Microsoft

includes Microsoft Azure, Microsoft Excel, Microsoft PowerPoint, Microsoft Windows, Microsoft Office, Microsoft 365, Microsoft Bing, Microsoft Teams, Microsoft Word, Microsoft Copilot, Microsoft Research, Microsoft AI and 9 more

55 statements across 28 episodes · 24 bullish · 12 bearish · 23 people on the record · first statement Apr 25, 2023 by Aravind Srinivas · said 347 times in 79 episodes since 2023 · across every show →

Mentions by year, the whole family

brought up most by Elad Gil (101), Sarah Guo (42), Satya Nadella (34), Kevin Scott (16), Sridhar Ramaswamy (10), Alex Graveley (10), Ryan Noon (9), Jensen Huang (9)

tap a year for its mentions
007515150302023202420252026episodesmentions
015302023202420252026episodes it came up in
004158302023202420252026episodesmentions per episode
2026 78 mentions in 12 episodes 7 per episode
2025 77 mentions in 19 episodes 4 per episode
2024 67 mentions in 20 episodes 3 per episode
2023 125 mentions in 28 episodes 4 per episode

every mention, scene by scene, with the transcript →

Everything said about Microsoft, oldest first

Apr 25, 2023 neutral
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Srinivas: Google and Microsoft will match Perplexity's current search capabilities
“I feel like Google and Microsoft will pretty much do the same thing we have right now as well as us.”
Aravind Srinivas Apr 25, 2023 ▶ 33:42 No Priors Ep. 9 | With Perplexity AI’s Aravind Srinivas and Denis Yarats
Apr 27, 2023 neutral
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Gil: AI value capture will likely be 80% incumbents, 20% startups
“And it feels like in this wave, it's probably eighty-twenty again, right? It's probably, Google will probably become a player, right? OpenAI is closely aligned with Microsoft. And then, you know Salesforce with AI is probably Salesforce, right? It probably isn…”
Elad Gil Apr 27, 2023 ▶ 23:15 No Priors Ep. 14 | With Sarah Guo and Elad Gil
May 3, 2023 bullish
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Stability AI Has More Compute Available Than Microsoft or Google
“The reality is we have more compute available to us than Microsoft or Google.”
Emad Mostaque May 3, 2023 ▶ 9:33 No Priors Ep. 3 | With Stability AI’s Emad Mostaque
May 19, 2023 negative
Opinion
GitHub probably sold to Microsoft too early, argues Delangue
“So when you talk about, you know, money in GitHub for me, like the, if there was a mistake, it's probably to have sold it too, too early to Microsoft.”
Clem Delangue May 19, 2023 ▶ 31:48 No Priors Ep. 5 | With Huggingface’s Clem Delangue
May 24, 2023 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Scott predicts the AI industry will never have enough compute capacity
“I just had super, super high confidence that we were never going to get to the point where we're like, all right, we got enough compute.”
Kevin Scott May 24, 2023 ▶ 17:20 No Priors Ep. 18 | With Kevin Scott, CTO of Microsoft
May 24, 2023
Assertion Supported
Scott: Microsoft Copilots use a portfolio of AI models
“If you look at things like Bing chat or Microsoft three 65 copilot or GitHub copilot, you end up using a portfolio of models to do the work and like you use it for performance and cost optimization reasons, and you use it for you know, just sort of precision a…”
Kevin Scott May 24, 2023 ▶ 20:43 No Priors Ep. 18 | With Kevin Scott, CTO of Microsoft
May 24, 2023 positive
Assertion Supported
Scott: Microsoft built the AI supercomputer that trained GPT-3 in 2019
“So we built our, the first thing that we called an AI supercomputer. I think we started working on it in 2019 and we deployed it at the end of that year. And it was the computing environment that GPT three was trained on”
Kevin Scott May 24, 2023 ▶ 17:56 No Priors Ep. 18 | With Kevin Scott, CTO of Microsoft
May 24, 2023 positive
Opinion
Scott is not worried about major AI competitors behaving unsafely
“The thing that I will say is we fiercely compete with a whole bunch of these folks. But, like, one of the things that I don't do is, like, look at any of those companies that you just named and, like, worry that they're going to do something that like, is, lik…”
Kevin Scott May 24, 2023 ▶ 54:13 No Priors Ep. 18 | With Kevin Scott, CTO of Microsoft
May 24, 2023 positive
Opinion
Kevin Scott: OpenAI Was the Highest-Ambition AI Partner Available
“And when we looked around, like OpenAI was clearly the highest ambition partner that was in the field, you know, and I think still their ambition is just breathtaking in what it is that they're trying to accomplish.”
Kevin Scott May 24, 2023 ▶ 14:01 No Priors Ep. 18 | With Kevin Scott, CTO of Microsoft
May 24, 2023 neutral
Insight
Scott: No single company can build all useful AI platform tools
“We'll build some of this stuff and like the community is going to build a tremendous amount of it because like there's never been a platform or ecosystem where one company builds all of the useful things. Like that's just nonsense. Like it's just never happene…”
Kevin Scott May 24, 2023 ▶ 26:18 No Priors Ep. 18 | With Kevin Scott, CTO of Microsoft
May 24, 2023 positive
Opinion
Scott: AI will create value through assistive tools, not full autonomy
“We started with this assumption that AI is going to be a platform and the way that people are going to most usefully Make or the way that people are going to make most use of the platform is by building tools that assist people with jobs. So it's like less abo…”
Kevin Scott May 24, 2023 ▶ 22:17 No Priors Ep. 18 | With Kevin Scott, CTO of Microsoft
May 24, 2023 neutral
Disclosure
Kevin Scott: Microsoft Had Significant Internal Dissent Over OpenAI Deal
“So there was a huge diversity of opinions inside of the company on the wisdom of doing doing this.”
Kevin Scott May 24, 2023 ▶ 15:38 No Priors Ep. 18 | With Kevin Scott, CTO of Microsoft
May 24, 2023 bullish
Disclosure
Scott: Microsoft software interactions will fundamentally change by the end of 2023
“It will touch all of Microsoft's product portfolio. Like the way that you will interact with our software will be substantially different by the end of this calendar year than it was coming in.”
Kevin Scott May 24, 2023 ▶ 47:52 No Priors Ep. 18 | With Kevin Scott, CTO of Microsoft
May 24, 2023 neutral
Insight
Scott: Generative AI transition is harder for ML veterans than new entrepreneurs
“I think it's honestly harder for some, Machine learning people than it is you know, for like a brand new entrepreneur who's, you know, just looking for an interesting thing to go do because it is a very different way for a machine learning team to do its work.…”
Kevin Scott May 24, 2023 ▶ 29:58 No Priors Ep. 18 | With Kevin Scott, CTO of Microsoft
May 24, 2023
Disclosure
Scott seized Microsoft's entire GPU budget to stop peanut buttering resources
“At one point I seized the entire GPU budgets for the whole company. And I was like, we will no longer peanut butter these resources around. Like we will focus them because it's all capital intensive. It's like, we will just allocate these things to things wher…”
Kevin Scott May 24, 2023 ▶ 12:10 No Priors Ep. 18 | With Kevin Scott, CTO of Microsoft
Jun 15, 2023 positive
Insight
Pomel: Shared cloud infrastructure allows software vendors to serve startups and enterprises alike
“In the cloud and open source generation, like the tooling is the same for all companies. If you go back 15 years, if you were a startup, you were building on open source. And if you were a large company, you were buying whatever Oracle or Microsoft was selling…”
Olivier Pomel Jun 15, 2023 ▶ 42:22 No Priors Ep. 21 | With Datadog Co-founder/CEO Olivier Pomel
Jun 29, 2023 negative
Opinion
Slootman: Supply chain management is stuck in 30-year-old spreadsheets
“Supply chain management is an email spreadsheet business. I mean, they're still living in, in, in the world of Microsoft, 30 years ago.”
Frank Slootman Jun 29, 2023 ▶ 40:31 No Priors Ep. 23 | With Snowflake's CEO Frank Slootman
Oct 12, 2023 neutral
Assertion Supported
Halligan: Groove Networks reached $20M revenue before Microsoft acquisition
“We got the twenty million in revenue, and Microsoft bought it, and it's like a little part of SharePoint now.”
Brian Halligan Oct 12, 2023 ▶ 3:20 No Priors Ep. 36 | With Hubspot's Co-Founder Brian Halligan
Oct 12, 2023 neutral
Disclosure
Halligan: HubSpot tried to invest in OpenAI alongside Microsoft but got rejected
“The second we saw ChatGPT, we tried to invest in, in OpenAI. Dharmesh had got early looks at it, and we tried to get in the round with Microsoft, and had a bunch of discussions with them, and they bought, at the end of the day, they wouldn't let us in, which i…”
Brian Halligan Oct 12, 2023 ▶ 28:42 No Priors Ep. 36 | With Hubspot's Co-Founder Brian Halligan
Oct 26, 2023 neutral
Insight
Noon: Cybersecurity incumbents acquire startups because early-stage efficacy is unpredictable
“There's a, you know, like a truism that all cybersecurity products are just, you know, complex insurance policies or whatever, right? But the point is like that, that mushiness exists. And so what has resulted in, in, in the free market here is these incredibl…”
Ryan Noon Oct 26, 2023 ▶ 21:15 No Priors Ep. 38 | With Material Security Co-Founder Ryan Noon
Oct 26, 2023 negative
Insight
Noon: Duopolies bring market stability but extreme security fragility
“Duopolies are stable in the market, but very fragile when it comes to security.”
Ryan Noon Oct 26, 2023 ▶ 4:55 No Priors Ep. 38 | With Material Security Co-Founder Ryan Noon
Dec 21, 2023 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Hoffman: English and Chinese will become the most significant programming languages
“The most significant programming language in the next few years is gonna turn into English, and then of course rapidly followed by Chinese, because the broad use of the language and being able to create things, computational artifacts, Code, et cetera.”
Reid Hoffman Dec 21, 2023 ▶ 44:05 No Priors Ep. 45 | With Reid Hoffman
Feb 15, 2024 neutral
Insight
Zhao: LLMs Demand Bundling of Information Rather Than Just Distribution
“I think there's bundling of distribution and bundling of information. What you're describing to me is more of Microsoft, more like bundling of distribution. Language model wants the bundling of data, bundling information.”
Ivan Zhao Feb 15, 2024 ▶ 29:44 No Priors Ep. 51 | With Notion CEO Ivan Zhao
Mar 7, 2024 neutral
Assertion Supported
Gil: Big Tech, not VCs, drives multi-billion dollar AI funding rounds
“The big rounds aren't venture capitalists. Investing billions of dollars is the big tech companies. It's Amazon and Google and Microsoft and Salesforce and NVIDIA actually, right?”
Elad Gil Mar 7, 2024 ▶ 17:12 No Priors Ep. 54 | With Sarah Guo & Elad Gil
Mar 14, 2024 neutral
Assertion Supported
Gil: Microsoft's blocked Intuit buyout preceded Intuit reaching $178B market cap
“If you look historically in the nineties, Microsoft tried to buy into it for, I think it was a billion or one and a half billion dollars. And that got blocked from a regulatory perspective. And now into it's a hundred and seventy eight billion dollar company…”
Elad Gil Mar 14, 2024 ▶ 3:52 No Priors Ep. 55 | With Figma CEO Dylan Field
Apr 11, 2024 neutral
Opinion
Guo: Microsoft's Inflection Deal Is a Strategic Hedge Against OpenAI Reliance
“Now, they're clearly still working with OpenAI, given, like, direct statements from both companies and the Stargate Data center effort, but it's also hard from the outside not to see this as somewhat of a hedge, right? Not in a criticism of OpenAI, but you kno…”
Sarah Guo Apr 11, 2024 ▶ 4:07 No Priors Ep. 59 | With Sarah Guo & Elad Gil
Apr 11, 2024 bearish
Opinion
Guo: Microsoft Copilot Revenue Still Far Below Company's Expectations
“Despite all of the, you know, initial real traction around Copilot in the code domain I think we're still far short of what revenue Microsoft actually expects to drive in terms of across its productivity suite and in search, and they're ambitious to go after t…”
Sarah Guo Apr 11, 2024 ▶ 3:45 No Priors Ep. 59 | With Sarah Guo & Elad Gil
Apr 11, 2024 bearish
Opinion
Guo: Next-Gen AI Model Spend Requires Hyperscaler-Level Sponsorship
“The spend required at the perhaps not even this generation, but the next generation really requires a certain level of sponsorship that is challenging for most independent players, but it's a directly opposing view to the, for example, the Databricks narrative…”
Sarah Guo Apr 11, 2024 ▶ 4:55 No Priors Ep. 59 | With Sarah Guo & Elad Gil
May 9, 2024 neutral
Assertion Contradicted
Elad Gil notes major Microsoft Office apps originated as third-party software
“I think people also forget that all of Microsoft Office at some point were third party applications. So in the eighties, there were separate companies like Lotus and others that were providing what turned into Excel. There was a PowerPoint company that was ver…”
Elad Gil May 9, 2024 ▶ 8:18 No Priors Ep. 63 | With Sarah Guo and Elad Gil
May 22, 2024 positive
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Alexandr Wang: Scale AI fuels basically every major LLM developer.
“Today, you know, fast forward to today our data foundry fuels basically every major large language model in the industry. Work with OpenAI, Meta, Microsoft, many of the other players.”
Alexandr Wang May 22, 2024 ▶ 6:59 No Priors Ep. 65 | With Scale AI CEO Alexandr Wang
Aug 29, 2024 negative
Opinion
Garman says Google and Microsoft forced new app paradigms in early cloud
“I think if you look at some of those others like Google and later Microsoft they kind of went at this space for first, we were the first ones out there that had anything like this, but even soon after that, I think they went after the space, like that was goin…”
Matt Garman Aug 29, 2024 ▶ 3:47 No Priors Ep. 78 | With AWS CEO Matt Garman
Oct 3, 2024 positive
What-if
Lina Khan: Microsoft antitrust action allowed Google, Amazon, and Facebook to flourish
“The reason that Microsoft was looking to elbow out Netscape was not because Netscape risked replacing it as the dominant operating system. It was because Netscape risked disintermediating it and making it irrelevant whether you were using Microsoft or somethin…”
Lina Khan Oct 3, 2024 ▶ 8:12 No Priors Ep. 84 | With Chair of the Federal Trade Commission Lina Khan
Mar 13, 2025 positive
Assertion Supported
Dohmke: Copilot reached 77,000 organizations and 1.8M paid users
“I think the last number we shared was a few quarters ago, 77,000 organizations using Copilot and back then the number of paid users was 1.8 million paid users.”
Thomas Dohmke Mar 13, 2025 ▶ 30:16 No Priors Ep 106 | With GitHub CEO Thomas Dohmke
Mar 27, 2025 negative
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Shiv Rao: Abridge competitor's 2022 solution relied on manual scribes in Bangalore
“And at that point in time, like the large competitor, they had a solution in the space, but it was humans in the loop. So it was really like Indians in Bangalore who were listening to audio and writing the note and Wizard of Oz-ing it back into the medical rec…”
Dr. Shiv Rao Mar 27, 2025 ▶ 13:43 No Priors Ep. 108 | With Abridge Founder and CEO Shiv Rao, MD
Mar 27, 2025 bullish
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Shiv Rao: Abridge has never lost a head-to-head evaluation against Microsoft
“Now, the, you know, who we're competing with is Microsoft. That's who we essentially almost, like always have to do a head-to-head against, and it's usually, like, three to four weeks. And then we sort of move on from there. And so far we've never lost a head …”
Dr. Shiv Rao Mar 27, 2025 ▶ 13:03 No Priors Ep. 108 | With Abridge Founder and CEO Shiv Rao, MD
May 29, 2025 neutral
Opinion
Gil: AI coding market has consolidated into a few key players
“Encoding, it seems like it's consolidated into two or three players. You know, maybe that's Cursor, Codium, Cognition, and then Microsoft, Microsoft's like Copilot, right? But there aren't probably like two dozen companies that are all still competing there.”
Elad Gil May 29, 2025 ▶ 1:15 No Priors Ep. 116 | With Sarah and Elad
Jun 12, 2025 positive
Assertion Supported
Mann: OpenAI, Google, and Microsoft are betting big on Anthropic's MCP
“OpenAI, Google, Microsoft all these companies are betting really big on MCP.”
Ben Mann Jun 12, 2025 ▶ 39:50 No Priors Ep. 118 | With Anthropic Co-Founder Ben Mann
Aug 14, 2025 negative
Opinion
Patel: Microsoft's AI hardware programs fail because Microsoft lacks model understanding
“There's a reason why Microsoft's hardware programs suck, right? Because they don't understand models at all.”
Dylan Patel Aug 14, 2025 ▶ 21:22 No Priors Ep. 127 | With SemiAnalysis Founder and CEO Dylan Patel
Aug 14, 2025 bearish
Insight
Patel: Hyperscalers cannot replicate CPU and storage profit margins in GPUs
“Their ROIC is, like, extremely high on CPU and storage, and to assume that it can, like, translate over to GPUs is, is a bit of a fallacy, which is why a lot of these companies are moving in, right?”
Dylan Patel Aug 14, 2025 ▶ 15:54 No Priors Ep. 127 | With SemiAnalysis Founder and CEO Dylan Patel
Aug 14, 2025 negative
Assertion Supported
Patel: Microsoft dropped Stargate for OpenAI due to slow execution
“Microsoft is not building Stargate for OpenAI, right? It's because it would have just been too slow, and they're doing it the lame and old way.”
Dylan Patel Aug 14, 2025 ▶ 32:58 No Priors Ep. 127 | With SemiAnalysis Founder and CEO Dylan Patel
Aug 14, 2025 positive
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Patel: Some NeoClouds beat AWS, Google, and Azure on software performance
“Actually some of these NeoClouds are better than Amazon and Google and Microsoft in terms of software.”
Dylan Patel Aug 14, 2025 ▶ 13:18 No Priors Ep. 127 | With SemiAnalysis Founder and CEO Dylan Patel
Oct 23, 2025 negative
Opinion
Lloyd: GitHub Is Not Executing Well on AI Coding Front Door
“The other front door, which. I feel like honestly they're not executing that great is GitHub where all the source code lives.”
Zach Lloyd Oct 23, 2025 ▶ 20:17 No Priors Ep. 137 | With Warp Co-Founder & CEO Zach Lloyd
Nov 6, 2025 neutral
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Ramaswamy: Databricks and Fabric Strained Snowflake's Relationship With Microsoft
“Among the earliest places where this went to work was in our relationship with Microsoft, which was okay, but not that great because they had a one P relationship with Databricks. And they're always kind of conflicted about is fabric the answer or snowflake th…”
Sridhar Ramaswamy Nov 6, 2025 ▶ 28:19 No Priors Ep. 139 | With Snowflake CEO Sridhar Ramaswamy
Feb 19, 2026 bullish
Assertion Partly supported
Gil: AI labs scaled from $1B to $10B revenue in one year
“ADP Took 20 something years to grow from a billion to ten billion in revenue. And then the next wave of companies like Adobe took about 20 years to go from one to 10. And then you fast forward in time and you have things like Salesforce or SAPs for an even mor…”
Elad Gil Feb 19, 2026 ▶ 15:53 The AI Code Slop: Risk or Opportunity?
Jun 4, 2026 positive
Disclosure
Nadella: Azure networking team deployed agent Miles, requested tokens over headcount
“So they built this agentic system. They even have a character for it. It's called miles and it sort of does all this stuff, right? They, Started sort of screaming for more tokens and so on. And so they were saying, look, I, we don't need headcount. We need tok…”
Satya Nadella Jun 4, 2026 ▶ 33:22 We Need An Ecosystem in AI, And Every Company Can Win A Place In It
Jun 4, 2026 positive
Insight
Nadella: Prepping context layer for execution efficiency is where AI magic lies
“The amount of work you need to do to prep the context layer such that your plan can execute in the most efficient way. Is where the magic is.”
Satya Nadella Jun 4, 2026 ▶ 10:41 We Need An Ecosystem in AI, And Every Company Can Win A Place In It
Jun 4, 2026 positive
Insight
Nadella: A platform must create more value outside than it captures
“At least for me, having grown up at Microsoft, having seen whatever four major platform shifts I sort of fall into that camp where a platform is defined by fundamentally its ability to create more value about the platform versus what's captured in the platform…”
Satya Nadella Jun 4, 2026 ▶ 2:16 We Need An Ecosystem in AI, And Every Company Can Win A Place In It
Jun 4, 2026 positive
Insight
Nadella: Platforms must enable custom intelligence layers, not single-model worship
“That idea that you can build a platform layer that someone else can then extend out and build their own intelligence layer in this case, I think is everything right without it. Why have a developer conference? I can just come and have you all sort of just wors…”
Satya Nadella Jun 4, 2026 ▶ 15:27 We Need An Ecosystem in AI, And Every Company Can Win A Place In It
Jun 4, 2026 positive
Assertion Supported
Nadella: M-Dash found security vulnerabilities on launch that Mythos missed
“Because when it launched it found bugs or vulnerabilities that were not found by mythos.”
Satya Nadella Jun 4, 2026 ▶ 11:28 We Need An Ecosystem in AI, And Every Company Can Win A Place In It
Jun 4, 2026 positive
Opinion
Nadella: Private AI evals may be an enterprise's biggest IP
“Every company having private evals may be the biggest IP, right? I think about it, like what's that private eval that you can then use even a frontier model to hill climb on and not leak the traces. Maybe one of the biggest drivers of IP.”
Satya Nadella Jun 4, 2026 ▶ 13:12 We Need An Ecosystem in AI, And Every Company Can Win A Place In It
Jun 4, 2026 neutral
Opinion
Nadella: Industry underestimated real-world complexity of deploying AI value
“Now, what I think we underestimated perhaps is the real world complexity. Of deploying these so that they actually deliver the value in the real world, right?”
Satya Nadella Jun 4, 2026 ▶ 6:39 We Need An Ecosystem in AI, And Every Company Can Win A Place In It
Jun 4, 2026 neutral
Disclosure
Nadella: Microsoft uses the GitHub harness across all its AI products
“So we have, in our case, we have the GitHub harness, which essentially we're using across all our products. It's available in Foundry”
Satya Nadella Jun 4, 2026 ▶ 10:55 We Need An Ecosystem in AI, And Every Company Can Win A Place In It
Jun 4, 2026 negative
Opinion
Nadella: Many open-weight models look good on benchmarks but fail in practice
“In fact, that's one of the challenges of a lot of the open-weight models is they look great on one benchmark or two, but they're not great on practice.”
Satya Nadella Jun 4, 2026 ▶ 3:58 We Need An Ecosystem in AI, And Every Company Can Win A Place In It
Jun 4, 2026 positive
Disclosure
Nadella: Microsoft-OpenAI partnership began around scaling compute on transformers
“Obviously I got into all this when I got excited by the scaling laws paper and, you know, when, You know, even the OpenAI partnership came about when those folks said, hey, we're going to really throw a lot of computer transformers and they've helped, right?”
Satya Nadella Jun 4, 2026 ▶ 6:08 We Need An Ecosystem in AI, And Every Company Can Win A Place In It
Sep 3, 2026 positive
Assertion Supported
Haas: Nvidia, Amazon, Microsoft, and Google Backed Arm's Physical Chip Strategy
“So whether it was Nvidia, Amazon, Microsoft, Google, All people who build ARM-based server chips, they were all on board, and I think the ultimate proof point was when we announced the product last March, we had Jensen, we had Ronnie Boker, we had Amin, we had…”
Rene Haas Sep 3, 2026 ▶ 5:03 Redefining Chip Architecture with Arm CEO Rene Haas
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