The Calls
Dated predictions and their status, on one timeline. Left of today: already assessed. Green held up, red didn't hold up, amber partly. Right: still open; when a dot's date hits, the ledger checks it again against the public record.
Everyone Casey Handmer (6)Scott Wu (2)Reiner Pope (2)Evan Spiegel (2)Dan Sundheim (2)Ben Thompson (2)Zach Abrams (1)Sundar Pichai (1)Sam Bowman (1)RJ Scaringe (1)Mati Staniszewski (1)Kyle Vogt (1)
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Next up (1)
1204 days left 2029-12-31
Staniszewski: Advanced voice AI will reach cars via cloud in 2026
“I think this year it should be in the automotive
Site two, or some of the applications.
John Collison: Okay, so you think we'll start seeing kind of great voice models in cars this year?
Mati Staniszewski: This year for their own cloud use cases, like on, on, …”
Closed calls (1) the full record →
Staniszewski: Fused voice-LLM models will reach hundreds of billions of parameters
“The thing that's, you know, like I hesitated on the question is, in a cascaded approach, you probably will not see like dramatic size changes. You inherently want the models to be quick and reliable. You want to orchestrate them in a smart way. In a fused appr…”