The Calls

⏳ Open 📼 The record

Dated predictions and their status, on one timeline. Left of today: already assessed. Green held up, red didn't hold up, amber partly. Right: still open; when a dot's date hits, the ledger checks it again against the public record.

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1205days to next prediction date
Everyone Casey Handmer (6)Scott Wu (2)Reiner Pope (2)Evan Spiegel (2)Dan Sundheim (2)Ben Thompson (2)Zach Abrams (1)Sundar Pichai (1)Sam Bowman (1)RJ Scaringe (1)Mati Staniszewski (1)Kyle Vogt (1)
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1205 days left 2029-12-31
Prediction Open · timeframe Dec 2029
Bowman: 17% of UK taxpayers will pay higher rates by 2029
“By 2029, so in four years, 17% Of taxpayers are going to be higher rate taxpayers. So, fiscal drift, which is just holding the bands constant and letting inflation push people into the higher rate, the 40, the 40, but really forty-two-pee rate is, I mean, more…”
Sam Bowman Nov 28, 2025 ▶ 26:01 UK Budget 2025: Stripe + Startup Coalition
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