The Ledger

Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.

clear all ✕

why aren't all 49 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 2 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable

Assertion Supported
Sinclair: Research shows cellular epigenetic aging damage can be reversed
“And what we've discovered is that there are ways to, well, we discovered one of the main causes of scratches, that's broken chromosomes, which happens all the time in our bodies. Extreme cell damage also does that if we crush nerves. But we've also figured out…”
Dr. David Sinclair May 3, 2022 ▶ 8:17 David Sinclair: Reversing the Aging Process
Prediction Didn’t hold up
Sinclair: Team May Reverse Aging in Humans Within 18 Months
“In Canada, we have a non-human primate study for safety to see how that goes, and within the next 18 months, if all goes well, we will be reversing aging in a human, if all goes well.”
Dr. David Sinclair May 3, 2022 ▶ 1:11:01 David Sinclair: Reversing the Aging Process
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Sinclair: Research Shows Interventions Can Make an 80-Year-Old Biologically 60
“We're keeping animals and increasingly we're showing with people that you can keep them younger for longer so that when you're 80, you can actually be 60.”
Dr. David Sinclair May 3, 2022 ▶ 12:11 David Sinclair: Reversing the Aging Process
Assertion Supported
Sinclair: Data Shows Carnivore Diet Does Not Promote Long-Term Longevity
“I'm convinced and the data shows it from population studies that a carnivorous diet isn't a longevity producing diet in the long run, right?”
Dr. David Sinclair May 3, 2022 ▶ 22:45 David Sinclair: Reversing the Aging Process
Prediction Open · timeframe May 2172
Sinclair: Someone Born Today Will Live to Be 150 Years Old
“But I do think that somebody born today We'll live that long because the technology is just going so quickly.”
Dr. David Sinclair May 3, 2022 ▶ 1:26:06 David Sinclair: Reversing the Aging Process
Assertion Supported
Sinclair: Sirtuin Gene Therapy Extends Mouse Lifespan in Lab Studies
“And there are seven of these epigenetic regulators, the things that prevent the scratches, and we can turn them on With gene therapy. In mice, we do this, and if you do it in the brain of a mouse, they'll live longer. Do it in the body, they can live longer.”
Dr. David Sinclair Dec 27, 2022 ▶ 1:35:08 Best of 2022: Conversations of the Year
Assertion Partly supported
Sinclair: Time-Restricted Feeding Extended Mouse Lifespan by 30% Regardless of Diet
“And there's a very famous study that was done by a colleague of mine, Rafael de Cabo at the NIH in Bethesda, and he made three different types of diets for mice. One that had a lot of protein, the other had carbs, the other had fat, and he thought he would fin…”
Dr. David Sinclair Dec 27, 2022 ▶ 1:41:31 Best of 2022: Conversations of the Year
Assertion Partly supported
Sinclair: Slowing US Aging by One Year Saves $86 Trillion
“They calculated that the US alone, just by slowing down aging by one year, and making people productive, more productive for one year, would save over the next three decades, 86 trillion dollars, which we waste now on just keeping people alive in a sick state …”
Dr. David Sinclair May 3, 2022 ▶ 4:43 David Sinclair: Reversing the Aging Process
Insight
Sinclair: Epigenetic information loss is the primary driver of aging and disease
“Eventually born, and this epigenomic information that tells cells how to behave, we think breaks down over time, and that results in diseases, tissue dysfunction, so, you know, you start to look older, you can't clear toxins, you can't think well, your nerve c…”
Dr. David Sinclair May 3, 2022 ▶ 6:14 David Sinclair: Reversing the Aging Process
Assertion Partly supported
Sinclair: NIH study found daily feeding windows extended mouse lifespans by 30%
“And there's a very famous study That was done by a colleague of mine, Rafael de Cabo at the NIH in Bethesda, and he made three different types of diets for mice. One that had a lot of protein, the other had carbs, the other had fat, and he thought he would fin…”
Dr. David Sinclair May 3, 2022 ▶ 16:53 David Sinclair: Reversing the Aging Process
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Sinclair: Intermittent Fasting Likely Extends Brain Health by a Decade
“And I think what's also likely is that my brain activity and health will be maintained for a decade or more longer by adopting this kind of diet.”
Dr. David Sinclair May 3, 2022 ▶ 20:47 David Sinclair: Reversing the Aging Process
Insight
Sinclair: Stressed Plant Molecules Activate Human Longevity Pathways
“What we've realized is that in addition to be being antioxidants, they actually turn on those longevity pathways, the sirtuins. They work on mTOR. There's another one called AMPK, which senses blood sugar and energy. And by eating plants that in general Make t…”
Dr. David Sinclair May 3, 2022 ▶ 25:38 David Sinclair: Reversing the Aging Process
Prediction Partly held up
Sinclair: Recommended longevity habits add 14 to 15 years of life
“Just by doing the things that I'm talking about today, you'll get an extra 14, 15 years on average.”
Dr. David Sinclair May 3, 2022 ▶ 34:47 David Sinclair: Reversing the Aging Process
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Sinclair: At Age 52, Blood Biochemistry Matches a 20-Year-Old
“My blood biochemistry is equivalent to a twenty-year-old. I'm a 52.”
Dr. David Sinclair May 3, 2022 ▶ 37:39 David Sinclair: Reversing the Aging Process
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Sinclair: NMN Supplementation Has Prevented Jet Lag for a Decade
“I haven't had jet lag for a decade because I've been able to modulate my own body clock by using these chemicals, which as I mentioned are activating sirtuins and controlling the clock.”
Dr. David Sinclair May 3, 2022 ▶ 41:36 David Sinclair: Reversing the Aging Process
Insight
Sinclair: Hyperbaric cycling benefits stem from pseudo-hypoxia mimicking exercise
“And what I think is going on is that it's not the high pressure that's important. It's the decrease that you're becoming pseudo hypoxic. Your body thinks it's running out of oxygen when it's just coming down from a high level. And my lab has shown in mice that…”
Dr. David Sinclair May 3, 2022 ▶ 45:42 David Sinclair: Reversing the Aging Process
Assertion Supported
Sinclair: One Gram of Daily NMN Raises Blood NAD Levels
“And I know from clinical trials that I've been involved with that taking a gram of NMN, which I do every day, raises NAD levels in whole blood, in the cells in the blood, probably in the rest of my body as well.”
Dr. David Sinclair May 3, 2022 ▶ 52:04 David Sinclair: Reversing the Aging Process
Assertion Partly supported
Sinclair: Diabetics on Metformin Outlive Healthy Non-Diabetics
“By looking at type two diabetics, and there's a stunning, stunning fact, that type two diabetics that would normally have a short lifespan, when they take metformin, typically at two grams a day, I'm on one gram a day, by the way, they actually have less disea…”
Dr. David Sinclair May 3, 2022 ▶ 53:52 David Sinclair: Reversing the Aging Process
Insight
Sinclair: Biological aging begins at conception, not adulthood
“The biological clock, this, the scratches on the CD that we talked about earlier, they start at conception. The egg and the sperm come together, even an embryo, even a fetus and a young baby, they're aging. We can measure this on this clock.”
Dr. David Sinclair May 3, 2022 ▶ 1:02:47 David Sinclair: Reversing the Aging Process
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Sinclair: Continuous Biometric Monitoring Will Extend Human Lifespan by a Decade
“Eventually, everyone will have them. We'll know ahead of time if we have cancer, if we have heart disease, if we're going to have a heart attack next week, and stave off those things and prevent them from happening, and that is a revolution, separate from what…”
Dr. David Sinclair May 3, 2022 ▶ 1:05:21 David Sinclair: Reversing the Aging Process
Insight
Sinclair: Reversing Biological Age Will Eliminate Alzheimer's and Cancer
“Truly reset the age of the body and diseases of aging, like Alzheimer's and heart disease, even cancer will go away if we become young again.”
Dr. David Sinclair May 3, 2022 ▶ 1:11:27 David Sinclair: Reversing the Aging Process
Assertion Partly supported
Sinclair: Hip fracture mortality in elderly matches late-stage cancer
“The chances of dying after you break your hip as an older person is about as bad as late stage cancer.”
Dr. David Sinclair May 3, 2022 ▶ 1:18:21 David Sinclair: Reversing the Aging Process
Assertion Partly supported
Sinclair: 80% of human longevity is lifestyle, only 20% is genetics
“80% of our longevity And our health in the future is in our own hands. Only 20% is genetic, which we cannot yet do much about.”
Dr. David Sinclair May 3, 2022 ▶ 1:19:34 David Sinclair: Reversing the Aging Process
Assertion Supported
Sinclair: Combining exercise and NMN doubled running endurance in mice
“In the animal studies in my lab, when we gave NMN, this molecule that I take every day, to a mouse that was sedentary, didn't have a wheel, didn't run, it could run further, ok? And we actually have human data that's looking really promising in that direction …”
Dr. David Sinclair May 3, 2022 ▶ 1:21:40 David Sinclair: Reversing the Aging Process
Insight
Sinclair: No Biological Law Sets 120 as Human Lifespan Limit
“There's no reason why a 120 needs to be the maximum human lifespan. There is nothing in biology that says that there is a limit, and there are many species that live a lot longer than us.”
Dr. David Sinclair May 3, 2022 ▶ 1:25:00 David Sinclair: Reversing the Aging Process
Prediction Open · timeframe May 2027
Sinclair: Global Population Will Cap at 10 Billion Despite Longer Lifespans
“Even with slowing down aging and making us live to a 120, we're not going to overpopulate. We're going to level out at about ten billion people.”
Dr. David Sinclair May 3, 2022 ▶ 1:29:44 David Sinclair: Reversing the Aging Process
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Sinclair: Centenarians running companies will add trillions to the US economy
“That's a massive change that we will see probably in our lifetimes of people being, you know, centenarians and still running companies. That will come back in trillions of dollars in benefits to the economy and just the US economy alone.”
Dr. David Sinclair May 3, 2022 ▶ 1:30:43 David Sinclair: Reversing the Aging Process
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Sinclair: Cellular Reprogramming Could Add One Year of Life Per Year
“If the age reprogramming work that Altos is doing and I'm doing works, you could get an extra year of life every birthday.”
Dr. David Sinclair May 3, 2022 ▶ 1:31:40 David Sinclair: Reversing the Aging Process
Assertion Partly supported
Sinclair: Olive Oil and Red Wine Compounds Activate Sirtuins to Improve Health
“And there are actually chemicals within those foods of a Mediterranean diet in olive oil and red wine. That we found in my lab to activate these sirtuins and probably also slow down the clock, but they certainly improve health.”
Dr. David Sinclair May 3, 2022 ▶ 11:49 David Sinclair: Reversing the Aging Process
Assertion Contradicted
Sinclair: Cellular Autophagy Requires Three Days of Fasting to Activate
“But once you've gone more than three days, there's a special type of recycling of proteins that's very beneficial called autophagy or autophagy. And that takes about three days.”
Dr. David Sinclair May 3, 2022 ▶ 15:05 David Sinclair: Reversing the Aging Process
Disclosure
Sinclair: Tally Health Will Release a 10x Cheaper Biological Age Test
“My student, one of my students at Harvard Has developed a technology where we can measure this clock very cheaply for at least 10 times less than that. And we're about to release a product in this, sometime this year, that would be a cheek swab”
Dr. David Sinclair May 3, 2022 ▶ 33:35 David Sinclair: Reversing the Aging Process
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Sinclair: 82-year-old father has no diseases after starting longevity protocol
“In his mid seventies, he went on this protocol and is now an 82 year old that's fitter than most people that age. He has no diseases, perfect mental health. His eyesight hasn't changed in all that time.”
Dr. David Sinclair May 3, 2022 ▶ 1:01:46 David Sinclair: Reversing the Aging Process
Opinion
Sinclair: Modern Youth Are Biologically Aging Faster Than Previous Generations
“And I would not be surprised if the teenagers are by the time they hit their twenties on average are older biologically than they were 2030 years ago. When I grew up because we are, we were moving. We were generally not so overweight. We were not eating as muc…”
Dr. David Sinclair May 3, 2022 ▶ 1:03:15 David Sinclair: Reversing the Aging Process
Assertion Supported
Sinclair: Research Restored Eyesight and Reversed Aging in Mice
“About a year ago, we published that we could reverse the age of an animal. And we restored eyesight to a blind old mouse and cure glaucoma in that animal.”
Dr. David Sinclair May 3, 2022 ▶ 1:10:48 David Sinclair: Reversing the Aging Process
Insight
Sinclair: Fasting at Least 14 Hours Triggers Measurable Metabolic Benefits
“Well, it seems to be a rule that if you fast at least 14 hours, you'll have a lot of health benefits, better metabolic stability, lower blood sugar levels, better cholesterol, these kind of things kick in.”
Dr. David Sinclair Dec 27, 2022 ▶ 1:38:40 Best of 2022: Conversations of the Year
Assertion Supported
Sinclair: 100,000 People Die Worldwide Every Day From Aging-Related Causes
“Every day over a 100,000 people die from aging itself”
Dr. David Sinclair May 3, 2022 ▶ 3:37 David Sinclair: Reversing the Aging Process
Assertion Supported
Sinclair: Sirtuin Gene Therapy Extends Lifespan in Mice
“In mice, we do this, and if you do it in the brain of a mouse, they'll live longer. Do it in the body. They can live longer, but we can't genetically modify ourselves.”
Dr. David Sinclair May 3, 2022 ▶ 10:40 David Sinclair: Reversing the Aging Process
Insight
Sinclair: Fasting at least 14 hours triggers major metabolic health benefits
“Well, it seems to be a rule that if you fast at least. 14 hours, you'll have a lot of health benefits, better metabolic stability, lower blood sugar levels, better cholesterol, these kinds of things kick in.”
Dr. David Sinclair May 3, 2022 ▶ 14:02 David Sinclair: Reversing the Aging Process
Assertion Supported
Sinclair: Hunger Cravings Subside After Three Weeks of Fasting
“Now, if you start fasting, and you've never done it before, you will feel hungry. There's a hormone called ghrelin, which will cause that. Of course, it's not real. Hunger is just mental state, but after three weeks, you find, I found, that the state of hunger…”
Dr. David Sinclair May 3, 2022 ▶ 18:04 David Sinclair: Reversing the Aging Process
Insight
Sinclair: Eating Carbs After Protein Prevents Blood Glucose Spikes
“And also, you want to eat your carbs after you have protein, because that'll prevent your glucose from shooting up too high.”
Dr. David Sinclair May 3, 2022 ▶ 19:23 David Sinclair: Reversing the Aging Process
Insight
Sinclair: Losing breath 10 minutes weekly provides substantial aerobic health benefits
“Then the third type is aerobic, and the minimum amount to have benefits pretty substantial benefits, though, would be to lose your breath at least once a week, preferably three times a week for 10 minutes.”
Dr. David Sinclair May 3, 2022 ▶ 35:55 David Sinclair: Reversing the Aging Process
Assertion Supported
Sinclair: Having a reliable partner is among the top drivers of longevity
“It's been shown by studying hundreds of people over their lifetimes that one of the most important, if not the most important factor, is to have a reliable partner. A pet can substitute for that if you don't have one of those at the time. But yeah, you want co…”
Dr. David Sinclair May 3, 2022 ▶ 48:49 David Sinclair: Reversing the Aging Process
Assertion Supported
Sinclair: High Lp(a) affects ~30% of people and reduces lifespan
“LP little a is the worst. You know, about 30% of us have this, and we're destined, if we don't do something, to have a short lifespan.”
Dr. David Sinclair May 3, 2022 ▶ 57:09 David Sinclair: Reversing the Aging Process
Assertion Supported
Sinclair: Rapamycin extends animal lifespan even when started late in life
“There are animal studies you can, I could point to that show that you can have, affect this mTOR pathway with a drug called rapamycin that extends their lifespan, even if they're the equivalent of 70 years old.”
Dr. David Sinclair May 3, 2022 ▶ 59:52 David Sinclair: Reversing the Aging Process
Disclosure
Sinclair: Matcha Green Tea Extracts Delay Hunger and Skip Breakfast
“There's one called, for short, ECGC, which is known to be a xenohromatic molecule to turn on the body's defenses, and pretty much every morning I start my day with one of these, and it's a great way to start because there's, of course, no sugar in here, It's b…”
Dr. David Sinclair May 3, 2022 ▶ 30:37 David Sinclair: Reversing the Aging Process
Assertion Contradicted
Sinclair: Depriving rats of sleep for two weeks causes diabetes
“If you stop a rat from sleeping for just two weeks, it will develop diabetes.”
Dr. David Sinclair May 3, 2022 ▶ 38:46 David Sinclair: Reversing the Aging Process
Assertion Supported
Sinclair: Finnish studies show sauna bathing dramatically protects heart health
“There's now a lot of evidence that being in a sauna is good for heart health at a minimum. There's a lot of studies of thousands of mostly men in Finland that do sauna bathing, as they call it. And they are protected dramatically, like they are exercising.”
Dr. David Sinclair May 3, 2022 ▶ 42:43 David Sinclair: Reversing the Aging Process
Disclosure
Sinclair: Take Resveratrol With Fat to Ensure Proper Absorption
“I take a gram of it every morning with rare exceptions when I'm traveling and I forget it, but I mix it with a little bit of yogurt because it, just a little bit, like a couple of teaspoons, or today I had a bit of avocado because resveratrol is insoluble in w…”
Dr. David Sinclair May 3, 2022 ▶ 50:39 David Sinclair: Reversing the Aging Process
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