Tyler Hogge

Founder and General Partner, Captain Ventures · 1 appearance on the record.

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Tyler Hogge is an investor and former tech operator who served as SVP of Product and Risk at Divvy through its acquisition by BILL. He previously served as a Partner at Pelion Venture Partners before founding seed-stage venture fund Captain Ventures.

6statements → 2claims → 1claims resolved → 3.5/5average certainty → 3.17/5average debate potential →

1 supported 0 partly supported 0 contradicted 1 not checkable as stated how the 2 claims stand · each chip opens the sources

2 predictions · 4 opinions · every statement was checked. The predictions and assertions are the 2 claims: statements the public record can support or contradict. 1 is resolved, and 1 names no date, number or outcome precise enough to check. Everything else (opinions, insights, what ifs, disclosures) can never be settled by the record, so it carries no assessment.

The record, in short

What the tape says about how Tyler argues and how the claims held up. Everything they said, and everything said about them, is in the tabs below.

Their most notable supported claim

Prediction Held up

Tyler Hogge predicts the US government will provide AI loan backstops

“But a backstop of loans, I would expect that to happen.”

Tyler Hogge Nov 7, 2025 ▶ 11:02 OpenAI Requesting Federal Backstop? | Diet TBPN

What they said6 Episodes1

Everything Tyler Hogge said on TBPN that made the record, most notable first. Filter by type, assessment or year in the ledger →

Opinion

Tyler Hogge claims OpenAI seeks government guarantees to appease private AI lenders

“When I hear these comments from Sarah Fryer, what I'm hearing is we have a bunch of lenders that would happily finance this if there's a government guarantee that they won't lose money, and that's very different.”

Tyler Hogge Nov 7, 2025 ▶ 8:11 OpenAI Requesting Federal Backstop? | Diet TBPN

Prediction Held up

Tyler Hogge predicts the US government will provide AI loan backstops

“But a backstop of loans, I would expect that to happen.”

Tyler Hogge Nov 7, 2025 ▶ 11:02 OpenAI Requesting Federal Backstop? | Diet TBPN

Opinion

Tyler Hogge says OpenAI seeks government backstops to rival cash-rich hyperscalers

“OpenAI is, is, is a new hyperscaler, and it's so hard to compete with the hyperscalers that have huge amounts of cash flow, that they need every advantage that they possibly can, right? And one way they could get an advantage is through programs like Sarah sug…”

Tyler Hogge Nov 7, 2025 ▶ 16:43 OpenAI Requesting Federal Backstop? | Diet TBPN

Opinion

Tyler Hogge predicts consumer robotics will fail to fund AI infrastructure costs

“None of these things scream cashflow to me. These to me seem Very likely like businesses, new business lines that also lose money. I'm excited about these categories. I think they're going to make cool, novel products, but it doesn't give me more confidence th…”

Tyler Hogge Nov 7, 2025 ▶ 15:39 OpenAI Requesting Federal Backstop? | Diet TBPN

Opinion

Tyler Hogge says public bailouts are the natural endpoint of AI discourse

“Public money, backstops, bailouts seem like the natural endpoint of how AI is discussed at these levels.”

Tyler Hogge Nov 7, 2025 ▶ 23:14 OpenAI Requesting Federal Backstop? | Diet TBPN

Prediction Not checkable as stated

Tyler Hogge predicts China will spend whatever is necessary on domestic chips

“That even if we give China chips, they will still spend as much as they need to in order to catch up themselves.”

Tyler Hogge Nov 7, 2025 ▶ 24:44 OpenAI Requesting Federal Backstop? | Diet TBPN

Appearances (1)

Episode	Date	Speaking time
OpenAI Requesting Federal Backstop? \| Diet TBPN	Nov 7, 2025	10m

Tyler Hogge

The record, in short

Their most notable supported claim

Appearances (1)

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