The Calls

⏳ Open 📼 The record

Dated predictions and their status, on one timeline. Left of today: already assessed. Green held up, red didn't hold up, amber partly. Right: still open; when a dot's date hits, the ledger checks it again against the public record.

1open predictions
0due for another look
0closed calls →
1205days to next prediction date
Everyone Casey Handmer (6)Scott Wu (2)Reiner Pope (2)Evan Spiegel (2)Dan Sundheim (2)Ben Thompson (2)Zach Abrams (1)Sundar Pichai (1)Sam Bowman (1)RJ Scaringe (1)Mati Staniszewski (1)Kyle Vogt (1)
drag to pan · pinch, buttons, or ⌘/ctrl scroll to zoom
today 2026202720282029 OctNovDecFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSep 1 call beyond 2029 →

Next up (1)

1205 days left 2029-12-31
Prediction Open · timeframe Dec 2029
Ben Thompson: The tech industry faces a massive chip shortage around 2029
“I think we're looking at a massive short, shortness in chips in 20, 29 or so.”
Ben Thompson Feb 12, 2026 ▶ 1:10:21 Ben Thompson from Stratechery on AI ads, the end of SaaS, and the future of media
Made with StarZero

Turn any episode into a week of clips.

This entire site, about 28 episodes transcribed, diarized, checked and made playable, runs on the StarZero media pipeline. Drop in your own episode and the podcast clipper finds the moments worth sharing, cuts them, captions them, and reframes them for every feed.