Nvidia

includes NVIDIA Blackwell, NVIDIA Hopper, NVIDIA Rubin, NVIDIA GB300, NVIDIA H100, NVIDIA Ampere, NVIDIA GB200, NVIDIA Vera Rubin, NVIDIA DGX, NVIDIA GTC, NVIDIA HGX, NVIDIA GPUs and 7 more

48 statements across 14 episodes · 23 bullish · 11 bearish · 12 people on the record · first statement Mar 12, 2025 by Kelly Granat · said 310 times in 21 episodes since 2025 · across every show →

Mentions by year, the whole family

brought up most by Gavin Baker (99), Patrick O'Shaughnessy (54), Neil Movva (54), Dylan Patel (33), Rob Wachen (17), Ben Thompson (9), Dan Loeb (8), Alex Sacerdote (8)

tap a year for its mentions
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081520252026episodes it came up in
00107.5201520252026episodesmentions per episode
2026 201 mentions in 15 episodes 13 per episode
2025 109 mentions in 6 episodes 18 per episode

every mention, scene by scene, with the transcript →

Everything said about Nvidia, oldest first

Mar 12, 2025 neutral
Disclosure
Granat: Lone Pine did not own NVIDIA during its historic run
“We didn't own NVIDIA.”
Kelly Granat Mar 12, 2025 ▶ 1:14:25 Kelly Granat - Investing At Lone Pine · Invest Like The Best
Sep 30, 2025 bearish
Opinion
Patel: NVIDIA carries no risk while middle-layer compute providers bear heavy exposure
“And NVIDIA's holding no risk. Everyone in the middle's got a lot of risk.”
Dylan Patel Sep 30, 2025 ▶ 1:17:21 Inside the Trillion-Dollar AI Buildout | Dylan Patel Interview · Invest Like The Best
Sep 30, 2025 negative
Assertion Supported
Patel: Blackwell manufacturing challenges slowed AI data center deployments
“Nvidia created Blackwell, they had a ton of manufacturing problems and challenges with it for their supply chain balance sheets went up for, you know, various companies in the supply chain are building servers and stuff, because they're trying to figure it out…”
Dylan Patel Sep 30, 2025 ▶ 1:45:05 Inside the Trillion-Dollar AI Buildout | Dylan Patel Interview · Invest Like The Best
Sep 30, 2025 neutral
Assertion Supported
Patel: NVIDIA agreed to backstop a CoreWeave compute cluster
“CoreWeave recently got a deal with NVIDIA where it was like, they backstopped a cluster, right?”
Dylan Patel Sep 30, 2025 ▶ 1:05:16 Inside the Trillion-Dollar AI Buildout | Dylan Patel Interview · Invest Like The Best
Sep 30, 2025 bearish
Opinion
Patel: Bearish on AI accelerator startups competing with NVIDIA
“There's just too many things to do. It's too capital intensive. It's too, there's not enough of a revolutionary leap. There's too many predicated things. You know, I wish it could happen, right? It'd be fun. Maybe it does happen, but it would take a hell of a …”
Dylan Patel Sep 30, 2025 ▶ 1:43:47 Inside the Trillion-Dollar AI Buildout | Dylan Patel Interview · Invest Like The Best
Oct 16, 2025 neutral
Insight
Wang: Multi-trillion-dollar companies require substantial legal protections to exist
“I think the fundamental problem of among lawyers is that they are, for the most part, protectors of the rich. And that is essential in some ways, because you can't build companies worth four trillion dollars, like Nvidia, without substantial legal protections.”
Dan Wang Oct 16, 2025 ▶ 52:17 China vs America: The Battle for Global Dominance Explained | Dan Wang interview · Invest Like The Best
Oct 16, 2025 positive
Opinion
Wang: US Holds Decisive AI Lead Over China Due to Nvidia Chips
“Today, I think that the US still has a decisive lead on most aspects of artificial intelligence mostly because it has the compute resources here. It has the leading NVIDIA chips, and China does not.”
Dan Wang Oct 16, 2025 ▶ 1:13:36 China vs America: The Battle for Global Dominance Explained | Dan Wang interview · Invest Like The Best
Dec 9, 2025 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Nvidia's Rubin transition will be remarkably seamless compared to the Blackwell rollout
“Ruben is going to be such an easy, seamless transition relative to Blackwell”
Gavin Baker Dec 9, 2025 ▶ 1:18:59 GPUs, TPUs, & The Economics of AI Explained | Gavin Baker Interview · Invest Like The Best
Dec 9, 2025 bullish
Prediction Open · timeframe Dec 2028
Nvidia Blackwell chips will likely reach China, revitalizing its open-source ecosystem
“If Blackwell comes back to China, which it seems like it probably will happen, that will also be very good because then Chinese open source will be back.”
Gavin Baker Dec 9, 2025 ▶ 51:53 GPUs, TPUs, & The Economics of AI Explained | Gavin Baker Interview · Invest Like The Best
Dec 9, 2025 neutral
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Financial economics will dictate AI capital spending over hyperscaler prisoner's dilemmas
“But with Blackwell, and for sure with Rubin, economics are going to dominate the prisoner's dilemma from a decision making and spending perspective, just because the numbers are so big.”
Gavin Baker Dec 9, 2025 ▶ 25:32 GPUs, TPUs, & The Economics of AI Explained | Gavin Baker Interview · Invest Like The Best
Dec 9, 2025 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Nvidia Blackwell will massively widen the AI gap between America and China
“The problem is Blackwell is going to come out now, and the gap between these American frontier labs and Chinese open source is going to blow out because of Blackwell.”
Gavin Baker Dec 9, 2025 ▶ 47:26 GPUs, TPUs, & The Economics of AI Explained | Gavin Baker Interview · Invest Like The Best
Dec 9, 2025
Insight
AI is the first tech market where low-cost production defines success
“AI is the first time in my career as a tech investor that being the low-cost producers ever mattered. Apple is not worth trillions because they're the low-cost producer of phones. Microsoft is not worth trillions because they're the low-cost producer of softwa…”
Gavin Baker Dec 9, 2025 ▶ 11:22 GPUs, TPUs, & The Economics of AI Explained | Gavin Baker Interview · Invest Like The Best
Dec 9, 2025 neutral
Opinion
Nvidia's Blackwell transition is the most complex hardware shift in history
“A lot of different SKUs were canceled, and the reason for that is it was by far the most complex product transition we've ever gone through in technology.”
Gavin Baker Dec 9, 2025 ▶ 7:26 GPUs, TPUs, & The Economics of AI Explained | Gavin Baker Interview · Invest Like The Best
Dec 9, 2025 bearish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
China will likely realize it desperately needs Nvidia Blackwell by late 2026
“And then geopolitically, China thought they had the leverage. They're gonna realize, oh, whoopsie daisy, we do need the Blackwells. And unfortunately, they'll probably, for them they'll probably realize that in late 26.”
Gavin Baker Dec 9, 2025 ▶ 48:12 GPUs, TPUs, & The Economics of AI Explained | Gavin Baker Interview · Invest Like The Best
Feb 3, 2026 positive
Opinion
Horowitz: Jensen Huang Maintains Timeless Identity Without Chasing Trends
“Maybe Jensen. Jensen has like this, like very defined, you know, agree with her or not, but it's like this view of who he is, what the company is, and so forth, that's kind of gone across eras But it's still the same thing, right? Like it's not that it, like i…”
Ben Horowitz Feb 3, 2026 ▶ 54:41 Why The Laws of Startup Physics Have Changed | Ben Horowitz Interview · Invest Like The Best
May 20, 2026 positive
Opinion
Baker: Amazon and Nvidia lead big tech in startup engagement by a mile
“The two companies who are the most deeply engaged with startups are Amazon and Nvidia by a mile. Then there's a really intense engagement with Google, their next most intense.”
Gavin Baker May 20, 2026 ▶ 1:14:46 Watts, Wafers, and the Future of AI Infra | Gavin Baker · Invest Like The Best
May 20, 2026 neutral
What-if
Baker: Alternative Foundries Would Improve Rapidly if NVIDIA or AMD Used Them
“The reality is like if a company like Nvidia or AMD were to ever really, really use one of these other foundries, that foundry would get better really quickly.”
Gavin Baker May 20, 2026 ▶ 57:53 Watts, Wafers, and the Future of AI Infra | Gavin Baker · Invest Like The Best
May 20, 2026 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Baker: NVIDIA could sell $2T-$3T in GPUs in 2026-2027 if TSMC expanded enough
“If Taiwan Simi did what Jensen wanted, I think NVIDIA could sell two trillion dollars of GPUs. In 20, in 26 or 27. Maybe two and a half trillion. Maybe three trillion.”
Gavin Baker May 20, 2026 ▶ 25:58 Watts, Wafers, and the Future of AI Infra | Gavin Baker · Invest Like The Best
May 20, 2026 bullish
Opinion
Nvidia Could Build Near-Frontier AI Models Whenever Jensen Huang Wants
“I have a belief that whenever he wants, Jensen can probably get pretty close to the frontier. Patrick O'Shaughnessy: With his own model? Gavin Baker: With his own model.”
Gavin Baker May 20, 2026 ▶ 55:34 Watts, Wafers, and the Future of AI Infra | Gavin Baker · Invest Like The Best
May 28, 2026 positive
Opinion
Loeb: Nvidia, Anthropic, and Elon's companies are the three most consequential
“I try to think in terms of that stack, but I also think about what's going on in the, probably the three most consequential companies today. NVIDIA, Anthropic, and Elon World, you know, all of his companies collectively.”
Dan Loeb May 28, 2026 ▶ 4:30 Legendary Investor Dan Loeb on AI, Credit, & Third Point’s $25B Strategy · Invest Like The Best
May 28, 2026 bullish
Opinion
Loeb: Nvidia represents a catch-up trade at 15x 2027 earnings
“I mean, there's such a catch-up trade in NVIDIA at 15 times 27, 12 times 28 for the most dominant, fastest, I don't know if it's the fastest growing, but very fast growing company at its size.”
Dan Loeb May 28, 2026 ▶ 42:35 Legendary Investor Dan Loeb on AI, Credit, & Third Point’s $25B Strategy · Invest Like The Best
Jun 3, 2026 bullish
Assertion Supported
Khosrowshahi: Uber has over 30 autonomous vehicle partnerships
“So we've got over 30 partnerships now with incredible partners like a Waymo to a Neuro and Lucid to an NVIDIA that is building not just compute and sensors, but also a software driver now to companies like Wabi and Wave, WeRides of the World, Pony AIs of the W…”
Dara Khosrowshahi Jun 3, 2026 ▶ 24:19 Uber CEO on AI, Autonomous Vehicles, and the Future of Transportation · Invest Like The Best
Jun 9, 2026 bullish
Disclosure
Sacerdote: Whale Rock bought Nvidia in 2023 at four times earnings
“When we were buying Nvidia in 2023, we were paying four times earnings.”
Alex Sacerdote Jun 9, 2026 ▶ 20:52 Why the AI Boom Is Just Getting Started · Invest Like The Best
Jun 30, 2026
Assertion Supported
Wachen: Etched first-gen chip avoided Rubin supply chain by using 4nm
“And that's why actually for our first gen product, we built it on a different supply chain than the Rubens. So, you know, we're on four nanometer Rubens on three nanometer, you know, we're on a different HPM than Rubens and so forth.”
Rob Wachen Jun 30, 2026 ▶ 1:18:35 The Two Harvard Dropouts Who raised $800M to take on NVIDIA · Invest Like The Best
Aug 4, 2026 bullish
Assertion Partly supported
Baker: Nvidia is trading at its lowest forward P/E in 10 years
“Stocks, NVIDIA is actually, as we record this, at its lowest forward P.E. Of the last 10 years.”
Gavin Baker Aug 4, 2026 ▶ 21:16 Why the Markets Are Pricing AI Wrong | Gavin Baker · Invest Like The Best
Aug 4, 2026 positive
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Baker: Wall Street models hyperscaler Blackwell compute monetizing at Ampere rates
“If you look at the amount of gigawatts that are supposed to come on, and consensus estimates for hyperscalers, they're effectively modeled, and these are gigawatts of Blackwell and Rubin. Rubin being NVIDIA's next chip, Blackwell being the current chip. They a…”
Gavin Baker Aug 4, 2026 ▶ 13:35 Why the Markets Are Pricing AI Wrong | Gavin Baker · Invest Like The Best
Aug 11, 2026 positive
Assertion Partly supported
Vishria: Fireworks achieves 5x speed and higher throughput than major clouds
“And the performance difference For a fireworks versus, like, a cloud provider is, like, five X. And that is just the speed performance. Then you add on top of that the, like, throughput, which is not visible externally. It's only visible if you look at, if you…”
Eric Vishria Aug 11, 2026 ▶ 1:59 Everyone Is Still Undersizing the AI Market | Eric Vishria · Invest Like The Best
Aug 11, 2026 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Vishria: AI value will accrue across CSPs, neoclouds, chips, and edge inference
“Will the CSPs do well? Yes. Yes. Will some of these neoclouds do well? Yes. Will the fireworks of the world do well? Yes. Will NVIDIA do well? Yes. Will these, like, chip startups do well? Or, you know, some set of them? Yes. Like, Are we gonna have edge infer…”
Eric Vishria Aug 11, 2026 ▶ 1:12:02 Everyone Is Still Undersizing the AI Market | Eric Vishria · Invest Like The Best
Aug 18, 2026 bearish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Thompson: Sufficient power gives Amazon and Google time to threaten NVIDIA's margins
“The longer we have enough power, the more time Amazon has to make Trinium better. The more time Google has to make TPUs competitive from an efficiency standpoint. And if we get in a world where, this is a world where those margins seem very hard to sustain.”
Ben Thompson Aug 18, 2026 ▶ 1:24:33 What Happens When the AI Boom Runs Out of Money · Invest Like The Best
Aug 18, 2026 bearish
Opinion
Thompson: NVIDIA's CUDA moat is dramatically diminished for AI models
“CUDA's moat is dramatically diminished because the models don't care what they run on, and that's what actually matters, what's built on top of the models, but it still matters. It, it's still something of a mode.”
Ben Thompson Aug 18, 2026 ▶ 1:19:26 What Happens When the AI Boom Runs Out of Money · Invest Like The Best
Aug 18, 2026 bearish
Opinion
Thompson: NVIDIA's neocloud financing deals effectively represent disguised price cuts
“If you actually look at their business holistically, what that is, is a price cut, right? Like they, now the price cut didn't show up in margins. It didn't show up in what they're offering, but a lot of what NVIDIA is doing is how can we maintain our margins?”
Ben Thompson Aug 18, 2026 ▶ 1:17:20 What Happens When the AI Boom Runs Out of Money · Invest Like The Best
Aug 18, 2026 bullish
Insight
Thompson: Severe power constraints benefit NVIDIA due to token efficiency advantage
“If we get to a world where we actually run out of power, that's probably good for NVIDIA, because in a world where we're totally constrained on power, we have to get the best efficiency, the best token efficiency, and I think NVIDIA is still the most token eff…”
Ben Thompson Aug 18, 2026 ▶ 1:21:57 What Happens When the AI Boom Runs Out of Money · Invest Like The Best
Aug 18, 2026 bearish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Thompson: Hyperscalers like Google and Amazon are NVIDIA's ultimate competitors
“Their ultimate competitors are the hyperscalers, particularly Google and Amazon. So Google and Amazon aren't just building their own chips, but they're also looking to sell those chips externally.”
Ben Thompson Aug 18, 2026 ▶ 1:18:10 What Happens When the AI Boom Runs Out of Money · Invest Like The Best
Aug 25, 2026 bearish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Movva: Rival chipmakers will not replicate NVIDIA's NVLink quickly
“I think I'm not holding my breath for other companies broadly to figure out NVLink quickly. It's challenging technology to figure out. It's hard to scale. It's hard to productionize.”
Neil Movva Aug 25, 2026 ▶ 22:33 Ex-NVIDIA Engineer: Why AI Is About to Get 1000x Cheaper
Aug 25, 2026 neutral
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Nvidia Strategically Rations Chips to Prevent Deep-Pocketed Buyers From Gaining Power
“NVIDIA sees the, if they just let the most deep pockets buy all the chips that Maybe hurts them in the long term if that customer ends up accruing a lot of more power. They understand that compute is power today, and so they're quite strategic about how they a…”
Neil Movva Aug 25, 2026 ▶ 45:17 Ex-NVIDIA Engineer: Why AI Is About to Get 1000x Cheaper
Aug 25, 2026 positive
Insight
Movva: Nvidia avoids selling tokens to prevent competing with its customers
“NVIDIA is really smart about this. They don't compete with their customers. NVIDIA takes a long view on everything. Why don't they even start with the NeoCloud? Why don't they just sell computer out the back door? Well, NVIDIA is really good. Jensen is really …”
Neil Movva Aug 25, 2026 ▶ 1:20:30 Ex-NVIDIA Engineer: Why AI Is About to Get 1000x Cheaper
Aug 25, 2026 positive
Opinion
Movva: NVIDIA Has Incredible Retention and the Best Silicon Engineers
“A lot of people I worked with in NVIDIA in 2015, 20 16 are still there today. That company has incredible retention, and these are the best engineers, frankly, on the Silicon side, at least, I've worked with them my whole career.”
Neil Movva Aug 25, 2026 ▶ 17:08 Ex-NVIDIA Engineer: Why AI Is About to Get 1000x Cheaper
Aug 25, 2026 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Movva: Rack-scale computing is the future of AI efficiency and speed
“Their latest chip, the Grace Blackwell that chips as a rack of 72 units, and it is, it's an open race to figure out who can program the whole rack-scale computer as efficiently as possible, and my belief is that that shape of compute is the future of both effi…”
Neil Movva Aug 25, 2026 ▶ 44:03 Ex-NVIDIA Engineer: Why AI Is About to Get 1000x Cheaper
Aug 25, 2026 bearish
Assertion Supported
Movva: Non-NVIDIA chips beat NVIDIA on FLOPS per dollar
“And so there are other chips that definitely rank higher than NVIDIA on flops per dollar. But they may not have as much interconnect”
Neil Movva Aug 25, 2026 ▶ 23:09 Ex-NVIDIA Engineer: Why AI Is About to Get 1000x Cheaper
Aug 25, 2026 neutral
Assertion Supported
Nvidia's Peak FLOPs Are Impossible to Hit Due to Power Throttling
“That operation runs at, you know, 70, 80% of peak utilization, and it's limited not by software, but by power. The way NVIDIA quotes peak flops is a little optimistic. You never hit that because of power throttling”
Neil Movva Aug 25, 2026 ▶ 43:09 Ex-NVIDIA Engineer: Why AI Is About to Get 1000x Cheaper
Aug 25, 2026 neutral
Assertion Partly supported
Nvidia Blackwell Has 288GB of HBM but Only 500MB of SRAM
“Blackwell has 288 gigabytes of HBM capacity around the logic die, and the logic die itself maybe only has like 500 megabytes of SRAM. So it's possibly multiple orders of magnitude, three orders of magnitude difference in density for DRAM versus SRAM.”
Neil Movva Aug 25, 2026 ▶ 26:04 Ex-NVIDIA Engineer: Why AI Is About to Get 1000x Cheaper
Aug 25, 2026 neutral
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Nvidia's Frugality Once Required Employees to Pay Into a 'Milk Club'
“NVIDIA took it one step further. There was no free milk in the fridge. So if you wanted to drink coffee at NVIDIA, and you wanted some milk, you actually had to chip in a dollar every month to the milk club, and the milk club would stock Costco milk in the fri…”
Neil Movva Aug 25, 2026 ▶ 17:40 Ex-NVIDIA Engineer: Why AI Is About to Get 1000x Cheaper
Aug 25, 2026 positive
Insight
Movva: Nvidia creates buyer competition to neutralize defection to AMD
“Like, he wants to create a diverse community of NeoClouds and inference providers who are all jockeying to create demand for NVIDIA, such that if any one of them Decides to, I don't know, vertically integrate or go with AMD or any other option. He's got three …”
Neil Movva Aug 25, 2026 ▶ 1:20:51 Ex-NVIDIA Engineer: Why AI Is About to Get 1000x Cheaper
Aug 25, 2026 bullish
Insight
Movva: Compute startups should primarily attack Nvidia's reliance on HBM
“You want to pick something and say, I think they've underpriced the impact of how short we're going to be on HBM. We're going to push really hard in this other direction instead, which, you know, as an aside, I do think is probably the thing to attack most.”
Neil Movva Aug 25, 2026 ▶ 1:19:42 Ex-NVIDIA Engineer: Why AI Is About to Get 1000x Cheaper
Aug 25, 2026 neutral
Assertion Open · timeframe Dec 2026
Movva: NVIDIA is producing 5 million Blackwell chips this year
“NVIDIA's pumping out five million Blackwell chips this year.”
Neil Movva Aug 25, 2026 ▶ 1:04:57 Ex-NVIDIA Engineer: Why AI Is About to Get 1000x Cheaper
Aug 25, 2026 neutral
Insight
Movva: Sharding matrix multiply across eight GPUs yields only 4x to 5x speedup
“You'll use eight times more hardware, but you won't get eight times the speed. You might get like four to five X the speed. You're not going to get strong scaling. And this is because of communication overhead.”
Neil Movva Aug 25, 2026 ▶ 21:37 Ex-NVIDIA Engineer: Why AI Is About to Get 1000x Cheaper
Aug 25, 2026 positive
Opinion
Movva: NVLink is mandatory for low-latency AI inference
“NVLink is mandatory, I would say, for low latency inference.”
Neil Movva Aug 25, 2026 ▶ 22:23 Ex-NVIDIA Engineer: Why AI Is About to Get 1000x Cheaper
Aug 25, 2026 bearish
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Nvidia's BF16 Efficiency Barely Improves Across Hopper, Blackwell, and Rubin
“If you look at, you know, Hopper to Blackwell to Rubin, and you compare like for like, what is the performance per watt of a beefload-sixteen multiply? It hasn't improved all that much.”
Neil Movva Aug 25, 2026 ▶ 1:16:40 Ex-NVIDIA Engineer: Why AI Is About to Get 1000x Cheaper
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