The Calls

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Dated predictions and their status, on one timeline. Left of today: already assessed. Green held up, red didn't hold up, amber partly. Right: still open; when a dot's date hits, the ledger checks it again against the public record.

2open predictions

0due for another look

1closed calls →

3325days to next prediction date

Everyone Casey Handmer (6)Scott Wu (2)Reiner Pope (2)Evan Spiegel (2)Dan Sundheim (2)Ben Thompson (2)Zach Abrams (1)Sundar Pichai (1)Sam Bowman (1)RJ Scaringe (1)Mati Staniszewski (1)Kyle Vogt (1)

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today 2026202720282029 OctNovDecFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSep 2 calls beyond 2029 →

Next up (2)

3325 days left 2035-10-22

Prediction Open · timeframe Oct 2035

Sundheim: Clean Harbors can grow earnings in the teens for 10 years

“It's just very, very good business that's, and the starting multiple is pretty reasonable, and I think, you know, I can grow earnings well into the teens for 10 years.”

Dan Sundheim Oct 22, 2025 ▶ 1:00:56 Dan Sundheim of D1 Capital on the art of public market investing

6978 days left 2045-10-22

Prediction Open · timeframe Oct 2045

Sundheim: US electricity demand will grow 4% annually over 20 years

“Electricity demand in the United States grew at zero percent for the last 20 years. And so, if you think about the next 20 years, I think electricity demand will grow at four percent.”

Dan Sundheim Oct 22, 2025 ▶ 1:03:15 Dan Sundheim of D1 Capital on the art of public market investing

Closed calls (1) the full record →

Prediction Held up

Sundheim: Neobanks like Nubank and Revolut will increasingly take market share

“Iterate on product faster, have better engineers, and I think that those banks are going to increasingly take market share.”

Dan Sundheim Oct 22, 2025 ▶ 1:33:28 Dan Sundheim of D1 Capital on the art of public market investing

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Next up (2)

Closed calls (1) the full record →

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