The Ledger
Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.
why aren't all 9 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Patrick Collison: 79% of surveyed top scientists would alter research without NIH grants
“We ran a survey of scientists back a couple of years ago of top scientists, and four out of five, like, 79% of them told us That if they could just spend money however they wanted, if they weren't kind of limited by, you know, what they're prescribed by these …”
Patrick Collison: Credit card programs are not major bank profit pools
“Card programs are not actually big profit pools for most of the major banks.”
Patrick Collison: Arc Institute's Evo 2 is the largest biology ML model ever
“Yesterday, AHRQ released this new foundation model for biology. It's the largest biology ML model ever. It's actually, I think the largest open source AI model ever.”
Patrick Collison: Evo 2 achieves state-of-the-art human mutation prediction from one human genome
“It's trained on nine trillion base pair gene tokens. So, you know ChatGBT, LLMs are normally trained on, on, you know, the, on, on human language. This is a language model, but it's trained on, on DNA, the language of life. And there's only one human genome in…”
Patrick Collison says Stripe Billing reached $500 million ARR
“Stripe Billing, which we actually just announced last week has passed, you know, half a billion in, in ARR.”
Patrick Collison: US labor productivity has risen 20% in 10 years
“Libra productivity in the US is up, like, 20% in the last 10 years, and so just like, again, you just look at the data, just the median person in the economy, or the average person, is is producing 20% on an inflation-adjusted basis, more than they were 10 yea…”
Patrick Collison: Proposed DoD cuts match magnitude of 2010–2025 spending changes
“As far as I can tell, the cuts proposed Over the next couple of years for the Defense Department are of approximately the same magnitude as the reduction in the defense budget that occurred between 2010 and today”