Sam Altman

92 statements across 49 episodes · 31 bullish · 33 bearish · 24 people on the record · first statement Nov 18, 2023 by Alex Kantrowitz · said 870 times in 133 episodes since 2023 · across every show →

On the record as a speaker too: Sam Altman's record, appearances and statements → this page counts the times other people say the name.

Mentions by year

brought up most by Alex Kantrowitz (611), Ranjan Roy (89), M.G. Siegler (33), Ed Zitron (19), Parmy Olson (17), Stephen Morris (12), David Cahn (11), Aaron Levie (7)

tap a year for its mentions
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040802023202420252026episodes it came up in
007.54015802023202420252026episodesmentions per episode
2026 291 mentions in 53 episodes 5 per episode
2025 421 mentions in 62 episodes 7 per episode
2024 105 mentions in 13 episodes 8 per episode
2023 53 mentions in 5 episodes 11 per episode

every mention, scene by scene, with the transcript →

Everything said about Sam Altman, oldest first

Nov 18, 2023 negative
Opinion
Kantrowitz: Sam Altman's firing was clearly a conduct-related issue
“The business seemed like it was in good shape. You know, maybe there was like something that was going on, but this was clearly a conduct related issue.”
Alex Kantrowitz Nov 18, 2023 ▶ 3:04 Emergency Podcast: Sam Altman Fired At OpenAI
Nov 18, 2023 neutral
Assertion Supported
Kantrowitz: Microsoft learned of Sam Altman's firing one minute before public announcement
“Microsoft was blindsided by OpenAI's ouster of CEO Sam Altman. Ina Fried says its biggest partner one that has invested billions in the company learned a minute before the rest of the world that Altman was out.”
Alex Kantrowitz Nov 18, 2023 ▶ 11:58 Emergency Podcast: Sam Altman Fired At OpenAI
Nov 18, 2023 positive
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Goldman: OpenAI Can Remain Competitive Without Altman but Creates Space for Rivals
“I think so. I mean, I don't feel like open AI was just Sam Altman. I mean, I think That you know, Greg Brockman, I think Ilya Sutskiver, I think Mira, I think there's a lot of people in place. I'm sure that there, the, that sense of mission and the product its…”
Sharon Goldman Nov 18, 2023 ▶ 8:27 Emergency Podcast: Sam Altman Fired At OpenAI
Nov 18, 2023 negative
Opinion
Kantrowitz: Altman's firing is tech's most shocking in a decade
“The board has been involved in literally the most shocking firing in tech, I would have to say, in a decade or longer.”
Alex Kantrowitz Nov 18, 2023 ▶ 0:58 Emergency Podcast: Sam Altman Fired At OpenAI
Nov 18, 2023 bearish
Opinion
Goldman: Altman's firing is a problem for Microsoft
“I do think it's a problem for Microsoft if he's gone for, you know, again, it raises questions, you know, again, Satya Nadella was with Sam Altman on stage at Dev Day, touting their relationship that they'd be building AGI together. The fact that if it becomes…”
Sharon Goldman Nov 18, 2023 ▶ 20:40 Emergency Podcast: Sam Altman Fired At OpenAI
Nov 23, 2023
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Kantrowitz: The real AI rivalry is Zuckerberg versus Altman, not Musk
“And if you thought that Elon Musk Zuckerberg cage match was the main event. No. That was a side show. Him versus Sam Altman. That's where the real fight is going to happen, and he's betting on narrow.”
Alex Kantrowitz Nov 23, 2023 ▶ 14:06 AI Keynote: Six Bold Predictions About The Future Of Artificial Intelligence
Dec 4, 2023 neutral
Assertion Supported
Sitaraman: OpenAI's board fired Sam Altman for lacking candor, not safety
“The board in their statement as sort of lacking in detail as it was said that they didn't fire Sam for anything but lack of candor, right? Like they didn't fire him because he wasn't AI safety enough.”
Deepa Sitaraman Dec 4, 2023 ▶ 22:58 Silicon Valley's Effective Altruist vs. Accelerationist Religious War
Dec 13, 2023 positive
Opinion
Executive team proved they can run OpenAI without Sam Altman
“And the proudest moment for me in all of this craziness was realizing that the executive team could totally run the company without me. I can go retire. Open AI will be fine.”
Sam Altman Dec 13, 2023 ▶ 2:20 OpenAI CEO Sam Altman: As We Get Closer to Superintelligence, Everyone Gets More Stressed & Anxious
Dec 13, 2023 positive
Disclosure
OpenAI shifted core vision from autonomous AI to building human tools
“If, to people in media, people in other industries, if you had asked us five years ago what was going to happen, we would have said, we will be able to build You know, trusted, responsible AI. But, fundamentally, it's gonna be going off and doing its thing. An…”
Sam Altman Dec 13, 2023 ▶ 10:47 OpenAI CEO Sam Altman: As We Get Closer to Superintelligence, Everyone Gets More Stressed & Anxious
Dec 13, 2023 negative
Disclosure
Internet fame as a Jewish person brings constant antisemitic abuse
“And one of the weird things about being Jewish and getting internet famous is, like, most of your online experience is people saying, like, horrible things about Jews.”
Sam Altman Dec 13, 2023 ▶ 6:27 OpenAI CEO Sam Altman: As We Get Closer to Superintelligence, Everyone Gets More Stressed & Anxious
Dec 13, 2023 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
The world will be in an unbelievably better place by 2030
“24 will see way more of it, and by the time, like, the end of this decade rolls around I think the world is gonna be in a unbelievably better place.”
Sam Altman Dec 13, 2023 ▶ 13:10 OpenAI CEO Sam Altman: As We Get Closer to Superintelligence, Everyone Gets More Stressed & Anxious
Dec 13, 2023 neutral
Opinion
Public shouldn't trust OpenAI if governance structure doesn't improve
“So I think if we don't make, if we don't improve our governance structure, if we don't improve our, the way we interact with the world, people shouldn't, but we're very motivated to improve that.”
Sam Altman Dec 13, 2023 ▶ 3:29 OpenAI CEO Sam Altman: As We Get Closer to Superintelligence, Everyone Gets More Stressed & Anxious
Dec 13, 2023 negative
Opinion
OpenAI clearly failed its goal to prevent AGI control by few
“We always said that we didn't want AGI to be controlled by a small set of people. We wanted to be democratized, and we clearly got that wrong.”
Sam Altman Dec 13, 2023 ▶ 3:19 OpenAI CEO Sam Altman: As We Get Closer to Superintelligence, Everyone Gets More Stressed & Anxious
Dec 13, 2023 positive
Prediction Not checkable as stated
AI will make future graduates smarter than today's best students
“I think the kids that start kindergarten today, by the time they graduate, 12th grade, will be smarter and better prepared than the best kids of today.”
Sam Altman Dec 13, 2023 ▶ 8:03 OpenAI CEO Sam Altman: As We Get Closer to Superintelligence, Everyone Gets More Stressed & Anxious
Dec 13, 2023 bearish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
AI models will have persuasive ability to affect 2024 elections
“One of those, I mean, there'll be many that we'll have to mitigate, but one of those is gonna be around the persuasive ability of these models, and the ability for them to affect elections next year.”
Sam Altman Dec 13, 2023 ▶ 8:19 OpenAI CEO Sam Altman: As We Get Closer to Superintelligence, Everyone Gets More Stressed & Anxious
Dec 13, 2023 positive
Opinion
November 2023 boardroom crisis made OpenAI more unified and focused
“It's been extremely painful for me personally, but I actually think it's been great for OpenAI. We've never been more unified we have never been more sort of determined and focused,”
Sam Altman Dec 13, 2023 ▶ 1:00 OpenAI CEO Sam Altman: As We Get Closer to Superintelligence, Everyone Gets More Stressed & Anxious
Dec 13, 2023
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Approaching superintelligence makes everyone involved more stressed and anxious
“I think everybody involved in this, as we get closer and closer to superintelligence Everybody involved gets more stressed and more anxious, and we realize the stakes are higher and higher, and I think that will explode.”
Sam Altman Dec 13, 2023 ▶ 0:34 OpenAI CEO Sam Altman: As We Get Closer to Superintelligence, Everyone Gets More Stressed & Anxious
Mar 20, 2024 positive
Opinion
Doshi: Sam Altman only cares about AGI, treating video as stepping stones
“I think that Sam is genuinely focused on AGI and attaining that. And I think he does not care about Graphics and, you know, video necessarily. I think he, those are stepping stones and that helps research you know, get to the next point, but I think he is very…”
Suhail Doshi Mar 20, 2024 ▶ 57:18 Predicting AI’s Next Advances — With Suhail Doshi
Apr 20, 2024 bearish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Swisher: OpenAI will not remain at the center of AI
“You know, it's obviously at the white hot center of everything, but I don't think it will remain there. No, I don't. No. I mean, unless he's the best business person in history, but I don't think he is.”
Kara Swisher Apr 20, 2024 ▶ 40:08 Kara Swisher Rates Tech Leaders
Apr 20, 2024 positive
Opinion
Swisher: Sam Altman is super aggressive yet uniquely admits problems
“Oh, I think he's super aggressive. I've met him when he was 19, so I have a long history with him. You know, he's like the rest of them. He's super aggressive. He's much more thoughtful. He has much calmer voice and everything else. He at least, you know, lean…”
Kara Swisher Apr 20, 2024 ▶ 26:33 Kara Swisher Rates Tech Leaders
Apr 20, 2024 bearish
Opinion
Swisher suspects OpenAI's subscription business is not very big
“I mean, you have subscriptions, but I suspect it's not a very big business.”
Kara Swisher Apr 20, 2024 ▶ 27:55 Kara Swisher Rates Tech Leaders
May 15, 2024 neutral
Opinion
Effective Altruism was not a major factor in the OpenAI board drama
“I actually don't think EA was at, That big a deal of the board stuff. I think like from what I've heard, it was related to something separate.”
Dwarkesh Patel May 15, 2024 ▶ 45:27 AI Scaling, Alignment, and the Path to Superintelligence — With Dwarkesh Patel
May 15, 2024 bullish
Opinion
AI scaling will not mysteriously halt halfway through the range of human intelligence
“It would just be bizarre to me that, like, you're halfway through the human range of intelligence, and now it stops getting better, so I do sympathize with Sam's statement in the sense of, like, why would it stop here, right? If it was gonna stop, why, it woul…”
Dwarkesh Patel May 15, 2024 ▶ 28:29 AI Scaling, Alignment, and the Path to Superintelligence — With Dwarkesh Patel
Sep 13, 2024 negative
Opinion
OpenAI's Focus on Unreleased Demoware Creates User Cynicism and Frustration
“And I think that's kind of the trap that Sam and his company has kind of put themselves in by just releasing a lot of demo wear, which is very exciting, and if you start getting people too excited for too long a time, and then you don't give them anything then…”
Parmy Olson Sep 13, 2024 ▶ 4:56 Is OpenAI’s New “o1” Model The Big Step Forward We’ve Been Waiting For?
Sep 13, 2024 negative
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Silicon Valley Executives Report Growing Discontent Over Sam Altman's Disorganization
“Last week I talked to some people in the valley and A couple of times it came up that there are the, there's growing discontent about Sam Altman's general lack of focus and people are saying he's disorganized and they're trying too many things.”
Parmy Olson Sep 13, 2024 ▶ 29:19 Is OpenAI’s New “o1” Model The Big Step Forward We’ve Been Waiting For?
Sep 13, 2024 negative
Assertion Not checkable as stated
OpenAI Board Fired Sam Altman Because He Was Consistently Untruthful
“Well, the real reason was that the board was concerned that Sam was not telling the truth. He was He just was not a reliable source of information, and it wasn't just the board members who felt that, there were top executives who felt that as well.”
Parmy Olson Sep 13, 2024 ▶ 11:19 Is OpenAI’s New “o1” Model The Big Step Forward We’ve Been Waiting For?
Oct 11, 2024 positive
Opinion
Weinberg: Sam Altman's Fundraising Prowess Is OpenAI's Edge Over Anthropic
“This is their competitive advantage is over like anthropic is clearly Sam Altman being one of the best fundraisers in the world.”
Cory Weinberg Oct 11, 2024 ▶ 23:45 OpenAI's Leaked Financial Data
Nov 15, 2024 negative
Opinion
Roy: AGI's lack of a clear definition distracts from practical technological progress
“There's not one like clear accepted definition or one clear vision that's communicated by the biggest people in the field, the Sam Altman's and everything else. So it remains this murky kind of like dystopian robots taking over who knows what it is, will be a …”
Ranjan Roy Nov 15, 2024 ▶ 20:26 Is Generative AI Plateauing?, Booming Bluesky, Apple’s Smart Glasses Play
Jan 29, 2025 positive
Assertion Contradicted
Hoffman: Musk agreed with Sam Altman not to target OpenAI politically
“Sam has tweeted that you know, he doesn't anticipate Elon, you know, engaging in that kind of behavior, and Elon has retweeted those sections saying, yep, that's totally right.”
Reid Hoffman Jan 29, 2025 ▶ 48:04 Reid Hoffman: Why The AI Investment Will Pay Off
Apr 2, 2025 neutral
Assertion Supported
OpenAI plans to release its first open-weight reasoning model since GPT-2
“OpenAI is planning to release an open weight language model in the coming months. This is from Sam Altman. We are excited to release a powerful new open weight language model. With reasoning in the next coming months, we want to talk to developers about how to…”
Alex Kantrowitz Apr 2, 2025 ▶ 31:12 OpenAI Raises $40 billion, Is AI a Letdown?, Musk Sells X to xAI
Apr 23, 2025 bullish
Prediction Partly held up
Patel: GPT-5 will simultaneously scale pre-training and post-training reasoning
“And so now GPT-Five, as Sam calls it, is, is gonna be a model that has huge pre-training scale, right? Like GPT-Five, but also huge post-training scale, Like O-one and O-three and continuing to scale that up, right? This would be the first time we see a model …”
Dylan Patel Apr 23, 2025 ▶ 36:50 Generative AI 101: Tokens, Pre-training, Fine-tuning, Reasoning — With SemiAnalysis CEO Dylan Patel
May 27, 2025 negative
Opinion
Roy: OpenAI and Jony Ive rollout video is narcissistic
“It just felt very navel gazing inward looking kind of like, Narcissistic, to put it bluntly, like, this was an opportunity to more share this vision of the product, and even though they're not going to say what the product is, ambient computing, AI everywhere…”
Ranjan Roy May 27, 2025 ▶ 21:25 OpenAI's Jony Ive Moment, Anthropic's Big New Model, Google In AI Mode
Jun 11, 2025 positive
Opinion
Siegler: Greenfield AI Hardware Has a Clearer Path Than Incumbents
“I do think that that path is probably a little bit more clear than what the, you know, the quote unquote incumbents or the big tech companies have right now because, you know, they just, they have all of this legacy and institutional knowledge of like what the…”
M.G. Siegler Jun 11, 2025 ▶ 16:08 What Apple's Failures Say About AI's Limitations —  With M.G. Siegler
Jun 14, 2025 bullish
Opinion
Kantrowitz: Humanoid robotics is optimal form factor for world-model AI
“When you build AI with a world model that understands physics, objects, how things work together, then you want to go humanoid robot, or maybe, you know, souped up robot that takes a humanoid form because all of a sudden you can be functional. Like the idea th…”
Alex Kantrowitz Jun 14, 2025 ▶ 16:02 Sam Altman’s Gentle Singularity, Zuck’s AI Power Play, Burning Of The Waymos
Jul 23, 2025 negative
Opinion
Sam Altman is highly effective at convincing executives to fund AI
“Sam Altman is the single most gifted business idiot whisperer of all time. He convinced, look at what he's done. I think he's reprehensible, a real scumbag, but I cannot ignore the work he's doing.”
Ed Zitron Jul 23, 2025 ▶ 1:25:30 Are AI's Economics Unsustainable? — With Ed Zitron
Jul 28, 2025 negative
Assertion Supported
Kantrowitz: OpenAI and SoftBank's Stargate has not closed a single data center deal
“Six months after Japanese billionaire Masayoshi stood shoulder to shoulder With Sam Altman and President Trump to announce the Stargate project, the newly formed company charged with making it happen has yet to complete a single deal for a data center.”
Alex Kantrowitz Jul 28, 2025 ▶ 22:47 Countdown to GPT-5, OpenAI’s Stargate Sputters, AI Math Wars
Sep 29, 2025 positive
Opinion
Kantrowitz: Sam Altman is not a charlatan given OpenAI's continued momentum
“I think there are some people that find that Sam Altman is just a charlatan. I don't think that's the case. He's obviously led the development of OpenAI, which continues to surge after a lot of its top talent has left.”
Alex Kantrowitz Sep 29, 2025 ▶ 9:24 OpenAI’s & NVIDIA's $100 Billion Marriage, Meta’s Sloppy Vibes, TikTok Deal Arrives?
Sep 29, 2025 neutral
Assertion Supported
Altman and Huang negotiated NVIDIA-OpenAI mega-deal without investment banks
“And it is notable that Sam Altman and Jensen Huang apparently negotiated the deal with no banks involved.”
Ranjan Roy Sep 29, 2025 ▶ 4:03 OpenAI’s & NVIDIA's $100 Billion Marriage, Meta’s Sloppy Vibes, TikTok Deal Arrives?
Oct 13, 2025 neutral
Assertion Supported
Kantrowitz: Sam Altman Described AGI as a 'Gentle Singularity'
“In June, Sam Altman said AGI will be more of a gentle singularity.”
Alex Kantrowitz Oct 13, 2025 ▶ 6:55 AGI or Bust, OpenAI’s $1 Trillion Gamble, Apple’s Next CEO?
Oct 20, 2025 negative
Opinion
Roy: OpenAI Is Adding Erotica to Maximize Usage, Not Empower Adults
“The fact that he says not because we were usage maxing almost makes me convinced that that's exactly why they're doing this, and it's not about treating adult users like adults.”
Ranjan Roy Oct 20, 2025 ▶ 4:10 Erotic ChatGPT, Zuck’s Apple Assault, AI’s Sameness Problem
Nov 3, 2025 neutral
Assertion Open · timeframe Mar 2028
Altman memo sets AI research intern for Sept 2026 and AI researcher for March 2028
“We have internal goals of having an automated AI research intern by September of 2026, running on hundreds of thousands of GPUs and a true automated AI researcher by March of 2028.”
Alex Kantrowitz Nov 3, 2025 ▶ 20:08 OpenAI and Microsoft’s Grand Bargain, Sam Altman’s Next Three Years, A New Humanoid Robot
Nov 3, 2025 bullish
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Altman memo reveals OpenAI's plan to build its own enterprise AI cloud
“Eventually we want to offer an AI cloud that enables huge businesses.”
Alex Kantrowitz Nov 3, 2025 ▶ 28:55 OpenAI and Microsoft’s Grand Bargain, Sam Altman’s Next Three Years, A New Humanoid Robot
Nov 10, 2025 negative
Assertion Supported
Kantrowitz: Unsealed deposition shows Sutskever accused Sam Altman of chronic lying
“The very first page says, Sam exhibits a consistent pattern of lying, undermining his execs, and pitting his execs against one another. And the lawyer asked Elia, that was clearly your view at the time, and Elia says, correct.”
Alex Kantrowitz Nov 10, 2025 ▶ 49:58 OpenAI Bailout?, Elon’s $1 Trillion Pay Deal, Amazon Sues Perplexity
Nov 10, 2025 negative
Opinion
Roy: OpenAI lacked cohesive strategy in government backstop walkback
“What's so fascinating to me is how all of this played out just in the last week. What kind of words were actually uttered by Sarah Fryer and then posted on linked by Sarah Fryer and then tweeted by Sam Altman. Like, They're trying to get out of it, and then no…”
Ranjan Roy Nov 10, 2025 ▶ 7:18 OpenAI Bailout?, Elon’s $1 Trillion Pay Deal, Amazon Sues Perplexity
Nov 17, 2025 bearish
Opinion
Luria: OpenAI's $100 Billion 2027 Revenue Projection Is Completely Disingenuous
“So for them to say, oh, we're gonna have a hundred billion dollars of revenue by 2027, which Sam Altman just did, is completely disingenuous. He has no idea. He's competing against much bigger, more powerful companies that have technology that's at least as go…”
Gil Luria Nov 17, 2025 ▶ 15:58 AI Bubble Special Report: Debt, Depreciation, and Losses — With Gil Luria
Nov 19, 2025 bearish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Clegg: Society will face a massive backlash over AI emotional intimacy
“I would say to him, you will regret this because maybe not now, maybe not next year, but a few years time, I can guarantee you there will be a societal backlash. It could actually potentially be much greater than it was for the social media apps because the le…”
Sir Nick Clegg Nov 19, 2025 ▶ 8:39 Can We Trust Silicon Valley With Superintelligence? — With Nick Clegg
Nov 24, 2025 bearish
Opinion
Roy: OpenAI is fundamentally a vulnerable consumer business, not enterprise cloud
“OpenAI is a consumer-facing chat company. I know Sam Altman says they're going to be a cloud company and a consumer devices company as well, and they have a small enterprise business, but they're a consumer company, and that's where all of their business is, s…”
Ranjan Roy Nov 24, 2025 ▶ 17:59 Google Pushes OpenAI, Bezos Returns, AI’s No. 1 Hit
Dec 8, 2025 neutral
Assertion Supported
Sam Altman and Jony Ive reach $6.5 billion AI hardware deal
“Sam Altman and Johnny Ive, who've Of course, came to the 6.5 billion dollar agreement to work together.”
Alex Kantrowitz Dec 8, 2025 ▶ 19:23 AI Device Wars Heat Up, RIP Metaverse?, Netflix Acquires Warner Brothers
Dec 17, 2025
Assertion Contradicted
OpenAI Plans to Launch ChatGPT Adult Mode in Q1 2026
“This is from Wired. Fiji on the call said the company now plans to roll out its adult mode in the first quarter of twenty-twenty-six. Altman had previously indicated users over 18 would be allowed to have erotic conversations with ChatGPT.”
Alex Kantrowitz Dec 17, 2025 ▶ 22:00 OpenAI’s 2026 Priority, Disney’s AI Play, Datacenter Buildout Trouble
Dec 17, 2025 neutral
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Sam Altman Tells Executives Enterprise AI is OpenAI's Top 2026 Priority
“Altman said that the, that if not the top eight, a very big priority next year for open AI is going to be enterprise building AI for businesses”
Alex Kantrowitz Dec 17, 2025 ▶ 2:55 OpenAI’s 2026 Priority, Disney’s AI Play, Datacenter Buildout Trouble
Dec 18, 2025 negative
Disclosure
Altman: "Zero Percent" Excited About Becoming a Public Company CEO
“Am I excited to be a public company CEO? Zero percent.”
Sam Altman Dec 18, 2025 ▶ 53:22 Sam Altman: How OpenAI Wins, ChatGPT’s Future, AI Buildout Logic, IPO in 2026?
Dec 18, 2025 bullish
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Altman: Businesses tell OpenAI they would pay 10x for GPT-5.2
“Cause we hear all these businesses saying, you know, if you 10 X the price of GPT, 5.2, we would still pay for it. You're hugely underpricing this. We're getting all this value out of it.”
Sam Altman Dec 18, 2025 ▶ 45:15 Sam Altman: How OpenAI Wins, ChatGPT’s Future, AI Buildout Logic, IPO in 2026?
Dec 18, 2025 neutral
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Altman: Dedicated AI platforms will exist alongside traditional web clouds
“My guess is that people will continue to have their Call it web cloud. And then I think there will be this other thing where like a company will be like, I need an AI platform for everything that I want to do internally that service I want to offer, whatever. …”
Sam Altman Dec 18, 2025 ▶ 50:02 Sam Altman: How OpenAI Wins, ChatGPT’s Future, AI Buildout Logic, IPO in 2026?
Dec 18, 2025 neutral
Insight
Altman: Frontier AI models still lack continuous learning seen in toddlers
“One thing you don't have is The ability for the model to not be able to do something today, realize it can't, go off and figure out how to learn to get good at that thing, learn to understand it, and when you come back the next day, it gets it right. And tha…”
Sam Altman Dec 18, 2025 ▶ 54:33 Sam Altman: How OpenAI Wins, ChatGPT’s Future, AI Buildout Logic, IPO in 2026?
Dec 18, 2025 positive
Opinion
Altman: Debt Financing to Build AI Data Centers Is Reasonable
“I think we do kind of, we know that if we build infrastructure, we the industry, someone's going to gonna get value out of it, and it's still totally early, I agree with you, but I don't think anyone's still questioning there's not going to gonna be value from…”
Sam Altman Dec 18, 2025 ▶ 41:25 Sam Altman: How OpenAI Wins, ChatGPT’s Future, AI Buildout Logic, IPO in 2026?
Dec 18, 2025
Insight
Altman: Superintelligence Means Outperforming Human CEOs and Presidents Unaided
“A candidate definition for superintelligence is when a system can do a better job being president United States, CEO of a major company, you know, running a very large scientific lab than any person can, even with the assistance of AI.”
Sam Altman Dec 18, 2025 ▶ 56:20 Sam Altman: How OpenAI Wins, ChatGPT’s Future, AI Buildout Logic, IPO in 2026?
Dec 18, 2025 neutral
Insight
Altman: AI consumers do not want more IQ, but enterprises still do
“The main thing consumers want right now is not more IQ. Enterprises still do want more IQ.”
Sam Altman Dec 18, 2025 ▶ 28:08 Sam Altman: How OpenAI Wins, ChatGPT’s Future, AI Buildout Logic, IPO in 2026?
Dec 18, 2025 neutral
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Altman: OpenAI will fail to meet enterprise token demand in 2026
“And we are going to again fail in 2026 to meet demand.”
Sam Altman Dec 18, 2025 ▶ 49:16 Sam Altman: How OpenAI Wins, ChatGPT’s Future, AI Buildout Logic, IPO in 2026?
Dec 18, 2025 bearish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Altman thinks AI superintelligence is "a long way off"
“I think something like that is like an interesting framework for super intelligence. I think it's like a long way off, but I would love to have like a cleaner definition this time around.”
Sam Altman Dec 18, 2025 ▶ 57:10 Sam Altman: How OpenAI Wins, ChatGPT’s Future, AI Buildout Logic, IPO in 2026?
Dec 18, 2025 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Altman: AI-augmented humans will achieve major scientific breakthroughs within five years
“What it looks like from here to five years to now, this journey to big discoveries, I suspect it just like the normal hill climb of AI. It just gets like a little bit better every quarter. And then all of a sudden we're like, whoa, humans augmented by these mo…”
Sam Altman Dec 18, 2025 ▶ 52:09 Sam Altman: How OpenAI Wins, ChatGPT’s Future, AI Buildout Logic, IPO in 2026?
Dec 18, 2025 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Altman: Everyone will end up managing multiple AI systems
“It's clear to see how everyone's gonna be managing, like, a lot of AIs doing different stuff.”
Sam Altman Dec 18, 2025 ▶ 24:58 Sam Altman: How OpenAI Wins, ChatGPT’s Future, AI Buildout Logic, IPO in 2026?
Dec 18, 2025
What-if
Altman: OpenAI Would Be Profitable Much Earlier Without Massive Training Costs
“If we weren't continuing to grow our training, Costs by so much we would be profitable way, way earlier. But the bet we're making is to invest very aggressively in training these big models.”
Sam Altman Dec 18, 2025 ▶ 37:15 Sam Altman: How OpenAI Wins, ChatGPT’s Future, AI Buildout Logic, IPO in 2026?
Dec 18, 2025 positive
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Altman: AI-Assisted Scientific Discoveries Began A Year Earlier Than Expected
“At the beginning of this year, I thought the small discoveries were going to start in twenty-twenty-six. They started in twenty-twenty-five, in late twenty-twenty-five.”
Sam Altman Dec 18, 2025 ▶ 51:41 Sam Altman: How OpenAI Wins, ChatGPT’s Future, AI Buildout Logic, IPO in 2026?
Dec 18, 2025 positive
Disclosure
Altman: OpenAI will develop a family of hardware devices
“First, we're gonna do a fam, a small family of devices. It will not be a single device.”
Sam Altman Dec 18, 2025 ▶ 46:46 Sam Altman: How OpenAI Wins, ChatGPT’s Future, AI Buildout Logic, IPO in 2026?
Dec 18, 2025 bullish
Insight
Altman: GPT-5.2 overhang enables massive value even if model progress freezes
“The overhang of the economic value that I believe 5.2 represents relative to what the world has figured out how to get out of it so far is so huge that even if you froze the model at 5.2, how much more like value can you create and thus revenue can you drive? …”
Sam Altman Dec 18, 2025 ▶ 42:58 Sam Altman: How OpenAI Wins, ChatGPT’s Future, AI Buildout Logic, IPO in 2026?
Dec 18, 2025 positive
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Altman: Computing will shift to proactive AI ill-suited to current devices
“I think there will be a shift over time to the way people use computers, where they go from a sort of Dumb, reactive thing to a very smart, proactive thing that is understanding your whole life, your context, everything going on around you, very aware of The p…”
Sam Altman Dec 18, 2025 ▶ 46:50 Sam Altman: How OpenAI Wins, ChatGPT’s Future, AI Buildout Logic, IPO in 2026?
Dec 18, 2025 positive
Disclosure
Altman: Thrilled by the Prospect of an AI Replacing Him as CEO
“I think a lot about how we can automate all the functions at OpenAI. And then even more than that, I think about like what it means to have an AI CEO of OpenAI. Doesn't bother me. I'm like thrilled for it. I won't fight it. Like, I don't want to be, I don't wa…”
Sam Altman Dec 18, 2025 ▶ 26:18 Sam Altman: How OpenAI Wins, ChatGPT’s Future, AI Buildout Logic, IPO in 2026?
Dec 22, 2025 neutral
Opinion
Kantrowitz: OpenAI requires exponential growth in revenue and capabilities to succeed
“It's one of those things where it really has to continue on an exponential, exponential increases in revenue, exponential increases in capabilities to be able to work. And to me, and we talked about this is a great, this is great unknown.”
Alex Kantrowitz Dec 22, 2025 ▶ 34:01 OpenAI’s Potential, Google’s Speedy Model, Copilot Hits Turbulence
Dec 22, 2025 positive
Assertion Supported
Altman: OpenAI API business grew faster than ChatGPT in 2025
“He also said that the API business grew faster this year than ChatGPT, which was surprising to me, but I guess it grew off of a much lower base.”
Alex Kantrowitz Dec 22, 2025 ▶ 21:32 OpenAI’s Potential, Google’s Speedy Model, Copilot Hits Turbulence
Dec 29, 2025 positive
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Kantrowitz: OpenAI data shows a revealed user preference for chatbot bonding
“This is also going back to my conversation with Sam last week. I do think that there is this, you know, if not a stated preference, a revealed preference in the data that they're seeing that people really want to bond with their bots.”
Alex Kantrowitz Dec 29, 2025 ▶ 11:38 AI & Tech 2026 Outlook: ChatGPT 1 Billion, AI Shopping, Apple's Big Year, AI Love Boom
Dec 29, 2025 negative
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Roy: Major backlash against public AI recording will emerge in 2026
“I think there's going to be major scandals and discomfort around recording or transcribing in public. And what I mean here is I've already started to see, I think I saw there's reporting that like on a, one of the cruise lines is banning meta Ray-Bans. Everyon…”
Ranjan Roy Dec 29, 2025 ▶ 6:01 AI & Tech 2026 Outlook: ChatGPT 1 Billion, AI Shopping, Apple's Big Year, AI Love Boom
Jan 13, 2026 bullish
Opinion
Siegler: OpenAI's product team and strategy have outperformed all AI rivals
“I do think like Sam and the open AI product team and strategy has done a better job than anyone else. You and I have talked about this a lot on AI. To date, I think Google has been catching up a bit and I think some of the others, as you know, Amazon and other…”
M.G. Siegler Jan 13, 2026 ▶ 22:39 AI’s Steve Jobs?, Big Tech AI Chaos, 2026 Crystal Ball
Jan 13, 2026 bearish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Siegler: No current AI leader will sell AI like Steve Jobs sold the iPhone
“None of these people, even they're interesting. They're successful in their own right, but I do not think that they're going to be the ones who are able to sell this the way that Steve jobs could sell an iPhone to the public.”
M.G. Siegler Jan 13, 2026 ▶ 23:15 AI’s Steve Jobs?, Big Tech AI Chaos, 2026 Crystal Ball
Jan 13, 2026 bullish
Prediction Open · timeframe Jan 2029
Kantrowitz: OpenAI Will Go Public as a Trillion-Dollar Company
“And he did, you know, he did take a nonprofit and turn it into, you know, it's going to be a trillion dollar IPO company.”
Alex Kantrowitz Jan 13, 2026 ▶ 16:50 AI’s Steve Jobs?, Big Tech AI Chaos, 2026 Crystal Ball
Jan 16, 2026 neutral
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Kantrowitz: Altman named enterprise applications OpenAI's top 2026 priority
“And Altman told him the companies, you know, one of their biggest priorities was building applications for enterprises. Basically it's gonna be a major priority in twenty-twenty-six.”
Alex Kantrowitz Jan 16, 2026 ▶ 6:19 Who Wins if AI Models Commoditize? — With Mistral CEO Arthur Mensch
Jan 28, 2026 positive
Opinion
Taylor: Sam Altman possesses a Steve Jobs-like reality distortion field
“Sam probably has the most ambitious vision of any founder that I've worked with, and his superpower is aligning people to that vision. I was, didn't have the good fortune of really knowing Steve Jobs, but they always talked about the reality distortion field a…”
Bret Taylor Jan 28, 2026 ▶ 53:07 Is AI Killing Software? — With Bret Taylor, OpenAI's board chair and CEO of Sierra
Feb 3, 2026 neutral
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Kantrowitz: Sam Altman said he would hate being a public company CEO
“Sam Altman made that comment to me when I spoke with him late last year that he would hate being a public company CEO, something along those lines.”
Alex Kantrowitz Feb 3, 2026 ▶ 38:23 The Moltbook Uprising, NVIDIA’s OpenAI Pullback, Apple’s Conundrum
Feb 23, 2026 bullish
Opinion
Levie: Altman's 2028 superintelligence timeline is totally reasonable
“I think that, that there's kind of, that seems to be totally reasonable based on the trajectory that we're on. And I would bet that, that Sam has an even a far higher bar for what his definition of, you know, intellectual or whatever the term was, then even I …”
Aaron Levie Feb 23, 2026 ▶ 23:05 OpenAI Closes in on $100 Billion, OpenClaw Acquired, AI’s Productivity Question — With Aaron Levie
Mar 4, 2026 negative
Opinion
Sam Altman is positioning OpenAI as a peace broker for Pentagon contracts
“He's trying to position this as like, they are the peace broker here, right? Like that they are the ones who are going to sort of iron out these differences between anthropic and the U S government by cutting their own deal that paves the path. To sort of do a…”
M.G. Siegler Mar 4, 2026 ▶ 32:41 Dario’s Choice and Anthropic’s Future, Apple’s AI Devices, Netflix Loses WBD
Mar 6, 2026 neutral
Assertion Supported
Horowitz: Sam Altman is attempting to broker Pentagon-Anthropic peace deal
“Some of the other frontier AI labs like XAI and OpenAI are already now willing to work on the classified side, and you know, Sam Altman is attempting to broker a piece, essentially, and create a deal that perhaps Anthropik could join as well.”
Michael Horowitz Mar 6, 2026 ▶ 38:11 Pentagon Insider: What's Next For Anthropic and The Department of War — With Michael Horowitz
Mar 16, 2026 negative
Opinion
Ranjan Roy: AI backlash is driven by disdain for Altman and Musk
“I think so much of this branding problem is around when it is Sam Altman and Elon Musk, and even, I mean, I guess Dario is kind of seeming to be the good guy in the narrative over the last couple of weeks, but it's who the spokespeople are, how they're speakin…”
Ranjan Roy Mar 16, 2026 ▶ 7:19 AI Backlash Intensifies, Nvidia GTC Preview, Meta’s Embarrassing Delay
Mar 18, 2026 neutral
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Sorkin: Altman And Ive AI Device May Arrive In Six Months
“You know, if Sam Altman and Johnny Ive have their way, we will have something sitting on this desk probably in six months from now that may be watching what we're doing all the time.”
Andrew Ross Sorkin Mar 18, 2026 ▶ 16:16 Are We Screwed If AI Works? — With Andrew Ross Sorkin
Apr 6, 2026 negative
Opinion
Hoffman: OpenAI's TBPN acquisition was driven entirely by Sam Altman's preference
“This is just a thing Sam wanted to do. It seems to me that the simplest solution is, is the easiest one. And, you know, they are going to have to you know, follow a much broader public discourse strategy to convince the huge swaths of the public that really ju…”
Liz Hoffman Apr 6, 2026 ▶ 13:59 OpenAI's TBPN Mistake, SpaceX’s $2 Trillion IPO?, Iran Disables Amazon Infrastructure
Apr 10, 2026 neutral
Assertion Supported
OpenAI CFO Sarah Friar stopped reporting directly to Sam Altman in 2025
“Fryer stopped reporting directly to Altman in August last year, and instead began reporting to Fiji Simo, who had joined as head of OpenAI's applications business”
Alex Kantrowitz Apr 10, 2026 ▶ 11:25 More OpenAI C-Suite Drama, Is Siri Seriously Broken?, Meta’s Elusive Next Hit
Apr 10, 2026 neutral
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Fidji Simo could eventually replace Sam Altman as OpenAI CEO
“That's sort of why I've always Sort of had in the back of my head that I would not be shocked if Fiji Simo is eventually sort of overall CEO and they just sort of have Sam Altman there because he's a vital still obviously from a fundraise perspective from so…”
M.G. Siegler Apr 10, 2026 ▶ 12:36 More OpenAI C-Suite Drama, Is Siri Seriously Broken?, Meta’s Elusive Next Hit
Apr 20, 2026 bearish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Roy: Expect more leaks questioning OpenAI's leadership ahead of an IPO
“I think you're going to be seeing more of these kind of leaks at some point, because there has to be investors that there's a lot of money in it. There's a lot of kind of lack of clear strategy still, even after they're supposed to kind of bring focus to the c…”
Ranjan Roy Apr 20, 2026 ▶ 44:59 Jensen On The Ropes, Sam Altman’s Conflicts, Allbirds’ GPU Pivot
Apr 29, 2026 bearish
Opinion
Cuban: Sam Altman is 'all over the map' and it will backfire
“Sam is all over the map, and I think that'll backfire on him.”
Mark Cuban Apr 29, 2026 ▶ 33:57 Mark Cuban: AI Hype vs. Reality, OpenAI's Wasting $1 Trillion, Lebron vs. Jordan
May 4, 2026 negative
Prediction Held up
Alex Kantrowitz predicts Elon Musk will fail to oust OpenAI leaders
“Now, I know Musk is trying to get Musk and Sam Altman, sorry, he's trying to get Sam Altman and Greg Brockman removed from the top of opening. I don't think that's going to happen.”
Alex Kantrowitz May 4, 2026 ▶ 25:41 OpenAI’s User Growth Miss, Musk vs. Altman In Court, Prediction Market Ban
May 18, 2026 bearish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Kantrowitz: Altman believes AI-native products will beat Google's bolt-on approach
“Basically there's a difference between products that are AI native and products that you bolt AI onto. And I believe that AI native products will win. And therefore Google bolting AI onto its existing products will lose.”
Alex Kantrowitz May 18, 2026 ▶ 14:03 Satya Nadella’s OpenAI Concerns, Google’s Next AI Model, The AI Monet Prank
May 27, 2026 bearish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Costolo: AI data centers will stall without public buy-in from CEOs
“Again, writ large across the country, it goes back to the Darios and the Sams, et cetera, need to start painting a picture to the country about why this is great for us, or a lot of these data centers aren't going to get built.”
Dick Costolo May 27, 2026 ▶ 53:28 Predicting the SpaceX, OpenAI, and Anthropic IPOs — With Dick Costolo
Jun 26, 2026 neutral
Assertion Supported
Gardizi: OpenAI uses alternative chips and develops in-house silicon to diversify
“They're using chips from other companies. Cerebris is a good example, and they have their own in-house chip. So I think maybe publicly they're doing some big announcements with NVIDIA, and I believe it's five gigawatts they have to deploy in the next couple of…”
Anissa Gardizy Jun 26, 2026 ▶ 51:36 Big Technology AI Summit (full): Greg Brockman, Mike Krieger, Aaron Levie & Friends of The Podcast
Jul 1, 2026 neutral
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Kantrowitz: Sam Altman confirmed OpenAI is developing multiple hardware devices
“I was in your office in December and Sam told me that this is happening. It's multiple devices.”
Alex Kantrowitz Jul 1, 2026 ▶ 15:10 OpenAI President Greg Brockman: Our Plan To Merge Chat And Agents
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