The Ledger
Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.
why aren't all 1,958 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Botha: Broadly investing in venture capital is 'return-free risk'
“So in my opinion, investing in venture is a return free risk.”
Tucker Carlson calls for an immediate ban on SSRIs
“The whole country is addled on drugs, and it's changing the nature of people, and making them into something that is less than people, and it should be banned immediately.”
Chris Wright: Climate change is not a top 10 global problem
“But if you look at the math and the economics of it, it's just not even close to top 10 problem in the world today.”
Huang calls President Trump America's unique competitive advantage over other countries
“America's unique advantage that no country possibly have is President Trump.”
Thiel: Defending Taiwan is not worth risking World War III
“It's not worth it's not worth World War III. And I still think it's quite catastrophic if it if it gets taken over by the communists.”
Sacks: US must plan to sabotage Taiwanese chip factories if invaded
“Our military needs to have a plan to sabotage those chip factories, because we can't let them fall under the control of the CCP.”
Weinstein: Susskind, Gross, and Witten halted theoretical physics progress after 1983
“In 1983, physics made sense, in 1984, it did not. It was very stark, and it was like overnight, more or less three people, Leonard Susskind, David Grose, and Edward Whitten, drove the field in a totally different direction, and now the achievement of this has …”
Weinstein: Renaissance Technologies is the leading candidate for a secret physics program
“If it's happening, I've said that the leading candidate would be Renaissance Technologies on Long Island.”
Kratsios: Fauci Did More Disservice to Science Than Anyone in Modern History
“And I think, you know, he did more disservice to science than anyone in, in modern history.”
Emanuel: Putin and Xi view Trump as a joke, not an equal
“This president punches down and kisses up. He has this fixation about Putin and Xi admiring him as an equal, and they think he's a joke. They think he is not their equal.”
Emanuel: The DSA functions as an opposing party to Democrats
“You're not Democrats. You're a separate party. I'll see you in November. You're living, you're literally beating Democrats. Forget about it. Not interested in it.”
Chamath: Cultural shifts from immigration worsened UK, Germany, and France
“You can look at the UK and you can look at Germany and you can look at France and you have to ask yourself is the cultural deviation from where they were, has it been better? Or worse for those countries. And I think in general, it has been worse.”
Gavin Baker: Anthropic is worth $3 trillion today
“I think Anthropic is worth three trillion dollars today, and it's very important.”
Friedberg: California election system allows candidates to be appointed, not elected
“It has been set up and structured in a way that with the right construct, you can get an individual appointed, not elected, but appointed to a particular role in government under a, quote, free election in California.”
Friedberg: California's voting laws are a foundational destruction of democratic rights
“This is a foundational destruction of our rights to vote for people in a free democracy.”
Gurley: Anthropic leaders believe they are midwifing a deity, not writing software
“I don't think they think they're writing software. I think they're midwifing a deity here, and I don't know which one I'm more afraid of, the regulatory capture or the second theory I call the Dr. Frankenstein theory.”
Chamath: Trump is the most consistent anti-war president in modern history
“I think Trump is and has been the most consistent anti-war president of modern history.”
Fetterman says claims of undue Israeli influence rely on anti-Semitic tropes
“Well, that, that plays into the, to the anti-Semitism and the tropes, and it's like pulling all the strings, and they're behind.”
Fetterman asserts that Israel is engaged in a just war against Hamas
“They were in a just war, you know, and now remember where it started, and remember what Hamas continued to do.”
Sacks calls Al Gore's climate change push a 1990s hoax
“This whole climate change thing was Al Gore's big hoax going back to the nineties.”
Armstrong: Biden administration unlawfully tried to kill US crypto industry
“The Biden administration really tried to unlawfully kill this industry in America”
Carolla blames California overregulation on "gyno-fascism" and female leaders
“This is, what I'm starting to learn is basically what people are calling gyno-fascism, which is way too many women in positions of power with an eye on safety.”
Sacks: Welfare entitlement fraud may be connected to stolen elections
“And some of this is even connected, I think, to voter fraud. So you're talking about here, stolen money, maybe leading to stolen elections.”
Tucker Carlson calls NATO the most destructive force the US belongs to
“NATO is like the single most destructive force that we're a part of, way more than the UN.”
Tucker Carlson: What has happened in Gaza does not help the US at all
“I do think what's happened in Gaza does not help the United States at all.”
Sacks claims Biden's AI mandates were designed for long-term ideological indoctrination
“By the way, in my opinion, That was the end game for the Biden approach of requiring DEI values in these models.”
Palihapitiya advises retail investors to avoid investing in his new SPAC
“And what my honest advice is avoid Maybe not all SPACs, but definitely my SPAC, just avoid it.”
Jimmy Kimmel says MAGA tried to distance themselves from Kirk's killer
“We had some new lows over the weekend with the MAGA gang desperately trying to characterize this kid who murdered Charlie Kirk as anything other than one of them, and doing everything they can to score political points from it.”
Musk: Actions of the West are indistinguishable from suicide
“Let's just say that the actions of the West are indistinguishable from suicide.”
Musk: Removing religion creates destructive substitutes like the 'woke mind virus'
“And if you take away religion, then I think you actually, you get something in its place which is actually worse than what was there before. I mean, it's like destructive, basically. You get like the white work mind virus filling, filling the hole that religio…”
Karp: Elite Western universities teach 'Stalinistic bullshit' that undermines achievement
“I do think there's an issue with our lead institutions that have taken the best and brightest and most valuable things you could teach someone and have turned it into some kind of Stalinistic bullshit that is anti-correlated with everything that, that works in…”
Karp: American progressives work 'day and night' to hurt poor people
“I believe progressives in this country are working day and night to hurt poor people in this country. I don't believe they're progressive.”
Karp calls Human Rights Watch an 'obvious example of fraud'
“Just take like an obvious example of like fraud, human rights watch.”
Karp: Migration is not working in the West
“I don't actually think migration's working in the West, because people don't want to change.”
Carlson: Israeli government is severely mismanaging response in Gaza and West Bank
“I've never seen anybody mismanage anything the way the government of Israel is mismanaging the response to what's happening in Gaza and the West Bank.”
Chris Wright: Non-dispatchable power sources act as expensive parasites on the grid
“But if you're not dispatchable, you're not adding to the peak capacity of a grid, you're just a parasite. Parasites are expensive.”
Chamath: US presidents should be allowed to remove Federal Reserve governors
“I think it's very reasonable to say that any sitting president should be allowed to remove a Fed governor if he believes it's not aligned with the wishes of the electorate and the voters and the plan that was voted in.”
Sacks: Russiagate was effectively a coup against Donald Trump
“It was effectively a coup against the president of the United States, because these were executive branch officials who owe a duty of loyalty to the elected president. Instead, they were working to subvert and undermine him based on Essentially lies and hoaxes…”
Sacks: There is no democracy in Ukraine right now
“There is no democracy in Ukraine right now. There's just not.”
Chamath: Only GPs building fee-generating businesses will make real VC money
“But if you're trying to crush it, I think the only people that will really make money in venture capital are the GPs. Building a fee generating business around it.”
Wright: Intermittent energy sources are parasites on reliable power systems
“If you're not there at game time, all you are is a parasite on the systems that is there at game time.”
Chris Wright: Climate change is not among the top five global problems
“We've increased atmospheric CO₂ by 50%, hundred percent, it absorbs infrared radiation, it's been a force for warming, that's all true. But if you look at the trade-offs on it, it's not in the top five problems the planet focuses.”
Carlson: Mass immigration turned California into a slum
“But fundamentally the state is a slum. It's a Latin American country, and immigration did that.”
Carlson: Most Senate Republicans are dumb, recalcitrant, and unaware of reality
“Most Republicans in the Senate are not even aware this is happening. They are the most recalcitrant people in the world, also the dumbest, so most of them, you know, don't accept any of this”
Sachs: CIA directors never tell the truth
“CIA directors never tell the truth. If they do, they lose their job.”