Sam Bowman

Head of Publishing, Stripe · 1 appearance on the record.

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authorexecutiveanalystfounder@s8mb ↗LinkedIn ↗worksinprogress.co ↗

Bowman co-founded Works in Progress, which was acquired by Stripe in 2022, and previously served as Executive Director of the Adam Smith Institute. He is best known for co-authoring the essay "The Housing Theory of Everything" and writing extensively on UK economic stagnation, planning reform, and growth policy.

3statements → 2claims → 1claims resolved → 3.67/5average certainty → 2.33/5average debate potential →

1 supported 0 partly supported 0 contradicted 1 not yet assessed how the 2 claims stand · each chip opens the sources

1 prediction · 1 assertion · 1 insight · every statement was checked. The prediction and assertion are the 2 claims: statements the public record can support or contradict. 1 is resolved, 1 is not yet assessed. Everything else (opinions, insights, what ifs, disclosures) can never be settled by the record, so it carries no assessment.

The record, in short

What the tape says about how Sam argues and how the claims held up. Everything they said, and everything said about them, is in the tabs below.

Their most notable supported claim

Assertion Supported

Bowman: FTSE 250 Underperformed S&P 500 Over 15 Years Even Without Mag Seven

“I think that when you look at, for example, the performance of listed companies, so the FTSE two 50, which is primarily like actually UK operating companies, has performed kind of catastrophically bad over the kind of past 15 years compared to the S&P 500. Lik…”

Sam Bowman Nov 28, 2025 ▶ 38:25 UK Budget 2025: Stripe + Startup Coalition

What they said3 Episodes1

Everything Sam Bowman said on Cheeky Pint that made the record, most notable first. Filter by type, assessment or year in the ledger →

Insight

Bowman: UK Savers Will Take Risk If Returns Improve, Not via Nudges

“I think it's much more likely to be the case that when the money is there, Maybe initially the money will come from international funds, and, you know, there is a lot of money internationally around, but I think it's much, much, much more likely that people ar…”

Sam Bowman Nov 28, 2025 ▶ 40:04 UK Budget 2025: Stripe + Startup Coalition

Prediction Open · timeframe Dec 2029

Bowman: 17% of UK taxpayers will pay higher rates by 2029

“By 2029, so in four years, 17% Of taxpayers are going to be higher rate taxpayers. So, fiscal drift, which is just holding the bands constant and letting inflation push people into the higher rate, the 40, the 40, but really forty-two-pee rate is, I mean, more…”

Sam Bowman Nov 28, 2025 ▶ 26:01 UK Budget 2025: Stripe + Startup Coalition