Gary Erickson

Co-Founder and Owner, Clif Family Winery & Farm · 3 appearances on the record.

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Erickson created the Clif Bar in 1992 and famously walked away from a $120 million acquisition offer in 2000 to retain private ownership, later selling the company to Mondelēz International in 2022. He co-founded Clif Family Winery & Farm with his wife Kit Crawford and authored Raising the Bar.

27statements → 16claims → 13claims resolved → 85%fully supported → 4.11/5average certainty → 1.37/5average debate potential → ≈4.5/5argument clarity, estimated → 29said about them ↓

11 supported 0 partly supported 2 contradicted 1 not yet assessed 2 not checkable as stated how the 16 claims stand · each chip opens the sources

16 assertions · 1 opinion · 5 insights · 5 disclosures · every statement was checked. The predictions and assertions are the 16 claims: statements the public record can support or contradict. 13 are resolved, 1 is not yet assessed, and 2 name no date, number or outcome precise enough to check. Everything else (opinions, insights, what ifs, disclosures) can never be settled by the record, so it carries no assessment.

The record, in short

What the tape says about how Gary argues and how the claims held up. Everything they said, and everything said about them, is in the tabs below.

Their most notable supported claim

Assertion Supported
Quaker Oats offered $120M for Clif Bar on $40M in sales
“We got a deal, we got an offer for a hundred and twenty million dollars on forty million dollars in sales.”
Gary Erickson Oct 3, 2016 ▶ 16:33 Clif Bar: Gary Erickson

Their most notable contradicted claim

Assertion Contradicted
Erickson: Clif Bar grew revenue every single year for 30 years
“We just, we never did not grow for 30 years.”
Gary Erickson May 9, 2024 ▶ 4:06 Advice Line with Gary Erickson of Clif Bar

Expressed certainty vs assessment result

none yet certainty 1
none yet certainty 2
none yet certainty 3
80% certainty 4
100% certainty 5

weighted support: a fully supported claim counts one, a partly supported claim counts half. Each filled bar is clickable and opens exactly those claims; "none yet" means nothing said at that certainty level has resolved yet

How they sound: not measured why? →

We measure speaking style by listening to the audio itself, and a fair number needs at least 2,000 words from one person on tape we have measured. There is too little of Gary Erickson on measured tape to publish a rate. This says nothing about how they speak.

Everything Gary Erickson said on How I Built This that made the record, most notable first. Filter by type, assessment or year in the ledger →

Insight
Erickson: Challenger marketplaces must offer differentiated products, not just better values
“You can't be an Etsy with better values. You got to be Etsy with a different product.”
Gary Erickson May 9, 2024 ▶ 30:28 Advice Line with Gary Erickson of Clif Bar
Insight
Erickson: Taking outside capital causes founders to lose control of destiny
“You know, I never thought of either looking for outside money or wanting outside money, and maybe that was a good thing of my naivete, because once you do that, you know, you lose control of your destiny.”
Gary Erickson Oct 3, 2016 ▶ 10:07 Clif Bar: Gary Erickson
Disclosure
Erickson backed out of selling Clif Bar minutes before signing
“So halfway around the block, I decided not to sell the company, and then I felt completely free.”
Gary Erickson Oct 3, 2016 ▶ 19:33 Clif Bar: Gary Erickson
Insight
Erickson: Launching directly into mass retail usually fails without niche base
“You have to have that foundation first, and then from there you go out. If you're going to try to go mass market, you have to have so much funding to be able to do that, and chances are it's not going to work, because you've got to build that base.”
Gary Erickson May 9, 2024 ▶ 4:48 Advice Line with Gary Erickson of Clif Bar
Assertion Not publicly verifiable
PowerBar sued Clif Bar over ads, inadvertently creating industry buzz
“Our insurance picked up the tab, and we ended up settling with Power Bar, but it created this buzz in the bicycle industry where people said, hey, have you heard of Cliff Bar?”
Gary Erickson Oct 3, 2016 ▶ 9:39 Clif Bar: Gary Erickson
Assertion Supported
Quaker Oats offered $120M for Clif Bar on $40M in sales
“We got a deal, we got an offer for a hundred and twenty million dollars on forty million dollars in sales.”
Gary Erickson Oct 3, 2016 ▶ 16:33 Clif Bar: Gary Erickson
Assertion Supported
Erickson took on $60M in debt to buy out his co-owner
“Secondly, my partner wanted out, so I had to negotiate a deal, and so that was seven months of negotiation, and third was I had to go out as, Our attorney says, dialing for dollars. I had to go find sixty million dollars.”
Gary Erickson Oct 3, 2016 ▶ 20:26 Clif Bar: Gary Erickson
Insight
Erickson: A purpose-driven business is more powerful than wealthy philanthropists
“The power of a business done the right way Is way more powerful than two rich people.”
Gary Erickson Oct 3, 2016 ▶ 22:49 Clif Bar: Gary Erickson
Assertion Contradicted
Erickson: Clif Bar grew revenue every single year for 30 years
“We just, we never did not grow for 30 years.”
Gary Erickson May 9, 2024 ▶ 4:06 Advice Line with Gary Erickson of Clif Bar
Assertion Supported
Erickson: PowerBar sued Clif Bar five days after a comparative print ad
“So we did some print ads and we did a print ad called It's Your Body, You Decide. And it was going directly after Power Bar. And in five days, we had a lawsuit against Power Bar.”
Gary Erickson May 9, 2024 ▶ 11:41 Advice Line with Gary Erickson of Clif Bar
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Erickson: Clif Bar added 700 retail accounts months after PowerBar lawsuit
“And we had 700 accounts in like months. And our goal Sounds very aggressive, but we're, our goal is to put them out of business, and for the first 10 to 15 years, our people were like, we are going to just go after their market share everywhere we could”
Gary Erickson May 9, 2024 ▶ 12:46 Advice Line with Gary Erickson of Clif Bar
Disclosure
Erickson: A 25-person field sampling team drove Clif Bar's early growth
“We had a team of 25 people around the country, and then they had local people that they would hire for the weekend events, and I really think that's what put us on the map, but our product was, ah, inexpensive enough where we could actually give out whole bars…”
Gary Erickson May 9, 2024 ▶ 18:43 Advice Line with Gary Erickson of Clif Bar
Assertion Supported
Erickson: Clif Bar never took outside investment in 30 years
“Kit and I never took, A dime from anybody over our 30 years of running Clif Bar, , we never brought on an equity partner.”
Gary Erickson May 9, 2024 ▶ 51:19 Advice Line with Gary Erickson of Clif Bar
Insight
Gary Erickson: Waiting Three Days to Make Crisis Decisions is Fatal
“And then as soon as you can take some action and don't sit on things because we don't have time to sit on things. We've been making decisions where we have to act now or tomorrow. And if we wait three days, sorry, we're screwed. So Adapt and take some action.”
Gary Erickson May 7, 2020 ▶ 20:49 How I Built Resilience: Live with Christina Tosi and Gary Erickson & Kit Crawford
Disclosure
Gary Erickson: The Pandemic Fully Tested Clif Bar's Five-Bottom-Line Business Model
“This is the first time that our business model is put to kind of a full test. Like, it's easy when you're like, not easy, but, so we have this five bottom lines business model, you know, sustaining our business, our brands, our people, our community, and our p…”
Gary Erickson May 7, 2020 ▶ 23:54 How I Built Resilience: Live with Christina Tosi and Gary Erickson & Kit Crawford
Opinion
Erickson: PowerBars functioned as fuel but never tasted good
“They just, they're hard. They were, they never really did taste good, but we always, as bike racers, we always thought of them as the bitter pill, that they do the job, but it's not about taste.”
Gary Erickson Oct 3, 2016 ▶ 4:08 Clif Bar: Gary Erickson
Assertion Supported
Clif Bar reached $700,000 in sales by the end of 1992
“By the end of 1992, we sold 700,000 dollars of Clif Bars.”
Gary Erickson Oct 3, 2016 ▶ 11:42 Clif Bar: Gary Erickson
Assertion Contradicted
Clif Bar nearly doubled sales annually for eight consecutive years
“We almost doubled sales for the next eight years in a row.”
Gary Erickson Oct 3, 2016 ▶ 12:02 Clif Bar: Gary Erickson
Assertion Supported
An early handshake deal led to an ownership lawsuit against Clif Bar
“So I did a handshake deal with a distributor in, you know, early nineties where it ended up biting me because they weren't performing. And so I canceled their quote contract and they came back and sued me for ownership.”
Gary Erickson Oct 3, 2016 ▶ 12:28 Clif Bar: Gary Erickson
Assertion Supported
Clif Bar was the last major independent after PowerBar sold
“Power Bar was already, already sold, and Balance Bar was sold, so it was just, it was kind of just us as the third.”
Gary Erickson Oct 3, 2016 ▶ 15:35 Clif Bar: Gary Erickson
Assertion Supported
It took Clif Bar nine years to pay off its $60M debt
“And it took us nine years to pay off that thing.”
Gary Erickson Oct 3, 2016 ▶ 21:45 Clif Bar: Gary Erickson
Disclosure
Gary Erickson: Clif Bar Donated 6.6 Million Bars During Early Pandemic
“So far, we've given out in the first part of March, 3.6 million bars to food banks and healthcare workers and frontline. And then we're on another, we're on the second round. We're now committed another three million.”
Gary Erickson May 7, 2020 ▶ 19:01 How I Built Resilience: Live with Christina Tosi and Gary Erickson & Kit Crawford
Assertion Supported
Erickson: PowerBar was the dominant cyclist energy bar in 1990
“The only energy bar really that was on the market at that time that so many cyclists were eating... It was Power Bar. And they were also from Berkeley, coincidentally.”
Gary Erickson Oct 3, 2016 ▶ 3:36 Clif Bar: Gary Erickson
Assertion Supported
Doug Gilmore designed Clif Bar's iconic rock climber packaging
“A real good friend that I was working with named Doug Gilmore, you know, we, I helped him out with some of the advertising for the bicycle company, and I knew that he was very, very creative person. I said, you need to design the package for me, and he came up…”
Gary Erickson Oct 3, 2016 ▶ 6:16 Clif Bar: Gary Erickson

Show 3statements(3 left)

The other half of the tape: Gary Erickson's own voice is left out of every number here. Other people bring the name up 28 times in 21 episodes on How I Built This. 1 statement on the record names them. every mention, with the transcript →

Who brings them up most Guy Raz 28

Statements about Gary Erickson, by other people (1)

Assertion Supported
Gary Erickson gave 20 percent of Clif Bar to his employees
“And in 2010, he and his wife Kit handed over 20% of the company to their employees.”
Guy Raz Oct 3, 2016 ▶ 25:55 Clif Bar: Gary Erickson

Every mention by year

tap a year for its mentions
005310520172018201920202021202220232024episodesmentions
03520172018201920202021202220232024episodes it came up in
0012.52520172018201920202021202220232024episodesmentions per episode
2024 10 mentions in 5 episodes 2 per episode
2023 1 mention in 1 episode
2022 2 mentions in 2 episodes 1 per episode
2021 4 mentions in 3 episodes 1 per episode
2020 3 mentions in 3 episodes 1 per episode
2019 4 mentions in 4 episodes 1 per episode
2018 3 mentions in 2 episodes 2 per episode
2017 1 mention in 1 episode

Appearances (3)

EpisodeDateSpeaking time
Advice Line with Gary Erickson of Clif Bar May 9, 2024 12m
How I Built Resilience: Live with Christina Tosi and Gary Erickson & Kit Crawford May 7, 2020 4m
Clif Bar: Gary Erickson Oct 3, 2016 16m
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