordi Hays | Feb 21, 2025 | Partly supported |
| 30% | “30%” | Jordy: Roblox stock dropped 30% following usage decline and short-seller report | Jordy (Geordie) | Feb 10, 2025 | Contradicted |
| 30% | “30%” | Coogan: Major Game Studios Have Zero Incentive to Adopt Crypto | John Coogan | Jan 25, 2025 | — |
| 30% | “30%” | Hays: S&P 500 up ~30% since Michael Burry tweeted 'Sell' | Jordi Hays | Dec 2, 2024 | Partly supported |
| 30% | “30%” | Hays: $5M–$6M ARR growing 30% is not a venture-scale opportunity | Jordi Hays | Nov 14, 2024 | — |
| 29% | “29%” | Lynch: Condé Nast digital subscription revenue grew 29% last year | Roger Lynch | May 12, 2026 | — |
| 28% | “28%” | Coogan: Stripe's PayPal Offer Is $53B With $50B Bank Debt | John Coogan | Jul 16, 2026 | Supported |
| 27% | “27%” | Paramount's Acquisition of Warner Bros. Discovery is Hollywood's Largest Merger | John Coogan | Jul 13, 2026 | Supported |
| 27% | “27%” | Coogan: Microsoft owns 27% of OpenAI's new for-profit entity | John Coogan | Jan 30, 2026 | Supported |
| 27% | “27%” | Coogan: DeepSeek-R1 API is 27 times cheaper than OpenAI's o1 | John Coogan | Jan 28, 2025 | Supported |
| 26% | “26%” | Vail Resorts' season pass revenue mix rose from 26% to 62% | John Coogan | Jan 7, 2025 | Supported |
| 25% | “25%” | Coogan: Study shows AI startups operate with 25% fewer employees | John Coogan | Aug 4, 2026 | Supported |
| 25% | “25%” | Coogan: Cursor hit $2B ARR and is growing 25% month-over-month | John Coogan | Mar 14, 2026 | Supported |
| 25% | “25%” | Coogan: Nvidia Can Export H200 Chips to China with 25% US Tax | John Coogan | Dec 11, 2025 | Supported |
| 25% | “25%” | Trump will allow Nvidia H200 sales to China for 25% cut | Jordi Hays | Dec 10, 2025 | Supported |
| 25% | “25%” | Asparouhov: Salesforce Holds Only a 25% CRM Market Share | Delian Asparouhov | Aug 16, 2025 | Partly supported |
| 25% | “25%” | Petersen: China-to-US ocean freight bookings have dropped 60% | Ryan Petersen | May 4, 2025 | — |
| 25% | “25%” | Perret: AI and deepfakes drive 20-25% annual financial fraud growth | Zachary Perret | Apr 8, 2025 | Supported |
| 25% | “25%” | Sean Frank: Solo Stove is shrinking 25% year-over-year and losing ~$50M | Sean Frank | Mar 24, 2025 | Partly supported |
| 25% | “25%” | Coogan: Asset-light land optioning increased homebuilders' ROE from 10% to 22% | John Coogan | Jan 16, 2025 | Supported |
| 25% | “25%” | Park City's freezing days are projected to drop 25% by 2050 | John Coogan | Jan 7, 2025 | Supported |
| 24% | “24%” | Hays: Sonos suffered a 24% drop in revenue in May | Jordi Hays | Jan 16, 2025 | Supported |
| 23% | “23%” | Coogan: Anthropic cloud inference costs ran 23% over projections | John Coogan | Jan 23, 2026 | — |
| 23% | “23%” | Shkreli: Jim Cramer's hedge fund averaged 23% annual net returns | Martin Shkreli | Jul 19, 2025 | Supported |
| 22% | “22%” | Coogan: "Empire of AI" wildly overstates Google data center water consumption | John Coogan | Nov 19, 2025 | Supported |
| 22% | “22%” | Coogan: Asset-light land optioning increased homebuilders' ROE from 10% to 22% | John Coogan | Jan 16, 2025 | Supported |
| 21.5% | “21.5%” | Coogan: Google Gemini AI market share surged to 21.5% | John Coogan | Jan 9, 2026 | Supported |
| 21% | “21%” | Hays: Monday.com dropped 21% after naming AI agents as competitive threat | Jordi Hays | Feb 11, 2026 | Partly supported |
| 21% | “21%” | Coogan: Major Alcohol Stocks Suffered Massive Five-Year Declines | John Coogan | Jan 8, 2026 | Supported |
| 20% | “20%” | Claude Mythos and GPT-5.5 score 20% and 15% on ExploitGym benchmark | Jordi Hays | Jul 23, 2026 | Supported |
| 20% | “20%” | Pronto's Autonomous Tech Has Surpassed Human Productivity in Mining | Travis Kalanick | Jul 22, 2026 | — |
| 20% | “20%” | Rocket Lab Agrees to Buy Iridium in $8B Deal | John Coogan | Jul 1, 2026 | Supported |
| 20% | “20%” | Hays: Roku controls over 40% of connected TV engagement | Jordi Hays | Jun 16, 2026 | Supported |
| 20% | “20%” | Prince: Companies have substantial control over their first-day IPO pop | Matthew Prince | Jun 10, 2026 | — |
| 20% | “20%” | Gerstner: Semiconductor stocks could see 10-20% pullbacks | Brad Gerstner | May 29, 2026 | — |
| 20% | “20%” | Coogan: Benchmark Still Holds Over 20% Ownership in Cerebras | John Coogan | May 12, 2026 | Contradicted |
| 20% | “20%” | Jensen Huang Calls AI Existential Threats and Job Destruction Claims Ridiculous | Jensen Huang | May 1, 2026 | — |
| 20% | “20%” | Gary Vee: Brands should spend 20% of marketing budget on organic social | Gary Vaynerchuk | Apr 24, 2026 | — |
| 20% | “20%” | Hays: Reuters Reports Meta Planning Layoffs of 20% or More | Jordi Hays | Mar 16, 2026 | Supported |
| 20% | “20%” | Epstein: Twenty percent of global oil production flows through Strait of Hormuz | Alex Epstein | Mar 10, 2026 | Supported |
| 20% | “20%” | Nvidia reports $68.1 billion in quarterly revenue, up 73% year-over-year | John Coogan | Feb 27, 2026 | Supported |
| 20% | “20%” | Hays: Over 20% of S&P 500 Suffered Single-Day Drawdowns Above 7% | Jordi Hays | Feb 13, 2026 | Supported |
| 20% | “20%” | Hays: Software CEOs post strong quarters but stocks drop 7% to 20% | Jordi Hays | Feb 13, 2026 | — |
| 20% | “20%” | Coogan: European luxury imports to China fell roughly 20% in 2024 | John Coogan | Jan 24, 2026 | Supported |
| 20% | “20%” | Hays: 20% of all ChatGPT queries are health-related | Jordi Hays | Jan 8, 2026 | Contradicted |
| 20% | “20%” | Coogan: Oracle, Silver Lake, and MGX to own 45% of TikTok US | John Coogan | Dec 20, 2025 | Supported |
| 20% | “20%” | Coogan: Rheinmetall guides for $58B sales and >20% margin by 2030 | John Coogan | Dec 3, 2025 | Supported |
| 20% | “20%” | Hays: Technical Benchmarks 20% Better Do Not Drive Consumer Switching | Jordi Hays | Aug 16, 2025 | — |
| 20% | “20%” | Glyman: Ramp purchase volume pacing up 20% month-over-month | Eric Glyman | Aug 2, 2025 | — |
| 20% | “20%” | Coogan: METR Study Found AI Coding Tools Made Developers 19% Slower | John Coogan | Jul 19, 2025 | Supported |
| 20% | “20%” | Hammond: China added 446 GW of power last year versus US net zero additions | Samuel Hammond | Apr 10, 2025 | Partly supported |
| 20% | “20%” | Randle: Databricks can make pre-revenue acquisitions that would crush Snowflake's stock | Everett Randle | Apr 17, 2025 | — |
| 20% | “20%” | Flo Crivello: A 10% AI Extinction Risk Is Unacceptably High and Under-Discussed | Flo Crivello | Apr 10, 2025 | — |
| 20% | “20%” | Patel: There Is a 10% to 20% Chance of AI Stagnation | Dwarkesh Patel | Apr 6, 2025 | — |
| 20% | “20%” | Housel: Investors with gambling urges should allocate 20% to speculative trading | Morgan Housel | Apr 8, 2025 | — |
| 20% | “20%” | Housel: You cannot cut 20% of effort because waste is unpredictable | Morgan Housel | Apr 8, 2025 | — |
| 20% | “20%” | Akhund: Venture debt is dangerous for pre-revenue startups seeking runway | Immad Akhund | Mar 28, 2025 | — |
| 20% | “20%” | Coogan: Standard YC playbook dilutes founders to single-digit equity | John Coogan | Mar 24, 2025 | — |
| 20% | “20%” | Holland: 100% bonus depreciation yields ~20% of aircraft purchase price in tax savings | Preston Holland | Mar 21, 2025 | Supported |
| 20% | “20%” | LVMH sales in China plunged around 20% in 2024 | John Coogan | Feb 21, 2025 | Partly supported |
| 20% | “20%” | Hays: Stargate consortium lacks even 20% of $500B committed | Jordi Hays | Jan 23, 2025 | — |
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