LLMs
41 statements across 29 episodes · 11 bullish · 18 bearish · 19 people on the record · first statement Jan 25, 2023 by Yann LeCun · across every show →
Everything said about LLMs, oldest first
Jan 25, 2023 negative
Aug 3, 2023 positive
Sep 14, 2023 bullish
Murdock: Merging LLMs and reinforcement learning will drive major AI breakthroughs
“I don't know exactly what the breakthrough will be, but I'm really excited about the union of these LLMs plus reinforcement learning. And I'm excited about that because I think there's a lot more to come from reinforcement learning. And I know at Google D mine…”
Nov 23, 2023 bullish
Kantrowitz: LLMs will transform video game NPCs into conversational characters
“And I believe that we're not gonna quite get there, but we're gonna get pretty damn close to free guy when we build LLMs into video game technology, and that leads me to prediction four, is that video games are gonna be absolutely incredible with this stuff, a…”
Apr 15, 2024 bearish
Mayer: Startups have an AI advantage over Big Tech via model flexibility
“I personally don't necessarily think that the winner in LLMs will necessarily be The winner in visual creation. And so as a startup, the fact that you can pick whichever model or whichever offering an API you feel fits your needs best is great. Where in some c…”
Apr 15, 2024 bullish
Mayer: Major search breakout will combine LLMs with personal context
“I think there will be an interface breakthrough that allows the search engine to gather either through things like email or history Or other inputs basically gather more of a contextual picture for you to be able to provide even better results. But I think it'…”
May 1, 2024 neutral
AWS AI Chief: Enterprise AI needs smaller distilled models, not monolithic LLMs
“To put these LLMs to work to solve real world problems, you got to actually take some of these models and then customize it, and the end result is not the biggest model. It is actually a much more customized, smaller model or a distal model to solve specific b…”
May 1, 2024 neutral
AWS VP: LLM architectures will shift to hierarchical edge-and-cloud inference
“So, I expect LLNs to evolve in the same way, where there are a lot of, ah, decisions, especially if you have a powerful computing device, ah, which, ah, many smartphones and others, ah, to be having that, You can actually run some of those, ah, simple LLM thin…”
Jul 10, 2024 neutral
Oct 30, 2024 neutral
Nov 13, 2024 positive
Söderström: LLM-generated music storytelling significantly boosts Spotify app retention
“So what we've done since then is we've invested quite a lot in this is quite recent that is rolling out in LLMs that actually tell interesting stories about the music. And we see very strong effects on this, on the retention of the application.”
Nov 13, 2024 positive
Söderström: Generative recommendation systems exhibit scaling laws unlike older deep learning
“These deep learning based systems, they had flattened out in terms of if you added more user data or more parameters, they did not get better like the LLMs. There were no scaling laws. It's just like, it is what it is, and you could move at .2%. There's someth…”
Nov 13, 2024 positive
Nov 13, 2024 bullish
Söderström: Human connection will become more valuable in an LLM-dominated world
“What tends to happen in these worlds is that the thing that is scarce gets even more valuable. So one bet would be that true human connection gets more valuable than ever. When a lot of what you talk to in the future may be LLMs.”
Mar 19, 2025 neutral
LeCun: Humans and animals reason through mental models, not token space
“A big issue there is, is that when humans or animals reason,
We don't do it in token space.
In other words, when we reason, we don't have to, you know, generate a text that expresses our solution and then generate another one, and then generate another one, an…”
Mar 19, 2025 bearish
Mar 19, 2025 negative
LeCun: LLM scaling hits diminishing returns after exhausting natural text data
“Well, I don't know if I would call it a wall, but it's certainly a diminishing return in the sense that, you know, we've kind of run out of natural text data to train those LLMs where they're already trained with, you know, on the order of you know, 10 to the …”
Mar 19, 2025 negative
LeCun: Chain-of-thought prompting does not produce genuine reasoning in LLMs
“One simple way of
getting NNMs to kind of appear to reason is chain of thought, right?
So you basically tell them to generate more tokens than they really need to in the hope that in the process of generating those tokens, they're going to devote more computa…”
Mar 19, 2025 bearish
Mar 19, 2025 bearish
May 30, 2025 bearish
Jun 18, 2025 neutral
Dwarkesh: Lack of continual learning prevents LLMs from replacing human labor
“I think a big bottleneck these models have is their inability to learn on the job, to have continual learning. Their entire memory is extinguished at the end of a session. There's a bunch of reasons why I think this actually makes it really hard to get human-l…”
Jun 18, 2025 neutral
Dwarkesh: Slow enterprise AI adoption stems from model limits, not stodginess
“And so sometimes people say, well, the reason Fortune 500 isn't using LLMs all over the place is because they're too stodgy. They're not they're not like, they're not thinking creatively about how AI can be implemented. And actually, I don't think that's the c…”
Jul 1, 2025 neutral
Aug 11, 2025
Kantrowitz: AI companions will definitely become real partners in greater numbers
“These type of things are going to definitely become real partners to people. People, when this technology has been bad or hardly workable, have gotten married to them. Before LLMs. So it's gonna happen again, and in greater numbers.”
Oct 8, 2025 neutral
Krieger: Social talent in AI reflects prior concentration of product talent
“I think it's less that there's a lot of social media sort of oriented folks that have now moved into AI. It's more that I think a lot of the best product people were focused on that, you know, even four years ago, you know, pre-chat GPT you know, pre the emerg…”
Oct 15, 2025 negative
Summers: CISOs Fear Internal LLMs Will Uncover Existing Unintended Employee Access
“Almost every CISO I'm talking to now is, is concerned about
Giving LLMs access to data for that reason.
Not that the LLM is going to do something wrong, but it's going to let people search and find things way more powerfully and join information they didn't ev…”
Dec 1, 2025 bearish
Jan 12, 2026 positive
Feb 9, 2026 bearish
Roy: AI products lack the zero-marginal-cost economics of traditional SaaS
“It just had different economics, and I genuinely think that's fundamentally changed. And we, we've talked about this a lot, like, and an AI company, we don't even know what the economics really are of them in terms of, like, what it costs to operate the more p…”
Mar 12, 2026 negative
Mar 16, 2026 neutral
Alex Kantrowitz: Governments cannot practically enforce bans on large language models
“They won't be banned. It's impossible. I mean, how can you ban them? Are you going to go and take your, is the government going to go grab your Mac mini out of your office where you've downloaded a version of deep seek and be like, all right, right to the poke…”
Mar 16, 2026 positive
Ranjan Roy: Users will routinely query Google Maps via LLMs next year
“Everyone a year from now is going to start asking much more detailed questions of Google Maps rather than saying, Restaurant Thai New York, you're going to start saying like, oh, I'm looking for the best pad Thai within a mile from me, and that's going to be p…”
Mar 25, 2026 bearish
Yen: Frontier AI training costs will plummet to $1M in years
“What I mean by this is today, if you want to train a top of the line, you know, our frontier model, that might cost you a couple billion dollars.
But in a couple of years, that might be fifty million to, you know, a hundred million.
And then a few more years o…”
Apr 15, 2026 neutral
Apr 22, 2026 bearish
May 22, 2026 positive
Jun 26, 2026 negative
Stamos: Banning bug-finding in US models degrades code security
“We cannot set the standard that US AI models can't find bugs. That is a terrible, terrible, terrible standard. If you have a, if you are writing software with an LLM, it has to be able to understand what a bug looks like so it does not write those bugs.”
Jun 28, 2026 negative
Jul 29, 2026 negative
Antani: LLMs enable attackers to reverse engineer and weaponize software patches faster
“Now with LLMs you're able to reverse engineer that patch in a fraction of the time. So that part of AI and cyber is a legitimate step up in capability, which is the attacker's ability to quickly revert reverse engineer and weaponize a flaw in a patch, and then…”
Sep 7, 2026 bearish
Kantrowitz: AI benchmark success without economic impact reveals spiky intelligence
“If it can solve arc AGI and it's not necessarily crushing on these economic factors and these just kind of general rote work things that we would like it to do it shows that instead of being general, it's very spiky intelligence and hence much less useful.”