The Ledger
Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.
why aren't all 13,205 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 498 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Sachs: United States is sole country blocking two-state solution
“And there is one country that stands in the way of imposing this. Not Iran, not the Saudis, not Egypt, not Russia, not China, not any country in the European Union, one country and one country alone, and that is because of the United States of America and the …”
Benioff claims Agentforce doubled Google's AI accuracy in a head-to-head benchmark
“In a head-to-head benchmark of Salesforce's agent force against Google's AI, we two X them on accuracy”
Benioff calls Microsoft Copilot a universal failure and a complete disaster
“I think in the last few years, what we've kind of heard, and you know, some of it has come from OpenAI, but especially from Microsoft, that we're in this co-pilot world, and these co-pilots have universally failed. The level of accuracy, the spillage of inform…”
Thiel: Supports broad student debt forgiveness because students were ripped off
“I do think a lot of the students got ripped off. And so I think there should be some kind of broad student debt forgiveness at this point.”
Megyn Kelly argues biological males do not belong in women's spaces
“Men cannot become women. Period. Women can't become men either. And men and boys do not belong in women's spaces, whether it's a bathroom, a locker room, or a sports event. They don't.”
Megyn Kelly: Kamala Harris is not smart or a deep thinker
“I really think the problem for Kamala Harris is she's not smart, she's not a deep thinker, She's very surface level.”
China Forced Apple To Invest $1 Billion Into Didi, Kalanick Claims
“They made Apple invest a billion dollars in Didi, and Apple doesn't invest anything in anybody.”
Musk: AI and robotics will drive cost of goods toward zero
“Anything that is a manufactured good or provided service will, I think, with the advent of AI plus robotics, that the cost of goods and services will be, will Trend to zero. Like, I'm not saying it'd be actually zero, but it'll be, everyone will be able to hav…”
Vance: Media fabricated claim that Trump called white supremacists fine people
“Donald Trump never called white supremacists very fine people after Charlottesville, a total fabrication of the American media”
RFK Jr. is removing his name from 11 battleground state ballots
“I haven't actually terminated my campaign. I suspended it. We've taken ourselves or we're trying to Take ourselves off the ballot in the, in about 11 states, so we'll remain on the ballot in 39 states”
Trump campaign contacted RFK Jr. regarding VP shortly after shooting
“President Trump, you know, reached out to me through this guy, Kelly Maynes, who's a food advocate, say food advocate, about three hours after the shoot, after the shooting in Butler, I got a call from him And he asked me if I was still interested in the, spec…”
Sacks: Ukraine is on track to collapse, probably next year
“And what we're on track for is, at some point, Probably next year, Ukraine is going to collapse.”
Sacks claims Biden administration provoked Ukraine war via NATO expansion talks
“I said the Biden administration provoked the war with talk of NATO expansion.”
Haidt: Immigrants from non-English speaking countries have better work ethic
“Immigrants who are from non-English speaking countries. That's right. They have a better work ethic.”
Trump says talk of Ukraine joining NATO caused the Russia-Ukraine war
“So for 20 years, I heard that NATO if Ukraine goes into NATO, it's a real problem for Russia. I've heard that for a long time. And I think that's really why this war started.”
Trump predicts Iran could acquire a nuclear weapon within 90 days
“And within 90 days or so, they're gonna have and could have very well a nuclear weapon”
Trump states he would not support a national abortion ban
“No, I wouldn't support a national ban. No, I would not.”
Trump asserts COVID-19 originated from and leaked out of Wuhan lab
“Where it originally came from was the Wuhan lab. I happen to think it escaped from the Wuhan lab.”
Trump promises automatic green cards for graduates of US colleges
“What I want to do and what I will do is you graduate from a college. I think you should get automatically as part of your diploma, a green card. To be able to stay in this country, and that includes junior colleges too.”
Khosla: Preventing MAGA extremists from destroying democracy is our most important issue
“I would say there's a bunch of MAGA extremists in every part of society, and I hope we can prevent them from destroying democracy, which is probably the most important issue we face.”
Calacanis: Democrats will replace Joe Biden with Gavin Newsom after first debate
“This is why I think Biden's getting hot swapped this month. You heard it here first. He's got, no, Gavin is going to be running for president. It's going to be Trump and Gavin. They are hot-swapping Biden after this first debate. Biden is going to get demolish…”
Fauci knew early in February 2020 that COVID leaked from lab
“Fauci knew very early, as early as February first of 2020, that COVID came from a lab leak.”
Fauci funded Wuhan lab gain-of-function research via EcoHealth
“Because he had funded gain-of-function research programs via Peter Daszak and the EcoHealth Alliance to conduct, again, gain-of-function research at the Wuhan Institute of Virology.”
COVID vaccines were modestly effective and designed to manipulate DNA
“We caused billions of people all around the world to take immaturely tested drugs. They were called vaccines. We found out that they were modestly effective at best, and then some of them were designed in some ways to manipulate our DNA, and we just don't know…”
Chamath: Nvidia will likely compete directly with GCP, AWS, and Azure
“So I think it's likely that Nvidia goes on a full frontal assault against GCP and Amazon and Microsoft.”
Sam Altman: Frontier AI will eventually pose significant global harm risks
“I think there will come a time in the not super distant future, like, you know, we're not talking like decades and decades from now, where AI says the frontier AI systems are capable of causing significant Global harm.”
Sacks predicts second Biden term will force Elon Musk to divest X
“So I think that in a second Biden term, they will open an investigation and just start ratcheting up the pressure on Elon to get rid of X, because that's clearly what they want.”
Sacks: Israel's war in Gaza is on track to be its Vietnam
“These protesters, their actions are gonna be judged in the fullness of time. I think there are actually good reasons to believe that Israel's war in Gaza, it's shades of Vietnam, and I think that over the long term, people may regard these protesters in a diff…”
Sacks: Russia sought Ukrainian neutrality, not complete conquest of Ukraine
“What was Russia demanding? They were demanding Ukrainian neutrality. They were not basically looking to conquer Ukraine. They wanted them to be neutral. So Ukraine did not have to give up its freedom. Okay. They just had to agree to be neutral.”
Sacks: Gemini's flaws accurately reflect the political biases of its creators
“This idea that Gemini turned out this way by accident or because they didn't, because they rushed it out. I don't really believe that. I believe that what happened is Gemini accurately reflects the biases of the people who created it.”
Sacks: Vladimir Putin is a rational actor, not a madman
“Whether or not you believe everything that Putin said, my takeaway is that this was a rational actor. This was not a madman. This is somebody who we could have negotiated with.”
Sacks: Removing NATO expansion could have prevented Russia-Ukraine war
“And in fact, there was still an opportunity before this war to prevent the war by taking NATO expansion off the table.”
Chamath predicts AI foundational models will become free with zero economic value
“I think foundational models will have no economic value. I think that they will be an incredibly powerful part of the substrate and they will be broadly available and entirely free.”
Sacks predicts Vladimir Putin will be 2024's biggest political winner
“My prediction for biggest political winner in twenty-twenty-four is Vladimir Putin.”
Sacks names Volodymyr Zelenskyy as biggest political loser of 2023
“My biggest loser in politics for this year is Vladimir Zelensky, the president of Ukraine.”
Sacks: Mainstream media conspiracy theories can be as dangerous as Alex Jones'
“The mainstream media promotes a lot of conspiracy theories, and some of those theories, if acted upon by crazy people, would be just as dangerous as the things that Alex Jones has said.”
Tucker Carlson argues that the United States is not a democracy
“This is not a democracy. It's not even a sort of decent facsimile of a democracy. It's, to call it a democracy is, like, It was ridiculous, actually.”
Tucker Carlson: Affluent middle-aged women disproportionately control American public debate
“Our politics, and not just our politics, but our public conversation, reflects the very specific and parochial concerns of a tiny, tiny group of people, which is middle-aged, affluent women, who tend to be very angry, and tend to mostly with their husbands, bu…”
Tucker Carlson: Rhetoric inspiring racial hatred originates from the political left
“On the race stuff, which is what matters over time, if you convince people to hate others on the basis of their race, you've committed a massive sin, and you've done a lot to wreck our country, that's coming from the left.”
Tucker Carlson: Humans invent climate crises to reduce their prosperity
“We're not designed to be prosperous, and the second we are, we invent climate crises to make us less prosperous. I mean, that's really what that is, right?”
Tucker Carlson calls global warming and climate crisis narrative propaganda
“I think the global warming bullshit is bullshit, okay? I mean, obviously it is. Climate crisis. It's propaganda”
Tucker Carlson claims up to 70 million illegal immigrants reside in US
“Some estimates, 60, seventy million. Those are real estimates, by the way, not crackpot estimates.”
Tucker Carlson: Donald Trump's prosecution is a political prosecution
“That's a political prosecution.”
Tucker Carlson calls Gavin Newsom the most evil person in Democratic Party
“He's by far the most evil person in the Democratic Party, and in the end, they just sort of rise to the peak, you know, oil and water, man.”
Sachs: Russia-Ukraine war has always been about NATO expansion
“There was a deal on the table to shut the war down. We just would have had to agree to make Ukraine neutral. And of course the Biden administration told them not to this war is and has always been about NATO expansion.”