The Ledger
Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.
why aren't all 8,639 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 498 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Carlson: Canada's MAID program funds suicide for non-terminal economic distress
“Native Canadians are encouraged to kill themselves at government expense for non-terminal illnesses up to and including economic distress. And that's sponsored by the government. It's called the Maids Program.”
Carlson warns the US is moving toward generational ethnic conflict
“The one thing you have to worry about in a multi-ethnic society is ethnic conflict, because it's enduring, it doesn't go away. It's generational, and we're moving toward that.”
Carlson asserts Charlotte stabbing victim was targeted for being white
“She was stabbed because she was white, and everyone knows that, actually.”
Bessent predicts US will collect at least $300B in tariff revenue over 12 months
“Minimum on a forward 12 month basis, we're going to take in at least three hundred billion dollars in tariff income.”
Altman: Meta offered OpenAI staff $100M signing bonuses, but none left
“They started making these like giant offers to you know, a lot of people on our team you know, like a hundred million dollar signing bonuses, more than that comp per year. And I'm actually, it is crazy. I'm really happy that at least so far none of our best pe…”
Chamath: Google's Veo 3 video model will destroy Hollywood within a year
“Gemini family of models, which just absolutely kick ass like VO three, which we haven't really spoke about is going to destroy Hollywood. Like in the next year, like Hollywood is done, I think”
Robbins: Stanford study found 97% became depression symptom-free post-seminar
“And I'm proud to tell you that the end of six weeks, 97% of people had no symptoms whatsoever. Seven percent had symptoms, but they had lessened massively. But 17% had suicidal ideation coming in and coming out, and none did.”
Tony Robbins claims meta-studies prove SSRIs do not work
“SSRIs don't work. They don't. They've been proven not to work by the meta studies, but we're still giving them millions of people.”
Tucker Carlson: Drug cartels are involved in LA riots and control California
“I do think the drug cartels are involved, flexing their authority in California. They have a lot of control in California, as I'm sure you know.”
Sacks: Tesla stock drop driven partly by leftist attacks on dealerships
“One of the reasons why Tesla is down is because you've had crazy leftists engaging in terrorism, firebombing Tesla dealerships.”
Palihapitiya: Shell companies route Nvidia GPUs into China to bypass controls
“I think what you will find is a whole raft of companies that were stood up to buy these Nvidia GPUs to essentially act as a way station for China.”
Summers: Markets estimate Trump's tariff policies represent a $30 trillion loss
“And what you get is a loss in the 30 trillion dollar range as the present value as estimated by markets of what's being done.”
Klein: Trump administration publicly shook down NYC Mayor Eric Adams
“They shook down Eric Adams. That's my, that's a direct accusation that happened in public. They shook down Eric. They shook down Eric Adams because they could put him in his pocket.”
Summers: Trump's populist project is a Juan Perón approach destined to fail
“I do believe that it is fundamentally not new under the sun, just new in America. That it is the Juan Perón approach, which is very familiar to students of Latin American history in particular, and that the general experience of that approach is that its leade…”
Gracias: 1.3M non-citizens with flagged Social Security numbers receive Medicaid
“We found in the benefit programs that every benefit program that was being accessed by these people, you know, 1.3 million of them are on Medicaid right now, today.”
Gracias: Flagged Social Security numbers yielded terrorist watchlist hits
“We sent this data list to the National Targeting Center. They, and I don't want to get too far into the data, but I can tell you they found hard hits in the Targeting Center of very bad people. Criminals and people on terrorist watch list that are in this grou…”
Bryan Johnson: Gerber IP-blocks heavy metal test results outside California
“Yeah, I think the four, four big. And so it's like, okay, so go to Gerber's website, I can't find heavy metals results anywhere. And then I realized my VPN's on, and I'm coming from a server outside of California, they've IP blocked.”
Lutnick attributes newborn hepatitis B vaccine mandates to government corruption
“You know what it is? You know what the answer is? Corruption. That someone in the government got paid to put that in the rules.”
Raboy: Lina Khan's Yale academic paper on Amazon contained false data
“She published a paper that was false. Like, her whole claim to fame is this paper about Amazon. And the data in the Amazon, the data she used in the paper at Yale was false.”
Weiss: Medical institutions push race-based care and teenage gender transitions
“In many hospitals and medical schools across the country, people were being told to do something very different, to mete out care based on race, to, you know, to shuffle young teenage girls especially toward irreversible Changes in their bodies and things of t…”
Sachs: Victoria Nuland orchestrated a 2014 Ukraine coup that started war
“She was in then the Obama administration as Hillary's spokesperson first, and then making a coup in Ukraine in February, 2014. Not a great move. Started a war.”
Sachs: U.S. attempts to contain China will cause World War III
“If you try to prevent them from being a regional hegemon, we're going to end up in world war three, because as you say yourself, that this can absolutely spill over into war.”
Sachs: U.S. is in a direct war with Russia
“So this to me is the most definitive fact of our lives, which is we are now in a war, direct war, not proxy war, direct war with Russia, which has 6000 nuclear warheads.”
Sachs: United States is sole country blocking two-state solution
“And there is one country that stands in the way of imposing this. Not Iran, not the Saudis, not Egypt, not Russia, not China, not any country in the European Union, one country and one country alone, and that is because of the United States of America and the …”
Benioff claims Agentforce doubled Google's AI accuracy in a head-to-head benchmark
“In a head-to-head benchmark of Salesforce's agent force against Google's AI, we two X them on accuracy”
China Forced Apple To Invest $1 Billion Into Didi, Kalanick Claims
“They made Apple invest a billion dollars in Didi, and Apple doesn't invest anything in anybody.”
Musk: AI and robotics will drive cost of goods toward zero
“Anything that is a manufactured good or provided service will, I think, with the advent of AI plus robotics, that the cost of goods and services will be, will Trend to zero. Like, I'm not saying it'd be actually zero, but it'll be, everyone will be able to hav…”
Vance: Media fabricated claim that Trump called white supremacists fine people
“Donald Trump never called white supremacists very fine people after Charlottesville, a total fabrication of the American media”
Trump campaign contacted RFK Jr. regarding VP shortly after shooting
“President Trump, you know, reached out to me through this guy, Kelly Maynes, who's a food advocate, say food advocate, about three hours after the shoot, after the shooting in Butler, I got a call from him And he asked me if I was still interested in the, spec…”
Sacks: Ukraine is on track to collapse, probably next year
“And what we're on track for is, at some point, Probably next year, Ukraine is going to collapse.”
Sacks claims Biden administration provoked Ukraine war via NATO expansion talks
“I said the Biden administration provoked the war with talk of NATO expansion.”
Trump predicts Iran could acquire a nuclear weapon within 90 days
“And within 90 days or so, they're gonna have and could have very well a nuclear weapon”
Trump asserts COVID-19 originated from and leaked out of Wuhan lab
“Where it originally came from was the Wuhan lab. I happen to think it escaped from the Wuhan lab.”
Trump promises automatic green cards for graduates of US colleges
“What I want to do and what I will do is you graduate from a college. I think you should get automatically as part of your diploma, a green card. To be able to stay in this country, and that includes junior colleges too.”
Calacanis: Democrats will replace Joe Biden with Gavin Newsom after first debate
“This is why I think Biden's getting hot swapped this month. You heard it here first. He's got, no, Gavin is going to be running for president. It's going to be Trump and Gavin. They are hot-swapping Biden after this first debate. Biden is going to get demolish…”
Fauci knew early in February 2020 that COVID leaked from lab
“Fauci knew very early, as early as February first of 2020, that COVID came from a lab leak.”
Fauci funded Wuhan lab gain-of-function research via EcoHealth
“Because he had funded gain-of-function research programs via Peter Daszak and the EcoHealth Alliance to conduct, again, gain-of-function research at the Wuhan Institute of Virology.”
COVID vaccines were modestly effective and designed to manipulate DNA
“We caused billions of people all around the world to take immaturely tested drugs. They were called vaccines. We found out that they were modestly effective at best, and then some of them were designed in some ways to manipulate our DNA, and we just don't know…”
Chamath: Nvidia will likely compete directly with GCP, AWS, and Azure
“So I think it's likely that Nvidia goes on a full frontal assault against GCP and Amazon and Microsoft.”
Sam Altman: Frontier AI will eventually pose significant global harm risks
“I think there will come a time in the not super distant future, like, you know, we're not talking like decades and decades from now, where AI says the frontier AI systems are capable of causing significant Global harm.”
Sacks predicts second Biden term will force Elon Musk to divest X
“So I think that in a second Biden term, they will open an investigation and just start ratcheting up the pressure on Elon to get rid of X, because that's clearly what they want.”
Sacks: Israel's war in Gaza is on track to be its Vietnam
“These protesters, their actions are gonna be judged in the fullness of time. I think there are actually good reasons to believe that Israel's war in Gaza, it's shades of Vietnam, and I think that over the long term, people may regard these protesters in a diff…”
Sacks: Russia sought Ukrainian neutrality, not complete conquest of Ukraine
“What was Russia demanding? They were demanding Ukrainian neutrality. They were not basically looking to conquer Ukraine. They wanted them to be neutral. So Ukraine did not have to give up its freedom. Okay. They just had to agree to be neutral.”
Chamath predicts AI foundational models will become free with zero economic value
“I think foundational models will have no economic value. I think that they will be an incredibly powerful part of the substrate and they will be broadly available and entirely free.”
Sacks predicts Vladimir Putin will be 2024's biggest political winner
“My prediction for biggest political winner in twenty-twenty-four is Vladimir Putin.”
Tucker Carlson claims up to 70 million illegal immigrants reside in US
“Some estimates, 60, seventy million. Those are real estimates, by the way, not crackpot estimates.”