Insight
Aravind Srinivas argues AI application builders understand LLMs better than trainers
“The people who use the LLMs for building stuff, Understand it better than the people who actually did gradient descent and train these models.”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Srinivas: AI search will incentivize publishers to create higher-quality content
“I think it's just going to incentivize people to publish higher quality content. In order to get cited by an LLM powered answer, like Substack or things like that try to do, like you want to own your content and you publish it and make sure it's high quality a…”
Opinion
Aravind Srinivas says pursuing an AI PhD is a terrible career choice
“Especially a PhD student is one of the worst Jobs you can go for in a time when AI is so hot and so highly paid and you can do a startup or join a startup.”
Insight
Working in AI research or product does not require an AI background
“So it's always been clear to me that in order to work in AI, both research and product, you do not need to already have been in AI.”
Insight
Standalone LLMs cannot solve hallucination without a platform for user curation
“And I also don't think One LLM will just magically solve this problem. You need to build an end-to-end platform where users can correct the mistakes of an LLM, and that also means you need to design the platform where the incentive is right for the user”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Srinivas: Answer Engines Will Become Their Own Separate Market Segment
“I believe answer engines will become its own segment, market segment. Like, just like you have a default search engine, there'll be a default answer engine over time if these things really work.”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Aravind Srinivas predicts users will abandon Google's blue links for answer engines
“They will eventually prefer this experience over the regular like 10 links or 20 links UI that Google has. So that, that's something I'm pretty confident about.”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Srinivas: AI Answer Engines Will Significantly Reduce Traffic to Content Sites
“And I also think the fourth thing is there will be some sort of like Much fewer traffic to the actual content site. Like very few links need to be consumed.”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Srinivas: Optimizing for LLMs is unlikely to be as easy as keyword SEO
“It's unlikely that it's as easy as SEO with just keywords because LLMs are going to be much smarter in understanding relevance to a query.”
Insight
Srinivas: Academic AI researchers should pursue radical alternatives to transformers
“I think it's best to look for alternatives to the transformer, alternatives to like language models, that sort of radical directions, then Trying to improve them because there's so much incentive for the existing companies to do that.”
Insight
Srinivas: Iteration speed is the only path to success without product clarity
“If you don't have a clear idea of like, you know, which product you're going to build or which market you're going after and you still want to be giving, giving yourself a shot at success iteration speed is the only thing that you can hope for.”
Disclosure
Srinivas: Perplexity grounds even conversational identity queries in web search
“In fact, it's more like a citation first service that it'll never say anything that it cannot say. So if you, if people have tried to play with it as if it's like chat GPT where like, tell me who are you or like things like that. And even for those questions, …”
Insight
Srinivas: Chat UI makes more sense than Google for complex queries
“As the questions get more complex. The chat UI makes a lot more sense than Google's UI.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Srinivas: Perplexity Was Truly the First Conversational Answer Engine
“Perplexity is the first conversational answer engine like truly the first. I think nobody built it before us.”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Aravind Srinivas predicted push-based AI agents would arrive by early 2024
“I feel like we can do these things even better now with language models. So yeah, I think it'll happen in a year, more than five years.”
Insight
Srinivas: Subscription search fails if incumbents offer an 80%-good free tier
“If a bigger behemoth like Google or Bing just put out the same or like even 80% as good as you for free, then you're never going to make it as a subscription product.”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Srinivas: Google and Microsoft will match Perplexity's current search capabilities
“I feel like Google and Microsoft will pretty much do the same thing we have right now as well as us.”
Disclosure
Srinivas: Only pursued a US PhD because it was fully funded
“To be very honest, I only came to the United States for doing a PhD because there was no other way for me to come to the United States. Like I could, I couldn't take a loan for a master's or something like that. So a PhD is fully funded and like sponsored. So …”
Insight
Srinivas: Search is as much a distribution game as a tech game
“No, I think whatever you said still applies. Search is tremendously a distribution game as much as a technology game.”
Insight
Srinivas: Trying everything at once destroys team faith in startup leadership
“Also as leader, if you want to lead the company and if you kind of do everything, the people will lose faith in you, right? They think you don't really have any clarity and that's why you're making them do one new thing every week. And so you have more respons…”
Insight
Srinivas: Startup founders cannot hedge across multiple projects like academics do
“In academia, you're basically taught to hedge. You have like one first author project and like three or four co-author projects, and like one of them might become a big hit and might change your career. Whereas that's not how you should do startups. Like you r…”
Assertion Supported
Perplexity co-founder Johnny Ho was world number one in competitive programming
“He was the world number one at competitive programming. It's like being Magnus Carlsen of programming.”
Disclosure
Perplexity to prioritize core RLHF over AI agents for 6-12 months
“We haven't gone beyond that to think of like agents and browsers and things like that. We, we'll probably focus more on the first part for the next at least six months to a year.”