why aren't all 13,205 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public
record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 498 checkable
ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't;
assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card:
▮▮▮▮▮ certainty ·
▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Opinion
Karp: American progressives work 'day and night' to hurt poor people
“I believe progressives in this country are working day and night to hurt poor people in this country. I don't believe they're progressive.”
Opinion
Karp calls Human Rights Watch an 'obvious example of fraud'
“Just take like an obvious example of like fraud, human rights watch.”
Opinion
Karp: Migration is not working in the West
“I don't actually think migration's working in the West, because people don't want to change.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Cuban: PBMs threaten drugmakers over Cost Plus Drugs partnerships
“And they've literally told the brand manufacturers, if you deal with costplusdrugs.com, we will diminish you on that formulary. So instead of reaching a hundred eighty million people, And not just for the drugs they work with us on, but for their entire portfo…”
Assertion Contradicted
Carlson claims Jeffrey Epstein was an intelligence asset involved in Iran-Contra
“Yes, well, no question. He was involved in Iran-Contra. American, French, Israeli, probably British.”
Assertion Partly supported
Carlson: Canada's MAID program funds suicide for non-terminal economic distress
“Native Canadians are encouraged to kill themselves at government expense for non-terminal illnesses up to and including economic distress. And that's sponsored by the government. It's called the Maids Program.”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Carlson warns the US is moving toward generational ethnic conflict
“The one thing you have to worry about in a multi-ethnic society is ethnic conflict, because it's enduring, it doesn't go away. It's generational, and we're moving toward that.”
Assertion Contradicted
Carlson asserts Charlotte stabbing victim was targeted for being white
“She was stabbed because she was white, and everyone knows that, actually.”
Opinion
Carlson: Israeli government is severely mismanaging response in Gaza and West Bank
“I've never seen anybody mismanage anything the way the government of Israel is mismanaging the response to what's happening in Gaza and the West Bank.”
Opinion
Chris Wright: Non-dispatchable power sources act as expensive parasites on the grid
“But if you're not dispatchable, you're not adding to the peak capacity of a grid, you're just a parasite. Parasites are expensive.”
Opinion
Chamath: US presidents should be allowed to remove Federal Reserve governors
“I think it's very reasonable to say that any sitting president should be allowed to remove a Fed governor if he believes it's not aligned with the wishes of the electorate and the voters and the plan that was voted in.”
Opinion
Sacks: Russiagate was effectively a coup against Donald Trump
“It was effectively a coup against the president of the United States, because these were executive branch officials who owe a duty of loyalty to the elected president. Instead, they were working to subvert and undermine him based on Essentially lies and hoaxes…”
Opinion
Sacks: There is no democracy in Ukraine right now
“There is no democracy in Ukraine right now. There's just not.”
Opinion
Chamath: Only GPs building fee-generating businesses will make real VC money
“But if you're trying to crush it, I think the only people that will really make money in venture capital are the GPs. Building a fee generating business around it.”
Prediction Open · timeframe Jul 2026
Bessent predicts US will collect at least $300B in tariff revenue over 12 months
“Minimum on a forward 12 month basis, we're going to take in at least three hundred billion dollars in tariff income.”
Opinion
Wright: Intermittent energy sources are parasites on reliable power systems
“If you're not there at game time, all you are is a parasite on the systems that is there at game time.”
Opinion
Chris Wright: Climate change is not among the top five global problems
“We've increased atmospheric CO₂ by 50%, hundred percent, it absorbs infrared radiation, it's been a force for warming, that's all true. But if you look at the trade-offs on it, it's not in the top five problems the planet focuses.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Altman: Meta offered OpenAI staff $100M signing bonuses, but none left
“They started making these like giant offers to you know, a lot of people on our team you know, like a hundred million dollar signing bonuses, more than that comp per year. And I'm actually, it is crazy. I'm really happy that at least so far none of our best pe…”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Chamath: Google's Veo 3 video model will destroy Hollywood within a year
“Gemini family of models, which just absolutely kick ass like VO three, which we haven't really spoke about is going to destroy Hollywood. Like in the next year, like Hollywood is done, I think”
Assertion Partly supported
Robbins: Stanford study found 97% became depression symptom-free post-seminar
“And I'm proud to tell you that the end of six weeks, 97% of people had no symptoms whatsoever. Seven percent had symptoms, but they had lessened massively. But 17% had suicidal ideation coming in and coming out, and none did.”
Assertion Contradicted
Tony Robbins claims meta-studies prove SSRIs do not work
“SSRIs don't work. They don't. They've been proven not to work by the meta studies, but we're still giving them millions of people.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Tucker Carlson: Drug cartels are involved in LA riots and control California
“I do think the drug cartels are involved, flexing their authority in California. They have a lot of control in California, as I'm sure you know.”
Opinion
Carlson: Mass immigration turned California into a slum
“But fundamentally the state is a slum. It's a Latin American country, and immigration did that.”
Opinion
Carlson: Most Senate Republicans are dumb, recalcitrant, and unaware of reality
“Most Republicans in the Senate are not even aware this is happening. They are the most recalcitrant people in the world, also the dumbest, so most of them, you know, don't accept any of this”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Sacks: Tesla stock drop driven partly by leftist attacks on dealerships
“One of the reasons why Tesla is down is because you've had crazy leftists engaging in terrorism, firebombing Tesla dealerships.”
Opinion
Sachs: CIA directors never tell the truth
“CIA directors never tell the truth. If they do, they lose their job.”
Assertion Supported
Palihapitiya: Shell companies route Nvidia GPUs into China to bypass controls
“I think what you will find is a whole raft of companies that were stood up to buy these Nvidia GPUs to essentially act as a way station for China.”
Opinion
Sacks characterizes Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky as a military dictator
“He's a military dictator.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Summers: Markets estimate Trump's tariff policies represent a $30 trillion loss
“And what you get is a loss in the 30 trillion dollar range as the present value as estimated by markets of what's being done.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Klein: Trump administration publicly shook down NYC Mayor Eric Adams
“They shook down Eric Adams. That's my, that's a direct accusation that happened in public. They shook down Eric. They shook down Eric Adams because they could put him in his pocket.”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Summers: Trump's populist project is a Juan Perón approach destined to fail
“I do believe that it is fundamentally not new under the sun, just new in America. That it is the Juan Perón approach, which is very familiar to students of Latin American history in particular, and that the general experience of that approach is that its leade…”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Gracias: 1.3M non-citizens with flagged Social Security numbers receive Medicaid
“We found in the benefit programs that every benefit program that was being accessed by these people, you know, 1.3 million of them are on Medicaid right now, today.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Gracias: Flagged Social Security numbers yielded terrorist watchlist hits
“We sent this data list to the National Targeting Center. They, and I don't want to get too far into the data, but I can tell you they found hard hits in the Targeting Center of very bad people. Criminals and people on terrorist watch list that are in this grou…”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Bryan Johnson: Gerber IP-blocks heavy metal test results outside California
“Yeah, I think the four, four big. And so it's like, okay, so go to Gerber's website, I can't find heavy metals results anywhere. And then I realized my VPN's on, and I'm coming from a server outside of California, they've IP blocked.”
Disclosure
Lutnick: Google, Microsoft, and Amazon are building U.S. government software for free
“I go to the heads of Google and Microsoft and Amazon. They're all For America. Building for us. Right. For free. Right. To make America better.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Lutnick attributes newborn hepatitis B vaccine mandates to government corruption
“You know what it is? You know what the answer is? Corruption. That someone in the government got paid to put that in the rules.”
Opinion
Calacanis: Mark Zuckerberg is the greatest censor in human history
“His action was to be the greatest censor in the history of humanity. There's no human being who censored more humans than him.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Raboy: Lina Khan's Yale academic paper on Amazon contained false data
“She published a paper that was false. Like, her whole claim to fame is this paper about Amazon. And the data in the Amazon, the data she used in the paper at Yale was false.”
Opinion
Chamath: Donald Trump did not incite much on January 6th
“In that moment, I thought what happened was really terrible. And then since then, I've got to know the person and I don't think that he actually incited much of anything. That's my belief.”
Opinion
Sacks: Federal agencies are executing political reprisals against opponents
“They're using the agencies of the federal government to exact reprisals against their political opponents.”
Opinion
Sacks: President Biden provoked the proxy war in Ukraine
“Well, I would argue that Biden provoked the proxy war in Ukraine.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Weiss: Medical institutions push race-based care and teenage gender transitions
“In many hospitals and medical schools across the country, people were being told to do something very different, to mete out care based on race, to, you know, to shuffle young teenage girls especially toward irreversible Changes in their bodies and things of t…”
Opinion
Sachs: A bipartisan 'deep state' includes Cheney, Harris, Biden, and Nuland
“I think it's obvious there's basically one deep state party, and that is the party of Cheney, Harris, Biden, Victoria Nuland, my colleague at Columbia University now.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Sachs: Victoria Nuland orchestrated a 2014 Ukraine coup that started war
“She was in then the Obama administration as Hillary's spokesperson first, and then making a coup in Ukraine in February, 2014. Not a great move. Started a war.”
Opinion
Sachs: Ukraine war is driven by U.S. power projection, not Putin
“This is not a conflict about Putin invading Ukraine. This is something a lot different that has to do with American power projection into the former Soviet Union, so it's completely different.”
Opinion
Sachs: China poses no security threat; nuclear war is sole threat
“I deeply believe that China is not a threat to the United States, and I deeply believe the only threat to the United States period in the world, given the oceans, given our size, and given the military, is nuclear war.”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Sachs: U.S. attempts to contain China will cause World War III
“If you try to prevent them from being a regional hegemon, we're going to end up in world war three, because as you say yourself, that this can absolutely spill over into war.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Sachs: U.S. is in a direct war with Russia
“So this to me is the most definitive fact of our lives, which is we are now in a war, direct war, not proxy war, direct war with Russia, which has 6000 nuclear warheads.”