| 3,000% | “3000%” | Deploying AI agents in an enterprise can spike token consumption 3,000% | Dave Morin | May 29, 2026 | — |
| 1,000% | “1000%” | Lessin: Personalized Fantasy AI Companions for Children Will 1,000% Happen | Sam Lessin | Jun 21, 2024 | — |
| 1,000% | “1000%” | Lessin: Vibe coding is not magic; web development fundamentals remain essential | Sam Lessin | May 23, 2025 | — |
| 300% | “300%” | Top 10% of startup valuations are 200% to 300% above 2021 levels | Brit Morin | Apr 17, 2026 | Contradicted |
| 100% | “100%” | Lessin: Musk and SpaceX Dedicated 100% of First Colossus Project to Anthropic | Jessica Lessin | May 8, 2026 | Supported |
| 100% | “hundred percent” | Jessica Lessin: Prominent media lists are driven by corporate sponsorship | Jessica Lessin | Sep 4, 2026 | — |
| 100% | “100%” | Dave Morin: Silicon Valley ideologically treats superintelligence as 100% zero-sum | Dave Morin | Nov 28, 2025 | — |
| 100% | “hundred percent” | Sam Lessin: Meta moderation overhaul would not happen under Harris | Sam Lessin | Jan 10, 2025 | — |
| 100% | “hundred percent” | Rauch: AI will expand React developers from four to fifty million | Guillermo Rauch | Dec 27, 2024 | — |
| 100% | “hundred percent” | Jessica Lessin: Systemic bias persists and single-sex spaces remain vital for girls | Jessica Lessin | Jan 17, 2025 | — |
| 100% | “hundred percent” | Rauch: Natural language AI will trivially grow React developers to 50M | Guillermo Rauch | Nov 8, 2024 | — |
| 100% | “hundred percent” | Sam Lessin: Owning a $10M Business Is Easier Than a $1B Exit | Sam Lessin | Jun 7, 2024 | — |
| 100% | “hundred percent” | Lessin: Sam Altman's great innovation is fear marketing | Sam Lessin | Jan 24, 2025 | — |
| 100% | “100%” | Brian Singerman says founders are moving past the AI company label | Brian Singerman | Feb 9, 2024 | — |
| 100% | “hundred percent” | Lessin: Apple and Meta will dominate VR; third-party OEMs cannot survive | Sam Lessin | Feb 16, 2024 | — |
| 100% | “hundred percent” | Neistat: AI avatars will never close the authenticity gap with real humans | Casey Neistat | Feb 2, 2024 | — |
| 100% | “hundred percent” | Lessin: Shein is first in line to IPO in the US | Jessica Lessin | Aug 4, 2023 | — |
| 100% | “hundred percent” | Lessin: Adult content will migrate to massive Apple iMessage groups | Sam Lessin | Jun 16, 2023 | — |
| 99.9% | “99.9%” | Sam Lessin predicts most will choose AI companions over real relationships | Sam Lessin | Jan 9, 2026 | — |
| 99.9% | “99.9%” | Lessin: AI startups face a 99.9% failure rate | Sam Lessin | Mar 22, 2024 | — |
| 99% | “99%” | Gil: 99% of AI Companies Will Fail, But 1% Will Be Huge | Elad Gil | Jun 21, 2024 | — |
| 99% | “99%” | Sam Lessin predicts that 99% of resumes will be fake by 2028 | Sam Lessin | Jun 27, 2025 | — |
| 95% | “95%” | Brit Morin: Uses Tesla Self-Driving on 95% of Personal Drives | Brit Morin | Sep 4, 2026 | — |
| 95% | “95%” | Brit Morin: 95% of people on media lists are pitched by PR | Brit Morin | Sep 4, 2026 | — |
| 95% | “95%” | Neistat: AI avatars will never close the authenticity gap with real humans | Casey Neistat | Feb 2, 2024 | — |
| 94.9% | “94.9%” | Brit Morin: Google controls 94.9% of the mobile search market | Brit Morin | Aug 9, 2024 | Supported |
| 90% | “90%” | Landesberg: San Bernardino targets containing wildfires within 100 square feet | Stuart Landesberg | Oct 31, 2025 | Supported |
| 90% | “90%” | Jessica Lessin: OpenAI has a 90% chance of going public by 2027 | Jessica Lessin | Aug 8, 2025 | Open |
| 90% | “90%” | Aoun: Routing routine care to automated pods is highly scalable | Adrian Aoun | Nov 22, 2024 | — |
| 90% | “90%” | Lessin: Lowering software technical barriers only solves 10% of building businesses | Sam Lessin | Nov 8, 2024 | — |
| 90% | “90%” | Jessica Lessin: OpenAI holds 90% market share among AI developers | Jessica Lessin | Jun 28, 2024 | — |
| 90% | “90%” | Gil: Startups captured internet value, but incumbents captured mobile value | Elad Gil | Jun 21, 2024 | — |
| 90% | “90%” | Khosla: Passes on 80% to 90% of startups seeking billion-dollar valuations | Vinod Khosla | Jun 14, 2024 | — |
| 90% | “90%” | Brit Morin: Anthropic CEO Claims AI Will Write Nearly All Code in 12 Months | Brit Morin | Mar 14, 2025 | Supported |
| 90% | “90%” | Julia Hartz notes virtual events reached 90% of Eventbrite listings during the pandemic | Julia Hartz | Mar 15, 2024 | Not publicly verifiable |
| 90% | “90%” | Neistat: Generative AI Will Steamroll Bottom 90% of Content Creators | Casey Neistat | Feb 2, 2024 | — |
| 90% | “90%” | Neistat: AI avatars will never close the authenticity gap with real humans | Casey Neistat | Feb 2, 2024 | — |
| 90% | “90%” | Morin: Google Gemini Achieved 90% on MMLU, Beating Human Experts | Brit Morin | Dec 8, 2023 | Partly supported |
| 90% | “90%” | Dave Morin: Ozempic costs $1,200 in US versus $100 in Mexico | Dave Morin | Aug 11, 2023 | Partly supported |
| 87% | “87%” | Lessin: Sam Altman's $7 trillion pitch just tries to outdo Elon Musk | Sam Lessin | Feb 16, 2024 | — |
| 86.4% | “86.4%” | Morin: Google Gemini Achieved 90% on MMLU, Beating Human Experts | Brit Morin | Dec 8, 2023 | Partly supported |
| 85% | “85%” | Brit Morin: 85% of Grok Images Are Nude or Sex-Related | Brit Morin | Jan 9, 2026 | — |
| 80% | “80%” | Nick Bilton Will Make $2.5 Million as 60 Minutes Executive Producer | Jessica Lessin | Jun 12, 2026 | — |
| 80% | “80%” | Brown: Over 80% of Teamshares president hires work out | Mike Brown | Jun 17, 2026 | — |
| 80% | “80%” | Dave Morin says Apple spends only 10-20% of operating cash on AI | Dave Morin | Nov 7, 2025 | — |
| 80% | “80%” | Dave Morin: Microsoft, Amazon, Alphabet put 60-80% of cash into AI; Apple 10% | Dave Morin | Aug 8, 2025 | — |
| 80% | “80%” | Aoun: Vertically integrated startups cannot easily cut burn through layoffs | Adrian Aoun | Nov 22, 2024 | — |
| 80% | “80%” | Morin: San Francisco's shift represents the future of liberal politics | Dave Morin | Nov 8, 2024 | — |
| 80% | “80%” | Sam Lessin: An 80% Capable But Simple AI Model Would Win Massively | Sam Lessin | Jul 26, 2024 | — |
| 80% | “80%” | Khosla: 80% of Khosla Ventures seed investments are under $25M post-money valuation | Vinod Khosla | Jun 14, 2024 | — |
| 80% | “80%” | Khosla: Passes on 80% to 90% of startups seeking billion-dollar valuations | Vinod Khosla | Jun 14, 2024 | — |
| 80% | “80%” | Dave Morin: Users Will Prefer Free Local AI Models Over Cloud | Dave Morin | Apr 26, 2024 | — |
| 80% | “80%” | Morin: 80% of YC Demo Day Batch Was Agentic AI for SaaS CRM | Dave Morin | Mar 14, 2025 | Contradicted |
| 80% | “80%” | Neistat: AI avatars will never close the authenticity gap with real humans | Casey Neistat | Feb 2, 2024 | — |
| 80% | “80%” | Morin: Sunrise Foundation funded landmark psilocybin depression efficacy study | Dave Morin | Jun 30, 2023 | — |
| 77% | “77%” | Jessica Lessin: The Washington Post Lost 50% of Its Audience | Jessica Lessin | Jun 7, 2024 | Partly supported |
| 75% | “75%” | Brit Morin: Silicon Valley sentiment toward DOGE is roughly 75% positive | Brit Morin | Mar 28, 2025 | — |
| 75% | “75%” | Brit Morin: Silicon Valley sentiment toward Elon Musk is roughly 60-40 favorable | Brit Morin | Mar 28, 2025 | — |
| 75% | “75%” | Jessica Lessin: Amazon prices Trainium 2 chips at 75% discount to Nvidia | Jessica Lessin | Mar 21, 2025 | Contradicted |
| 75% | “75%” | Julia Hartz notes over 75% of Gen Z report suffering from loneliness | Julia Hartz | Mar 15, 2024 | Supported |
| 75% | “75%” | Jessica Lessin: Replacing blue links with AI answers kills 75% of news | Jessica Lessin | Dec 8, 2023 | — |
| 72% | “72%” | Morin: Study shows 72% of founders report mental health concerns | Dave Morin | Jun 30, 2023 | Supported |
| 70% | “70%” | Rauch: Nearly 70% of Vercel documentation traffic comes from coding agents | Guillermo Rauch | Apr 10, 2026 | — |
| 70% | “70%” | Morin's Tesla interface shows 70 percent of his driving is currently autonomous | Dave Morin | Dec 5, 2025 | — |
| 70% | “70%” | Jessica Lessin: Musk's 70% Twitter cuts spurred broader tech industry layoffs | Jessica Lessin | Jan 10, 2025 | — |
| 70% | “70%” | Sam Lessin: Amazon Takes a 70% Cut on Kindle E-Books Over $10 | Sam Lessin | Jul 31, 2023 | Partly supported |
| 67% | “67%” | Jessica Lessin: 67 percent of surveyed subscribers wouldn't relocate over wealth tax | Jessica Lessin | Jan 16, 2026 | Supported |
| 65% | “65 Percent” | Brit Morin: SF downtown mobile activity sits at 27% of 2019 baseline | Brit Morin | Aug 25, 2023 | Contradicted |
| 60% | “60%” | Jessica Lessin: Anthropic reports 60% direct-sales gross margins heading toward 70% | Jessica Lessin | Jul 18, 2025 | Supported |
| 60% | “60%” | Brian Singerman says early pitches were mostly social, local, and mobile | Brian Singerman | Feb 9, 2024 | — |
| 60% | “60%” | Neistat: AI avatars will never close the authenticity gap with real humans | Casey Neistat | Feb 2, 2024 | — |
| 57% | “57%” | Brit Morin: Chinese sellers grew to 57% of Amazon's active global base | Brit Morin | Dec 19, 2025 | Contradicted |
| 50% | “50%” | Rauch: Vercel Signups Are Growing 50% Month Over Month | Guillermo Rauch | Apr 10, 2026 | — |
| 50% | “50%” | Sam Lessin: Capital gains taxes create an artificial floor under mega-cap stocks | Sam Lessin | Apr 17, 2026 | — |
| 50% | “50%” | Jessica Lessin: Half of The Information's subscribers are using GLP-1 drugs | Jessica Lessin | Jul 24, 2026 | Supported |
| 50% | “50%” | Sam Lessin: Post-IPO public float for frontier AI labs will stay low | Sam Lessin | May 22, 2026 | — |
| 50% | “50%” | Dave Morin: New website creation is up 40% and iOS apps up 50% | Dave Morin | Feb 27, 2026 | Supported |
| 50% | “50%” | Morin: Tech CEOs will not lay off half their software engineers | Dave Morin | Feb 20, 2026 | — |
| 50% | “50%” | Brit Morin: Chinese sellers grew to 57% of Amazon's active global base | Brit Morin | Dec 19, 2025 | Contradicted |
| 50% | “50%” | Lessin: 50 percent chance Altman's Code Red memo is strategic misdirection | Jessica Lessin | Dec 5, 2025 | — |
| 50% | “50%” | Brit Morin: 50% of Spotify Wrapped openers share results on social media | Brit Morin | Dec 13, 2024 | Partly supported |
| 50% | “50%” | Dave Morin: Search is dying as query volumes drop 45% to 50% | Dave Morin | May 9, 2025 | — |
| 50% | “50%” | Dave Morin: A scaled digital media publisher's ad revenue plunged 50% | Dave Morin | Apr 25, 2025 | — |
| 50% | “50%” | Erin Foster reveals a supply chain partner owns half of Favorite Daughter | Erin Foster | Nov 29, 2023 | — |
| 50% | “50%” | Brit Morin: Penn gave Barstool back to Portnoy for 50% upside | Brit Morin | Aug 11, 2023 | Supported |
| 50% | “50%” | Brit Morin: Theme park profit margins exceed 50% | Brit Morin | Aug 4, 2023 | Contradicted |
| 49% | “49%” | Lessin: OpenAI Wants Microsoft Stake Cut From 49% to One-Third | Jessica Lessin | Jun 20, 2025 | — |
| 49% | “49%” | Lessin: Meta is taking a $14.8B, 49% stake in Scale AI | Jessica Lessin | Jun 13, 2025 | Supported |
| 49% | “49%” | Lessin: Scale AI operates with an approximate 49% gross margin | Jessica Lessin | Jun 13, 2025 | — |
| 46% | “46%” | Morin: Musk grew Twitter's EBITDA margins from 13% to 46% | Dave Morin | Feb 7, 2025 | — |
| 45% | “45%” | Brit Morin: SF downtown mobile activity sits at 27% of 2019 baseline | Brit Morin | Aug 25, 2023 | Contradicted |
| 43% | “43%” | Lessin: ByteDance Q3 2023 Revenue Rose 43% to $31 Billion | Jessica Lessin | Mar 8, 2024 | — |
| 42% | “42%” | Brit Morin: Bridge rounds made up 42% of priced seed rounds in Q1 2024 | Brit Morin | Aug 23, 2024 | Supported |
| 41% | “41%” | Polymarket gives Elon Musk a 41% chance of winning against OpenAI | Brit Morin | May 8, 2026 | Supported |
| 40% | “40%” | Computer use AI models are currently less than 40% effective | Dave Morin | Apr 24, 2026 | — |
| 40% | “40%” | Dave Morin: New website creation is up 40% and iOS apps up 50% | Dave Morin | Feb 27, 2026 | Supported |
| 40% | “40%” | Lessin: Musk and SpaceX Dedicated 100% of First Colossus Project to Anthropic | Jessica Lessin | May 8, 2026 | Supported |
| 40% | “40%” | Jessica Lessin: OpenAI has a 90% chance of going public by 2027 | Jessica Lessin | Aug 8, 2025 | Open |
| 40% | “40%” | Aoun: Vertically integrated startups cannot easily cut burn through layoffs | Adrian Aoun | Nov 22, 2024 | — |
| 40% | “40%” | Britt Morin: Roughly 40% of people expect to stop using Google | Brit Morin | Feb 28, 2025 | Contradicted |
| 40% | “40%” | Dave Morin: OpenAI Study Shows LLMs Complete Only ~40% of Upwork Tasks | Dave Morin | Feb 21, 2025 | Partly supported |
| 40% | “40%” | Sam Lessin: Future Trump crypto tweets will have half the market impact | Sam Lessin | Mar 7, 2025 | — |
| 40% | “40%” | Morin: YC and Early-Stage Startup Valuations Are 20% to 40% Too High | Dave Morin | Mar 14, 2025 | — |
| 35% | “35%” | Dave Morin: New website creation is up 40% and iOS apps up 50% | Dave Morin | Feb 27, 2026 | Supported |
| 33% | “33%” | Brit Morin predicts adult GLP-1 adoption will reach 33% by 2026 | Brit Morin | Dec 19, 2025 | Open |
| 33% | “33%” | Brit Morin: Life360 Is Growing 33% Year-Over-Year and Launching Ads | Brit Morin | Jun 7, 2024 | Supported |
| 31% | “31%” | Britt Morin: 31% of teens find AI companions as satisfying as friends | Brit Morin | Jul 25, 2025 | Supported |
| 30.6% | “30.6%” | Brit Morin: Seed-to-Series A graduation rates halved from 30.6% to 15% | Brit Morin | Aug 23, 2024 | Supported |
| 30% | “30%” | Rauch: Nearly 70% of Vercel documentation traffic comes from coding agents | Guillermo Rauch | Apr 10, 2026 | — |
| 30% | “30%” | Dave Morin: New website creation is up 40% and iOS apps up 50% | Dave Morin | Feb 27, 2026 | Supported |
| 30% | “30%” | Morin: Tech CEOs will not lay off half their software engineers | Dave Morin | Feb 20, 2026 | — |
| 30% | “30%” | Brit Morin: Tech M&A deal value reached $535B in 1H 2024 | Brit Morin | Jun 28, 2024 | Partly supported |
| 30% | “30%” | Brit Morin says Sydney Sweeney ad drove American Eagle market cap 20% | Brit Morin | Aug 1, 2025 | Partly supported |
| 30% | “30%” | Brit Morin: BYD is up 30% year-over-year, outperforming Tesla | Brit Morin | Mar 28, 2025 | Partly supported |
| 30% | “30%” | Morin: YC and Early-Stage Startup Valuations Are 20% to 40% Too High | Dave Morin | Mar 14, 2025 | — |
| 30% | “30%” | Sam Lessin: Amazon Takes a 70% Cut on Kindle E-Books Over $10 | Sam Lessin | Jul 31, 2023 | Partly supported |
| 27% | “27%” | Brit Morin: SF downtown mobile activity sits at 27% of 2019 baseline | Brit Morin | Aug 25, 2023 | Contradicted |
| 25% | “25%” | Lessin: Google says 25 percent of its new code is AI-generated | Jessica Lessin | Nov 1, 2024 | Supported |
| 25% | “25%” | Brit Morin: Google stock dropped 25%, shedding $150B in one day | Brit Morin | May 9, 2025 | Supported |
| 25% | “25%” | Dave Morin: Seed to Series A Graduation Rate Down Over 25% | Dave Morin | May 9, 2025 | Supported |
| 22% | “22%” | Nvidia server spot rental rates are down 22 percent week-over-week | Dave Morin | Jul 3, 2026 | — |
| 22% | “22%” | Brit Morin: Waymo holds 22 percent of SF rides, surpassing Lyft | Brit Morin | Dec 20, 2024 | Partly supported |
| 20% | “20%” | Dave Morin says Apple spends only 10-20% of operating cash on AI | Dave Morin | Nov 7, 2025 | — |
| 20% | “20%” | Dave Morin: Apple spends 10-20% of income on CapEx versus 50%+ for peers | Dave Morin | Oct 10, 2025 | Supported |
| 20% | “20%” | Levie: AI's current capabilities plus 20% would justify all VC funding | Aaron Levie | Dec 27, 2024 | — |
| 20% | “20%” | Levie: Extrapolating existing AI capabilities would pay for all VC funding | Aaron Levie | Dec 6, 2024 | — |
| 20% | “20%” | Morin: Google 20% projects required pitching to Page, Brin, and Schmidt | Brit Morin | Aug 16, 2024 | Contradicted |
| 20% | “20%” | Yakovenko: Apple's 20% app fee cannot function on scarce crypto assets | Anatoly Yakovenko | Jul 11, 2025 | — |
| 20% | “20%” | Brit Morin says Sydney Sweeney ad drove American Eagle market cap 20% | Brit Morin | Aug 1, 2025 | Partly supported |
| 20% | “20%” | Morin: Vine Founder's Coin Contract Locked Up 20% Over Three Months | Dave Morin | Feb 7, 2025 | Partly supported |
| 20% | “20%” | Jessica Lessin: Brex laid off 20% of workforce, replaced key executives | Jessica Lessin | Jan 26, 2024 | Not publicly verifiable |
| 20% | “20%” | Sam Lessin: Subscription News Orgs Won't Be Trusted Mass-Distribution Sources | Sam Lessin | Oct 13, 2023 | — |
| 20% | “20%” | Brit Morin: Clinical trial shows semaglutide reduces cardiovascular risk by 20% | Brit Morin | Aug 11, 2023 | Supported |
| 18% | “18%” | Brit Morin: 18% of adults have tried GLP-1 drugs | Brit Morin | Dec 19, 2025 | Supported |
| 18% | “18%” | Dave Morin: Meta needs 18% of Instagram to match Twitter's size | Dave Morin | Jul 7, 2023 | Supported |
| 16% | “16%” | Fiji Simo Rescued Instacart, Making It Profitable Within Two Years | Brit Morin | Sep 22, 2023 | Partly supported |
| 15% | “15%” | Sam Lessin predicts NVIDIA stock will decline by 15% in 2026 | Sam Lessin | Dec 19, 2025 | Open |
| 15% | “15%” | Brit Morin: Amazon targets a 15% increase in individual contributors over managers | Brit Morin | Sep 20, 2024 | Supported |
| 15% | “15%” | Brit Morin: Seed-to-Series A graduation rates halved from 30.6% to 15% | Brit Morin | Aug 23, 2024 | Supported |
| 14% | “14%” | Dave Morin: Apple shifted 14% of iPhone production to India quickly | Dave Morin | Apr 12, 2024 | Supported |
| 13% | “13%” | Morin: Musk grew Twitter's EBITDA margins from 13% to 46% | Dave Morin | Feb 7, 2025 | — |
| 13% | “13%” | Dave Morin: Kim Kardashian only owns roughly 13% of Skims | Dave Morin | Aug 4, 2023 | — |
| 11% | “11%” | 60 Minutes' 9% Growth Actually Lags Behind Its NFL Lead-In | Jessica Lessin | Jun 12, 2026 | Supported |
| 10% | “10%” | Top 10% of startup valuations are 200% to 300% above 2021 levels | Brit Morin | Apr 17, 2026 | Contradicted |
| 10% | “10%” | Lessin: Google projects its TPUs can capture 10% of Nvidia's revenue | Jessica Lessin | Nov 28, 2025 | — |
| 10% | “10%” | Sam Lessin: Google Added $270B in Market Cap Post-Antitrust Decision | Sam Lessin | Sep 6, 2025 | Supported |
| 10% | “10%” | Dave Morin: Microsoft, Amazon, Alphabet put 60-80% of cash into AI; Apple 10% | Dave Morin | Aug 8, 2025 | — |
| 10% | “10%” | Lessin: The Washington Post lost 250,000 subscribers over the endorsement decision | Jessica Lessin | Nov 1, 2024 | Supported |
| 10% | “10%” | Lessin: Lowering software technical barriers only solves 10% of building businesses | Sam Lessin | Nov 8, 2024 | — |
| 10% | “10%” | Gil: Automating 10% of Services Payroll Recreates the Entire SaaS Market | Elad Gil | Jun 21, 2024 | — |
| 10% | “10%” | Sam Lessin: Owning a $10M Business Is Easier Than a $1B Exit | Sam Lessin | Jun 7, 2024 | — |
| 10% | “10%” | Sam Lessin: Incumbents Will Dominate AI Features Via Existing Distribution | Sam Lessin | Apr 26, 2024 | — |
| 10% | “10%” | Lessin: Over 50 Substack Writers Make More Than $1M Annually | Jessica Lessin | Jun 6, 2025 | — |
| 10% | “10%” | Sam Lessin: Nvidia lost $600M in market cap post-DeepSeek | Sam Lessin | Mar 7, 2025 | Contradicted |
| 10% | “10%” | Sam Lessin: Solana reportedly traded 10% of NASDAQ's volume | Sam Lessin | Jan 24, 2025 | Not publicly verifiable |
| 10% | “10%” | Dave Morin: Institutional Investors Allocate Maximum 5% to 10% to Venture | Dave Morin | Mar 29, 2024 | Partly supported |
| 10% | “10%” | Lessin: Slow Ventures invests $2M for 5-10% of creators' 30-year earnings | Sam Lessin | Nov 17, 2023 | — |
| 9% | “nine percent” | 60 Minutes' 9% Growth Actually Lags Behind Its NFL Lead-In | Jessica Lessin | Jun 12, 2026 | Supported |
| 9% | “nine percent” | Brit Morin: Nike gained 9% post-SKIMS announcement; SKIMS valued at $4B | Brit Morin | Feb 21, 2025 | Partly supported |
| 8% | “eight percent” | Brit Morin: GLP-1s dropped affluent consumer grocery sales by eight percent | Brit Morin | Jan 16, 2026 | Partly supported |
| 8% | “eight percent” | Brit Morin: Google stock dropped 25%, shedding $150B in one day | Brit Morin | May 9, 2025 | Supported |
| 7% | “seven percent” | Morin: SpaceX IPO features multi-tranche lockup ending at 180 days | Dave Morin | Jun 5, 2026 | Open |
| 7% | “seven percent” | Sam Lessin: NYC traffic is down roughly 7% under congestion pricing | Sam Lessin | Jan 17, 2025 | Supported |
| 7% | “seven percent” | Brit Morin: "I trust Claude more than I trust GPT" | Brit Morin | Sep 13, 2024 | — |
| 6% | “six percent” | Lessin: AI survey shows lower approval rating than Jeffrey Epstein | Sam Lessin | Jun 5, 2026 | Contradicted |
| 6% | “six percent” | Jessica Lessin: ESPN subscribers fell from 100 million peak to 72 million | Jessica Lessin | Aug 11, 2023 | Partly supported |
| 5.3% | “5.3%” | Brit Morin: GLP-1s dropped affluent consumer grocery sales by eight percent | Brit Morin | Jan 16, 2026 | Partly supported |
| 5% | “five percent” | Carta data shows top 5% of seed rounds exceed $175M valuations | Brit Morin | Apr 17, 2026 | Partly supported |
| 5% | “five percent” | Morin: SpaceX Allocated 5% to Directed Shares With No Lockup | Dave Morin | Jun 5, 2026 | Supported |
| 5% | “five percent” | Lessin: Anthropic is winning the AI race, not OpenAI | Sam Lessin | Jul 10, 2026 | — |
| 5% | “five percent” | Lessin: Altman's government equity offer is damaging regulatory capture | Sam Lessin | Jul 10, 2026 | — |
| 5% | “five percent” | Landesberg: Five Seneca drones carry enough payload for top-5% risk fires | Stuart Landesberg | Oct 31, 2025 | Open |
| 5% | “five percent” | Sam Lessin: Cheap AI agents fail economically due to downstream error costs | Sam Lessin | Dec 27, 2024 | — |
| 5% | “five percent” | Dave Morin: Women made up under 5% of the VC industry | Dave Morin | Nov 29, 2024 | Contradicted |
| 5% | “five percent” | Gil: Microsoft Azure AI Services Lift Adds $1 Billion Quarterly | Elad Gil | Jun 21, 2024 | Partly supported |
| 5% | “five percent” | Morin: Only about 5% of ChatGPT users had used GPT-4 | Dave Morin | May 17, 2024 | — |
| 5% | “five percent” | Morin: Scale AI co-founder Lucy Guo retains a 5% stake | Brit Morin | Jun 13, 2025 | Supported |
| 5% | “five percent” | Dave Morin: Institutional Investors Allocate Maximum 5% to 10% to Venture | Dave Morin | Mar 29, 2024 | Partly supported |
| 5% | “five percent” | Sam Lessin: Subscription News Orgs Won't Be Trusted Mass-Distribution Sources | Sam Lessin | Oct 13, 2023 | — |
| 4% | “four percent” | Dave Morin: Netflix is losing nearly 100 million users per year | Dave Morin | Jan 26, 2024 | Partly supported |
| 3% | “three percent” | Sam Lessin: Apple's 27% fee implies payment processing is worth only 3% | Sam Lessin | Jan 19, 2024 | — |
| 3% | “three percent” | Lessin: Meta's 3% pop on Threads launch added $20 billion | Sam Lessin | Jul 7, 2023 | Supported |
| 2% | “two percent” | Moms will always pay $20 monthly if AI reduces mental load | Brit Morin | May 29, 2026 | — |
| 2% | “two percent” | Dave Morin: Search is dying as query volumes drop 45% to 50% | Dave Morin | May 9, 2025 | — |
| 2% | “two percent” | Sam Lessin: I bought 2% of Jelly Jelly to establish it | Sam Lessin | Feb 7, 2025 | — |
| 2% | “two percent” | Dave Morin: Netflix is losing nearly 100 million users per year | Dave Morin | Jan 26, 2024 | Partly supported |
| 2% | “two percent” | Sam Lessin: Market reaction to SEC crypto lawsuits is a 'nothing burger' | Sam Lessin | Jun 12, 2023 | — |
| 1% | “one percent” | Current AI tool adoption is at roughly one percent of market potential | Amir Efrati | May 29, 2026 | — |
| 1% | “one percent” | Sam Lessin: Moderate-scale internet businesses cannot maintain a successful long-term strategy | Sam Lessin | Sep 6, 2025 | — |
| 1% | “one percent” | Brit Morin: Meta community moderation is unlikely to work well | Brit Morin | Jan 10, 2025 | — |
| 1% | “one percent” | Sam Lessin: Ultra-wealthy use government cabinet positions to defer capital gains taxes | Sam Lessin | Nov 15, 2024 | Supported |
| 1% | “one percent” | Sam Lessin: Appointees exploit forced divestment for tax-free asset diversification | Sam Lessin | Jan 4, 2025 | Supported |
| 1% | “one percent” | Gil: 99% of AI Companies Will Fail, But 1% Will Be Huge | Elad Gil | Jun 21, 2024 | — |
| 1% | “one percent” | Brit Morin: Brex serves less than 1% of its overall market | Brit Morin | Jan 26, 2024 | — |
| 1% | “one percent” | Sam Lessin: Subscription News Orgs Won't Be Trusted Mass-Distribution Sources | Sam Lessin | Oct 13, 2023 | — |
| 1% | “one percent” | Less Than 1% of Founders Taking Companies Public Are Female | Brit Morin | Sep 22, 2023 | Contradicted |
| 1% | “a percent” | Sam Lessin: Market reaction to SEC crypto lawsuits is a 'nothing burger' | Sam Lessin | Jun 12, 2023 | — |
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