The Ledger
Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.
why aren't all 538 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Gracias: DOGE found thousands of non-citizens on voter rolls in four states
“We looked at the voter rolls. We found these people, thousands of them on the voter rolls, and we found many of those people had voted, right? In one state in particular, well over a thousand voted.”
Sacks: Blinken told Russia US wanted Ukraine in NATO with nuclear weapons
“And you know, it turns out that the month before the Russians invaded, Blinken told Lavrov that the administration was not only going to bring Ukraine into NATO, but that they thought it was okay for the United States to put nuclear weapons in Ukraine.”
Sacks: COVID-19 patient zero was a Wuhan lab gain-of-function researcher
“Patient zero, it turns out was a researcher at the Wuhan lab. Who was performing gain of function research?”
RFK Jr.: Vaccines are exempt from pre-licensure placebo-controlled trials
“Vaccines are the one medical product that does not have to go through placebo-controlled trials where you test an exposed versus unexposed population prior to licensure”
Chamath: It's 'pretty clear' COVID-19 leaked from the Wuhan lab
“It's pretty clear that this was something that leaked out of that lab.”
Pishevar: Iranian regime massacred over 43,000 peaceful protesters in one month
“As you saw last month they massacred over 43,000 Iranians who were just peacefully protesting.”
Dr. Oz: Audit reveals California improperly billed $1.5B for undocumented immigrant healthcare
“We've audited him now. This data's coming out this week. We have now found over one and a half billion dollars of money spent wrongly. We've audited it. They're not even arguing. One and a half billion dollars from that California charged the federal governmen…”
Musk: UK released violent offenders to imprison people over social media posts
“They have, in a lot of cases, released people who have committed violent crimes in order to imprison people who have simply made posts on social media.”
Sacks: Left-wing NGOs laundered over $100M of public money for Antifa
“These NGOs have laundered over a hundred million dollars of our money to fund terrorist violence in our streets.”
Caruso: LA spends $900,000 per homeless person moved off streets
“We are spending in the city of Los Angeles. 900,000 dollars per person that they're moving from the streets. 900,000 dollars.”
Carlson claims Jeffrey Epstein was an intelligence asset involved in Iran-Contra
“Yes, well, no question. He was involved in Iran-Contra. American, French, Israeli, probably British.”
Carlson asserts Charlotte stabbing victim was targeted for being white
“She was stabbed because she was white, and everyone knows that, actually.”
Tony Robbins claims meta-studies prove SSRIs do not work
“SSRIs don't work. They don't. They've been proven not to work by the meta studies, but we're still giving them millions of people.”
Fauci knew early in February 2020 that COVID leaked from lab
“Fauci knew very early, as early as February first of 2020, that COVID came from a lab leak.”
COVID vaccines were modestly effective and designed to manipulate DNA
“We caused billions of people all around the world to take immaturely tested drugs. They were called vaccines. We found out that they were modestly effective at best, and then some of them were designed in some ways to manipulate our DNA, and we just don't know…”
Tucker Carlson claims up to 70 million illegal immigrants reside in US
“Some estimates, 60, seventy million. Those are real estimates, by the way, not crackpot estimates.”
Palihapitiya: Welfare incentivized Black women $92,000 to remain unmarried
“In, you know, black families as an example, the economic incentive to not get married on you know, today dollar adjusted basis was like, 92,000 to a black woman to not get married and have a child.”
Sacks: 70% of the world blames the US equally for Ukraine
“70% of the world's population does not believe this narrative about the Ukraine war. They understand that the U.S. Is at least equally responsible for this war.”
RFK Jr.: 2004 NIH study showed hydroxychloroquine obliterates coronavirus
“We knew ivermectin and hydroxychloroquine were working. We knew that since 2004, because the NIH did this study that said hydroxychloroquine obliterates coronavirus.”
RFK Jr.: DTP vaccine killed or injured 1 in 300 kids in US
“It was killing or causing severe brain injury in one out of every 300 kids who got it.”
Kratsios: 25% of Biden-Era NSF Grants Went to DEI Initiatives
“Senator Ted Cruz and the committee on at, on, in the Senate did an analysis of the grants that were given during the Biden administration. And they found that roughly one quarter Where, 25% of grants at NSF during that time period went towards DEI-related quot…”
Pratt: LADWP drained Palisades Reservoir in June 2024
“Janice Quinonez, the LADW, Drain that reservoir in June of twenty-twenty-four.”
Pratt: LA City never requested fixed-wing air support during wildfire
“So L.A. City never even called in fixed air wing support to drop water.”
Pratt: 90% of unhoused people in Los Angeles are drug addicts
“90% of these people are drug addicts.”
Hilton: Labor unions file most CEQA lawsuits blocking housing
“Most of those lawsuits are filed by unions.”
Hilton: CARB only counts imported oil emissions within 12 miles offshore
“CARB, the California Air Resources Board, which is obsessed with having all other businesses account for their carbon emissions right down the supply chain. Miraculously, the carbon emissions for the oil imports are only counted from when they're 12 miles off …”
Jensen Huang: Nvidia's market share in China fell from 95% to 0%
“At the current moment as we speak, NVIDIA gave up a 95% market share in the second largest market in the world, and we're at zero percent.”
Fetterman says he is the only Democrat advocating to destroy Iran's regime
“I am literally the only Democrat in America in Congress that I've come across that saying, I think it's a great thing to break and destroy the Iranian regime.”
Chamath: Agent-written code caused three or four SEV-1 outages at AWS
“Why does Amazon issue an edict that says you cannot use this stuff inside of AWS unless a human now reviews and approves it? Because what happened? They had three or four SEV-ONE faults from a bunch of code that was written by agents that brought down AWS.”
Gerstner: Anthropic generating $5B to $6B in a single month
“We're seeing companies like Anthropic at five or six billion dollars of revenue in a single month, which is extraordinary.”
Emil Michael: Anthropic CEO Dario Amodei called Donald Trump a 'wannabe dictator'
“You called president Trump and your 5000 word essay on Friday, a wannabe dictator. You're gonna have to apologize to more people than just me.”
Sachs: Minnesota released roughly 470 convicted illegal immigrants last year
“Last year, there was something like 470 convicts, ok, illegal aliens, criminals. And I'm not talking about that their crime wasn't breaking into the country. I'm talking about subsequent crimes that were released In Minnesota, so they cannot be rounded up by I…”
Dr. Oz: Miami Mayor reduced homelessness 90% via mandatory rehab arrests
“Mayor Suarez in Miami dropped a number by 90% and he did it just by making sure that you got arrested every time you peed publicly and they don't put you in jail. They put you in, in rehab.”
Makary claims 14% of all NIH grants went to DEI research
“14% of any NIH grants went to DEI research.”
Lutnick: Tariff revenues fund proposed tax exemptions on tips and Social Security
“Who paid for no tax on tips, no tax on overtime, no tax on social security. Right? Tariffs.”
Lutnick: Ozempic and Mounjaro added to Medicare and Medicaid for $149
“So, the result is Ozempic and Munjara are on Medicaid and Medicare. For a hundred and 49 dollars instead of not on it.”
Lutnick: Merck agreed to offer top drug free to Medicare and Medicaid
“One of the drug companies, Merck, said they're gonna just give us their number one drug in the world. They're gonna give it to Medicaid and Medicare for zero.”
Sacks: Rep. Ilhan Omar went from negative net worth to multi-millionaire
“But still, she went from negative to being a multi-millionaire in two years.”
Tony Hinchcliffe: Trump saw 20% Puerto Rican support bump in Pennsylvania
“20% Puerto Rican increase in the state of Pennsylvania.”
David Sacks: 50% of Stanford students claim disabled status for test accommodations
“At Stanford, they said that if you're disabled, you get more time on tests, and you can kind of be unproctored, and kind of... Accommodations. Right. So now, 50% of students at Stanford say they're disabled.”
Chamath claims specialized power grid electricians earn up to $800,000 annually
“These electricians now get paid five, six, seven, 800,000 dollars a year, which by the way, just FYI, is more than most engineers in Silicon Valley, ok?”
Musk: UK has 2,000 to 3,000 people imprisoned for social media posts
“My understanding is that in the UK, there's something like two or 3000 people in prison for social media posts.”
Manchin claims climate protesters at his houseboat were organized and paid
“Oh, no, that was organized. They were paid, Shamath, because a lot of my friends who live on the, down at the river, on the Potomac River with me, on the boat, They played like, how can I get a job with you? How can I do this if I want to protest? They said, I…”
Sramek: China's Zhongjing Island shipyard outproduced post-WWII US total last year
“Zhongjing Island shipyard in China built more ships last year than we have built collectively in the United States since the end of the Second World War.”
Sacks: Most San Francisco homeless individuals moved there from outside the city
“The homeless we have in San Francisco are not predominantly from San Francisco. They're from all over the country, all over the surrounding area. They come here for the benefits.”
Sacks: Donald Trump ended seven wars in seven months
“President Trump has ended seven wars in seven months before this one.”