why aren't all 45 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public
record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 1 checkable
ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't;
assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card:
▮▮▮▮▮ certainty ·
▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Insight
Dyson: Innovators should never take advice
“But the thing is never to take advice.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Dyson: Vacuum makers rejected bagless cyclone to protect paper bag profits
“And one or two of them said they actually rather like selling paper bags. It's like, you know, Gillette selling a razor blade. They can make a lot of money out of bags. So, essentially, they were curious, but didn't want to license it.”
Insight
Dyson: Innovators should never take outside advice
“Obsessed and mad. But the thing is never to take advice.”
Opinion
James Dyson claims he hates experts and avoids relying on them
“And he hated experts. For a good reason, actually, and I rather hate experts as well.”
Opinion
Dyson: Incumbents Hoover and Electrolux did not innovate because bags were profitable
“These big companies like Hoover and Electrolux weren't bothering to improve the technology. Yeah. They were quite happy selling bags. And no one was taking them on because they're so big. So I thought, well, therein lies the opportunity.”
Disclosure
James Dyson claims he never gave away any equity in Dyson
“I've never made the mistake of giving away equity in the company.”
Opinion
James Dyson strongly distrusts and rather hates conventional engineering experts
“And he hated experts. For a good reason, actually, and I rather hate experts as well.”
Insight
Dyson: Founders must retain IP ownership and majority equity control
“Sometimes one needs to go through these rites of passage. To understand the importance of ownership of intellectual property, the importance of owning, having a majority share in your own company, or even all the shares in your own company, and not charging en…”
Insight
Dyson: Vacuum bags are replaced because they are clogged, not full
“You don't replace the bags because they're full. You replace the bags because they're blocked.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Dyson was profitable from its very first month of vacuum sales
“I was in the black from the first month on. I was able to pay my employees and I was making a profit as my distribution started to rise.”
Disclosure
James Dyson never gave away any equity to outside investors
“I've never made the mistake of giving away equity in the company.”
Insight
James Dyson: Founders must feel failure viscerally to grasp equity and IP value
“Sometimes one needs to go through these rites of passage. To understand the importance of ownership of intellectual property, the importance of owning, having a majority share in your own company, or even all the shares in your own company, and not charging en…”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
James Dyson built 5,127 prototypes before perfecting his cyclonic vacuum
“And I built 5127 prototypes before I got it right.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Dyson: VCs and private equity rejected Dyson for being an engineer
“The problem with the venture capitalists and the private equity people is that they all thought that because I was an engineer and designer, I knew nothing about making and selling things, and I couldn't possibly make a commercial success of it. So they all tu…”
Insight
Dyson: Toolmakers make all their money when clients request design changes
“Now, one of the things about tooling is that you, if you make any changes, that's where the toolmaker makes all his money. It's like a builder. You make changes, the builder starts piling on the costs.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Dyson was profitable from its very first month of sales
“I was in the black from the first month on. I was able to pay my employees and I was making a profit as my distribution started to rise.”
Insight
Dyson: Early self-reliance makes people determined to prove something
“I had to learn very early on to rely entirely on myself and not anybody else. And I think it makes you very determined, very, very determined to prove something.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
James Dyson built 5,127 vacuum prototypes before perfecting his design
“And I built 5127 prototypes before I got it right.”
Insight
Dyson: Strange-looking technology succeeds if it genuinely works better
“So having, having introduced two very strange-looking, very different new technology, you can make a success of it if it genuinely works better.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Dyson: VCs rejected him believing an engineer could not sell products
“The problem with the venture capitalists and the private equity people is that they all thought that because I was an engineer and designer, I knew nothing about making and selling things, and I couldn't possibly make a commercial success of it. So they all tu…”
Insight
Dyson: Design changes during tooling cause manufacturing costs to balloon
“Now one of the things about tooling is that you, if you make any changes, that's where the toolmaker makes all his money. It's like a builder. You make changes, the builder starts piling on the costs.”
Assertion Not publicly verifiable
James Dyson: Ballbarrow captured 50% market share but was never profitable
“And that was all fine, and we got 50% of the market, but never made any money.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
James Dyson sneaked into a sawmill to measure an industrial cyclone
“So I went and copied one of those that I saw on a local sawmill. I climbed over the wall at night and took some sort of measurements and examined it. And we came back and over two weekends we made one that was about 30 foot high.”
Insight
Dyson: Cyclonic Separation Collects Dust Continuously Without Clogging
“Well, over the two weekends while I'm welding up this thirty-foot-high one, I realized the point of this cyclone, which is that it collects dust all the time without ever blocking or clogging.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Dyson: Built First Cyclonic Prototype from Cardboard and Scotch Tape
“So when I'd finished the welding, I rushed home And made a miniature one out of cardboard and scotch tape, and connected it with a piece of hose to my hoover, and, er, pushed it around the house, feeling rather happy, and it appeared to work.”
Insight
Dyson: Vacuum bags are replaced due to clogging, not fullness
“You don't replace the bags because they're full. You replace the bags because they're blocked.”
Assertion Partly supported
Dyson: Existing cyclones separated dust to 20 microns; vacuums needed 0.5 microns
“Firstly, at that time, the state of the art was that cyclones were only good at separating dust, down to about 20 microns, whereas I had to get it down to half a micron, cigarette smoke type particles.”
Assertion Open · timeframe Jul 2019
Dyson: First licensed cyclonic vacuum in Japan sold for $2,500
“Well, I think considering it was two and a half thousand dollars, it did quite well.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Dyson: Japanese licensing agreement saved him from bankruptcy
“Well, yes, it saved me from bankruptcy, put it that way.”
Assertion Supported
Dyson: Lloyds Bank lent Dyson £600,000 to launch manufacturing
“Whereas I went to a clearing bank, Lloyds Bank, and by some miracle, they agreed to lend me 600,000 pounds.”
Assertion Supported
Original Dyson vacuum retailed at 199 pounds, triple the competitor price
“199 pounds. So there's three times what other vacuum cleaners were sold for.”
Assertion Supported
Dyson quickly became the best-selling vacuum cleaner at John Lewis
“And then I got into quite a famous shop called John Lewis... But it very quickly became their best-selling vacuum cleaner.”
Assertion Partly supported
Dyson: Annual revenue reached around $100M within two years of launch
“I don't know. It was probably a hundred million dollars.”
Assertion Partly supported
Dyson: Dyson ran zero advertising during its first year in the US
“And for the first year, we didn't do any advertising, but it sold pretty well in Best Buy.”
Assertion Supported
The Dyson bladeless fan multiplies original airflow 15 to 20 times
“So you end up multiplying the original airflow 15 to 20 times.”
Disclosure
James Dyson: I spend 95% of my time on engineering
“And now I spend, you know, 95% of my time doing that. But I was the CEO for the first 10 years.”
Assertion Supported
Dyson: Ballbarrow captured 50% market share without making profit
“And that was all fine, and we got 50% of the market, but never made any money.”
Disclosure
Dyson: Outside investors diluted his Ballbarrow ownership to 30%
“The only problem was that further investors came in, and the thing was that I didn't really own anything in the company apart from my shares, and I now only owned about 30% of the business.”
Assertion Supported
Dyson built his first cyclonic vacuum prototype using cardboard and tape
“Made a miniature one out of cardboard and scotch tape, and connected it with a piece of hose to my hoover, and, er, pushed it around the house, feeling rather happy, and it appeared to work.”
Assertion Supported
Dyson: Lloyds Bank agreed to lend £600,000 to launch production
“Whereas I went to a clearing bank, Lloyds Bank, and by some miracle, they agreed to lend me 600,000 pounds.”
Assertion Partly supported
Dyson: Initial vacuum priced at £199, 3x industry competitors
“199 pounds. So there's three times what other vacuum cleaners were sold for.”
Disclosure
Dyson: First TV ads funded by profits from 10,000-unit retailer order
“So I said to the first retailer who demanded I do that, I said, well, look, if you order 10,000 vacuum cleaners off me, I'll put all the profit on those vacuum cleaners into television advertising. Which I did.”
Assertion Supported
Dyson: Dyson reached probably $100M in revenue within two years of launch
“I don't know. It was probably a hundred million dollars.”
Disclosure
James Dyson spends 95% of his time on engineering
“And now I spend, you know, 95% of my time doing that. But I was the CEO for the first 10 years.”
Assertion Supported
Dyson: Sea Truck reached sales of over 100 boats per year
“And I mean, within a couple of years, we were selling a hundred or more a year. It's a very successful business.”