OpenAI

also referred to as: open ai

includes OpenAI Codex, OpenAI O1, OpenAI O3, OpenAI Deep Research, OpenAI O1 Pro, OpenAI Frontier, OpenAI o Series, OpenAI Startup Fund, OpenAI DevDay, OpenAI Operator, OpenAI Playground, OpenAI Podcast and 11 more

351 statements across 134 episodes · 173 bullish · 48 bearish · 63 people on the record · first statement Nov 3, 2024 by John Coogan · said 2,664 times in 345 episodes since 2024 · across every show →

Mentions by year, the whole family

brought up most by John Coogan (860), Jordi Hays (317), Dylan Patel (26), Sam Altman (16), Peter Steinberger (15), Will Depue (14), Mike Knoop (13), Tyler Hogge (11)

tap a year for its mentions
007501001,500200202420252026episodesmentions
0100200202420252026episodes it came up in
00510010200202420252026episodesmentions per episode
2026 1,096 mentions in 169 episodes 6 per episode
2025 1,433 mentions in 152 episodes 9 per episode
2024 135 mentions in 24 episodes 6 per episode

every mention, scene by scene, with the transcript →

Everything said about OpenAI, oldest first

Nov 3, 2024
Insight
Coogan: Tech firms benefit from manufacturing public enemies to stay underdogs
“You always want to be the underdog, and so even if you have to pay someone to talk trash about you, it's totally worth it.”
John Coogan Nov 3, 2024 ▶ 23:00 The Secret Billionaire Party (ep6)
Nov 6, 2024 negative
Opinion
Sam Altman Lapped Sundar Pichai's Google in AI While Google Coasted
“Yeah, he's making so much money, every employee's making a lot of money, the shareholders are doing well, everybody's just kind of coasting, and then you, it's like, boom, Sam Altman comes in and laps you on AI, all your AI products internally suck, Sam Altman…”
Jordi Hays Nov 6, 2024 ▶ 2:06:05 Trump's Secret Career (ep7)
Nov 14, 2024 neutral
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Coogan: Only OpenAI and Hyperscalers Can Build Gigawatt Data Centers
“OpenAI is the most well-funded, and so they're the ones, other than the hyperscalers, they're the ones that can actually go and build, like, the gigawatt data center, which is, like, a new thing that needs to be built. It, like, physically needs to exist befor…”
John Coogan Nov 14, 2024 ▶ 2:56:49 Low T levels at Y-Combinator (ep9)
Nov 15, 2024 bullish
Prediction Held up
Coogan: AI apps will dynamically route user prompts across models automatically
“Very quickly, they're going to be able to put a router in front of that and dynamically decide, oh, this is a question that needs to go to oh, one. This is a question that needs to go to four. Four O or whatever, and all of that will become extracted.”
John Coogan Nov 15, 2024 ▶ 1:12:51 Fact-Checking The Information (ep10)
Nov 16, 2024 bullish
Insight
Coogan: Creator AI wrappers capture value despite not disrupting foundation models
“She has a cornered resource in her audience. She's got attention where yes. Who knows if this is that much better than just asking vanilla chat GPT, but if she can drive people to this app, she can monetize that she's effectively acting as like an affiliate of…”
John Coogan Nov 16, 2024 ▶ 1:25:47 What is the TRUMP BUBBLE? (ep11)
Nov 19, 2024 neutral
Opinion
Hays: Altman's Grok vs ChatGPT post was savvy content marketing
“So I actually saw a deeper dive on that on Sam's post and it did seem like he had sort of strategically cropped it or screenshot it in a way to not give the sort of like final conclusion. So I think what Sam was doing is what, you know, a lot of people do, whi…”
Jordi Hays Nov 19, 2024 ▶ 1:53:04 Who's Getting Rich Off Ozempic? (e12)
Dec 2, 2024 bullish
Opinion
Coogan: OpenAI First-Mover Advantage Beat Fast Competitor Parity
“Gemini came out and was comparable, and Claude came out and was comparable very, very quickly, but being first was so powerful.”
John Coogan Dec 2, 2024 ▶ 2:51:59 How BILLIONAIRES dress for XMAS (ep17)
Dec 2, 2024 positive
Opinion
Coogan: OpenAI's UI Design Is Underrated Compared to Its Models
“The simple UI and the UI stuff at OpenAI is really underrated. I think everyone focuses on the research and the innovation and the actual models, but the UI and the user experience is just fantastic.”
John Coogan Dec 2, 2024 ▶ 2:52:49 How BILLIONAIRES dress for XMAS (ep17)
Dec 2, 2024 positive
Assertion Supported
Hays: OpenAI Built Consumer Scale After Wrappers Reached Tens of Millions ARR
“Before chat GPT, there were products like copy.ai that were leveraging the API well, and like had gotten to decent, not scale, but tens of millions of ARR, and then OpenAI was like, oh, actually we're a consumer product company now, and then now they have hund…”
Jordi Hays Dec 2, 2024 ▶ 2:52:29 How BILLIONAIRES dress for XMAS (ep17)
Dec 11, 2024 positive
Assertion Partly supported
Coogan: OpenAI Mac app leverages accessibility features to edit code across editors
“They use the accessibility features on the Mac app so that they don't need VS codes or text edits permission to go in there and rewrite the code. They just are able to read everything out, rewrite it, and just act as a AI assistant in there.”
John Coogan Dec 11, 2024 ▶ 1:23:43 How we became the fastest growing podcast (ep20)
Dec 11, 2024 bullish
Insight
Hays: Startups should announce OpenAI partnerships for PR upside
“If you can launch a partnership as in become a customer of open AI and make a press moment out of it, do it. There's not a lot of downside and there's like tons of potential.”
Jordi Hays Dec 11, 2024 ▶ 1:13:38 How we became the fastest growing podcast (ep20)
Dec 11, 2024 neutral
Assertion Contradicted
Coogan: OpenAI o1 is built on the GPT-4 foundation model
“The foundation model, yeah, it's still running GPT-IV, but obviously there's a lot of there's a lot of training to have that happens on top and a lot of UI stuff.”
John Coogan Dec 11, 2024 ▶ 2:36:12 How we became the fastest growing podcast (ep20)
Dec 11, 2024 bullish
Opinion
Coogan: OpenAI's o1 Pro is the best reasoning model and will see massive adoption
“This week OpenAI launched ChatGPT for a one pro and it's like the best model at reasoning and it should be, and I mean, like, let's just be clear. Like it's incredibly impactful. Like it's a great product. People are going to use it a ton.”
John Coogan Dec 11, 2024 ▶ 2:20:12 How we became the fastest growing podcast (ep20)
Dec 31, 2024 bullish
Opinion
Coogan: OpenAI o3 is underpriced and represents a major breakthrough
“Oh, three, I think is still underpriced. It's a big deal. Very, very big deal.”
John Coogan Dec 31, 2024 ▶ 1:07:33 Year of Tech in Review (ep25)
Dec 31, 2024 neutral
Assertion Supported
Coogan: OpenAI o3 high-compute configuration costs $2,000 per solve
“O-three is a reasoning model. The high version costs 2000 dollars per solve.”
John Coogan Dec 31, 2024 ▶ 1:03:39 Year of Tech in Review (ep25)
Dec 31, 2024 positive
Opinion
Hayes: OpenAI Maintained Insane Product Velocity Despite Co-Founder Departures
“That's why I put it at the top is despite all the drama and the various people, high profile people, co-founders leaving, the product velocity was still insane.”
Jordi Hays Dec 31, 2024 ▶ 9:13 Year of Tech in Review (ep25)
Dec 31, 2024 bullish
Prediction Held up
Coogan: OpenAI will introduce free-tier ads and up to $2,000/mo subscriptions
“Clearly all of that product stuff's getting ironed out and they're going to have ads in the free version all the way up to a 2000 dollar a month tier or 200 dollar a month tier.”
John Coogan Dec 31, 2024 ▶ 10:26 Year of Tech in Review (ep25)
Jan 7, 2025 negative
Assertion Partly supported
DeepSeek leapfrogged other AI labs by training on OpenAI's models
“That's not, didn't cover the fact that it seems like people have been figuring out that they just kind of like were able to leverage OpenAI's models and then like leapfrog using it.”
Jordi Hays Jan 7, 2025 ▶ 2:18:50 The END of Ski Season? (E26)
Jan 7, 2025 negative
Opinion
OpenAI's 'Sky' voice did not actually sound like Scarlett Johansson
“When I heard the her voice, I think it was a lot of people just pattern matching off the tweet, because I didn't actually think, like, oh, this, I'm talking to Scarlett Johansson. It did not seem that close.”
John Coogan Jan 7, 2025 ▶ 2:59:26 The END of Ski Season? (E26)
Jan 13, 2025 neutral
Opinion
Coogan: OpenAI's for-profit transition mirrors historical insurance demutualization
“Everyone's looking at the open AI for profit transition is like, it had never been done. It's so crazy. And it's like, I don't know, like, there's a lot of companies that have been through this. It's not that it's not that unprecedented.”
John Coogan Jan 13, 2025 ▶ 27:37 Insurance Companies Explained (How they actually work)
Jan 23, 2025 neutral
Assertion Partly supported
Hays: Stargate's $500B Plan Dwarfs Total 2024 US Startup Funding
“The companies are committing a hundred billion to the venture with plans to invest up to five hundred billion over the next four years, which actually seems- To put this into perspective, in twenty-twenty-four, I believe there was a hundred and sixty-eight bil…”
Jordi Hays Jan 23, 2025 ▶ 4:19 Project Stargate, The T Word, Ramp Treasury, Audience Ad Reads, See You at Davos
Jan 23, 2025 bearish
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Hays: Stargate consortium lacks even 20% of $500B committed
“It's clear to everyone involved that they certainly don't have 20% of the five hundred billion just sitting in an account. Like, that money has clearly not been committed.”
Jordi Hays Jan 23, 2025 ▶ 13:22 Project Stargate, The T Word, Ramp Treasury, Audience Ad Reads, See You at Davos
Jan 23, 2025 neutral
Opinion
Hays: OpenAI uses anon accounts and leaks for narrative dissemination
“Open AI I think is the best in the world at disseminating their story and the things that they want people to believe through a complicated network of terminally online and on accounts internal employees, leaks, you know, stuff like that.”
Jordi Hays Jan 23, 2025 ▶ 20:12 Project Stargate, The T Word, Ramp Treasury, Audience Ad Reads, See You at Davos
Jan 23, 2025 bearish
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Coogan: AI training scaling laws show diminishing returns since GPT-4
“When you 10 X the energy and tokens and data and all the work on the training, you do get a smarter model, but the increases have been diminishing. So as you spend 10 times more, It, you don't get the same increase from GPT three to GPT four.”
John Coogan Jan 23, 2025 ▶ 28:30 Project Stargate, The T Word, Ramp Treasury, Audience Ad Reads, See You at Davos
Jan 23, 2025 neutral
Insight
Coogan: Unprofitable AI labs must separate software and infrastructure vehicles
“OpenAI is a software company with different long-term cost structure than that of an infrastructure company. That's fine if you're at Microsoft scale and profitability, but for entities that are losing money and looking to raise more, it makes sense to be diff…”
John Coogan Jan 23, 2025 ▶ 21:28 Project Stargate, The T Word, Ramp Treasury, Audience Ad Reads, See You at Davos
Jan 23, 2025 positive
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Coogan: Microsoft Will Run Compressed OpenAI LLMs Across All Core Products
“So Microsoft is going to figure out how to slot the OpenAI API and the models into Excel, Word, Outlook, all their products, and then it's going to be an, it's going to be co-pilot on the desktop software. Everywhere there's a Microsoft product, there will be …”
John Coogan Jan 23, 2025 ▶ 39:26 Project Stargate, The T Word, Ramp Treasury, Audience Ad Reads, See You at Davos
Jan 23, 2025 neutral
Assertion Supported
Coogan: Stargate's First Texas Data Center to Be Run by Oracle
“Stargate's first data center will be in Texas. The site which started construction last year will be operated by Oracle and used by OpenAI.”
John Coogan Jan 23, 2025 ▶ 11:08 Project Stargate, The T Word, Ramp Treasury, Audience Ad Reads, See You at Davos
Jan 24, 2025 negative
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Coogan: AI agents will disrupt ad-based aggregators more than curatorial creators
“I think the monetization model for like fact aggregation is Changing significantly. I mean, the network celebrity net worth is a good kind of like canary in the coal mine for this. But if your job is just to collect content and put it on this on to one site an…”
John Coogan Jan 24, 2025 ▶ 2:05:50 DJI Suspicions, Stargate Turmoil, OpenAI Operator, F40 for the Mind
Jan 24, 2025 positive
Assertion Supported
Coogan: Google Gemini's underlying tech performance matches OpenAI
“If you look at the performance of the underlying technology at Google with Gemini, it's on par, if not like back and forth with open AI.”
John Coogan Jan 24, 2025 ▶ 1:58:18 DJI Suspicions, Stargate Turmoil, OpenAI Operator, F40 for the Mind
Jan 25, 2025 neutral
Opinion
Coogan: DeepSeek's training data relies heavily on OpenAI's GPT-4 API
“I think the training data, a lot of it is synthetic data that's been pulled from the GPT-IV API.”
John Coogan Jan 25, 2025 ▶ 41:53 DeepSeek, Stargate Update, Bees Do Enjoy Honey, Golden Retriever Maxxing, Bring on the Trilly
Jan 25, 2025 neutral
Assertion Supported
Coogan: OpenAI Will Run Its Own Cluster Management Software for Stargate
“OpenAI will main control of operations and run almost all of its own cluster management software.”
John Coogan Jan 25, 2025 ▶ 1:31:57 DeepSeek, Stargate Update, Bees Do Enjoy Honey, Golden Retriever Maxxing, Bring on the Trilly
Jan 25, 2025 neutral
Assertion Supported
Coogan: Stargate $500B figure represents total cost of ownership not upfront capex
“We believe this project is being measured on the total cost of ownership, not capital expenditures, i.e. The one hundred billion and the five hundred billion is TCO, which includes the capital expenditures for data centers, servers, Networking costs, power cos…”
John Coogan Jan 25, 2025 ▶ 1:20:12 DeepSeek, Stargate Update, Bees Do Enjoy Honey, Golden Retriever Maxxing, Bring on the Trilly
Jan 25, 2025 bullish
Insight
Hays: ChatGPT leads consumer AI through mindshare and search-like utility
“The reason that ChatGPT has stayed very dominant from a user standpoint is because they have the consumer mindshare. The average person is not like prompt engineering. They don't care about the context window. They're just almost using it like a Google that ca…”
Jordi Hays Jan 25, 2025 ▶ 6:08 DeepSeek, Stargate Update, Bees Do Enjoy Honey, Golden Retriever Maxxing, Bring on the Trilly
Jan 25, 2025 positive
Opinion
Hays: Sam Altman was right that OpenAI could not compete as a nonprofit
“It really, it does seem that he was correct in believing that you weren't going to be able to raise enough money via nonprofit structure to compete.”
Jordi Hays Jan 25, 2025 ▶ 1:01:34 DeepSeek, Stargate Update, Bees Do Enjoy Honey, Golden Retriever Maxxing, Bring on the Trilly
Jan 25, 2025 bearish
Opinion
Coogan: Stargate joint venture is incrementally negative for Microsoft long-term
“Microsoft is the biggest loser. Microsoft is largely left on the sidelines as OpenAI utilizes another infrastructure partner. As such, and Adele stated, all I know is I'm good for my eighty billion. Microsoft's recent blog post stated the facts of the partners…”
John Coogan Jan 25, 2025 ▶ 1:29:40 DeepSeek, Stargate Update, Bees Do Enjoy Honey, Golden Retriever Maxxing, Bring on the Trilly
Jan 25, 2025 positive
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Coogan: DeepSeek-V2 matched near-GPT-4 performance with one-twentieth the FLOPs
“DeepSeq V-II training required one-twentieth as much energy, essentially, one-twentieth the flops of GPT-IV, while not being far off in performance.”
John Coogan Jan 25, 2025 ▶ 10:49 DeepSeek, Stargate Update, Bees Do Enjoy Honey, Golden Retriever Maxxing, Bring on the Trilly
Jan 28, 2025 bullish
Prediction Open · timeframe Jan 2028
Coogan: Western AI Labs Will Port DeepSeek's Optimizations Into Their Models
“It's open source. The paper's out there. So that will get ported back to Llama, to OpenAI, to Anthropic, but I haven't seen that.”
John Coogan Jan 28, 2025 ▶ 50:51 DeepSeek Update, Market Crash, Timeline in Turmoil, Is VC Cooked, Zero Cope Policy
Jan 28, 2025 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Coogan: DeepSeek will push inference costs down and disrupt B2B AI
“And this will drive the cost down even further. So hugely disruptive to the B to B space.”
John Coogan Jan 28, 2025 ▶ 56:28 DeepSeek Update, Market Crash, Timeline in Turmoil, Is VC Cooked, Zero Cope Policy
Jan 28, 2025 positive
Opinion
Coogan: DeepSeek is a massive upgrade over free ChatGPT
“Like if you have ChatGPT free version and you download DeepSeq, that is a massive upgrade if you're a free user.”
John Coogan Jan 28, 2025 ▶ 1:05:21 DeepSeek Update, Market Crash, Timeline in Turmoil, Is VC Cooked, Zero Cope Policy
Jan 28, 2025 positive
Assertion Supported
Coogan: OpenAI's o3 High-Compute Mode Spent $3,000 to Solve a Benchmark Task
“Oh three, which isn't out yet, but is even more advanced in terms of reasoning. They have a high compute model. That spends almost 3000 dollars per task. And it just thinks for hours and hours and hours basically, and it was able to break arc that that AI, AGI…”
John Coogan Jan 28, 2025 ▶ 19:38 DeepSeek Update, Market Crash, Timeline in Turmoil, Is VC Cooked, Zero Cope Policy
Jan 28, 2025 negative
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Coogan: DeepSeek R1 failed prompt length test compared to OpenAI o1 Pro
“O-One Pro delivered basically exactly 5000 words, and it even, as it was writing the story, it would say like, introduction, 400 words. Act one, 600 words. And it totally, it kept this like internal log, and then at the end it was like, I have written 5400 wor…”
John Coogan Jan 28, 2025 ▶ 21:58 DeepSeek Update, Market Crash, Timeline in Turmoil, Is VC Cooked, Zero Cope Policy
Jan 28, 2025 neutral
Assertion Supported
Coogan: OpenAI's $200 o1 Pro uses the same model as $20 o1
“In fact, the O-one model is 20 dollars a month, is basically the same model used in the O-one Pro model for 10 X the price at 200 dollars a month, which raised plenty of eyebrows. The main difference is that O-one Pro thinks for a lot longer before responding”
John Coogan Jan 28, 2025 ▶ 16:29 DeepSeek Update, Market Crash, Timeline in Turmoil, Is VC Cooked, Zero Cope Policy
Jan 28, 2025 bearish
Opinion
Coogan: DeepSeek R1 Trails OpenAI by 18 Months and Lacks 0-to-1 Innovation
“Basically, you know, for years, that's covered and working on ways to allow language models, like GPT four to solve tasks that involved reasoning, like math and science problems in 20, 21, he launched a project called GPT zero. What did they launch? Deep seek …”
John Coogan Jan 28, 2025 ▶ 49:52 DeepSeek Update, Market Crash, Timeline in Turmoil, Is VC Cooked, Zero Cope Policy
Jan 28, 2025 positive
Assertion Supported
Coogan: DeepSeek-R1 API is 27 times cheaper than OpenAI's o1
“The deep seek R one API is currently 27%, 27 times cheaper than open AI's O one for a similar level of quality.”
John Coogan Jan 28, 2025 ▶ 37:04 DeepSeek Update, Market Crash, Timeline in Turmoil, Is VC Cooked, Zero Cope Policy
Jan 28, 2025 neutral
Insight
Coogan: AI companies should charge until a competitive model goes free
“Until until a competitive model, model goes free, you should not go free. This is just basic econ one-on-one. This is actually more capitalist. So like we are the capitalist. It's like charge until you can.”
John Coogan Jan 28, 2025 ▶ 1:26:37 DeepSeek Update, Market Crash, Timeline in Turmoil, Is VC Cooked, Zero Cope Policy
Feb 8, 2025 neutral
Insight
Coogan: OpenAI Deep Research excels at substantiating theses, not originating them
“In other words, the model does a much better job of filling out a thesis than coming up with one. And so it seems like it's great. Deep research is super great for, hey, I already read the report. I understand this. I have a thesis. I just need you to go and p…”
John Coogan Feb 8, 2025 ▶ 8:48 Is APPLE Headed Downhill? (Investor Breakdown)
Feb 12, 2025 negative
Opinion
Altman: Musk uses lawsuits and takeover bids to slow OpenAI down
“I think he's probably just trying to slow us down. He obviously is a competitor. It's, you know, he's working hard, and he's raised a lot of money for XAI, and they're trying to compete with us from a technological perspective, from you know, getting the produ…”
Sam Altman Feb 12, 2025 ▶ 0:53 Elon Musk vs. Sam Altman Continues (WHO’S WINNING?)
Feb 12, 2025 negative
Disclosure
Altman: OpenAI and its mission are not for sale
“OpenAI is not for sale. The OpenAI mission is not for sale.”
Sam Altman Feb 12, 2025 ▶ 0:41 Elon Musk vs. Sam Altman Continues (WHO’S WINNING?)
Feb 19, 2025 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Coogan: AI and LLMs will create at least $1 trillion in value
“How, in what world does AI and LLMs not wind up being around a trillion dollars of value? I get that. Like it could go any direction and like how you slice that up. It could be very equal. It could be one winner take all. And you know, Hey, people are gonna ha…”
John Coogan Feb 19, 2025 ▶ 16:34 How Does GROK Compare? (Full Analysis)
Feb 19, 2025 positive
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Coogan: OpenAI is the only AI lab to organically build distribution
“OpenAI is the only AI lab to have organically built its own distribution channel.”
John Coogan Feb 19, 2025 ▶ 8:01 How Does GROK Compare? (Full Analysis)
Feb 19, 2025 positive
Assertion Supported
Coogan: OpenAI's o1 Pro beats R1 and Claude in Catan eval
“The top OpenAI thinking models, O-one Pro get it too, but all of DeepSeek R-one, Gemini, two point O-flash thinking and Claude do not.”
John Coogan Feb 19, 2025 ▶ 33:22 How Does GROK Compare? (Full Analysis)
Feb 19, 2025 positive
Insight
Coogan: Developing AGI requires a capitalist for-profit structure to raise capital
“If you want to summon the AI God in a box, you gotta be a capitalist. It's not happening to a nonprofit. You're not just writing some clever algorithm with some altruistic.”
John Coogan Feb 19, 2025 ▶ 59:29 How Does GROK Compare? (Full Analysis)
Mar 5, 2025 positive
Assertion Supported
Rabois: Most OpenAI revenue comes from durable ChatGPT subscriptions
“OpenAI, most of their revenue comes from ChatGPT subscriptions. That's pretty durable. Consumers or people using it, you know, for business applications, but on an individual basis.”
Keith Rabois Mar 5, 2025 ▶ 11:52 "Work at an outstanding organization first" - Keith Rabois Advice on Starting Companies
Mar 8, 2025 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Garry Tan predicts an inevitable AI shared memory layer for operating systems.
“The tricky thing is it's pretty clear that OpenAI, Anthropic, and you know, Windows, Apple, iOS, Android. Like, this is sort of how the OS almost inevitably will work, assuming that people still make software.”
Garry Tan Mar 8, 2025 ▶ 19:31 Garry Tan talks the state of YC, the impact of AI, and the dawn of innovation.
Mar 12, 2025 bearish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Lessin: OpenAI is trapped in the middle and will lose
“Candidly, even companies like open AI, or should we say nonprofits like open AI, the problem is they're kind of in the middle, you know, they can't compete. With the hyperscalers from just access to capital perspective. If this is a capital game, they're going…”
Sam Lessin Mar 12, 2025 ▶ 7:26 Sam Lessin on Meta, Artificial Intelligence, and Investing in Creators.
Mar 14, 2025
Disclosure
Ashlee Vance is writing a book on OpenAI; movie rights sold
“I'm doing a book on open AI and AI more broadly. And I've been working on that for like 18 months and penguin random house is going to publish that and sold a movie rights to it already.”
Ashlee Vance Mar 14, 2025 ▶ 12:12 Ashlee Vance on the Future of Media, Current Inspiration, and Upcoming Books.
Mar 17, 2025 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Bartlett: Most AI equity value will probably accrue to Big Tech incumbents
“And I think in large part, maybe with the exception of open AI, like the vast majority of the equity value will probably end up accumulating to the Facebooks and the Microsofts and the, you know, the Googles and I guess open AI as well.”
Logan Bartlett Mar 17, 2025 ▶ 25:58 Logan Bartlett talks about the history of VC, current sentiment, and are we back to 2021?
Mar 17, 2025 bullish
Opinion
Bartlett: OpenAI Should IPO Soon to Capitalize on Market Demand
“If I were open AI, I would try to get out sooner rather than later. Right. Cause I think there's this demand both from Institutional and retail to have exposure to some of these things. And if you look, I mean Palantir's where they're trading, and obviously th…”
Logan Bartlett Mar 17, 2025 ▶ 15:54 Logan Bartlett talks about the history of VC, current sentiment, and are we back to 2021?
Mar 24, 2025 neutral
Opinion
Foody: Ex-OpenAI founders prioritize AGI ideology over business unit economics
“I think a lot of it ties to just like the ideology around AGI, right? This is the most important problem in the world. And so how do we all race as fast as possible to get there rather than a lot of the, you know, unit economics and competitive dynamics that i…”
Brendan Foody Mar 24, 2025 ▶ 14:15 Brendan Foody on using AI to predict job performance and scaling from $1M to $100M in 11 months
Mar 28, 2025 positive
Opinion
Schneider: DeepSeek pushed efficiency earlier because it ran out of chips before US labs
“I think deep sea kind of came to that earlier. The sort of need to really push on kind of the efficiency frontier as opposed to the capability frontier, because they ran out of chips before the likes of OpenAI and Anthropic.”
Jordan Schneider Mar 28, 2025 ▶ 14:24 Jordan Schneider (ChinaTalk) On the US-China Power Struggle
Apr 1, 2025 bearish
Opinion
Asparouhov: OpenAI Sherlocked dozens of AI image startups into total irrelevance
“There's like a whole fucking set of like a hundred like AI image generation companies that all just got, you know, fucking Sherlock by open AI and are going to be totally irrelevant because like they've got the biggest brand and know they have the best technol…”
Delian Asparouhov Apr 1, 2025 ▶ 23:52 Delian Asparouhov on Defense Startups, NASA, Continuing Resolution and More
Apr 6, 2025 neutral
Disclosure
McLaughlin: OpenAI updates text models roughly every two months
“For these text models, we update them pretty often, right? Like every two months or so, like, you know, they're getting better. Like people are always kind of, you know, seeing these steady improvements.”
Aidan McLaughlin Apr 6, 2025 ▶ 2:42 Aidan McLaughlin (OpenAI) On ChatGPT, model welfare, and path to AGI
Apr 6, 2025 positive
Opinion
OpenAI researcher Aidan McLaughlin praises Anthropic's Claude 3 Opus
“My Sydney is, easy answer for me, is it was Claude Thoreopis. That was like such a great model, and you know, not an OpenAI model too, so y'all never say that. But, you know, a ton of life to it.”
Aidan McLaughlin Apr 6, 2025 ▶ 17:20 Aidan McLaughlin (OpenAI) On ChatGPT, model welfare, and path to AGI
Apr 6, 2025 positive
Disclosure
McLaughlin: OpenAI plans to unify its model selection
“We do plan to start unifying like, you know, our model selection.”
Aidan McLaughlin Apr 6, 2025 ▶ 5:16 Aidan McLaughlin (OpenAI) On ChatGPT, model welfare, and path to AGI
Apr 6, 2025 positive
Insight
McLaughlin: AI safety testing acts as racecar brakes enabling faster model deployment
“It's crazy at the Formula One level, how many people think the brakes are for slowing down, right? And, like, sometimes, like, to go as fast as possible, right? Like, to, you know, like, get this out into the world as quickly as possible to make, you know, lik…”
Aidan McLaughlin Apr 6, 2025 ▶ 22:47 Aidan McLaughlin (OpenAI) On ChatGPT, model welfare, and path to AGI
Apr 6, 2025 positive
Insight
McLaughlin: Continuous AI progress can feel weirdly discontinuous to outside users
“Even things that are continuous to us, right. Like, you know, as people that use these tools often still are sometimes weirdly discontinuous to like outsiders. Right. Or to let people that aren't as new to the product. But like, you know four O image gen is li…”
Aidan McLaughlin Apr 6, 2025 ▶ 3:15 Aidan McLaughlin (OpenAI) On ChatGPT, model welfare, and path to AGI
Apr 6, 2025 neutral
Insight
McLaughlin: Top AI Agents Won't Have Three-Second Viral Demos
“I do think that, like, some of the most important agents like, some of the, you know, like, most important things that we'll build over the next, like, few years might not have results that you can, like, look at in three seconds to be like, wow, like, great j…”
Aidan McLaughlin Apr 6, 2025 ▶ 24:23 Aidan McLaughlin (OpenAI) On ChatGPT, model welfare, and path to AGI
Apr 6, 2025 positive
Opinion
McLaughlin: GPT-4.5 was a really interesting moment for AI humor
“I will say you know, GPT 4.5 was like a really interesting moment for humor for me. Right. Where like, you know, I was testing this model internally a lot. And like one of the ways I like kind of realized like, wow, this actually is like a interesting step cha…”
Aidan McLaughlin Apr 6, 2025 ▶ 15:06 Aidan McLaughlin (OpenAI) On ChatGPT, model welfare, and path to AGI
Apr 6, 2025 positive
Disclosure
McLaughlin reads an OpenAI Deep Research report every night before bed
“Like, so before I go to bed, like I like generate like a deep research. I like, you know, remind myself, like, you gotta read the deep research tonight. Like I gotta, like, you know, it's just like brushing your teeth or something, right?”
Aidan McLaughlin Apr 6, 2025 ▶ 9:04 Aidan McLaughlin (OpenAI) On ChatGPT, model welfare, and path to AGI
Apr 6, 2025 neutral
Insight
McLaughlin: Initial Political and Capital Conditions Compound Drastically in AGI Trajectory
“That, like, little, little differences in the initial conditions kind of, like, of, you know, AGI being born, or, like, of the politics of the time, or, like, of the, like, capital distribution or whatever I think can compound to, like, incredible differences …”
Aidan McLaughlin Apr 6, 2025 ▶ 21:37 Aidan McLaughlin (OpenAI) On ChatGPT, model welfare, and path to AGI
Apr 6, 2025 bullish
Insight
McLaughlin: AI Agents Are a 'Nines of Reliability' Scaling Challenge
“The cool thing is, though, is that, like, you know, it's a nines of reliability scaling problem, that as you, like, kind of, like, push these nines out, and as you, like, make them more reliable in many more contexts at some point they are just doing, like, a …”
Aidan McLaughlin Apr 6, 2025 ▶ 24:52 Aidan McLaughlin (OpenAI) On ChatGPT, model welfare, and path to AGI
Apr 6, 2025 neutral
Assertion Supported
Knoop: OpenAI asked ARC Prize team to verify results on semi-private dataset
“Opening eye situation was a little different because they had reached out to us and said, Hey, we think we've got a really impressive result on the public eval set. And we'd like your help to verify. On the semi-private set, which is what we created that data …”
Mike Knoop Apr 6, 2025 ▶ 11:12 Mike Knoop (Arc Prize) on Why Scaling AI Won’t Get Us to AGI
Apr 9, 2025 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Wang predicts an OpenAI smartphone will seriously challenge Apple's iPhone
“But Apple has, is really fumbling, and they know it, and when OpenAI comes up with the OpenAI phone, I think it will be a serious challenge to Apple because Opening eyes. I open the iPhone. We'll just be smarter. You know it.”
Shawn 'swyx' Wang Apr 9, 2025 ▶ 26:42 Are AI AGENTS Learning to DREAM? | Shawn Wang on TBPN April 4th
Apr 10, 2025 neutral
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Crivello: OpenAI is burning cash on viral consumer toys because it raised $40B
“And like, OpenAI is burning money right now on the Ghibli thing, and they don't care because they raise like forty billion dollars to have infinite money.”
Flo Crivello Apr 10, 2025 ▶ 6:41 What AI and LEGO Have in Common | Flo Crivello on TBPN April 7th
Apr 17, 2025 positive
Assertion Supported
Alex Dhillon: OpenAI is a customer of Outtake AI
“We've been lucky to work with phenomenal places like you know, OpenAI is one of our favorite customers really pushed us when you think about the kinds of cybersecurity threats that they might be dealing with.”
Alex Dhillon Apr 17, 2025 ▶ 1:57 This Company is Changing Cybersecurity | Alex Dhillon on TBPN April 10th
Apr 25, 2025 bullish
Opinion
Kilpatrick: ChatGPT's consumer success was driven by its API business
“I think part of my core worldview is a lot of the reason that ChatGPT has been as successful as it has Is because there was an API business built around it.”
Logan Kilpatrick Apr 25, 2025 ▶ 6:40 Google's AI Comeback in Their Own Words - Logan Kilpatrick
Apr 25, 2025 neutral
Disclosure
Srinivas: Perplexity replaced a three-model agent pipeline with a single model
“Before O-three, the way we built, like, our agents, is there would be one model that gave, came up with a plan for the query, another model that would execute the plan by converting the plan to, like, Smaller queries, filtering links, calling searches, and the…”
Aravind Srinivas Apr 25, 2025 ▶ 27:35 Perplexity Founder Explains What Comes Next - Aravind Srinivas on TBPN April 23rd
Apr 25, 2025 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Srinivas: Most AI foundation model investment will go toward reinforcement learning
“I think RL is the place where most investments are gonna go to especially with models like O-three that are able to do tool calls pretty natively rather than being prompt engineered to do that”
Aravind Srinivas Apr 25, 2025 ▶ 27:35 Perplexity Founder Explains What Comes Next - Aravind Srinivas on TBPN April 23rd
Apr 26, 2025 positive
Insight
Brown: OpenAI's o3 qualifies as 10-minute AGI
“I'm happy to call O three, 10 minute AGI. And I think like framing AGI in terms of like length of time, it takes a human to do a task is like more reasonable than like a global framing. Like, sure. There's a bar of like drop and replace for a human that we are…”
Will Brown Apr 26, 2025 ▶ 8:34 Why Humor Is the True Test of AI Intelligence | Will Brown on TBPN
Apr 26, 2025 bearish
Disclosure
Wischoff: Beyond OpenAI, Claude, and Perplexity, consumer AI lacks daily stickiness
“I don't know that I found anything even personally sticky enough that I'm like every day, like, you know, like messing around with it. And I, well, I guess it's not fair. Like obviously like open AI, like Claude and perplexity. But I think like on the everyday…”
Nichole Wischoff Apr 26, 2025 ▶ 15:05 Building Durable Funds in the Post-Boom Era | Nichole Wischoff on TBPN
Apr 26, 2025 bullish
Insight
OpenAI's limited bandwidth creates startup opportunities outside their top ten priorities
“If you have some strict stack ranking of the teams within open AI, like only 10 problems can have like the top 10 teams on it. And so if you're any, if you're doing anything after like the top 10 problems that they have, then you're like by definition don't ha…”
Mike Vernal Apr 26, 2025 ▶ 30:41 Why Patience Is the Secret to Building Iconic Companies | Mike Vernal on TBPN
Apr 26, 2025 positive
Assertion Supported
LiveKit's d'Sa: LiveKit built the infrastructure for OpenAI's ChatGPT voice modes
“Fast forward, like, about a year and a half, two years, and, ah, we built a demo when ChatGPT first came out, ah, where you could talk to it instead of text with it using LiveKit's infrastructure, and a few months later, OpenAI ended up finding it, ah, wanted …”
Russell D'Sa Apr 26, 2025 ▶ 21:31 Building the World’s Smallest Fusion Reactor | Robin Langtry on TBPN
Apr 26, 2025 positive
Assertion Supported
D'Sa: LiveKit partnered with OpenAI to build ChatGPT voice mode
“We built a demo when ChatGPT first came out, ah, where you could talk to it instead of text with it using LiveKit's infrastructure, and a few months later, OpenAI ended up finding it, ah, wanted to build a voice interface to ChatGPT, And we started to work pre…”
Russell D'Sa Apr 26, 2025 ▶ 1:14 Why Hallucination Is Good For AI Voice Agents | Russell D'Sa on TBPN
Apr 26, 2025 positive
Disclosure
Van Lancker: Free Agency Received Hundreds of Applicants from Top Tech Firms
“So we've had hundreds of applicants already. You know, these have been engineers and designers and companies like OpenAI and Databricks, SpaceX, Ramp, you know, like you name it. We have a Gen Z creator who has millions of followers more research focused peopl…”
Willem Van Lancker Apr 26, 2025 ▶ 8:11 Willem Van Lancker on Terrain’s Radical New Founder Program
Apr 28, 2025 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Kovacevich: Google, Meta, and OpenAI will lead US against China in AI
“Well, like, who do you think is going to do that? It's going to be Google, Meta, OpenAI, right? It's going to be those companies, right?”
Adam Kovacevich Apr 28, 2025 ▶ 20:56 Behind the Scenes of the Google Antitrust Trial | Adam Kovacevich on TBPN
Apr 28, 2025 neutral
Opinion
Misra: OpenAI Did Not Plan or Prepare for ChatGPT's Virality
“I think it was very clear that they hadn't prepared for the amount of virality that thing got. Right. Like even the name chat GPT kind of gives that away. Right. And so it wasn't a planned thing. It kind of just happened.”
Gaurav Misra Apr 28, 2025 ▶ 9:59 This Company Is Making Video Creation 100x Easier | Gaurav Misra on TBPN
Apr 28, 2025 bullish
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Partovi: OpenAI hired all 2024 new graduates through Neo
“Last year, OpenAI hired all of their new grad hires through NEO.”
Ali Partovi Apr 28, 2025 ▶ 22:35 Missing PayPal and Google Made Him a Better Investor | Ali Partovi on TBPN
May 4, 2025 positive
What-if
Tan: San Francisco would still be dying without OpenAI
“Without OpenAI success, SF would be dead and still dying.”
Garry Tan May 4, 2025 ▶ 4:16 We Went to DC to Interview Tech's Power Players
Jun 7, 2025 bullish
Insight
Mark Chen: Compute Can Scale Heavily into RL Given Right Levers
“I think, like, if you find the right levers, you can really pump a lot of compute into RL as well as pre-training.”
Mark Chen Jun 7, 2025 ▶ 1:28:16 Weekly Recap - Elon Vs Trump, Ukraine's Drone Attack, Cluely Update & OpenAI CRO
Jun 7, 2025 positive
Assertion Supported
Chen: OpenAI reached 3 million paying business users
“We hit a big milestone. We got I think three million paying business users fairly recently.”
Mark Chen Jun 7, 2025 ▶ 1:07:26 Weekly Recap - Elon Vs Trump, Ukraine's Drone Attack, Cluely Update & OpenAI CRO
Jun 7, 2025 positive
Insight
Chen: AI reasoning is the key mechanism to make agents reliable
“And I think the reason why we care so much about reasoning is because I think that's the path that we get reliable agents through.”
Mark Chen Jun 7, 2025 ▶ 1:26:43 Weekly Recap - Elon Vs Trump, Ukraine's Drone Attack, Cluely Update & OpenAI CRO
Jun 7, 2025
Insight
Chen: AI reasoning only emerges at large scale requiring massive compute
“When you look at reasoning you just don't see that happen at small scale, right? There's like a certain scale at which it starts becoming signal bearing and that requires you to have resources, right?”
Mark Chen Jun 7, 2025 ▶ 1:22:48 Weekly Recap - Elon Vs Trump, Ukraine's Drone Attack, Cluely Update & OpenAI CRO
Jun 7, 2025 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Chen: 2025 will be the year of autonomous AI agents
“We see 25 as this year of agents, right? We think of it as a year where models are going to do a lot more autonomous work. You can let them Kind of be unsupervised for much longer periods of time.”
Mark Chen Jun 7, 2025 ▶ 1:05:08 Weekly Recap - Elon Vs Trump, Ukraine's Drone Attack, Cluely Update & OpenAI CRO
Jun 21, 2025 neutral
Assertion Supported
Moore: OpenAI scrapes YouTube to train its artificial intelligence models
“I mean, we've seen companies like open AI will scrape YouTube as well to train their models.”
Justine Moore Jun 21, 2025 ▶ 1:29:36 Weekly Recap: Elon's Starship Explodes, OpenAI's Defense Contract, Nvidia's Robots, We Test Cluely
Jun 21, 2025 positive
Assertion Supported
Coogan: OpenAI secured a $200 million contract with the US DoD
“They scored a two hundred million dollar US defense contract. So they're working with the DOD.”
John Coogan Jun 21, 2025 ▶ 4:02 Weekly Recap: Elon's Starship Explodes, OpenAI's Defense Contract, Nvidia's Robots, We Test Cluely
Jul 1, 2025 neutral
Assertion Supported
Apple requested custom AI models from OpenAI and Anthropic for Private Cloud
“In his discussions with both Anthropic and OpenAI, the iPhone maker requested a custom version that could run on Apple's private cloud computer.”
John Coogan Jul 1, 2025 ▶ 19:18 Apple Considers New AI partnership
Jul 5, 2025 neutral
Assertion Supported
Coogan: OpenAI Recalibrates Compensation to Fight Meta Poaching While Balancing Fairness
“Chen promised that he was working with Sam Altman, the CEO of OpenAI and other leaders of the company around the clock to talk to those with offers, adding, we've been more proactive than ever before. We're recalibrating comp and we're scooping out creative wa…”
John Coogan Jul 5, 2025 ▶ 2:06:11 Weekly Recap: The Soham Parekh Drama, Meta Attacks OpenAI, Trump's Mega Bill
Jul 5, 2025 neutral
Opinion
Coogan: Meta Will Not Try To Directly Disrupt ChatGPT
“I don't think that Meta is necessarily going to try and go eat ChatGPT's lunch. Like I was revisiting that conversation that we had with Jeff Huber, and he was saying like, you know, he was kind of reiterating like, never bet against Zuck. Like he's working on…”
John Coogan Jul 5, 2025 ▶ 2:00:53 Weekly Recap: The Soham Parekh Drama, Meta Attacks OpenAI, Trump's Mega Bill
Jul 5, 2025 positive
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Coogan: OpenAI used FP8 weight storage two years before DeepSeek
“And when you talk to Dylan Patel, I was asking him about deep seek and how deep seek was doing all these innovations and like moving to floating .8, like smaller smaller, basically smaller numbers, storing the weights. And he was like, oh yeah, but open AI was…”
John Coogan Jul 5, 2025 ▶ 2:34:18 Weekly Recap: The Soham Parekh Drama, Meta Attacks OpenAI, Trump's Mega Bill
Jul 5, 2025 bullish
Opinion
Depue: OpenAI holds iPhone-like center of gravity as default AI winner
“I think as long as OpenAI doesn't totally drop the ball on product or research, like, they have the center of gravity for the AI world, like, in the same way that no matter what Android ships, people are not gonna switch from their iPhones, like, It's somethin…”
Will Depue Jul 5, 2025 ▶ 2:55:49 Weekly Recap: The Soham Parekh Drama, Meta Attacks OpenAI, Trump's Mega Bill
Jul 5, 2025 neutral
Assertion Supported
Coogan: Zuckerberg Poached Four Senior OpenAI Researchers For Meta AI
“Meta CEO Mark Zuckerberg successfully recruited four senior researchers from the company to join Meta's super intelligence lab.”
John Coogan Jul 5, 2025 ▶ 2:00:23 Weekly Recap: The Soham Parekh Drama, Meta Attacks OpenAI, Trump's Mega Bill
Jul 5, 2025 negative
Assertion Supported
Prince: Anthropic is 30,000x and OpenAI 750x harder than Google for traffic
“As you looked at open AI, it was about 750 times harder than with the kind of Google of old to get traffic with something like anthropic is 30,000 times harder.”
Matthew Prince Jul 5, 2025 ▶ 1:29:59 Weekly Recap: The Soham Parekh Drama, Meta Attacks OpenAI, Trump's Mega Bill
Jul 5, 2025 negative
Insight
Hays: Matching Competitor Poach Offers Creates Perverse Retention Incentives
“The other thing is, is it creates this like really nasty incentive. To basically be like, oh yeah, you know, you maybe got hit up by a meta recruiter like many months ago and you can be like, yeah, I mean, they reached out to me and suddenly they're like hover…”
Jordi Hays Jul 5, 2025 ▶ 2:07:51 Weekly Recap: The Soham Parekh Drama, Meta Attacks OpenAI, Trump's Mega Bill
Jul 19, 2025 positive
Opinion
Coogan: OpenAI owns knowledge retrieval, Anthropic owns codegen
“I would say open AI has dominated and owns knowledge retrieval. Anthropic owns Cogen, and they both have kind of flywheels that are accelerating.”
John Coogan Jul 19, 2025 ▶ 19:07 Weekly Recap: CEO Affair at Coldplay Concert, Elon Musk's AI Girlfriend, Cognition Acquires Windsurf
Jul 19, 2025 positive
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Coogan: Gemini matches OpenAI and Anthropic in research quality
“Gemini is, is at the same like level of like AI research quality as OpenAI anthropic by most benchmarks, by most people that use them.”
John Coogan Jul 19, 2025 ▶ 1:17:05 Weekly Recap: CEO Affair at Coldplay Concert, Elon Musk's AI Girlfriend, Cognition Acquires Windsurf
Jul 19, 2025 positive
Insight
Shkreli: AI Labs Should Partner with PE to Acquire Enterprise Data
“I sometimes joke that the big AI companies should become LBO shops. And what they can do is they can partner with KKR or Blackstone and all they get is the data. KKR and Blackstone pride the capital, get all the returns. Fine. But all the data comes back to, y…”
Martin Shkreli Jul 19, 2025 ▶ 2:29:23 Weekly Recap: CEO Affair at Coldplay Concert, Elon Musk's AI Girlfriend, Cognition Acquires Windsurf
Jul 26, 2025 bullish
Assertion Contradicted
Coogan: SemiAnalysis clocks ChatGPT at 71% of AI query share
“So semi-analysis, clocks, chat GPTs, share of queries, it's 71%. Meta is in second at 12%, and that's with billions of users on meta products, and so OpenAI is certainly running away with consumer.”
John Coogan Jul 26, 2025 ▶ 29:57 Weekly Recap: Casey Neistat, OpenAI Cracks Math, The Future of ChatGPT, Apple x F1, Intel Layoffs
Jul 26, 2025 positive
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Coogan: Long term, AI model routing will be fully prompt-driven
“I would imagine that over the long term, everything's driven by the prompt. I would love to be able to go to ChatGPT and just say, Hey, quickly, what's the population of Canada? And it knows to use for that. And then if I say, hey, I want you to give me a full…”
John Coogan Jul 26, 2025 ▶ 41:23 Weekly Recap: Casey Neistat, OpenAI Cracks Math, The Future of ChatGPT, Apple x F1, Intel Layoffs
Jul 26, 2025 bearish
Insight
Hays: Matching OpenAI's product quality is not enough to compete
“So if you come out and you're so good At what you do, that you can create as good of a product as OpenAI, models that are as good, you still don't need to exist. And so that is the challenge for anyone competing.”
Jordi Hays Jul 26, 2025 ▶ 32:44 Weekly Recap: Casey Neistat, OpenAI Cracks Math, The Future of ChatGPT, Apple x F1, Intel Layoffs
Jul 26, 2025 neutral
Insight
Coogan: Task-specific RL creates models that fail to generalize
“There's a ton of situations where you can go and RL on a specific task and it gets really, really good at it, but then you try and get it to do anything else and it's not that great.”
John Coogan Jul 26, 2025 ▶ 14:35 Weekly Recap: Casey Neistat, OpenAI Cracks Math, The Future of ChatGPT, Apple x F1, Intel Layoffs
Jul 26, 2025
Assertion Partly supported
DeepMind Waited for Marketing Approval While OpenAI Scooped IMO Result
“DeepMind got a gold medal at the IMO on Friday afternoon, but they had to wait for marketing to approve the tweet until Monday. OpenAI shared theirs first at one a.m. On Saturday and stole the spotlight.”
John Coogan Jul 26, 2025 ▶ 16:51 Weekly Recap: Casey Neistat, OpenAI Cracks Math, The Future of ChatGPT, Apple x F1, Intel Layoffs
Jul 26, 2025 neutral
Assertion Supported
Coogan: Google Used Lean Proof Verifier While OpenAI Used Text-Based LLMs for IMO
“Using this program called Lean that is a formal math proof verifier, and there's rumors that Google's building their system to leverage that a lot. OpenAI apparently went way, way down just the text-based LLM reasoning path and had a lot of success there.”
John Coogan Jul 26, 2025 ▶ 3:25 Weekly Recap: Casey Neistat, OpenAI Cracks Math, The Future of ChatGPT, Apple x F1, Intel Layoffs
Jul 26, 2025 bearish
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Hays: OpenAI's current revenue cannot support its massive Oracle commitments
“OpenAI needs to massively Scale infrastructure. And as we covered earlier this week, commit to spending tens of billions of dollars with Oracle. Yep. And their revenue today doesn't support that.”
Jordi Hays Jul 26, 2025 ▶ 1:19:28 Weekly Recap: Casey Neistat, OpenAI Cracks Math, The Future of ChatGPT, Apple x F1, Intel Layoffs
Jul 26, 2025 bearish
Opinion
Hays: Native ChatGPT image tools pose a massive challenge to wrapper startups
“This presents a massive challenge if you are a ChatGP a GPT rapper that's trying to go compete in the creative expression space because you have to, you, it's not enough to generate a cool image or generate a meme it used to be that if you could do text well, …”
Jordi Hays Jul 26, 2025 ▶ 43:00 Weekly Recap: Casey Neistat, OpenAI Cracks Math, The Future of ChatGPT, Apple x F1, Intel Layoffs
Jul 26, 2025 positive
Assertion Supported
Coogan: OpenAI Announced Gold-Medal Performance at Math Olympiad
“OpenAI has announced that they have won a long, they achieved the longstanding Grand Challenge in AI gold medal level performance on the world's most prestigious math competition, the International Math Olympiad.”
John Coogan Jul 26, 2025 ▶ 0:04 Weekly Recap: Casey Neistat, OpenAI Cracks Math, The Future of ChatGPT, Apple x F1, Intel Layoffs
Aug 9, 2025 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Coogan: OpenAI will undoubtedly be able to monetize ChatGPT with ads
“There's no doubt that they'll be able to put ads in this, like the business of the Of the accidental consumer company is as strong as ever”
John Coogan Aug 9, 2025 ▶ 2:09:38 Weekly Recap: Apple Sitting on $100B, Disney Enters The AI Race, Marc Andreessen, All About GPT-5
Aug 9, 2025 bullish
Opinion
Coogan: Model auto-routing gives OpenAI customer leverage and higher margins
“This change is more bullish for the business because it shows that, that OpenAI is a dominant consumer app and they have increasing leverage over the customer to route to cheaper models that will save money and be higher margin.”
John Coogan Aug 9, 2025 ▶ 2:09:16 Weekly Recap: Apple Sitting on $100B, Disney Enters The AI Race, Marc Andreessen, All About GPT-5
Aug 9, 2025 neutral
Prediction Open · timeframe Aug 2030
Andreessen: AI training data disputes must be solved by Congress
“In the case of training data, I think that there, I mean, there's a bunch of these copyright, you know, kind of lawsuits happening right now. There's, you know, the big New York Times opening, I won, and there's, you know, been a bunch of others. I think in th…”
Marc Andreessen Aug 9, 2025 ▶ 1:30:45 Weekly Recap: Apple Sitting on $100B, Disney Enters The AI Race, Marc Andreessen, All About GPT-5
Aug 9, 2025 neutral
Assertion Supported
Hays: 85% of ChatGPT's weekly active users are outside the US
“85% of their weekly actives are outside of the U.S.”
Jordi Hays Aug 9, 2025 ▶ 2:07:16 Weekly Recap: Apple Sitting on $100B, Disney Enters The AI Race, Marc Andreessen, All About GPT-5
Aug 9, 2025 positive
Assertion Supported
Hays: An o3-level reasoning model was open-sourced within a year of o1
“So less than one year between O one announced, which was September of 20, 24. And we have an O three level model open sourced that's runnable on consumer hardware, wild progress.”
Jordi Hays Aug 9, 2025 ▶ 57:01 Weekly Recap: Apple Sitting on $100B, Disney Enters The AI Race, Marc Andreessen, All About GPT-5
Aug 9, 2025 positive
Assertion Contradicted
Sonwalkar: GPT-5 costs half as much as o3
“Also it's half the cost of O three. So it's much cheaper. So it helps you, helps your margins.”
Rahul Sonwalkar Aug 9, 2025 ▶ 1:58:07 Weekly Recap: Apple Sitting on $100B, Disney Enters The AI Race, Marc Andreessen, All About GPT-5
Aug 9, 2025 bullish
Assertion Supported
Coogan: OpenAI generates around $1B per month in revenue
“Like, you know, they're generating, what, a billion dollars a month in revenue at this point. Everyone uses the app. It's installed everywhere. Like, that, that, that token demand is not going anywhere, that infrastructure demand is not going anywhere, so.”
John Coogan Aug 9, 2025 ▶ 14:30 Weekly Recap: Apple Sitting on $100B, Disney Enters The AI Race, Marc Andreessen, All About GPT-5
Aug 9, 2025 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Coogan: Power users criticizing GPT-5 will still use OpenAI within a month
“Let's check in with that person and see what app they have on their home row in a month. Almost certainly open AI. Almost certainly. I would be very shocked if they're like, I'm daily driving something else.”
John Coogan Aug 9, 2025 ▶ 2:10:11 Weekly Recap: Apple Sitting on $100B, Disney Enters The AI Race, Marc Andreessen, All About GPT-5
Aug 12, 2025 positive
Opinion
Coogan: Anthropic has outperformed OpenAI in X mindshare
“I feel like OpenAI has been more dominant just in the real world, and actually Anthropix done very well on X.”
John Coogan Aug 12, 2025 ▶ 7:44 BREAKING: Sam Altman VS Elon Musk
Aug 16, 2025 bullish
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Randle: ChatGPT drives the majority of industry foundation model revenue
“The majority of all of that, or at least the plurality of all of that is ChatGPT. And ChatGPT, even though it is served by a foundation model company, is an application. It is a consumer subscription that has an immense amount of power. It has an immense amoun…”
Everett Randle Aug 16, 2025 ▶ 1:51:12 Weekly Recap: Sam vs. Elon, Cluely's Crazy Ad, UFC x Paramount, Apple's AI Robot
Aug 16, 2025 positive
Opinion
Coogan: Anthropic leads narrative on X while OpenAI dominates real world
“I feel like OpenAI has been more dominant just in the real world, and actually Anthropix done very well on X.”
John Coogan Aug 16, 2025 ▶ 7:45 Weekly Recap: Sam vs. Elon, Cluely's Crazy Ad, UFC x Paramount, Apple's AI Robot
Aug 16, 2025 bearish
Disclosure
Altman: OpenAI treats advertising as a last-resort business model
“I kind of think of ads as like a last resort for us for a business model.”
Sam Altman Aug 16, 2025 ▶ 32:29 Weekly Recap: Sam vs. Elon, Cluely's Crazy Ad, UFC x Paramount, Apple's AI Robot
Aug 16, 2025 neutral
Opinion
Hays: Sam Altman and OpenAI are not shadowbanned on X
“And so I don't believe that he's like shadow banned. I don't believe that anyone in open AI is like shadow banned or being held back in the algorithm.”
Jordi Hays Aug 16, 2025 ▶ 8:08 Weekly Recap: Sam vs. Elon, Cluely's Crazy Ad, UFC x Paramount, Apple's AI Robot
Aug 21, 2025 positive
Disclosure
Cuban: Cost Plus Drugs gets significant traffic from ChatGPT
“We get a lot of traffic from open AI ChatGPG for costplusdrugs.com.”
Mark Cuban Aug 21, 2025 ▶ 3:11 Mark Cuban on AI, Career Advice, and Running for President.
Aug 23, 2025 positive
Disclosure
Cuban: Cost Plus Drugs gets significant traffic from ChatGPT
“We get a lot of traffic from open AI chat GPT for cost plus drugs.com.”
Mark Cuban Aug 23, 2025 ▶ 37:19 Weekly Recap: Mark Cuban, Kanye’s Wild Mansion Makeover, China Heads to the Moon, Money in Clipping
Sep 27, 2025 neutral
Assertion Supported
Hays: Nvidia invests $10B for every $35B in GPUs OpenAI buys
“The basics of this deal are for every thirty five billion dollars of GPUs that OpenAI buys, NVIDIA will invest ten billion. So they're effectively just like paying for GPUs with, like, 30 percent-ish equity.”
Jordi Hays Sep 27, 2025 ▶ 15:40 Weekly Recap: Matthew McConaughey on AI, Nvidia x OpenAI
Sep 27, 2025 neutral
Assertion Partly supported
WSJ: AI data center capacity costs $50 billion per gigawatt
“Each gigawatt of capacity is expected to cost roughly Fifty billion, Tyler. Fifty billion per gigawatt, that's the number in the journal, meaning the company is laying the groundwork for at least one trillion in infrastructure spending.”
John Coogan Sep 27, 2025 ▶ 56:27 Weekly Recap: Matthew McConaughey on AI, Nvidia x OpenAI
Sep 27, 2025 positive
Opinion
Altman: No partner but Nvidia can build infrastructure at this scale
“There's like no partner but NVIDIA that could do this at this kind of scale, at this kind of speed.”
Sam Altman Sep 27, 2025 ▶ 11:58 Weekly Recap: Matthew McConaughey on AI, Nvidia x OpenAI
Sep 27, 2025 bullish
Assertion Supported
Coogan: ChatGPT hits 700M weekly active users amid massive compute demands
“Company executives made it clear that the Abilene site was just the beginning, noting they envisioned a need for more than 20 gigawatts of computing capacity to meet the explosive demand for ChatGPT, which now has more than seven hundred million weekly users.”
John Coogan Sep 27, 2025 ▶ 52:11 Weekly Recap: Matthew McConaughey on AI, Nvidia x OpenAI
Oct 9, 2025
Assertion Contradicted
Rosenthal: Microsoft owned 49% of OpenAI when ChatGPT launched
“You know, at the worst moment for Google, when ChatGPT came out, Microsoft owned 49% of OpenAI.”
David Rosenthal Oct 9, 2025 ▶ 25:02 Acquired Podcast Hosts Break Down Google’s $1 Trillion Mistake
Oct 10, 2025 positive
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Peebles: Sora is the only video model reliably handling complex physics
“This model is a huge leap forward in terms of physics IQ. So pretty much all past video generation models really struggled with prompts that, you know, involve like backflips, gymnastics routines, et cetera. And this is really the only model that exists today,…”
Bill Peebles Oct 10, 2025 ▶ 3:39 Sam Altman on Sora, Social Media, The Future of AI, and More
Oct 10, 2025
Insight
Altman: Defensibility comes from repeatedly releasing cohesive innovations first
“I think like the key to this is not any one innovation, but it's repeatedly Putting them out again and again, and being first to come up with them and put them into a cohesive offering, and you know, that's what we want to be good at.”
Sam Altman Oct 10, 2025 ▶ 8:21 Sam Altman on Sora, Social Media, The Future of AI, and More
Oct 10, 2025 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Altman: OpenAI knows how to build a GPT-4 equivalent for video
“It was really not until GPT-IV where these text models started providing real value for people, and we know how to go make the GPT-IV equivalent of video models, and we will do that, and then a lot of these things that are currently annoying, like doors, or, y…”
Sam Altman Oct 10, 2025 ▶ 5:58 Sam Altman on Sora, Social Media, The Future of AI, and More
Oct 10, 2025
Disclosure
Altman shifts daily focus to acquiring compute rather than internal allocation
“You know, my real answer is I've entirely changed my focus of how I spend my days to just go get more compute rather than have to make the computer allocation decisions.”
Sam Altman Oct 10, 2025 ▶ 17:39 Sam Altman on Sora, Social Media, The Future of AI, and More
Oct 10, 2025 positive
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Peebles: 70% of Sora users are creating content post-launch
“One metric that we're really proud of with this launch so far is that 70% of our users are actually creating content, even to this day, you know, a week and a half after launch.”
Bill Peebles Oct 10, 2025 ▶ 12:35 Sam Altman on Sora, Social Media, The Future of AI, and More
Oct 10, 2025 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Altman: Most future content will be tool-assisted human generation
“What I expect will mostly happen in the future, which is Tool assisted human driven generation. I don't think you care that much if the content is great.”
Sam Altman Oct 10, 2025 ▶ 10:00 Sam Altman on Sora, Social Media, The Future of AI, and More
Oct 10, 2025 positive
Disclosure
Altman: Sora team made feed AI-only despite my initial pushback
“One design decision the team made that I thought was really great, and I was actually pushing them in a different direction earlier on, and then I decided they were totally right, and I thanked them and dropped it, was the fact that the feed is AI only. And no…”
Sam Altman Oct 10, 2025 ▶ 10:57 Sam Altman on Sora, Social Media, The Future of AI, and More
Oct 10, 2025 positive
Disclosure
Peebles: Sora creator monetization model updates are coming in weeks
“We're actively working on the team right now coming up with like the right monetization model here to get this rolled out. But it's really important to us, right? That our creators on the platform are rewarded and that there are clear, you know, financial ince…”
Bill Peebles Oct 10, 2025 ▶ 26:16 Sam Altman on Sora, Social Media, The Future of AI, and More
Oct 10, 2025 positive
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Peebles: Sora is approaching nearly two million weekly active users
“And so, you know, we're closing in on close to like two million weekly active users.”
Bill Peebles Oct 10, 2025 ▶ 13:42 Sam Altman on Sora, Social Media, The Future of AI, and More
Oct 10, 2025 positive
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Peebles: Video AI progressed from GPT-1 to GPT-3.5 equivalent in 18 months
“GPT-ONE really was Sora-ONE for this modality. And the progress we've made kind of in the last 18 months getting to this 3.5 moment, right, is really compressed compared to how long it took to go from GPT-ONE to 3.5 in the language domain.”
Bill Peebles Oct 10, 2025 ▶ 7:00 Sam Altman on Sora, Social Media, The Future of AI, and More
Oct 10, 2025 negative
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Altman: Competitors copying ChatGPT even replicate OpenAI's design mistakes
“A lot of people have tried copying ChatGPT in, you can go look at some of our competitors' apps, and they even copy the mistakes. They even copy the design decisions we really wish we hadn't made.”
Sam Altman Oct 10, 2025 ▶ 8:04 Sam Altman on Sora, Social Media, The Future of AI, and More
Oct 10, 2025 bullish
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Altman: Sora API has the fastest revenue ramp of any OpenAI model
“The reaction to The API has been nuts positive. Like I, at least the fastest ramping revenue I've ever seen for one of our new models in the API. I mean, maybe there was something faster than I'm not remembering, but the demand there has been just incredible”
Sam Altman Oct 10, 2025 ▶ 28:35 Sam Altman on Sora, Social Media, The Future of AI, and More
Oct 17, 2025 bullish
Disclosure
Salesforce utilizes models from OpenAI, Anthropic, Gemini, and xAI
“If you are your Slack user, you need to see the Slack bot that we introduced here, which is built on Anthropic. It's also amazing. So we use open AI. We use Anthropic. We use Gemini. I just did an interview with Sundar, you know, you can see it on YouTube. We …”
Marc Benioff Oct 17, 2025 ▶ 4:41 Marc Benioff on AI Agents' Biggest Problem
Oct 22, 2025 positive
Opinion
Hays: Sam Altman is becoming modern tech's preeminent dealmaker
“Sam Altman is kind of becoming the preeminent deals guy of the modern tech era.”
Jordi Hays Oct 22, 2025 ▶ 2:50 OpenAI Drops A Web Browser? Our Reactions | Diet TBPN
Oct 22, 2025 bearish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Hays: OpenAI Atlas will fail because it barely improves upon Google Chrome
“My prediction is that Atlas, in its current form, might be 1.1 times better than Chrome. And that will not be enough to get large scale consumer adoption.”
Jordi Hays Oct 22, 2025 ▶ 1:55 OpenAI Drops A Web Browser? Our Reactions | Diet TBPN
Oct 22, 2025 bullish
Insight
Hays: OpenAI could swap ChatGPT's model for Claude and retain users
“OpenAI could swap out the underlying model, And still accrue the vast majority of value. So, hypothetically, you could have ChatGPT, chat.com, powered not by GPT-Five, but instead powered by Gemini or Claude, and still see positive user growth, monetization, b…”
Jordi Hays Oct 22, 2025 ▶ 4:19 OpenAI Drops A Web Browser? Our Reactions | Diet TBPN
Oct 22, 2025 neutral
Assertion Supported
Hays: OpenAI announces web browser named Atlas
“OpenAI dropped a trailer announcing the browser, which is called Atlas.”
Jordi Hays Oct 22, 2025 ▶ 0:21 OpenAI Drops A Web Browser? Our Reactions | Diet TBPN
Oct 22, 2025 negative
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Hays: The OpenAI movie will probably be a brutal hit piece
“It's probably gonna be a brutal hit piece.”
Jordi Hays Oct 22, 2025 ▶ 13:15 OpenAI Drops A Web Browser? Our Reactions | Diet TBPN
Oct 22, 2025 neutral
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Chesky: ChatGPT will ultimately be just a distribution channel
“Where I think it goes is I think ChatGPT has to build an SDK that's really robust, and it will be just a channel. That's my guess, but we'll see. And I might be wrong”
Brian Chesky Oct 22, 2025 ▶ 26:08 Brian Chesky Live on TBPN
Oct 22, 2025 negative
Disclosure
Chesky: Initial OpenAI SDK lacked requirements needed for Airbnb integration
“There's a lot of things that precluded us from being able to have a really good integration with the current SDK as it is.”
Brian Chesky Oct 22, 2025 ▶ 21:45 Brian Chesky Live on TBPN
Oct 28, 2025 positive
Assertion Contradicted
Nadella: Microsoft Committed $13.5B to OpenAI Before ChatGPT Became a Hit
“I mean, if you look back, you asked how we put the billion, and the reality is we put the ten billion. Or the 13 and a half was fully committed before it became a thing, right? And remember that was all done before ChatGPT became a thing.”
Satya Nadella Oct 28, 2025 ▶ 17:32 Microsoft CEO Satya Nadella Live on TBPN
Oct 28, 2025
What-if
Nadella: Microsoft wouldn't have backed OpenAI without natural language focus
“I don't think I would have gone in full on to say, hey, let's go, you know, partner with these guys, build a computer that scales it if it's not natural language”
Satya Nadella Oct 28, 2025 ▶ 3:07 Microsoft CEO Satya Nadella Live on TBPN
Oct 28, 2025 neutral
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Nadella: Bill Gates warned Microsoft would burn its $1B OpenAI investment
“And then I think, you know, Billy even said, yeah, you're going to burn this billion dollars, right?”
Satya Nadella Oct 28, 2025 ▶ 4:13 Microsoft CEO Satya Nadella Live on TBPN
Oct 28, 2025 positive
Disclosure
Nadella: Seeing GitHub Copilot in 2021 triggered Microsoft's $10B OpenAI investment
“In fact, this is probably the place where that billion to ten billion haven't because in 21 is when I first saw GitHub Copilot.”
Satya Nadella Oct 28, 2025 ▶ 4:29 Microsoft CEO Satya Nadella Live on TBPN
Oct 28, 2025 bullish
Disclosure
Nadella: Azure Welcomes Anthropic, Grok, and Google Gemini Alongside OpenAI
“Hey, I'm happy with OpenAI. I would love to have Anthropic, MAI, Crock, anyone. If Google wants to put Gemini on Azure, please do so.”
Satya Nadella Oct 28, 2025 ▶ 12:37 Microsoft CEO Satya Nadella Live on TBPN
Oct 28, 2025
Assertion Partly supported
Nadella: Azure was OpenAI's first cloud provider after Musk requested credits
“Azure was the first cloud provider. When OpenAI got started. In fact, I think Elon sent me The mail asking for Azure credits.”
Satya Nadella Oct 28, 2025 ▶ 1:20 Microsoft CEO Satya Nadella Live on TBPN
Nov 4, 2025 bullish
Opinion
Gurman: Apple can copy any consumer hardware OpenAI builds
“In terms of Apple worried, I think Apple looks at this as something where they can be a fast follower. I don't, I think there are hardware products that OpenAI can bring to market that are innovative before Apple, but I don't think there's a product out there …”
Mark Gurman Nov 4, 2025 ▶ 36:21 Mark Gurman on Apple Glasses Release Date, The Next AirPods, The Problem With Siri & More
Nov 7, 2025
Assertion Supported
Sarah Friar says the White House regularly consults OpenAI as an expert
“We're always being brought in by the White House to give our point of view as an expert on what's happening in the sector, for sure.”
Sarah Friar Nov 7, 2025 ▶ 2:11 OpenAI Requesting Federal Backstop? | Diet TBPN
Nov 7, 2025 neutral
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Sam Altman predicts US government becomes insurer of last resort for AI
“At some level, when something gets sufficiently huge, whether or not they are on paper, the federal government is kind of the insurer of last resort. As we've seen in various financial crises and insurance companies screwing things up. So, I guess, given the m…”
Sam Altman Nov 7, 2025 ▶ 3:35 OpenAI Requesting Federal Backstop? | Diet TBPN
Nov 7, 2025 neutral
Opinion
Tyler Hogge says OpenAI seeks government backstops to rival cash-rich hyperscalers
“OpenAI is, is, is a new hyperscaler, and it's so hard to compete with the hyperscalers that have huge amounts of cash flow, that they need every advantage that they possibly can, right? And one way they could get an advantage is through programs like Sarah sug…”
Tyler Hogge Nov 7, 2025 ▶ 16:43 OpenAI Requesting Federal Backstop? | Diet TBPN
Nov 7, 2025 neutral
Prediction Held up
Tyler Hogge predicts the US government will provide AI loan backstops
“But a backstop of loans, I would expect that to happen.”
Tyler Hogge Nov 7, 2025 ▶ 11:02 OpenAI Requesting Federal Backstop? | Diet TBPN
Nov 7, 2025 negative
Opinion
John Coogan says OpenAI CFO acknowledging implicit government backstops creates moral hazard
“I don't think Sarah Fryer or anyone at OpenAI is asking to rewrite the playbook. But there's something that feels very moral hazard-y about the CFO of the most important company at the center of a massive economic wave, sort of telling everyone how the magic t…”
John Coogan Nov 7, 2025 ▶ 6:27 OpenAI Requesting Federal Backstop? | Diet TBPN
Nov 7, 2025 negative
Opinion
Tyler Hogge claims OpenAI seeks government guarantees to appease private AI lenders
“When I hear these comments from Sarah Fryer, what I'm hearing is we have a bunch of lenders that would happily finance this if there's a government guarantee that they won't lose money, and that's very different.”
Tyler Hogge Nov 7, 2025 ▶ 8:11 OpenAI Requesting Federal Backstop? | Diet TBPN
Nov 7, 2025 positive
Opinion
Sarah Friar says federal backstops reduce financing costs for frontier AI chips
“The backstop, the guarantee that allows the financing to happen. That can really drop the cost of the financing, but also increase the loan to value, so the amount of debt that you can take on top of an equity portion for some federal backstop for chip investm…”
Sarah Friar Nov 7, 2025 ▶ 1:25 OpenAI Requesting Federal Backstop? | Diet TBPN
Nov 13, 2025 neutral
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Hays: OpenAI and Microsoft Will Eventually Compete at Every Layer
“You know, you can imagine them ultimately competing on, like, every single layer, including at the, eventually, at the cloud layer.”
Jordi Hays Nov 13, 2025 ▶ 25:15 Wednesday’s Diet TBPN
Nov 15, 2025 neutral
Assertion Supported
Coogan: GPT-5.1 Widens Model Routing for Variable Reasoning Time
“I saw some charts that showed that it's more that they're just pushing the model router further to the edges, so it can Reason for even longer if it needs to, and it can reason for even less time if it just can come up with the answer quickly, more quickly.”
John Coogan Nov 15, 2025 ▶ 15:16 Blue Origin Lands Rocket, Valve Drops Steam Machine, Cantor Group Surges | Diet TBPN
Nov 19, 2025 neutral
Insight
Coogan: Nvidia earnings lag real-time AI demand due to five-year lead times
“Also with the Nvidia news, it's like, how much can you actually read into AI demand based on Nvidia earnings? Because I feel like we're projecting out like these deals five years in advance. We buy the chips, then we install them like that whole rumored decele…”
John Coogan Nov 19, 2025 ▶ 11:39 Cloudflare Outage, iMessages in Gemini 3, 𝕏 Reactions to Gemini 3 | Diet TBPN
Nov 22, 2025 neutral
Assertion Supported
Coogan: Andrej Karpathy broke AI consensus by projecting a decade of agents
“Even though he's worked at OpenAI, even though he's worked at Tesla, he broke rank, he went on the Dwarkesh Patel show, and said, you know what, I think we're more in a decade of agents. I think AGI might not be right around the corner. He took a contrarian st…”
John Coogan Nov 22, 2025 ▶ 11:11 The State of AI: A Field Trip to TBPN’s Aura Farm + Today’s Top Tech Stories | Diet TBPN
Nov 22, 2025 neutral
Assertion Supported
Coogan: Amazon has not signed an agentic commerce deal with OpenAI
“Amazon has not done a deal yet with OpenAI for the agentic commerce thing.”
John Coogan Nov 22, 2025 ▶ 10:21 The State of AI: A Field Trip to TBPN’s Aura Farm + Today’s Top Tech Stories | Diet TBPN
Nov 25, 2025 neutral
Opinion
OpenAI's upcoming hardware device is not yet a serious threat to Apple
“Now they're clearly going to survive there. It's not a serious threat, at least not yet. Maybe if this device is incredible, but right now Apple looks pretty strong from an AI perspective.”
John Coogan Nov 25, 2025 ▶ 12:44 Reverse Engineering 200 AI Startups, Nucleus Genomics Controversy, Drone Hunting | Diet TBPN
Nov 25, 2025 bullish
Opinion
Gemini 3 thinking queries match GPT-5 Pro reliability with less reasoning
“I feel like the level of confidence in the brand makes me feel that a Gemini three thinking query that does maybe less reasoning Then a GPT five pro query will be at the same level of reliability.”
John Coogan Nov 25, 2025 ▶ 3:03 Reverse Engineering 200 AI Startups, Nucleus Genomics Controversy, Drone Hunting | Diet TBPN
Nov 25, 2025 neutral
Prediction Not checkable as stated
The consumer AI market will shift from winner-take-all to a duopoly
“Maybe, maybe there will be a little bit more of a duopoly. There, it won't be such a winner-take-all market even though it has been historically, it's, it has been up to this date.”
John Coogan Nov 25, 2025 ▶ 8:42 Reverse Engineering 200 AI Startups, Nucleus Genomics Controversy, Drone Hunting | Diet TBPN
Nov 25, 2025 neutral
Assertion Contradicted
OpenAI's unique API rate-limiting curves expose companies using it under the hood
“The shape of that curve and the specific timings are unique to open AI.”
John Coogan Nov 25, 2025 ▶ 15:07 Reverse Engineering 200 AI Startups, Nucleus Genomics Controversy, Drone Hunting | Diet TBPN
Dec 3, 2025 bearish
Opinion
Hays: Siri's Gemini integration is an underrated threat to OpenAI
“It's an underrated threat for OpenAI. There's a lot of queries that all hit open ChatGBT on mobile. That are not even, like, super economic, but it's just a lot of my usage around, like, hey, just trying to learn about something or research a product, et ceter…”
Jordi Hays Dec 3, 2025 ▶ 27:08 The World’s Fastest Growing Defense Company, OpenAI’s Code Red, Google Strikes Back | Diet TBPN
Dec 3, 2025 bearish
Opinion
Coogan: OpenAI's Scattered Focus on Hardware and Social Hurts Discipline
“The scattershot nature raises questions about the company's discipline and ability to support these disparate initiatives. Is OpenAI a frontier research lab? A social network operator, a commerce engine, a hardware company, because it's hard to do all of that …”
John Coogan Dec 3, 2025 ▶ 8:56 The World’s Fastest Growing Defense Company, OpenAI’s Code Red, Google Strikes Back | Diet TBPN
Dec 3, 2025 bullish
Opinion
Coogan: OpenAI Could Swap Underlying Models Without Losing Consumer Dominance
“OpenAI has a strong hold on the consumer market to the point where if they swapped out the underlying model, they would still accrue tons of the value because people don't really know what model is which.”
John Coogan Dec 3, 2025 ▶ 13:21 The World’s Fastest Growing Defense Company, OpenAI’s Code Red, Google Strikes Back | Diet TBPN
Dec 3, 2025 neutral
Assertion Supported
Hays: Altman Memo Directed OpenAI to Personalize ChatGPT for 800M Users
“So what Sam said in the internal Slack memo is he was directing more employees to focus on improving features of ChatGPT, such as personalizing the chat bot for more than eight hundred million people.”
Jordi Hays Dec 3, 2025 ▶ 12:06 The World’s Fastest Growing Defense Company, OpenAI’s Code Red, Google Strikes Back | Diet TBPN
Dec 3, 2025 bearish
Assertion Supported
Hays: OpenAI's Sora Fell from #1 to #21 in App Store Charts
“Sora was, I think, number one in the charts at that point. It's now 21.”
Jordi Hays Dec 3, 2025 ▶ 8:50 The World’s Fastest Growing Defense Company, OpenAI’s Code Red, Google Strikes Back | Diet TBPN
Dec 3, 2025 negative
Assertion Supported
Hays: ChatGPT daily active users fell 6% following Google Gemini launch
“In the two weeks since the Gemini launched, ChatGPT unique daily active users, a seven-day average, are down six percent.”
Jordi Hays Dec 3, 2025 ▶ 16:35 The World’s Fastest Growing Defense Company, OpenAI’s Code Red, Google Strikes Back | Diet TBPN
Dec 3, 2025 bullish
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Chen: OpenAI has internal models matching Gemini 3 and better successors coming
“Just looking purely at the benchmarks, you know, we actually felt quite confident you know, we have models internally that perform at the level of Gemini three, and we're pretty confident that we will release them soon, and we can release successor models that…”
Mark Chen Dec 3, 2025 ▶ 10:27 The World’s Fastest Growing Defense Company, OpenAI’s Code Red, Google Strikes Back | Diet TBPN
Dec 12, 2025 neutral
Opinion
Coogan: Disney is picking OpenAI over Google as the winner in AI video
“It does feel like Disney's sort of like picking a winner here in AI video, and they're saying like, we like OpenAI and we don't like Google, which is sort of a bold move.”
John Coogan Dec 12, 2025 ▶ 21:23 Disney Partners with OpenAI, Breaking Down SpaceX’s IPO Plans, Oracle Slips | Diet TBPN
Dec 12, 2025 bullish
Assertion Supported
Coogan: Disney is investing $1 billion in OpenAI and licensing IP to Sora
“Disney, which is investing one billion dollars in OpenAI and is going to license their characters for use in Sora.”
John Coogan Dec 12, 2025 ▶ 19:23 Disney Partners with OpenAI, Breaking Down SpaceX’s IPO Plans, Oracle Slips | Diet TBPN
Dec 12, 2025 positive
Assertion Supported
Coogan: GPT-5.2 Thinking Benchmark Leaps to 52.9% from 17.6%
“GPT 5.2 thinking is at 52.9%, up from 17.6%. That's a huge leap.”
John Coogan Dec 12, 2025 ▶ 22:46 Disney Partners with OpenAI, Breaking Down SpaceX’s IPO Plans, Oracle Slips | Diet TBPN
Dec 12, 2025 negative
Assertion Supported
Hays: Disney accuses Google of massive copyright infringement with AI models
“As Disney has gone into business with OpenAI, the Mouse House is accusing Google of copyright infringement on massive scale, using AI models and services to commercially exploit and distribute infringing images and videos.”
Jordi Hays Dec 12, 2025 ▶ 20:55 Disney Partners with OpenAI, Breaking Down SpaceX’s IPO Plans, Oracle Slips | Diet TBPN
Dec 16, 2025
Assertion Supported
OpenAI eliminates six-month equity vesting cliff for employees
“OpenAI ended a policy earlier this week that required employees to work at the company for six months before their equity vested.”
Jordan Higgins Dec 16, 2025 ▶ 16:21 OpenAI ENDS Vesting Cliff
Dec 16, 2025
Assertion Supported
OpenAI projects $6 billion in stock-based compensation for 2025
“Company expects to spend six billion this year on stock-based comp, almost half of its projected revenue.”
Jordan Higgins Dec 16, 2025 ▶ 18:53 OpenAI ENDS Vesting Cliff
Dec 20, 2025
Assertion Supported
Hays: OpenAI urges White House to invest in Stargate supercomputing initiative
“In a letter to the White House sent this AM, this was yesterday, OpenAI encourages the federal government, government to invest in or contract with initiatives like OpenAI's Stargate to secure compute for public research.”
Jordi Hays Dec 20, 2025 ▶ 22:12 TBPN Year in Review
Jan 8, 2026 neutral
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Coogan: OpenAI's adult content will likely cause less backlash than Grok
“And then we get this, and it makes whatever erotica is going to come out of OpenAI is probably not going to be as controversial as what's happening with Grok right now, right?”
John Coogan Jan 8, 2026 ▶ 2:17 xAI Raises $20B, Anthropic’s $350B Valuation, OpenAI Launches ChatGPT Health | Diet TBPN
Jan 8, 2026 neutral
Assertion Contradicted
Hays: 20% of all ChatGPT queries are health-related
“20% of all the queries are. Okay, yeah. Are health related.”
Jordi Hays Jan 8, 2026 ▶ 25:58 xAI Raises $20B, Anthropic’s $350B Valuation, OpenAI Launches ChatGPT Health | Diet TBPN
Jan 8, 2026 neutral
Assertion Supported
Coogan: Over 40M people daily ask ChatGPT health questions
“Fiji gave some amazing stats here with more than forty million people globally turning to ChatGPT every day for health questions.”
John Coogan Jan 8, 2026 ▶ 25:49 xAI Raises $20B, Anthropic’s $350B Valuation, OpenAI Launches ChatGPT Health | Diet TBPN
Jan 14, 2026 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Coogan: OpenAI's rumored wearable will be an absolute blockbuster if shipped
“If they ship this, I think they got an absolute blockbuster on their hands.”
John Coogan Jan 14, 2026 ▶ 26:43 Siri needs an App, OpenAI Acquires health startup Torch, Claude Cowork reactions | Diet TBPN
Jan 14, 2026 positive
Assertion Supported
Coogan: OpenAI acquired healthcare startup Torch to unify medical records
“OpenAI. They've acquired Torch. It's a healthcare startup that unifies lab results, medications, and visit recordings.”
John Coogan Jan 14, 2026 ▶ 17:34 Siri needs an App, OpenAI Acquires health startup Torch, Claude Cowork reactions | Diet TBPN
Jan 16, 2026 bullish
Assertion Supported
Merge Labs raised $252M with backing from Sam Altman and OpenAI
“OpenAI and Sam Altman backing a new bold take on fusing humans and machines. It's called Merge Labs. We've heard about this before. We talked to Rob Taves. They now have two hundred and fifty two million dollars in the bank and an all-star, all-star crew.”
Tyler Denk Jan 16, 2026 ▶ 27:04 Big Tech turns to mining, Thinking Machines loses top executives, NYC Sauna Wars heat up | Diet TBPN
Jan 16, 2026 neutral
Assertion Partly supported
Multiple Thinking Machines employees and three co-founders return to OpenAI
“He says more thinking machine Employees are in the process of joining OpenAI after three of the startup's co-founders rejoined yesterday.”
Jordi Hays Jan 16, 2026 ▶ 9:33 Big Tech turns to mining, Thinking Machines loses top executives, NYC Sauna Wars heat up | Diet TBPN
Jan 20, 2026 bearish
Assertion Supported
Musk Legal Team Seeks $134B in Damages from OpenAI
“It's gonna be a hundred and thirty four billion dollars in damages is what Elon is seeking. Musk's legal team argues that his early funding and involvement materially contributed to OpenAI's rise, which is now valued at five hundred billion, and he wants a sli…”
John Coogan Jan 20, 2026 ▶ 28:30 X’s $1M Sweepstakes, Ben Affleck’s viral take on AI, Elon sues OpenAI for $134B | Diet TBPN
Jan 20, 2026
Assertion Supported
Kalshi Markets Give Musk 60% Odds to Win OpenAI Lawsuit
“There's an update to the Elon Musk OpenAI lawsuit, which is sitting at about 60% chance that Elon wins on Kalshi right now on the prediction market.”
John Coogan Jan 20, 2026 ▶ 28:02 X’s $1M Sweepstakes, Ben Affleck’s viral take on AI, Elon sues OpenAI for $134B | Diet TBPN
Jan 21, 2026 positive
Assertion Supported
Coogan: ServiceNow commits revenue in three-year deal to integrate OpenAI models
“So they signed a three year deal that will integrate the AI models. ChatGPT's models into ServiceNow's business software. The deal depends on customers using OpenAI's models within ServiceNow and also includes a revenue commitment from ServiceNow to OpenAI.”
John Coogan Jan 21, 2026 ▶ 27:14 Davos Reactions, Waymo in the News, WB & Netflix Strike All Cash Deal | Diet TBPN
Jan 21, 2026 neutral
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Amodei: Anthropic rarely faces Chinese AI models in enterprise contract bids
“When we go out, when we're you know, competing against other companies for enterprise contracts, We see, just honestly and candidly, we see Google, and we see OpenAI. Every once in a while, we see a couple other US players. I have almost never lost a deal, los…”
Dario Amodei Jan 21, 2026 ▶ 2:19 Davos Reactions, Waymo in the News, WB & Netflix Strike All Cash Deal | Diet TBPN
Jan 22, 2026 neutral
Assertion Supported
Coogan: 20 OpenAI Employees Left to Join Thinking Machines at Inception
“20 people from OpenAI left during the Thinking Machines Foundation.”
John Coogan Jan 22, 2026 ▶ 14:52 Kling AI reaches 12M MAU, China's aging tech worker crisis, drama at ThinkingMachine | Diet TBPN
Jan 23, 2026 neutral
Assertion Supported
Apple Reportedly Rebuilding Siri as OS-Integrated Chatbot 'Campos'
“Apple plans to revamp Siri later this year by turning the digital assistant into the company's first artificial intelligence chatbot, thrusting the iPhone maker into a generative AI race dominated by OpenAI on Google. The chatbot, codenamed Kempos, will be emb…”
John Coogan Jan 23, 2026 ▶ 24:34 Capital One Acquires Brex for $5B, Davos’s $500M business, Apple’s Siri rebuild | Diet TBPN
Jan 23, 2026 bullish
Assertion Supported
Altman: OpenAI added over $1B in API ARR in one month
“He shared today, we have added more than one billion of ARR in the last month just from our API business.”
Jordi Hays Jan 23, 2026 ▶ 23:16 Capital One Acquires Brex for $5B, Davos’s $500M business, Apple’s Siri rebuild | Diet TBPN
Jan 24, 2026 bearish
Assertion Supported
OpenAI Chair Bret Taylor admits AI is 'probably a bubble'
“Opening eye chair, Brad Taylor, says AI is quote, probably a bubble, expects a corruption in the coming years.”
John Coogan Jan 24, 2026 ▶ 16:40 China’s acquisition spree, TikTok reaches U.S survival deal, Tech Giants hit by spying | Diet TBPN
Jan 24, 2026 bullish
Opinion
Hays: Google has a massive infrastructure advantage over OpenAI in AI ads
“OpenAI has to not only, like, figure out how to actually implement ads within the product, but they have to build out all the advertising Like, infrastructure, the platform infrastructure, in order for people to run campaigns successfully and at scale. So, Goo…”
Jordi Hays Jan 24, 2026 ▶ 18:18 China’s acquisition spree, TikTok reaches U.S survival deal, Tech Giants hit by spying | Diet TBPN
Jan 28, 2026 positive
Opinion
Steinberger: OpenAI is superior for coding across large codebases
“Like for coding, I much prefer Codex because it can navigate large code bases. I literally, you can literally prompt and then push domain. And I have a very, I have like, 95% certainty that it actually works.”
Peter Steinberger Jan 28, 2026 ▶ 18:22 Full Interview: Clawdbot’s Peter Steinberger Makes First Public Appearance Since Launch
Jan 30, 2026 positive
Assertion Supported
Coogan: Microsoft owns 27% of OpenAI's new for-profit entity
“Microsoft owns 27% of OpenAI's new for-profit entity.”
John Coogan Jan 30, 2026 ▶ 6:28 Big Tech Earnings, Elon’s SpaceX–xAI Merge, Genie 3 | Diet TBPN
Feb 3, 2026 neutral
Assertion Supported
Huang: Nvidia never promised $100B in one OpenAI round
“No, we never said we were going to invest a hundred billion dollars in one round. That never was said.”
Jensen Huang Feb 3, 2026 ▶ 25:21 Moltbook goes viral, $100B OpenAI-Nvidia deal stalled, SpaceX merges with xAI | Diet TBPN
Feb 3, 2026 bullish
Disclosure
Huang: Nvidia will likely make its largest investment ever in OpenAI
“We will definitely be involved in their next, in their round. We will invest a great deal of money. Probably the largest investment we've ever made.”
Jensen Huang Feb 3, 2026 ▶ 27:46 Moltbook goes viral, $100B OpenAI-Nvidia deal stalled, SpaceX merges with xAI | Diet TBPN
Feb 3, 2026 neutral
Assertion Supported
Patel: OpenAI's 750MW deal is small compared to 16GW 2028 target
“So the OpenAI deal is like for seven 50 megawatts, it's not that much capacity. On the order of like what OpenAI has talked about, you know, by the end of 28 they'll be at like 16 gigawatts.”
Dylan Patel Feb 3, 2026 ▶ 9:06 FULL INTERVIEW: Dylan Patel Says We’re Still Underestimating AI
Feb 3, 2026 negative
Opinion
Patel: Market sentiment on OpenAI is peak negative due to Anthropic
“People are peak negative on OpenAI right now because of how good Anthropix has been killing it.”
Dylan Patel Feb 3, 2026 ▶ 22:01 FULL INTERVIEW: Dylan Patel Says We’re Still Underestimating AI
Feb 5, 2026 negative
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Hays: Anthropic falsely implies ChatGPT display ads will manipulate model responses
“As the ads that are coming to chat to be to your effectively display ads. Everybody in the industry by now should know this, yet this campaign implies that the ads will influence the response and that you cannot trust it.”
Jordi Hays Feb 5, 2026 ▶ 7:01 Anthropic-OpenAI war, Walmart hits $1T, Gas Town & Vibecoding | Diet TBPN
Feb 5, 2026 bearish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Hays: Effectively zero percent chance OpenAI wins the Super Bowl ad battle
“And there is zero, I will go out now and say, I would say there's effectively a zero percent chance that OpenAI can win the Super Bowl this year.”
Jordi Hays Feb 5, 2026 ▶ 16:15 Anthropic-OpenAI war, Walmart hits $1T, Gas Town & Vibecoding | Diet TBPN
Feb 5, 2026 neutral
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Altman: No public SaaS companies have sought OpenAI soft landings
“No one has, no public SaaS companies that I'm aware of have tried that with OpenAI.”
Sam Altman Feb 5, 2026 ▶ 14:16 FULL INTERVIEW: Sam Altman Responds to Anthropic’s Attack Ads, Live on TBPN
Feb 5, 2026 neutral
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Altman: More capable models may eliminate today's multi-agent abstractions
“I suspect like everything else that's happening when an industry is moving so fast, all of this is somewhat temporary on like a long enough time scale. And You, as these models become more capable and these agents are operating on very long time horizons with …”
Sam Altman Feb 5, 2026 ▶ 4:56 FULL INTERVIEW: Sam Altman Responds to Anthropic’s Attack Ads, Live on TBPN
Feb 5, 2026 bullish
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Altman: Critics claiming AI scaling is slowing or topping out have been wrong
“And for all of the concern people have about it's gonna, like, top out, or it's slowing down, or whatever, like, no one's been right about that. I mean, sometimes they, it looked like they were for a couple of months as we digested a new model or came to a new…”
Sam Altman Feb 5, 2026 ▶ 11:18 FULL INTERVIEW: Sam Altman Responds to Anthropic’s Attack Ads, Live on TBPN
Feb 5, 2026 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Altman: AI models will eventually automate company deployments
“The models will get so good that they'll help companies deploy themselves, and the forward-deployed engineers will again get to work at a higher level of abstraction.”
Sam Altman Feb 5, 2026 ▶ 3:37 FULL INTERVIEW: Sam Altman Responds to Anthropic’s Attack Ads, Live on TBPN
Feb 5, 2026 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Altman: Workflows Will Shift Toward Managing Teams of AI Agents
“I think we will be heading towards a workflow where a lot of people just feel like they're managing a team of agents, and they'll keep, as the agents get better, they'll keep operating at a higher and higher level of abstraction, which at least watching what's…”
Sam Altman Feb 5, 2026 ▶ 2:28 FULL INTERVIEW: Sam Altman Responds to Anthropic’s Attack Ads, Live on TBPN
Feb 5, 2026 bearish
Prediction Open · timeframe Feb 2031
Altman: Space data centers will not meaningfully power OpenAI within five years
“No.”
Sam Altman Feb 5, 2026 ▶ 31:39 FULL INTERVIEW: Sam Altman Responds to Anthropic’s Attack Ads, Live on TBPN
Feb 5, 2026 positive
Disclosure
Altman: OpenAI prioritizes coding and science AI over writing models
“What is possible now for coding for science. That's the thing I'm most excited about for accelerating all kinds of research AI and otherwise for really accelerating the economy. I think that's like the right thing for us to most prioritize in terms of new capa…”
Sam Altman Feb 5, 2026 ▶ 33:26 FULL INTERVIEW: Sam Altman Responds to Anthropic’s Attack Ads, Live on TBPN
Feb 5, 2026
Disclosure
Altman: OpenAI's upcoming Super Bowl commercial focuses on Codex
“I like our ad for Sunday. it's about Codex, no surprise, but.”
Sam Altman Feb 5, 2026 ▶ 26:04 FULL INTERVIEW: Sam Altman Responds to Anthropic’s Attack Ads, Live on TBPN
Feb 5, 2026 neutral
Disclosure
Altman: OpenAI Has Not Started Ad Testing Yet but Will Soon
“We haven't even started the test yet. We start the test soon.”
Sam Altman Feb 5, 2026 ▶ 32:14 FULL INTERVIEW: Sam Altman Responds to Anthropic’s Attack Ads, Live on TBPN
Feb 5, 2026 positive
Disclosure
Altman: Personally excited to 'open the floodgates' on generating Disney IP
“I'm not sure what the team is planning there. I know Disney's had some different opinions about how they, what they want to do and try to be a good partner there, but I'd be excited to open the floodgates personally.”
Sam Altman Feb 5, 2026 ▶ 24:51 FULL INTERVIEW: Sam Altman Responds to Anthropic’s Attack Ads, Live on TBPN
Feb 5, 2026 bullish
Disclosure
Altman: OpenAI will enable mobile task initiation for Codex
“Of course we should have an ability to kick off new tasks from mobile and we'll do that.”
Sam Altman Feb 5, 2026 ▶ 16:09 FULL INTERVIEW: Sam Altman Responds to Anthropic’s Attack Ads, Live on TBPN
Feb 5, 2026 positive
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Altman: Agent Tools Will Matter More Than Intelligence Near-Term
“The agents will keep getting better, so you'll keep working at the maximum of your management bandwidth or cognitive ability to keep track of all the stuff and the tools to make that easy to do will matter. I think more than intelligence for a little while, be…”
Sam Altman Feb 5, 2026 ▶ 3:05 FULL INTERVIEW: Sam Altman Responds to Anthropic’s Attack Ads, Live on TBPN
Feb 5, 2026 positive
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Altman: Group chat memes are Sora's most common use case
“Absolutely. I would say that the most common use case is something like that. You know, like memes on group chats is a real killer use case.”
Sam Altman Feb 5, 2026 ▶ 22:52 FULL INTERVIEW: Sam Altman Responds to Anthropic’s Attack Ads, Live on TBPN
Feb 5, 2026 negative
Disclosure
Altman: OpenAI will never put ads into the LLM output stream
“Our first principle with ads is that we're not gonna put stuff into the LLM stream.”
Sam Altman Feb 5, 2026 ▶ 27:45 FULL INTERVIEW: Sam Altman Responds to Anthropic’s Attack Ads, Live on TBPN
Feb 5, 2026 positive
Opinion
Altman: GPT-5.3 Codex is the best coding model in the world
“So we launched 5.3 codecs. It is I think the best coding model in the world.”
Sam Altman Feb 5, 2026 ▶ 0:22 FULL INTERVIEW: Sam Altman Responds to Anthropic’s Attack Ads, Live on TBPN
Feb 5, 2026 positive
Insight
Altman: 10% interface polish unlocks massive AI model capability overhang
“You know, the, I think it's a great example of 10% of polish of the experience of using these models, especially when there's so much capability overhang goes an extremely long way to what you can build and how, how you interact with this stuff.”
Sam Altman Feb 5, 2026 ▶ 15:55 FULL INTERVIEW: Sam Altman Responds to Anthropic’s Attack Ads, Live on TBPN
Feb 5, 2026 positive
Assertion Supported
Coogan: OpenAI launched GPT-5.3 Codex and Frontier AI co-worker platform
“So GPT-Five-Point-Three Codex launched today, and there's a very, very cool There's a very, very cool update to or new product, Frontier, which is a product for building AI co-workers that I'm very excited to talk to Sam about because it feels like the first g…”
John Coogan Feb 5, 2026 ▶ 16:13 Anthropic's secret strategy behind its Super Bowl ad campaign
Feb 5, 2026 neutral
Assertion Partly supported
Hays: Sam Altman called ads a last resort in October 2024
“Sam Altman did say in October of 2024. I kind of think of ads as a last resort for us as a business model.”
Jordi Hays Feb 5, 2026 ▶ 22:21 Anthropic's secret strategy behind its Super Bowl ad campaign
Feb 5, 2026 neutral
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Coogan: OpenAI will launch a legal review product ASAP
“Claude should be able to do that, and it makes a lot of sense, and I expect OpenAI to launch this product, like, ASAP.”
John Coogan Feb 5, 2026 ▶ 19:05 Anthropic's secret strategy behind its Super Bowl ad campaign
Feb 5, 2026 bearish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Hays: Claude has lost the race to reach billions of users
“Anthropic has already lost the race to serve billions of people, right? I don't think that they're, when you look at Gemini's sort of traction, OpenAI's, ChatGPT traction, like it seems like the race to get to Three billion monthly actives is kind of over. I d…”
Jordi Hays Feb 5, 2026 ▶ 8:40 Anthropic's secret strategy behind its Super Bowl ad campaign
Feb 5, 2026
Opinion
Coogan: Anthropic Is the Apple and OpenAI Is the Microsoft of AI
“So Anthropic is the Apple and OpenAI is the Microsoft, and they're also Aligned with Microsoft. Owned in part by Microsoft.”
John Coogan Feb 5, 2026 ▶ 14:49 Anthropic's secret strategy behind its Super Bowl ad campaign
Feb 6, 2026 bearish
Opinion
Hays: Anthropic has lost the race for billions of consumer users
“Anthropic has already lost the race to serve billions of people, right? I don't think that they're, when you look at Gemini's sort of traction, OpenAI's, ChatGPT traction, Like, it seems like the race to get to three billion monthly actives is kind of over.”
Jordi Hays Feb 6, 2026 ▶ 8:12 Anthropic’s Trust Nuke, OpenAI’s new releases, Google Claims AI Crown | Diet TBPN
Feb 6, 2026 negative
Opinion
Hays: Anthropic's ad campaign plants false impression of ChatGPT ads
“It's brilliant, well-timed, and incredibly strategic for a few reasons I'll outline below, and it's designed to plant a false impression of Chad GPT's forthcoming ad product in the minds of hundreds of millions of Americans.”
Jordi Hays Feb 6, 2026 ▶ 6:21 Anthropic’s Trust Nuke, OpenAI’s new releases, Google Claims AI Crown | Diet TBPN
Feb 6, 2026 neutral
Opinion
Coogan: Anthropic is the Apple to OpenAI's Microsoft
“Anthropic is the Apple, and OpenAI is the Microsoft, and they're also aligned with Microsoft, or owned in part by Microsoft.”
John Coogan Feb 6, 2026 ▶ 12:24 Anthropic’s Trust Nuke, OpenAI’s new releases, Google Claims AI Crown | Diet TBPN
Feb 6, 2026 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Coogan: OpenAI will launch a consumer legal assistant product ASAP
“Claude should be able to do that, and it makes a lot of sense, and I expect OpenAI to launch this product, like, ASAP.”
John Coogan Feb 6, 2026 ▶ 14:05 Anthropic’s Trust Nuke, OpenAI’s new releases, Google Claims AI Crown | Diet TBPN
Feb 6, 2026 positive
Assertion Supported
Coogan: OpenAI is hiring hundreds of enterprise AI consultants
“OpenAI is hiring hundreds of new staffers to expand a technical consulting team that helps large corporations develop custom AI applications and agents to automate employee tasks, according to a person Knowledge with the company's plans.”
John Coogan Feb 6, 2026 ▶ 17:30 Anthropic’s Trust Nuke, OpenAI’s new releases, Google Claims AI Crown | Diet TBPN
Feb 6, 2026 neutral
Opinion
Hays: OpenAI aims to be the central orchestrator of enterprise AI agents
“They want to be the orchestrator, right? And if you want to bring in some other Other folks in to help out. Great. At least for now.”
Jordi Hays Feb 6, 2026 ▶ 19:03 Anthropic’s Trust Nuke, OpenAI’s new releases, Google Claims AI Crown | Diet TBPN
Feb 10, 2026 neutral
Assertion Supported
Bishop: Chinese AI firms IPO earlier with far less capital than OpenAI
“Yes, with much lower revenue, raising much less money, much lower valuations, and a lot of it is because they, you know, they actually need the capital. I mean, it's, I think they, but the amount of capital they need in the raising is a frat. It's like, you kn…”
Bill Bishop Feb 10, 2026 ▶ 21:01 FULL INTERVIEW: Bill Bishop Thinks China’s Military is Still Deeply Corrupt
Feb 10, 2026 neutral
Assertion Supported
Hays: OpenAI officially rolled out ads in ChatGPT today
“Apparently OpenAI actually rolled out ads in ChatGPT today.”
Jordi Hays Feb 10, 2026 ▶ 26:48 Super Bowl Ad Reactions, ChatGPT launches ads, Jordi vs France | Diet TBPN
Feb 10, 2026 negative
Opinion
Hays: Anthropic's Claude commercial baited OpenAI into an overreaction
“They basically made open AI way over react.”
Jordi Hays Feb 10, 2026 ▶ 7:18 Super Bowl Ad Reactions, ChatGPT launches ads, Jordi vs France | Diet TBPN
Feb 10, 2026 positive
Opinion
Hays: OpenAI is smartly pushing Codex directly to consumers
“They're trying to push codex, they're trying to push codex to consumers. Which I think is smart.”
Jordi Hays Feb 10, 2026 ▶ 11:26 Super Bowl Ad Reactions, ChatGPT launches ads, Jordi vs France | Diet TBPN
Feb 10, 2026 neutral
Prediction Didn’t hold up
Hays: ChatGPT ads will target interest graphs, not conversation content
“From what I understand, it won't be related to the content because people are going to be annoyed at that. I would expect it in the future. It is. But in the meantime, I think it'll effectively be display ads based on your interest graph, right? What they know…”
Jordi Hays Feb 10, 2026 ▶ 27:26 Super Bowl Ad Reactions, ChatGPT launches ads, Jordi vs France | Diet TBPN
Feb 10, 2026 positive
Assertion Open · timeframe Feb 2029
Coogan: OpenAI's Super Bowl ad featured its actual robotics team
“So that, that robotics stuff was actually Easter eggs of the robotics team at open AI. Like they just brought the cameras in and filmed their own team.”
John Coogan Feb 10, 2026 ▶ 11:41 Super Bowl Ad Reactions, ChatGPT launches ads, Jordi vs France | Diet TBPN
Feb 11, 2026 bearish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Hays: The real SaaS crash won't begin until frontier AI labs IPO
“I think the real Sasspocalypse might not start until you have some of the labs public, and people can actually really rotate out of software fully and say, I don't want to own this thing that I don't fully understand how AI is going to impact it when I could o…”
Jordi Hays Feb 11, 2026 ▶ 18:14 Elon’s go-to banker leads SpaceX IPO, SaaSination, Bejing’s robot Boom | Diet TBPN
Feb 18, 2026 positive
Assertion Supported
McCormick: OpenAI recouped all GPT-4 training costs and more
“GPT four is the really instructive is the really instructive example because I believe that model costs like a hundred million dollars to train, and it was really expensive at the time, but then very quickly they were on a multi-billion dollar run rate, and it…”
Packy McCormick Feb 18, 2026 ▶ 4:13 The Secret Economics Controlling OpenAI, Anthropic, and the AI Boom
Feb 18, 2026 neutral
Assertion Supported
McCormick: OpenAI signed a deal with Cerebras for fast inference
“OpenAI just did the Cerebrus deal, there's Claude Fast, and there's a whole bunch of different modes that will deliver faster inference”
Packy McCormick Feb 18, 2026 ▶ 6:03 The Secret Economics Controlling OpenAI, Anthropic, and the AI Boom
Feb 18, 2026 negative
Opinion
McCormick: OpenAI and Anthropic are the most unprofitable companies in history
“These are the most unprofitable companies in human history, I think.”
Packy McCormick Feb 18, 2026 ▶ 3:11 The Secret Economics Controlling OpenAI, Anthropic, and the AI Boom
Feb 18, 2026 positive
Opinion
McCormick: OpenAI and Anthropic inference margins are healthy
“Well, it's way, way cheaper than what you pay to Anthropic or OpenAI, so they must have good margins, and everyone sort of agrees at this point that inference margins are in fact healthy.”
Packy McCormick Feb 18, 2026 ▶ 5:25 The Secret Economics Controlling OpenAI, Anthropic, and the AI Boom
Feb 18, 2026 neutral
Assertion Supported
Hays: Dave Morin to lead OpenClaw foundation as creator joins OpenAI
“Yeah, Dave Dave Morin I remember reading, is gonna step into I believe run the foundation that will kind of steward the open source project, and then Peter's obviously joining OpenAI.”
Jordi Hays Feb 18, 2026 ▶ 23:43 The Cournot Equation, Micron’s $200B Bet, Hollywood vs. Seedance 2.0 | Diet TBPN
Feb 19, 2026 neutral
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Cosgrove: Only OpenAI, DeepMind, Anthropic, and xAI operate at frontier scale
“I mean, especially if you're talking about these big pre-trains, it's really just these four. No one else is really at that scale.”
Tyler Cosgrove Feb 19, 2026 ▶ 5:18 The AI lab market map, Robinhood brings startups to retail, GLPs & hedge funds | Diet TBPN
Feb 19, 2026 neutral
Insight
Hays: Startups in the path of AI improvements will get stomped
“I mean, the models, you know, if you're in the path of models improving, you will get stomped like Godzilla, but there's still plenty of opportunities all over the ecosystem, especially if you're not doing something that's in software.”
Jordi Hays Feb 19, 2026 ▶ 29:01 The AI lab market map, Robinhood brings startups to retail, GLPs & hedge funds | Diet TBPN
Feb 26, 2026 neutral
Assertion Supported
Coogan: Leading AI labs are capturing half of all venture capital
“Venture as a class in a good year will do like four hundred billion, and across OpenAI at a 100,000,000,030 for Anthropic, 20 for XAI, then you have, you know, a bunch of NeoLabs all picking up a billion each. Like, you very quickly get to a few companies Rais…”
John Coogan Feb 26, 2026 ▶ 17:18 Big Tech to Pay for Power, Anthropic Abandons Safety, the Adoption Paradox | Diet TBPN
Mar 2, 2026 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Coogan: Non-Classified Agencies Will Rapidly Transition to Gemini, OpenAI, or Grok
“Because I imagine some agencies aren't operating in classified environments. It's going to be much easier for them to onboard to a Gemini, or an OpenAI, or a Grok very quickly.”
John Coogan Mar 2, 2026 ▶ 2:44 FULL BREAKDOWN: Trump BANS Anthropic
Mar 2, 2026 neutral
Assertion Supported
Coogan: Anthropic Clashed over Surveillance and Lethal Weapons Clauses Permitted to OpenAI
“So there were two main sticking points that they went back and forth on. No mass domestic surveillance, and no fully autonomous lethal weapons, and there's been a question as to why OpenAI was allowed to Include that language in their contract and say, like, h…”
John Coogan Mar 2, 2026 ▶ 10:04 FULL BREAKDOWN: Trump BANS Anthropic
Mar 2, 2026 neutral
Opinion
Thompson: Anthropic Commands SF Talent While OpenAI Aligns With America
“Anthropic has a local advantage in that most people, I think, in the industry are with them, and they have a national PR problem in that I think a lot of folks outside of tech don't understand why tech companies always try to Or resist helping the US governmen…”
Ben Thompson Mar 2, 2026 ▶ 28:26 FULL INTERVIEW: Ben Thompson on Anthropic v. DoW
Mar 3, 2026 positive
Assertion Supported
Hays: OpenAI raised $110B round from Amazon, NVIDIA, and SoftBank
“OpenAI raised a hundred and ten billion dollar round of funding from Amazon, NVIDIA, and SoftBank.”
Jordi Hays Mar 3, 2026 ▶ 28:56 Anthropic v. DoW, Paramount wins WB, OpenAI raises $100B | Diet TBPN
Mar 3, 2026 bullish
Assertion Supported
Coogan: OpenAI's record funding equals 25% of 2026 venture capital outlays
“It's the biggest round for a private company ever, and it's also about one quarter of venture capital outlays that are expected for twenty-twenty-six in one round.”
John Coogan Mar 3, 2026 ▶ 29:13 Anthropic v. DoW, Paramount wins WB, OpenAI raises $100B | Diet TBPN
Mar 6, 2026 neutral
Prediction Held up
Cosgrove: OpenAI Will Make Additional Deals With the US Government
“Whichever way, like, the anthropic Pentagon stuff, like, evolves, like, I think it's very clear that this is not, like, the last time government deals will be made, right? Like, the OpenAI deal is not the last deal that OpenAI will make with the government.”
Tyler Cosgrove Mar 6, 2026 ▶ 0:50 A Short History of America Nationalizing its Companies
Mar 7, 2026 bullish
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Coogan: Anthropic revenue growth is trailing OpenAI by roughly one month
“Because we saw these two revenue lines where, ah, OpenAI is just absolutely going vertical, so is Anthropic, just like one month behind. Like, they're both scaling incredibly quickly.”
John Coogan Mar 7, 2026 ▶ 6:26 OpenAI drops GPT-5.4, Iran War fallout, The Mansion Section | Diet TBPN
Mar 16, 2026 bullish
Assertion Partly supported
Dylan Patel: GPT-5.4 TAM Exceeds $100B, Meets Microsoft-OpenAI AGI Clause
“Dylan Patel said on Dorkesh, the TAM for GPC 5.4 is north of a hundred billion dollars, but there's adoption lag. That's considered AGI as far as the Microsoft OpenAI contract is concerned.”
Jon Ma Mar 16, 2026 ▶ 19:47 AI vs. Dog Cancer, Timothée Chalamet Under Fire, ‘Agents Over Bubbles' | Diet TBPN
Mar 16, 2026 neutral
Assertion Contradicted
Carter: OpenAI IP Access Now Requires Expert Review, Not Just Profit
“Sam Carter says the reported one billion of profit is no longer the sole trigger for confidential IP research access. It reportedly includes an independent expert review.”
Jon Ma Mar 16, 2026 ▶ 19:59 AI vs. Dog Cancer, Timothée Chalamet Under Fire, ‘Agents Over Bubbles' | Diet TBPN
Mar 23, 2026 positive
Insight
Hays: OpenAI's 17.5% return is a preferred equity hurdle, not debt
“The 17 and a half percent return looks like a red flag until you look at it closely. It's preferred equity hurdle, not a coupon on debt. This is the main thing that the hundreds of posts I saw are missing priority on returns before common shareholders.”
Jordi Hays Mar 23, 2026 ▶ 21:29 SpaceX’s Lunar Mass Driver, OpenAI Hires Meta’s Top Ad Exec, Zuck Builds CEO Agent | Diet TBPN
Mar 23, 2026 neutral
Assertion Supported
Coogan: OpenAI offers PE firms a 17.5% minimum return
“OpenAI is offering private equity firms a guaranteed minimum return of 17.5%, as well as early access to models not yet in public release.”
John Coogan Mar 23, 2026 ▶ 19:33 SpaceX’s Lunar Mass Driver, OpenAI Hires Meta’s Top Ad Exec, Zuck Builds CEO Agent | Diet TBPN
Mar 23, 2026
Assertion Supported
OpenAI hires Meta's Dave Dugan as VP of Global Ad Solutions
“Dave Dugan, a former top advertising executive at Meta, is gonna lead sale, ad sales. Dugan, who announced earlier this month he was stepping down from his role as Vice President of Global Clients and Agencies at Meta, has been named Vice President of Global A…”
Jordi Hays Mar 23, 2026 ▶ 23:43 SpaceX’s Lunar Mass Driver, OpenAI Hires Meta’s Top Ad Exec, Zuck Builds CEO Agent | Diet TBPN
Mar 25, 2026 positive
Prediction Open · timeframe Mar 2029
Coogan: OpenAI will roll video generation into ChatGPT
“Obviously, this is not the end of video creation for OpenAI. This will be rolled into ChatGPT, I imagine.”
John Coogan Mar 25, 2026 ▶ 11:27 Benchmark’s Ship of Theseus, OpenAI Kills Sora, SpaceX $2T IPO Buzz | Diet TBPN
Mar 25, 2026
Assertion Supported
Hays: Millions of people have created content on Sora
“Millions of people have made content on the app.”
Jordi Hays Mar 25, 2026 ▶ 11:14 Benchmark’s Ship of Theseus, OpenAI Kills Sora, SpaceX $2T IPO Buzz | Diet TBPN
Mar 30, 2026 neutral
Opinion
Kim: Nvidia's $25B open-source investment won't compete directly with OpenAI
“It's not a huge, I think it's like twenty five billion over the next few years, which doesn't really compete with what OpenAI and Anthropik are doing.”
Tae Kim Mar 30, 2026 ▶ 8:33 FULL INTERVIEW: Why I Think Nvidia Is Perfectly Positioned In The AI Race
Apr 1, 2026 neutral
Assertion Supported
Cosgrove: Musk Tried Absorbing DeepMind in 2014 and OpenAI in 2018
“He tried to absorb DeepMind into Tesla in 2014, then OpenAI in 2018.”
Tyler Cosgrove Apr 1, 2026 ▶ 28:32 AI Is Coming for Your Memes, Crypto’s Quantum Clock, Axios Hack| Diet TBPN
Apr 2, 2026 neutral
Assertion Supported
TBPN will report to Chris Lehane in OpenAI's strategy organization
“TBPN will sit within our strategy organization reporting to Chris Lehane.”
John Coogan Apr 2, 2026 ▶ 6:01 OpenAI Acquires TBPN
Apr 2, 2026 positive
Disclosure
TBPN will retain complete editorial independence under OpenAI ownership
“A core part of this is editorial independence. We can say whatever we want because we're live and we don't need to run anything through anyone.”
John Coogan Apr 2, 2026 ▶ 4:29 OpenAI Acquires TBPN
Apr 2, 2026 neutral
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Founders Fund's first deal post-ChatGPT was OpenAI's late 2022 round
“When I joined Founders Fund the very first deal that I saw in motion at Founders Fund was the post ChatGPT round in OpenAI in late twenty-twenty-two, early twenty-twenty-three.”
John Coogan Apr 2, 2026 ▶ 8:04 OpenAI Acquires TBPN
Apr 2, 2026 positive
Disclosure
OpenAI acquires live tech broadcast network TBPN
“This is from the open AI blog, open AI acquires TBPN, accelerating the global conversation about AI. This is not an April fool's joke.”
John Coogan Apr 2, 2026 ▶ 0:08 OpenAI Acquires TBPN
Apr 3, 2026 positive
Disclosure
TBPN retains full editorial independence under OpenAI acquisition agreement
“TBPN will continue to run their programming, choose their own guests and make their own editorial decisions. That's foundational to their credibility. And it's something we're explicitly protecting as part of this agreement.”
John Coogan Apr 3, 2026 ▶ 4:02 Open AI Acquires TBPN, Artemis II, The AI-Built $1.8B Company | Diet TBPN
Apr 3, 2026 positive
Assertion Supported
OpenAI acquires tech talk show TBPN
“OpenAI acquires TBPN, accelerating the global conversation about AI.”
John Coogan Apr 3, 2026 ▶ 0:07 Open AI Acquires TBPN, Artemis II, The AI-Built $1.8B Company | Diet TBPN
Apr 3, 2026 neutral
Disclosure
TBPN will sit in OpenAI's strategy org reporting to Chris Lehane
“TBPN will sit within our strategy organization, reporting to Chris Lehane”
John Coogan Apr 3, 2026 ▶ 5:20 Open AI Acquires TBPN, Artemis II, The AI-Built $1.8B Company | Diet TBPN
Apr 7, 2026 bullish
Opinion
Laffont: OpenAI is probably the most important company in the world
“I think OpenAI is probably the most important company in the world today in the sense that it's the driver of AI, both consumption and spending.”
Thomas Laffont Apr 7, 2026 ▶ 33:06 FULL INTERVIEW: Thomas Laffont’s Journey From Hollywood Assistant to Legendary Tech Investor
Apr 7, 2026 positive
Opinion
Laffont: Accredited investor restrictions on top private tech must change
“You know, why is it just like an elite group of funds and accredited investors and so forth and so on? That to me will have to change. And I think it should be bipartisan, frankly.”
Thomas Laffont Apr 7, 2026 ▶ 59:07 FULL INTERVIEW: Thomas Laffont’s Journey From Hollywood Assistant to Legendary Tech Investor
Apr 7, 2026 negative
Insight
Excluding the public from frontier AI equity upside carries severe societal costs
“And I think what we're learning as a society is the cost of not having broad participation is incredibly high. And we'll be. Right. If you have a whole generation of young people that don't own their house and have student debt and don't feel like they're econ…”
Thomas Laffont Apr 7, 2026 ▶ 59:41 FULL INTERVIEW: Thomas Laffont’s Journey From Hollywood Assistant to Legendary Tech Investor
Apr 23, 2026 positive
Assertion Supported
OpenAI's GPT-5.5 matches GPT-5.4 per-token latency in real-world serving
“GPT 5.5 delivers this step up in intelligence without compromising on speed. Matches GPT 5.4 per token latency in real world serving.”
John Coogan Apr 23, 2026 ▶ 8:20 Thoma Bravo Loses Medallia, OpenAI Drops ChatGPT 5.5, Bob Iger Returns | Diet TBPN
Apr 23, 2026 positive
Assertion Open · timeframe Apr 2027
US government establishes task force to prevent AI model distillation
“There is new news from Michael Kratzios that the government seems to be taking anthropic and opening eyes messaging around distillation very seriously and is setting up a task force.”
John Coogan Apr 23, 2026 ▶ 10:11 Thoma Bravo Loses Medallia, OpenAI Drops ChatGPT 5.5, Bob Iger Returns | Diet TBPN
Apr 27, 2026 positive
Assertion Supported
OpenAI can now serve its products across any cloud provider
“They changed their partnership. OpenAI can now serve all of its products to customers across any cloud provider.”
Jordi Hays Apr 27, 2026 ▶ 1:01 China Blocks Meta’s $2B Manus Deal, Meta Bets on Space-Based Solar | Diet TBPN
Apr 28, 2026 neutral
Assertion Supported
OpenAI Codex prompt allegedly bans mentioning goblins, raccoons, and pigeons.
“Never talk about goblins, gremlins, raccoons, trolls, ogres, pigeons, or other animals or creatures. Unless it is absolutely and unambiguously relevant to the user's query.”
John Coogan Apr 28, 2026 ▶ 11:49 In-Car Surveillance is Coming | Diet TBPN
May 1, 2026 neutral
Assertion Supported
Elon Musk and Ari Emanuel submitted a bid to buy OpenAI
“Musk made a bid with Ari Emanuel and some other companies. That's right, to buy the whole company.”
Mike Isaac May 1, 2026 ▶ 23:10 Inside the OpenAI vs. Elon Musk Courtroom
May 1, 2026 neutral
Assertion Supported
Isaac: Burchall Testified Musk's OpenAI Bid Aimed to Establish Valuation
“Burchall in court was saying this was us trying to sort of establish a pricing mechanism to like value the actual entity itself”
Mike Isaac May 1, 2026 ▶ 24:18 Inside the OpenAI vs. Elon Musk Courtroom
May 1, 2026
Assertion Not publicly verifiable
Judge publicly berated a spectator for illegally recording the OpenAI trial
“So one woman in the overflow room who was just not just, it was a civilian going to attend and watch it, Started recording, which is again, against the rules, if not the law in a federal courthouse. So the judge brings her in, and in front of a room of like a …”
Mike Isaac May 1, 2026 ▶ 10:17 Inside the OpenAI vs. Elon Musk Courtroom
May 1, 2026 positive
Opinion
Isaac: Courtroom vibe over facts benefits Elon Musk against OpenAI
“Just, it makes the dynamic of the facts don't necessarily always matter, but the vibe can really matter, which I think is a benefit for Elon, honestly.”
Mike Isaac May 1, 2026 ▶ 7:59 Inside the OpenAI vs. Elon Musk Courtroom
May 1, 2026 positive
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Isaac: Judge in OpenAI-Musk trial grants unusual level of press access
“This is actually a very permissive judge, just because she believes in, like, press access and stuff, and we've had, there's way more access than you would normally get in federal court cases.”
Mike Isaac May 1, 2026 ▶ 2:59 Inside the OpenAI vs. Elon Musk Courtroom
May 1, 2026 neutral
Assertion Supported
Judge prohibited AI extinction and doomerism arguments in Musk-OpenAI trial
“The judge prohibited, like, going too far into, like, Doomerism into the world stuff, and she's like, look, that's kind of a sideshow distraction, like, extinction humanity stuff is not the point of this case”
Mike Isaac May 1, 2026 ▶ 27:30 Inside the OpenAI vs. Elon Musk Courtroom
May 1, 2026 neutral
Opinion
Isaac: Musk leaned into his 'existential' persona on the stand
“Elon, I think from day one, has leaned into the persona of Elon, and just from him being on the stand and saying, I care about humanity, I mean, he says he does whatever he does or doesn't, but like, just leaning into this, like, I'm a world-changing entrepren…”
Mike Isaac May 1, 2026 ▶ 12:39 Inside the OpenAI vs. Elon Musk Courtroom
May 1, 2026 negative
Opinion
Hays: Musk-OpenAI Infighting Harms Already Negative Public AI Perception
“It's just kind of depressing to see these groups like fighting in this way. When we have so much bigger problem, like we have so many bigger problems as an industry, right? The big problem being like public perception of AI is like already so bad. Like people,…”
Jordi Hays May 1, 2026 ▶ 31:08 Inside the OpenAI vs. Elon Musk Courtroom
May 1, 2026 neutral
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Isaac: AI Model Distillation Across Competitors Is an Industry Open Secret
“Elon went out of his way to say, Everyone kind of does this. It's like an open secret in the industry, which I think is like, also kind of true, but that doesn't make it, there's like, it's fraught, I guess is what I would say.”
Mike Isaac May 1, 2026 ▶ 15:07 Inside the OpenAI vs. Elon Musk Courtroom
May 1, 2026
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Musk was openly antagonistic during cross-examination by OpenAI's litigation counsel
“Elon went from, like, I am a entrepreneur, sort of like, Rosalie explaining to you what I think the future should look like, and like, very concerned for the future of the human race, to like, openly antagonistic to Savitt's questioning”
Mike Isaac May 1, 2026 ▶ 19:40 Inside the OpenAI vs. Elon Musk Courtroom
May 1, 2026 neutral
Assertion Supported
Isaac: OpenAI-Musk Trial Courtroom Limits Outlets to One Reserved Seat
“So there are reserved seats in the front row for press, but the issue is only one person per outlet gets it, and we are doing, like, live blogging for, like, the big moments, like, opening statements, and for Elon, and so myself and my colleague Cade came on t…”
Mike Isaac May 1, 2026 ▶ 1:04 Inside the OpenAI vs. Elon Musk Courtroom
May 15, 2026 positive
Assertion Supported
Hays: ChatGPT launches personal finance features
“ChatGPT launched personal finance features.”
Jordi Hays May 15, 2026 ▶ 31:53 SpaceX IPO Date, ChatGPT x Personal Finance, Sanders & AOC vs. Data Centers | Diet TBPN
May 22, 2026 positive
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Cosgrove: OpenAI Solved Erdős Problem for Hundreds to Thousands in Inference
“This was not, like, millions of dollars of inference time. It was, like, maybe something like hundreds to thousands of dollars of inference compute spend.”
Tyler Cosgrove May 22, 2026 ▶ 20:56 SpaceX S-1, Anthropic Revenue Booms, OpenAI Cracks Erdős Problem | Diet TBPN
May 22, 2026 bullish
Assertion Supported
Coogan: WSJ reports Anthropic valuation up 173% and Q2 profitability
“Anthropic valuation up a 173% since the start of the year posting profits in Q two, according to the Wall Street Journal open AI evaluation up 67% since the start of the year”
John Coogan May 22, 2026 ▶ 14:47 SpaceX S-1, Anthropic Revenue Booms, OpenAI Cracks Erdős Problem | Diet TBPN
May 22, 2026 positive
Assertion Supported
Cosgrove: OpenAI Internal Model Disproved Erdős Problem 90 Conjecture
“Basically, OpenAI figured out that this is not true, and that there actually are some, there are some n's for which this kind of max number of pairs is greater than the original Erdos conjecture. So, so for infinitely many n, this is not for every single n, ri…”
Tyler Cosgrove May 22, 2026 ▶ 20:03 SpaceX S-1, Anthropic Revenue Booms, OpenAI Cracks Erdős Problem | Diet TBPN
May 26, 2026
Disclosure
Ries: Anthropic's founders consulted with me on governance setup
“When the founders of Anthropic left OpenAI, so what is that, like three or four OpenAI crises ago? I can't track. But anyway, it's like hard for me to keep track, but anyways, like it's been a rough, you know, it's been a rocky road. When they left, like I was…”
Eric Ries May 26, 2026 ▶ 16:44 The Lean Startup Author on What Ruins Good Companies
May 29, 2026 bullish
Prediction Open · timeframe May 2029
Gerstner: Anthropic and OpenAI will keep growing despite enterprise spend optimization
“Of course, I believe that optimization will continue, but my hunch is that anthropic and open and these companies will continue to grow right through the optimization because the growth curve on penetration of both enterprise and use case is so steep.”
Brad Gerstner May 29, 2026 ▶ 8:32 Where Brad Gerstner Is Investing Billions
May 29, 2026 bullish
Assertion Partly supported
Gerstner: Google, Amazon, Microsoft, OpenAI, and Anthropic are all token constrained
“Google was token constrained. They said if we had more tokens, we'd be able to generate more revenue. Same for Amazon, same for Microsoft, same from OpenAI, same from Anthropic.”
Brad Gerstner May 29, 2026 ▶ 19:51 Where Brad Gerstner Is Investing Billions
May 29, 2026 bullish
Prediction Open · timeframe Dec 2027
Gerstner: OpenAI and Anthropic compute capacity will scale from 3GW to 20GW
“OpenAI and Anthropic combined to start the year had three gigawatts of compute. Three combined. They're gonna end the year closer to 10, and end next year closer to 20.”
Brad Gerstner May 29, 2026 ▶ 20:39 Where Brad Gerstner Is Investing Billions
May 29, 2026 bullish
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Gerstner: Anthropic is fastest-growing company in history of capitalism
“OpenAI has not blown away their numbers. Google has not blown away their numbers. Like numbers have been good, but the fundamental driver of outperformance in terms of offtake of AI revenues has been Anthropic, which is the fastest growing company in the histo…”
Brad Gerstner May 29, 2026 ▶ 3:12 Where Brad Gerstner Is Investing Billions
May 29, 2026 bullish
Disclosure
Gerstner: OpenAI and Anthropic are Altimeter's largest bets in firm history
“You know, we've really made massive bets, the biggest bets in the history of Altimeter, between OpenAI and Anthropic, which you know, is consuming billions and billions of dollars.”
Brad Gerstner May 29, 2026 ▶ 28:43 Where Brad Gerstner Is Investing Billions
Jun 2, 2026 positive
Assertion Supported
OpenAI breaks ground on 1-gigawatt Stargate Michigan data center
“OpenAI announced that they're breaking ground on Stargate Michigan, a one gigawatt data center utilizing closed loop cooling, and they're getting out ahead of the water FUD. They say it uses water at the rate of a typical office building, creates thousands of …”
John Coogan Jun 2, 2026 ▶ 27:08 Google Raises $80B, Confidential IPO 101, OpenAI Expands Codex | Diet TBPN
Jun 2, 2026 positive
Assertion Supported
OpenAI introduces Codex Sites for building shareable interactive web apps
“In other open AI news there's now sites in codecs. You can turn work ideas, plans into interactive websites or apps. Your team can explore, use, and share.”
Jordi Hays Jun 2, 2026 ▶ 27:50 Google Raises $80B, Confidential IPO 101, OpenAI Expands Codex | Diet TBPN
Jun 10, 2026 bullish
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Prince: Major AI labs are making Cloudflare their preferred code execution target
“And it's, I think, why you're seeing more and more of the big AI labs have Cloudflare as the preferred target for where, where their code gets run. You know, OpenAI released a project for their enterprise users a little while ago that, again, is targeting us.”
Matthew Prince Jun 10, 2026 ▶ 3:37 Cloudflare CEO Predicts AI Agents Will Outnumber Humans 1,000-to-1
Jun 15, 2026 neutral
Opinion
Baker: OpenAI Cut Codex Prices to Bootstrap Recursive Self-Improvement Loops
“I think that's why OpenAI is cutting codex pricing, simply because coding, you know, coding tokens are so valuable, and if you don't have enough of them, you may not be able to get into this RSI loop that, that everyone is, you know,”
Gavin Baker Jun 15, 2026 ▶ 9:40 Gavin Baker: SpaceX Might Be the Greatest Company of All Time
Jun 18, 2026 positive
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Woo: The AI software race will be won by well-capitalized tech incumbents
“So, I think, in some sense, I think the software game is gonna be won by an OpenAI, Anthropics, SpaceX, Google, maybe about Cognition, and some of these like,”
Jeff Woo Jun 18, 2026 ▶ 23:40 Jake Paul Thinks We'll Live Forever
Jun 18, 2026 bullish
Disclosure
Woo: Anti Fund has invested in OpenAI and semiconductor startup Etched
“We're pretty AI maxis here, so we're in OpenAI, and then going down that stack, right? So, you go down the inference providers, like the modals, and then you go to the semiconductors, so we're in Etched, which is an inference ASIC.”
Jeff Woo Jun 18, 2026 ▶ 23:24 Jake Paul Thinks We'll Live Forever
Jun 27, 2026 neutral
Assertion Partly supported
Hays: GPT-5.6 access is restricted to 20 companies by US government
“Of course by US government directive, access is limited to only 20 pre-approved companies.”
Jordi Hays Jun 27, 2026 ▶ 22:04 Shifts In The Creator Economy, Kylie Jenner x Meta, GPT 5.6 Limited Release | Diet TBPN
Jun 27, 2026 neutral
Assertion Supported
Hays: OpenAI GPT-5.6 spans Sol, Terra, and Luna tiers
“To go back to your other question, so Sol is the frontier model, Terra is a balanced model for efficient everyday work, and then Luna is a fast and affordable model for high volume work.”
Jordi Hays Jun 27, 2026 ▶ 22:48 Shifts In The Creator Economy, Kylie Jenner x Meta, GPT 5.6 Limited Release | Diet TBPN
Jun 27, 2026 positive
Assertion Supported
Coogan: OpenAI launched custom 'Jalapeno' chip designed with Broadcom
“I mean, the chip Jalapeno launched. Designed with Broadcom. Jalapeno is purpose-built for LLM workloads, powering ChatGPG codex, API, future agentic products.”
John Coogan Jun 27, 2026 ▶ 29:09 Shifts In The Creator Economy, Kylie Jenner x Meta, GPT 5.6 Limited Release | Diet TBPN
Jun 27, 2026 bullish
Assertion Partly supported
Coogan: OpenAI bought 40% of global raw DRAM wafer output
“Also, apparently, OpenAI made deals to purchase 40% of the global raw undiced DRAM wafer output until 2029.”
John Coogan Jun 27, 2026 ▶ 29:49 Shifts In The Creator Economy, Kylie Jenner x Meta, GPT 5.6 Limited Release | Diet TBPN
Jul 13, 2026 neutral
Assertion Supported
OpenAI Acquired Jony Ive and Tang Tan's AI Startup in 2025
“Tang Tan left Apple in 2024 to co-found the AI hardware startup I.O. With Johnny Ive, which OpenAI acquired in 2025 as part of its consumer AI device effort.”
John Coogan Jul 13, 2026 ▶ 2:46 Apple Sues OpenAI, Experts Sign Another AI Warning Letter, Paramount Threatens CA Exit
Jul 13, 2026 neutral
Assertion Supported
Apple Filings Claim OpenAI Poached Over 400 Apple Employees
“Apple's filings also spends quite a few words on the fact that OpenAI has poached more than 400 employees from the company in recent years.”
John Coogan Jul 13, 2026 ▶ 2:31 Apple Sues OpenAI, Experts Sign Another AI Warning Letter, Paramount Threatens CA Exit
Jul 21, 2026 neutral
Assertion Supported
Coogan: Analysts predict OpenAI and Anthropic IPOs within next year
“Some analysis, some analysts who study the AI industry say the two companies which are preparing for public listings in the next year, they just want to eliminate the competition.”
John Coogan Jul 21, 2026 ▶ 1:29 U.S. AI Execs Warn as China’s AI Push Grows, Substack Adds AI Detection Tool | Diet TBPN
Jul 23, 2026
Assertion Supported
Escaped OpenAI model hacked Hugging Face seeking benchmark test answers
“So the models found a zero day vulnerability, gained internet access and broke into hugging face because the model believed It hosted answers to the test.”
Jordi Hays Jul 23, 2026 ▶ 2:40 AI Agents Hack Hugging Face, White House Promotes Science’s Golden Age | Diet TBPN
Jul 23, 2026 neutral
Assertion Supported
Claude Mythos and GPT-5.5 score 20% and 15% on ExploitGym benchmark
“Claude Mythos preview successfully exploited a 157 of the 898 instances, and OpenAI's GPT 5.5 exploited one 20 within, ah, 120 of the eight 98, so you have, like, roughly 20% performance for Mythos, and 5.5 got, like, 15% or something like that, but whenever y…”
Jordi Hays Jul 23, 2026 ▶ 14:52 AI Agents Hack Hugging Face, White House Promotes Science’s Golden Age | Diet TBPN
Jul 29, 2026 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Kim: AI Recursive Self-Improvement Could Arrive Within Nine Months, Massively Draining Compute
“RSI, I think, is a lot closer than people think. And if RSI actually happens in the next three, six, nine months, That's gonna soak up insane amount of compute.”
Tae Kim Jul 29, 2026 ▶ 12:26 RSI Is Closer Than People Think, Per Tae Kim
Jul 30, 2026 neutral
Assertion Supported
Coogan: Employees from OpenAI, Anthropic, and Google Signed AI Pause Letter
“There's this open letter from a bunch of lab employees saying like, hey, maybe we should do a mutual pause. Maybe we should all slow down. And I think even some meta researchers signed that as well, but there's like a wide group from OpenAI, Anthropic, a bunch…”
John Coogan Jul 30, 2026 ▶ 15:05 U.S. Bans New Chinese Humanoids, Zuck’s Op-Ed, eBay's $56M Lawsuit | Diet TBPN
Aug 5, 2026 positive
Assertion Supported
Leaked Microsoft memo makes OpenAI GPT the default internal AI model
“A Microsoft exec Just sent an internal memo that's designed to end token maxing and makes OpenAI's GPT, GPT, the default model for internal use.”
John Coogan Aug 5, 2026 ▶ 30:26 Demis Is Out as DeepMind CEO, Revolut Founder Yacht Drama, AI’s Great Reverse Bank Run | Diet TBPN
Aug 6, 2026 neutral
Assertion Supported
OpenAI Slows Research and Reallocates Teams Following Agent Escapes
“Dalton, the OpenAI employee said the incidents marked a pivotal moment For the company and the industry as a whole, he said that numerous internal teams have dropped everything to dramatically expand OpenAI's ability to monitor its agents, and that the company…”
John Coogan Aug 6, 2026 ▶ 6:43 More Details on OpenAI-Hugging Face, SpaceX SPV Investors Get Rugged, Demis and DeepMind | Diet TBPN
Aug 6, 2026 neutral
Assertion Supported
OpenAI Agents Built Internal Message Board to Escape Sandbox
“OpenAI member of technical staff, Michael Dalton, revealed That its autonomous agents created a message board with each other to help break out of a sandbox environment to get access to the internet.”
John Coogan Aug 6, 2026 ▶ 3:02 More Details on OpenAI-Hugging Face, SpaceX SPV Investors Get Rugged, Demis and DeepMind | Diet TBPN
Aug 15, 2026
Opinion
Coogan: AI startup equity is fueling a Bay Area real estate surge
“One factor is the enormous amount of new wealth being created by the AI boom as employees at companies like OpenAI, Ananthropic, turn startup equity into fortunes, and pour some of that money into local real estate.”
John Coogan Aug 15, 2026 ▶ 28:01 Tesla’s Roadster, Car Week Takes, Unwell Beverages Shuts Down | Diet TBPN
Sep 4, 2026 bullish
Assertion Supported
Coogan: GPT-6 Astra achieves 99.9% on ARC-AGI-3 benchmark
“The RKGI three number is crazy. The score is 99.9%, so it feels like they just beat that. They just beat RKGI B three.”
John Coogan Sep 4, 2026 ▶ 26:40 Model Mayhem, GPT-6 Astra, Why Nvidia Bought Hugging Face | Diet TBPN
Sep 4, 2026 positive
Assertion Supported
Coogan: GPT-6 Astra scores zero percent on Exploit Gym Honeypot
“Also, the Exploit Jim Honeypot Lower is the better. GPT-Six Astra, zero percent, so good performance there.”
John Coogan Sep 4, 2026 ▶ 28:02 Model Mayhem, GPT-6 Astra, Why Nvidia Bought Hugging Face | Diet TBPN
Sep 4, 2026 positive
Assertion Supported
Coogan: GPT-6 Astra scores 64.6% on Terminal Bench Science
“Terminal Bench Science. We're going over into the world of science. GPT-Six Astra scored 64.6% on reasoning effort. Max cost 26, 26 bucks.”
John Coogan Sep 4, 2026 ▶ 27:48 Model Mayhem, GPT-6 Astra, Why Nvidia Bought Hugging Face | Diet TBPN
Sep 4, 2026
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Coogan: 80% of OpenAI and Anthropic Enterprise Revenue Comes from 1% of Customers
“OpenAI Ananthropic, 80% of their enterprise revenue comes from just one percent of the companies.”
John Coogan Sep 4, 2026 ▶ 7:02 Model Mayhem, GPT-6 Astra, Why Nvidia Bought Hugging Face | Diet TBPN
Sep 4, 2026 neutral
Assertion Supported
Coogan: OpenAI launches GPT-6 Astra with live blog post
“GPT-Six Astra has landed. The blog post is up. You can go check it out on OpenAI.com.”
John Coogan Sep 4, 2026 ▶ 26:30 Model Mayhem, GPT-6 Astra, Why Nvidia Bought Hugging Face | Diet TBPN
Sep 8, 2026 bullish
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Brockman: ChatGPT Work triggered 'almost vertical wall' of agentic adoption
“We've had this like almost vertical wall of agentic adoption since we launched chat GPT work.”
Greg Brockman Sep 8, 2026 ▶ 6:57 Greg Brockman on Astra and the Future of OpenAI
Sep 8, 2026 positive
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Brockman: Integrated image generation capability is unique to OpenAI versus competitors
“Being able to have that image generation capability in the middle is something that's very unique to OpenAI relative to some of our competitors, and I think that you're able to then produce much better artifacts downstream”
Greg Brockman Sep 8, 2026 ▶ 16:07 Greg Brockman on Astra and the Future of OpenAI
Sep 8, 2026 bullish
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Brockman: ChatGPT market share is climbing again
“That the market share of chat GPT is starting to climb once again, because we've been investing so hard in In so many use cases that are important for people in education and health and a variety of other areas.”
Greg Brockman Sep 8, 2026 ▶ 6:37 Greg Brockman on Astra and the Future of OpenAI
Sep 8, 2026 bullish
Disclosure
Brockman: OpenAI views image, voice, and code as one unified package
“We really view images, we view voice, we view coding, all these capabilities as one package that are going to come together to create an AI that empowers you, that means you can create anything that you imagine, And I think it's going to be something that's ju…”
Greg Brockman Sep 8, 2026 ▶ 16:07 Greg Brockman on Astra and the Future of OpenAI
Sep 8, 2026 bullish
Opinion
Brockman: OpenAI reached computer-use parity with Astra
“So if you have an AI that can operate that way, and even from the very beginning of OpenAI, we had a dream that one day we could create such an AI, it becomes able to help you across everything that you would be able to do with a computer yourself. And so I th…”
Greg Brockman Sep 8, 2026 ▶ 22:30 Greg Brockman on Astra and the Future of OpenAI
Sep 8, 2026 positive
Assertion Supported
Brockman: OpenAI Model Solved Navier-Stokes Millennium Problem by Finding Singularity
“Today we announced that our model had solved the Navier-Stokes problem that we found a counter-example or a sort of proof that you can actually that these theoretical equations do have a singularity or kind of breakdown under Certain circumstances.”
Greg Brockman Sep 8, 2026 ▶ 0:31 Greg Brockman on Astra and the Future of OpenAI
Sep 8, 2026 negative
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Brockman admits OpenAI Operator was slow, inaccurate, and painful to use
“I think operator was just kind of below threshold in terms of the model capabilities. It was a cloud-based system that operated with computer use. It was slow. It wasn't fully accurate. It was like pretty painful to use. Some people got value, but it really wa…”
Greg Brockman Sep 8, 2026 ▶ 21:33 Greg Brockman on Astra and the Future of OpenAI
Sep 8, 2026 bullish
Assertion Supported
Brockman: OpenAI surpasses one billion weekly active users
“We're now well over a billion users every week”
Greg Brockman Sep 8, 2026 ▶ 6:37 Greg Brockman on Astra and the Future of OpenAI
Sep 8, 2026 positive
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Brockman: 300 million people use ChatGPT for health queries weekly
“If you look at how many people use Chat for Health, three hundred million people every single week. With health queries, right?”
Greg Brockman Sep 8, 2026 ▶ 10:59 Greg Brockman on Astra and the Future of OpenAI
Sep 8, 2026 neutral
Insight
Brockman: Highlighting esoteric AI use cases fails to trigger broad adoption
“We've sometimes highlighted esoteric use cases, something that appeals to someone in particular, and it's amazing for that person, but people don't then say, oh, because it's this powerful, I can also do this other powerful thing I've been waiting on. Like tha…”
Greg Brockman Sep 8, 2026 ▶ 12:54 Greg Brockman on Astra and the Future of OpenAI
Sep 8, 2026 positive
Assertion Supported
OpenAI has built an integration with healthcare software giant Epic
“And you can see things like we have an integration within Epic and really trying to bring each of these three pillars the best possible service independently.”
Greg Brockman Sep 8, 2026 ▶ 17:25 Greg Brockman on Astra and the Future of OpenAI
Sep 8, 2026 negative
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Brockman says exposing context windows and model selection is bad UX
“What we were promised, if you were to rewind five, 10 years ago, is never a low-level language model that you have to think about context windows, and you have to select thinking strength, and you have to select different models, like none of that is the futur…”
Greg Brockman Sep 8, 2026 ▶ 7:16 Greg Brockman on Astra and the Future of OpenAI
Sep 8, 2026 bullish
Opinion
Brockman: Astra Marks a New Threshold in AI Computer Use
“And I think that it's very clear that we've reached a new threshold of computer use. So this model is able to, I really work with different kinds of applications in a way that was not previously possible.”
Greg Brockman Sep 8, 2026 ▶ 3:32 Greg Brockman on Astra and the Future of OpenAI
Sep 9, 2026 neutral
Assertion Supported
Coogan: OpenAI and DeepMind both scored 35 of 42 on 2025 IMO
“Both teams got a 35 out of 42. There was a bunch of back and forth because OpenAI validated with former IMO gold medalists while Google's result was graded by the official rubric that year, which is internal to the organization.”
John Coogan Sep 9, 2026 ▶ 2:46 OpenAI Cracks Navier-Stokes, Tech Trailers, AI Jobs Apocalypse on Hold | Diet TBPN
Sep 10, 2026 positive
Prediction Open · timeframe Sep 2031
Hays: Rival frontier AI labs will eventually collaborate to pace development
“Pacing the frontier, collaborating with other labs. I'm oddly optimistic that this will happen. Obviously, you know, there's the Sam and Dario can't even hold hands on stage in that India conference, but AI has made strange bedfellows out of people.”
Jordi Hays Sep 10, 2026 ▶ 30:27 Apple’s iPhone Duo, Meta’s Muse AI Agent, Anthropic Researcher Quits Over AI Doom | Diet TBPN
Sep 10, 2026
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Coxon: Whistleblowing was driven entirely by personal concerns, not third parties
“Not at all. This is entirely my own personal concerns about safety and things that I've seen personally in conversations I've had.”
Jacob Coxon Sep 10, 2026 ▶ 7:06 AI Safety Timeline Takeover, Bending Spoons Acquires Miro, iPhone Duo Reactions | Diet TBPN
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