residential solar

11 statements across 4 episodes · 2 bullish · 6 bearish · 4 people on the record · first statement Jan 31, 2022 by Mary Powell · across every show →

Everything said about residential solar, oldest first

Jan 31, 2022 negative
Opinion
Powell: US utilities view rooftop solar as a threat, creating hurdles
“In the United States, very much so in many jurisdictions throughout the country, certainly in the utility space, it's seen as a threat, not an opportunity, and so when you see it that way, there's more and more hurdles that get created to go through for a cust…”
Mary Powell Jan 31, 2022 ▶ 14:37 The future of the home solar market
Jan 31, 2022 neutral
Insight
Powell: US solar customer acquisition costs stem from complex permitting processes
“When you think of customer acquisition costs, you have to think of the process to getting a customer to installation, so it's not just the process of getting the customer interested in solar, right? It's the customer of really, the cost of getting them through…”
Mary Powell Jan 31, 2022 ▶ 13:14 The future of the home solar market
May 23, 2024 bearish
Opinion
Shah: Residential solar loan securitization model has a short shelf life
“The game of just putting dumb solar in people's houses, you know, providing them a loan, right? Making money on that loan, right? And it's a securitization story, right? So you get debt from Wall Street, and then you own the equity slice, and then you try real…”
Jigar Shah May 23, 2024 ▶ 13:35 Could VPPs save rooftop solar?
Jul 10, 2025 neutral
Insight
Dumoulin-Smith: Interest rate hikes are the principal driver of rising solar prices
“Yes, this is an incredibly interest rate sensitive product. Interests go up. That is the principal driver of raising prices.”
Julian Dumoulin-Smith Jul 10, 2025 ▶ 6:42 Tumult in residential solar
Jul 10, 2025 bullish
Assertion Supported
Kann: Sunrun is up year-to-date after taking a beating in 2024
“Sunrun, for example, the market leader, is actually up year-to-date in the public markets after taking more of a beating in twenty-twenty-four.”
Shayle Kann Jul 10, 2025 ▶ 2:52 Tumult in residential solar
Jul 10, 2025 bearish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Dumoulin-Smith: Residential solar is no longer a growth sector
“It doesn't appear to be a growth sector anymore. It's a sector and, you know, overall volumetric decline potentially for several years in a row.”
Julian Dumoulin-Smith Jul 10, 2025 ▶ 31:57 Tumult in residential solar
Jul 10, 2025 negative
Assertion Supported
Dumoulin-Smith: Phasing out 40% solar tax credit adds 3¢ per kWh
“If you're talking roughly 40% tax credit to begin with, and you roll that off, You know, you're effectively talking about ballpark a three cent a kilowatt hour increase in pricing, right?”
Julian Dumoulin-Smith Jul 10, 2025 ▶ 29:20 Tumult in residential solar
Jul 10, 2025 neutral
Prediction Open · timeframe Jul 2028
Dumoulin-Smith: U.S. residential solar dealer markups will fall without tax credits
“As we see the tax sort of come out, you're going to see that spread, that difference in how you know, you price residential solar in the U.S. Start to come up, right? The dealer markups and the like start to come down.”
Julian Dumoulin-Smith Jul 10, 2025 ▶ 30:44 Tumult in residential solar
Jul 10, 2025 negative
Opinion
Dumoulin-Smith: Debt rollover issues drove major residential solar bankruptcies
“Making sure that you're very diligent to keep the maturity profile and give yourself a lot of latitude is, is truly important. I think that's really what ended up being a critical factor for at least a couple of the major bankruptcies in the last few years. Ju…”
Julian Dumoulin-Smith Jul 10, 2025 ▶ 9:25 Tumult in residential solar
Jul 10, 2025 bearish
Assertion Supported
Kann: Major residential solar players Sunnova and Mosaic went bankrupt
“We've seen bankruptcies from major players like Synova and Mosaic, and many smaller players have exited the market as well.”
Shayle Kann Jul 10, 2025 ▶ 2:35 Tumult in residential solar
Jul 23, 2026 positive
Insight
Kann: Third-party financing triggered the late-2000s residential solar market inflection
“What caused the Inflection for residential solar in the late 2000, which is really when the market started to take off was financing. It was when solar city and sun run and sungevity and all these companies introduced the like PPA and lease model.”
Shayle Kann Jul 23, 2026 ▶ 33:28 The multi-billion dollar promise of vehicle-to-grid integration
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