Jul 3, 2024 · 53m · big-technology

What The Ex-OpenAI Safety Employees Are Worried About

William Saunders · 20m spoken Lawrence "Larry" Lessig · 15m spoken Alex Kantrowitz · 13m spoken
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gold bands on the timeline = statements, start to end. Hover to read, click to jump. CC turns on captions

Host Alex Kantrowitz interviews former OpenAI Superalignment researcher William Saunders and Harvard Law professor Larry Lessig to examine why departing employees are raising safety alarms. The conversation explores how commercial pressure, restrictive non-disclosure agreements, and a lack of specialized regulatory oversight threaten responsible artificial intelligence development.

How this conversation actually went

Every chapter scored 0–10 on four independent dynamics. Hover any point for the reasoning behind the score. Alex holds 27.2% of the talking time here. How this is scored →

Alex as informed peer 5.0 Guest teaching 5.5 Guest disagreement 2.5 Alex pushing back 3.9
05100:0015:0030:0045:001:03–5:17 · Alex as informed peer 5/10 The Titanic vs. Apollo Analogy and Resignation Kantrowitz probes Saunders' choice of analogies, asking why he selected the Titanic and Apollo framing rather than the Manhattan Project often invoked around AI. Saunders unpacks his reasoning, explaining the Manhattan Project represents societal impact while the Titanic captures corporate safety negligence.5:18–9:02 · Alex as informed peer 4/10 Defining Superalignment and Technical AI Oversight Saunders explains the technical nature of superalignment research, illustrating recursive AI auditing and the difficulty of evaluating systems smarter than humans. Kantrowitz listens attentively with minimal intervention.9:03–14:33 · Alex as informed peer 6/10 The 'Right to Warn' and Internal OpenAI Culture Kantrowitz pushes directly on whether the whistleblowers actually saw a dangerous, undisclosed technology at OpenAI to warrant sounding public alarms. Lessig intervenes to guard legal boundaries while Saunders clarifies that the danger lies in trajectory and internal governance rather than immediate catastrophic systems.14:34–18:06 · Alex as informed peer 3/10 Near-Term AI Risks and Monitoring Vulnerabilities Saunders educates the host on realistic near-term failure modes, including multilingual disinformation campaigns bypassing small monitor models. The host allows Saunders to lay out technical security and monitoring deficiencies uninterrupted.18:06–24:05 · Alex as informed peer 5/10 NDAs, Equity Clawbacks, and California Employment Law Lessig delivers a legal breakdown of California wage law regarding vested equity and non-disparagement agreements, connecting it to Frances Haugen's revelations. Kantrowitz notes OpenAI's claim of never clawing back equity, prompting Lessig to explain the chilling effect of unenforceable clauses.24:06–29:43 · Alex as informed peer 6/10 Whistleblower Frameworks and Specialized Oversight Bodies Kantrowitz asks whether existing whistleblower protections cover safety concerns when no laws are broken, leading Lessig to explain SEC jurisdiction limitations and technical illiteracy. Kantrowitz pushes back by noting OpenAI already maintains internal hotlines and safety boards.29:45–35:19 · Alex as informed peer 5/10 Legislative Proposals and Non-Punitive Safety Models Saunders and Lessig discuss California SB 1047 and the necessity of non-adversarial reporting mechanisms modeled on medical morbidity reviews. Kantrowitz asks specific clarifying questions about enforcement mechanisms and agency jurisdiction.35:20–38:46 · Alex as informed peer 6/10 Compute Allocation, Model Interpretability, and Research Realities Kantrowitz presents online critiques arguing that OpenAI rationally reallocated 20% of superalignment compute toward active products because near-term catastrophe was unlikely. Saunders refutes this, explaining that interpretability research requires long lead times before frontier systems arrive.38:46–45:05 · Alex as informed peer 6/10 Addressing Public Criticisms of the 'Right to Warn' Kantrowitz cites OpenAI researcher Joshua Achiam's public pushback claiming the 'right to warn' grants carte blanche to leak secrets and alienates safety staff. Lessig and Saunders systematically rebut Achiam's framing by explaining the multi-tiered whistleblower process.45:05–48:49 · Alex as informed peer 5/10 Sam Altman's Governance and Product Launch Pressures Kantrowitz references Saunders' New York Times quote criticizing Sam Altman's governance and presence on oversight committees. Saunders elaborates on the friction between rigid product launch timelines and adequate safety evaluations.48:49–53:08 · Alex as informed peer 4/10 AGI Timelines, Systemic Risk, and the Titanic Analogy Kantrowitz summarizes the broader timeline debate and asks about systemic desensitization to AI risks. Saunders and Lessig detail the disparity between fast AI development timelines and the decade-long regulatory process, concluding with the Titanic lifeboat precedent.1:03–5:17 · Guest teaching 3/10 The Titanic vs. Apollo Analogy and Resignation Kantrowitz probes Saunders' choice of analogies, asking why he selected the Titanic and Apollo framing rather than the Manhattan Project often invoked around AI. Saunders unpacks his reasoning, explaining the Manhattan Project represents societal impact while the Titanic captures corporate safety negligence.5:18–9:02 · Guest teaching 5/10 Defining Superalignment and Technical AI Oversight Saunders explains the technical nature of superalignment research, illustrating recursive AI auditing and the difficulty of evaluating systems smarter than humans. Kantrowitz listens attentively with minimal intervention.9:03–14:33 · Guest teaching 5/10 The 'Right to Warn' and Internal OpenAI Culture Kantrowitz pushes directly on whether the whistleblowers actually saw a dangerous, undisclosed technology at OpenAI to warrant sounding public alarms. Lessig intervenes to guard legal boundaries while Saunders clarifies that the danger lies in trajectory and internal governance rather than immediate catastrophic systems.14:34–18:06 · Guest teaching 6/10 Near-Term AI Risks and Monitoring Vulnerabilities Saunders educates the host on realistic near-term failure modes, including multilingual disinformation campaigns bypassing small monitor models. The host allows Saunders to lay out technical security and monitoring deficiencies uninterrupted.18:06–24:05 · Guest teaching 7/10 NDAs, Equity Clawbacks, and California Employment Law Lessig delivers a legal breakdown of California wage law regarding vested equity and non-disparagement agreements, connecting it to Frances Haugen's revelations. Kantrowitz notes OpenAI's claim of never clawing back equity, prompting Lessig to explain the chilling effect of unenforceable clauses.24:06–29:43 · Guest teaching 6/10 Whistleblower Frameworks and Specialized Oversight Bodies Kantrowitz asks whether existing whistleblower protections cover safety concerns when no laws are broken, leading Lessig to explain SEC jurisdiction limitations and technical illiteracy. Kantrowitz pushes back by noting OpenAI already maintains internal hotlines and safety boards.29:45–35:19 · Guest teaching 6/10 Legislative Proposals and Non-Punitive Safety Models Saunders and Lessig discuss California SB 1047 and the necessity of non-adversarial reporting mechanisms modeled on medical morbidity reviews. Kantrowitz asks specific clarifying questions about enforcement mechanisms and agency jurisdiction.35:20–38:46 · Guest teaching 6/10 Compute Allocation, Model Interpretability, and Research Realities Kantrowitz presents online critiques arguing that OpenAI rationally reallocated 20% of superalignment compute toward active products because near-term catastrophe was unlikely. Saunders refutes this, explaining that interpretability research requires long lead times before frontier systems arrive.38:46–45:05 · Guest teaching 6/10 Addressing Public Criticisms of the 'Right to Warn' Kantrowitz cites OpenAI researcher Joshua Achiam's public pushback claiming the 'right to warn' grants carte blanche to leak secrets and alienates safety staff. Lessig and Saunders systematically rebut Achiam's framing by explaining the multi-tiered whistleblower process.45:05–48:49 · Guest teaching 5/10 Sam Altman's Governance and Product Launch Pressures Kantrowitz references Saunders' New York Times quote criticizing Sam Altman's governance and presence on oversight committees. Saunders elaborates on the friction between rigid product launch timelines and adequate safety evaluations.48:49–53:08 · Guest teaching 6/10 AGI Timelines, Systemic Risk, and the Titanic Analogy Kantrowitz summarizes the broader timeline debate and asks about systemic desensitization to AI risks. Saunders and Lessig detail the disparity between fast AI development timelines and the decade-long regulatory process, concluding with the Titanic lifeboat precedent.1:03–5:17 · Guest disagreement 2/10 The Titanic vs. Apollo Analogy and Resignation Kantrowitz probes Saunders' choice of analogies, asking why he selected the Titanic and Apollo framing rather than the Manhattan Project often invoked around AI. Saunders unpacks his reasoning, explaining the Manhattan Project represents societal impact while the Titanic captures corporate safety negligence.5:18–9:02 · Guest disagreement 1/10 Defining Superalignment and Technical AI Oversight Saunders explains the technical nature of superalignment research, illustrating recursive AI auditing and the difficulty of evaluating systems smarter than humans. Kantrowitz listens attentively with minimal intervention.9:03–14:33 · Guest disagreement 4/10 The 'Right to Warn' and Internal OpenAI Culture Kantrowitz pushes directly on whether the whistleblowers actually saw a dangerous, undisclosed technology at OpenAI to warrant sounding public alarms. Lessig intervenes to guard legal boundaries while Saunders clarifies that the danger lies in trajectory and internal governance rather than immediate catastrophic systems.14:34–18:06 · Guest disagreement 2/10 Near-Term AI Risks and Monitoring Vulnerabilities Saunders educates the host on realistic near-term failure modes, including multilingual disinformation campaigns bypassing small monitor models. The host allows Saunders to lay out technical security and monitoring deficiencies uninterrupted.18:06–24:05 · Guest disagreement 2/10 NDAs, Equity Clawbacks, and California Employment Law Lessig delivers a legal breakdown of California wage law regarding vested equity and non-disparagement agreements, connecting it to Frances Haugen's revelations. Kantrowitz notes OpenAI's claim of never clawing back equity, prompting Lessig to explain the chilling effect of unenforceable clauses.24:06–29:43 · Guest disagreement 3/10 Whistleblower Frameworks and Specialized Oversight Bodies Kantrowitz asks whether existing whistleblower protections cover safety concerns when no laws are broken, leading Lessig to explain SEC jurisdiction limitations and technical illiteracy. Kantrowitz pushes back by noting OpenAI already maintains internal hotlines and safety boards.29:45–35:19 · Guest disagreement 1/10 Legislative Proposals and Non-Punitive Safety Models Saunders and Lessig discuss California SB 1047 and the necessity of non-adversarial reporting mechanisms modeled on medical morbidity reviews. Kantrowitz asks specific clarifying questions about enforcement mechanisms and agency jurisdiction.35:20–38:46 · Guest disagreement 3/10 Compute Allocation, Model Interpretability, and Research Realities Kantrowitz presents online critiques arguing that OpenAI rationally reallocated 20% of superalignment compute toward active products because near-term catastrophe was unlikely. Saunders refutes this, explaining that interpretability research requires long lead times before frontier systems arrive.38:46–45:05 · Guest disagreement 4/10 Addressing Public Criticisms of the 'Right to Warn' Kantrowitz cites OpenAI researcher Joshua Achiam's public pushback claiming the 'right to warn' grants carte blanche to leak secrets and alienates safety staff. Lessig and Saunders systematically rebut Achiam's framing by explaining the multi-tiered whistleblower process.45:05–48:49 · Guest disagreement 3/10 Sam Altman's Governance and Product Launch Pressures Kantrowitz references Saunders' New York Times quote criticizing Sam Altman's governance and presence on oversight committees. Saunders elaborates on the friction between rigid product launch timelines and adequate safety evaluations.48:49–53:08 · Guest disagreement 2/10 AGI Timelines, Systemic Risk, and the Titanic Analogy Kantrowitz summarizes the broader timeline debate and asks about systemic desensitization to AI risks. Saunders and Lessig detail the disparity between fast AI development timelines and the decade-long regulatory process, concluding with the Titanic lifeboat precedent.1:03–5:17 · Alex pushing back 4/10 The Titanic vs. Apollo Analogy and Resignation Kantrowitz probes Saunders' choice of analogies, asking why he selected the Titanic and Apollo framing rather than the Manhattan Project often invoked around AI. Saunders unpacks his reasoning, explaining the Manhattan Project represents societal impact while the Titanic captures corporate safety negligence.5:18–9:02 · Alex pushing back 2/10 Defining Superalignment and Technical AI Oversight Saunders explains the technical nature of superalignment research, illustrating recursive AI auditing and the difficulty of evaluating systems smarter than humans. Kantrowitz listens attentively with minimal intervention.9:03–14:33 · Alex pushing back 7/10 The 'Right to Warn' and Internal OpenAI Culture Kantrowitz pushes directly on whether the whistleblowers actually saw a dangerous, undisclosed technology at OpenAI to warrant sounding public alarms. Lessig intervenes to guard legal boundaries while Saunders clarifies that the danger lies in trajectory and internal governance rather than immediate catastrophic systems.14:34–18:06 · Alex pushing back 2/10 Near-Term AI Risks and Monitoring Vulnerabilities Saunders educates the host on realistic near-term failure modes, including multilingual disinformation campaigns bypassing small monitor models. The host allows Saunders to lay out technical security and monitoring deficiencies uninterrupted.18:06–24:05 · Alex pushing back 2/10 NDAs, Equity Clawbacks, and California Employment Law Lessig delivers a legal breakdown of California wage law regarding vested equity and non-disparagement agreements, connecting it to Frances Haugen's revelations. Kantrowitz notes OpenAI's claim of never clawing back equity, prompting Lessig to explain the chilling effect of unenforceable clauses.24:06–29:43 · Alex pushing back 5/10 Whistleblower Frameworks and Specialized Oversight Bodies Kantrowitz asks whether existing whistleblower protections cover safety concerns when no laws are broken, leading Lessig to explain SEC jurisdiction limitations and technical illiteracy. Kantrowitz pushes back by noting OpenAI already maintains internal hotlines and safety boards.29:45–35:19 · Alex pushing back 3/10 Legislative Proposals and Non-Punitive Safety Models Saunders and Lessig discuss California SB 1047 and the necessity of non-adversarial reporting mechanisms modeled on medical morbidity reviews. Kantrowitz asks specific clarifying questions about enforcement mechanisms and agency jurisdiction.35:20–38:46 · Alex pushing back 6/10 Compute Allocation, Model Interpretability, and Research Realities Kantrowitz presents online critiques arguing that OpenAI rationally reallocated 20% of superalignment compute toward active products because near-term catastrophe was unlikely. Saunders refutes this, explaining that interpretability research requires long lead times before frontier systems arrive.38:46–45:05 · Alex pushing back 6/10 Addressing Public Criticisms of the 'Right to Warn' Kantrowitz cites OpenAI researcher Joshua Achiam's public pushback claiming the 'right to warn' grants carte blanche to leak secrets and alienates safety staff. Lessig and Saunders systematically rebut Achiam's framing by explaining the multi-tiered whistleblower process.45:05–48:49 · Alex pushing back 3/10 Sam Altman's Governance and Product Launch Pressures Kantrowitz references Saunders' New York Times quote criticizing Sam Altman's governance and presence on oversight committees. Saunders elaborates on the friction between rigid product launch timelines and adequate safety evaluations.48:49–53:08 · Alex pushing back 3/10 AGI Timelines, Systemic Risk, and the Titanic Analogy Kantrowitz summarizes the broader timeline debate and asks about systemic desensitization to AI risks. Saunders and Lessig detail the disparity between fast AI development timelines and the decade-long regulatory process, concluding with the Titanic lifeboat precedent.

speaking balance: gold is Alex, purple is the guest (3 minute bins)

0:00 · Alex 43.8% · guest 56.2%0:00 · Alex 43.8% · guest 56.2%3:00 · Alex 21.4% · guest 78.6%3:00 · Alex 21.4% · guest 78.6%6:00 · Alex 7.9% · guest 92.1%6:00 · Alex 7.9% · guest 92.1%9:00 · Alex 66.5% · guest 33.5%9:00 · Alex 66.5% · guest 33.5%12:00 · Alex 29.3% · guest 70.7%12:00 · Alex 29.3% · guest 70.7%15:00 · Alex 0% · guest 100%15:00 · Alex 0% · guest 100%18:00 · Alex 36% · guest 64%18:00 · Alex 36% · guest 64%21:00 · Alex 15.3% · guest 84.7%21:00 · Alex 15.3% · guest 84.7%24:00 · Alex 25.1% · guest 74.9%24:00 · Alex 25.1% · guest 74.9%27:00 · Alex 20.1% · guest 79.9%27:00 · Alex 20.1% · guest 79.9%30:00 · Alex 11.1% · guest 88.9%30:00 · Alex 11.1% · guest 88.9%33:00 · Alex 31.7% · guest 68.3%33:00 · Alex 31.7% · guest 68.3%36:00 · Alex 29.8% · guest 70.2%36:00 · Alex 29.8% · guest 70.2%39:00 · Alex 42.2% · guest 57.8%39:00 · Alex 42.2% · guest 57.8%42:00 · Alex 5.1% · guest 94.9%42:00 · Alex 5.1% · guest 94.9%45:00 · Alex 54.4% · guest 45.6%45:00 · Alex 54.4% · guest 45.6%48:00 · Alex 26.9% · guest 73.1%48:00 · Alex 26.9% · guest 73.1%51:00 · Alex 25.9% · guest 74.1%51:00 · Alex 25.9% · guest 74.1%
Sharpest disagreement ▶ 9:59 Lessig preemptively blocks Kantrowitz's line of questioning

Lessig directly interrupts and objects to Kantrowitz asking Saunders specifically what he witnessed inside OpenAI, citing confidentiality bounds.

Hardest push from Alex ▶ 10:40 Kantrowitz demands clarity on whether whistleblowers saw immediate dangers

Kantrowitz refuses to let the guests evade whether tangible catastrophic technology was observed, pressing that public alarm requires concrete evidence.

Biggest teaching moment ▶ 21:08 Lessig explains California employment law regarding vested equity

Lessig educates the host on how vested equity is legally classified as wages in California, making clawback threats for non-disparagement illegal.

Alex holds their own ▶ 41:36 Kantrowitz confronts guests with insider counterarguments against the safety policy

Kantrowitz demonstrates strong command of internal lab politics by citing specific technical pushback from OpenAI staffer Joshua Achiam.

the scores for every segment, with the reasoning behind each
ChapterTopicAlex as informed peerGuest teachingGuest disagreementAlex pushing backWhy
The Titanic vs. Apollo Analogy and Resignation 5324 Kantrowitz probes Saunders' choice of analogies, asking why he selected the Titanic and Apollo framing rather than the Manhattan Project often invoked around AI. Saunders unpacks his reasoning, explaining the Manhattan Project represents societal impact while the Titanic captures corporate safety negligence.
Defining Superalignment and Technical AI Oversight 4512 Saunders explains the technical nature of superalignment research, illustrating recursive AI auditing and the difficulty of evaluating systems smarter than humans. Kantrowitz listens attentively with minimal intervention.
The 'Right to Warn' and Internal OpenAI Culture 6547 Kantrowitz pushes directly on whether the whistleblowers actually saw a dangerous, undisclosed technology at OpenAI to warrant sounding public alarms. Lessig intervenes to guard legal boundaries while Saunders clarifies that the danger lies in trajectory and internal governance rather than immediate catastrophic systems.
Near-Term AI Risks and Monitoring Vulnerabilities 3622 Saunders educates the host on realistic near-term failure modes, including multilingual disinformation campaigns bypassing small monitor models. The host allows Saunders to lay out technical security and monitoring deficiencies uninterrupted.
NDAs, Equity Clawbacks, and California Employment Law 5722 Lessig delivers a legal breakdown of California wage law regarding vested equity and non-disparagement agreements, connecting it to Frances Haugen's revelations. Kantrowitz notes OpenAI's claim of never clawing back equity, prompting Lessig to explain the chilling effect of unenforceable clauses.
Whistleblower Frameworks and Specialized Oversight Bodies 6635 Kantrowitz asks whether existing whistleblower protections cover safety concerns when no laws are broken, leading Lessig to explain SEC jurisdiction limitations and technical illiteracy. Kantrowitz pushes back by noting OpenAI already maintains internal hotlines and safety boards.
Legislative Proposals and Non-Punitive Safety Models 5613 Saunders and Lessig discuss California SB 1047 and the necessity of non-adversarial reporting mechanisms modeled on medical morbidity reviews. Kantrowitz asks specific clarifying questions about enforcement mechanisms and agency jurisdiction.
Compute Allocation, Model Interpretability, and Research Realities 6636 Kantrowitz presents online critiques arguing that OpenAI rationally reallocated 20% of superalignment compute toward active products because near-term catastrophe was unlikely. Saunders refutes this, explaining that interpretability research requires long lead times before frontier systems arrive.
Addressing Public Criticisms of the 'Right to Warn' 6646 Kantrowitz cites OpenAI researcher Joshua Achiam's public pushback claiming the 'right to warn' grants carte blanche to leak secrets and alienates safety staff. Lessig and Saunders systematically rebut Achiam's framing by explaining the multi-tiered whistleblower process.
Sam Altman's Governance and Product Launch Pressures 5533 Kantrowitz references Saunders' New York Times quote criticizing Sam Altman's governance and presence on oversight committees. Saunders elaborates on the friction between rigid product launch timelines and adequate safety evaluations.
AGI Timelines, Systemic Risk, and the Titanic Analogy 4623 Kantrowitz summarizes the broader timeline debate and asks about systemic desensitization to AI risks. Saunders and Lessig detail the disparity between fast AI development timelines and the decade-long regulatory process, concluding with the Titanic lifeboat precedent.

Statements from this episode (16)

Opinion
Saunders: OpenAI prioritizes shiny products over safety like the Titanic
“OpenAI claimed that their mission was to build safe and beneficial AGI, and I thought that this would mean that they would prioritize, you know, putting safety first. But over time, it started to really feel like the decisions being made by leadership were mor…”
William Saunders Jul 3, 2024 ▶ 2:36
Assertion Supported
Saunders: AI-assisted critique helps humans detect model errors
“What some of the research that I did at OpenAI was, you know, trying to develop techniques for this, and the simple technique that we tried and showed that worked was just ask a different AI system, or even the same AI system, is there a problem with this answ…”
William Saunders Jul 3, 2024 ▶ 8:13
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Saunders: Departure from OpenAI was not caused by witnessing immediate harm
“If there were, if there was a group of people that I knew were being seriously harmed by this technology first, I still really hope that open AI would like do the right thing and address this. If this was like a very clear cut case. I also personally would you…”
William Saunders Jul 3, 2024 ▶ 11:47
Opinion
Saunders: GPT-4 is safe, but GPT-5 or later might be the Titanic
“I don't think that I was working on the Titanic. I don't think that GPT four was the Titanic. I'm more, I'm afraid that like GPT five or GPT six or GPT seven might be the Titanic in, in, in this analogy.”
William Saunders Jul 3, 2024 ▶ 12:16
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Saunders: Most OpenAI employees and alignment efforts are English-focused
“Most of the people at opening I speak English. Most of the alignment work is done in English.”
William Saunders Jul 3, 2024 ▶ 15:32
Insight
Saunders: Small model oversight of large models clearly misses violations
“Some systems that the company has talked about involve using a very like small and dumb language model to like monitor what a larger language model is doing. And this will like clearly miss a bunch of things.”
William Saunders Jul 3, 2024 ▶ 16:42
Assertion Partly supported
Lessig: California Law Treats Vested Equity as Unconditional Wages
“Equity Is wage in the state of California. If you earn equity, your vested equity, it's like your wages. And when you leave, they can't say, oh, here's a bunch of other additional agree terms you must agree to in order to take what you've already earned. So th…”
Lawrence "Larry" Lessig Jul 3, 2024 ▶ 21:51
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Lessig: Ex-OpenAI Staff Remained Silent Fearing Equity Clawbacks
“I mean, I've spoken to ex-employees who've said, look, I've not done X, Y, and Z because I feared the club acts. So they can say, and they never enforced it. They didn't need to enforce it to have the effect, which it had for a significant number of people”
Lawrence "Larry" Lessig Jul 3, 2024 ▶ 23:35
Assertion Supported
Lessig: Failing to Follow Stated AI Safety Regimes Is Reportable to SEC
“Some agencies like the SEC takes the view that most anything could potentially be the sort of thing you'd have privilege to complain to the SEC about because it could potentially affect the value of the company. And to the extent it's potentially affecting the…”
Lawrence "Larry" Lessig Jul 3, 2024 ▶ 25:09
Opinion
Saunders: California SB 1047 creates a superior model for AI whistleblowing
“I think that like a model that I think might work, you know, I think I personally think would work better would be like, The model more proposed in California Senate bill, 1047, where there would be like a, you know, the, where the law would create like, you k…”
William Saunders Jul 3, 2024 ▶ 30:53
Opinion
Lessig: Federal AI whistleblower framework requires new legislation, not just FTC authority
“I mean, you know, agencies like the FTC believe they have lots of inherent jurisdiction that they could set up something that would be close to this, but the kind of thing that would convince people like William would require legislation the way California has…”
Lawrence "Larry" Lessig Jul 3, 2024 ▶ 32:48
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Saunders: Many at OpenAI discuss a three-year timeline to AGI
“And you know, what people were talking about at the company in terms of timelines to something dangerous were like, there were people talking, a lot of people talking about similar things to like the predictions of like, Leopold Aschenbrenner, where it's like …”
William Saunders Jul 3, 2024 ▶ 37:53
Assertion Not yet assessed · timeframe Jul 2024
Lessig: 'Right to Warn' only allows public disclosure if reporting channels fail
“The right to warn we were talking about actually talked about creating an incentive so that no confidential information would be released to the public. If they had this structure, you know, imagine a portal again, where you can connect with the company and wi…”
Lawrence "Larry" Lessig Jul 3, 2024 ▶ 40:36
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Lessig: Adopting 'Right to Warn' will give AI labs a talent advantage
“If a company were to embrace the right to warn the way we've discussed it there would be a lot of people like William or others who would say, that's the kind of company I want to work for. And so that company would achieve an advantage of talent that might, y…”
Lawrence "Larry" Lessig Jul 3, 2024 ▶ 43:54
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Saunders gives 10% probability of human-level remote AI within three years
“And I'm, you know, not as convinced about Leopold that this is necessarily going to come soon, but I think, you know, there's maybe like a 10% probability that this happens within three years.”
William Saunders Jul 3, 2024 ▶ 50:49
Insight
Lessig: Building a reliable regulatory infrastructure takes 10 years
“It's not that I'm worried that in three to five years everything's gonna blow up. It's just that I'm Convinced that it takes 10 years to get to a place that we have an infrastructure of regulation that we can count on.”
Lawrence "Larry" Lessig Jul 3, 2024 ▶ 52:05
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