“China was a currency manipulator through throughout a lot of the 2000 and early 20 tens, but it really, that really hasn't been the main way that they cheat. They cheat by basically suppressing household consumption and, you know, having these 60% saving or savings rates. And so they ended up building these ghost cities and, you know, whatever technology they enter, whether it's cars or telecom equipment or pick, pick your poison, they just overproduce it to the maximum, drive down the cost worldwide, and then Have to find these export markets to dump it.”
quote is from the automated transcript, cleaned for reading:
filler sounds and stutters are removed, nothing is rephrased. names can be misheard
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More from Samuel Hammond
PredictionNot checkable as stated
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Opinion
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PredictionNot checkable as stated
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“If you do this all at once, what that means is the entire floor will fall out of the stock market and the real estate market. And, you know, with huge cascading effects through emerging calls.”
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AssertionSupported
Hammond: Nvidia continually circumvents export controls with sub-threshold chips like the H20
“Every time we introduce an expert control, NVIDIA's two weeks later has a new chip that just gets under the line of what's being controlled. And the latest one is the H-Twenty.”
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PredictionNot checkable as stated
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“In four years we're going to have such powerful AI systems that like really it swamps everything else.”
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AssertionPartly supported
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“China added 446 gigawatts of energy last year. It was a 20% year over year increase. They're going to do that again this year. We added zero net new energy. We had a lot of renewables, but it came directly out of coal and other sources.”
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