The Ledger
Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.
why aren't all 5,135 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 50 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Sacks: Bill Gates admits COVID-19 vaccines do not work
“Even Bill Gates admits now that the vaccine doesn't work. It's too short acting and it doesn't hold up against variants.”
Sacks: Gensler and Warren formed an alliance to destroy US crypto
“What's clear is that Gensler and Elizabeth Warren have an alliance to destroy crypto in the US.”
Sacks: Soros's Open Society Foundations foments regime change and revolutions worldwide
“Soros has this thing called the open society foundation, which sounds like it's spreading democracy and liberal values, but in fact is fomenting regime change. All over the world. And he's been sponsoring and funding color revolutions all over the world.”
RFK Jr.: RFK Sr. immediately suspected CIA involvement in JFK's assassination
“My father who believed his, you know, first reaction when his brother was killed was that the CIA had killed him, and in fact, the first three calls he made on that day, and you know, I was home at the time,”
RFK Jr.: 2004 NIH study showed hydroxychloroquine obliterates coronavirus
“We knew ivermectin and hydroxychloroquine were working. We knew that since 2004, because the NIH did this study that said hydroxychloroquine obliterates coronavirus.”
RFK Jr.: DTP vaccine killed or injured 1 in 300 kids in US
“It was killing or causing severe brain injury in one out of every 300 kids who got it.”
RFK Jr.: Pharma drugs are America's third leading cause of death
“And also pharmaceutical drugs, the third biggest killer of Americans after cancer and heart attack”
Sacks: RESTRICT Act allows $1M fine and 20-year prison terms for VPN TikTok access
“What the act provides is that a US citizen using a VPN to access TikTok could theoretically be subjected to a maximum penalty of one million in fines or 20 years in prison or both.”
Sacks: Putin seized Crimea in direct retaliation for a U.S.-backed coup
“If you're wondering why Putin seized Crimea, it was in direct retaliation for the coup that we backed in Ukraine in 2014. This is the origin of the conflict.”
US military lags behind China's PLA in implementing artificial intelligence
“The US military is well behind the Chinese People's Liberation Army in the implementation of artificial intelligence.”
Lonsdale claims BLM movement ideas caused thousands of additional Black deaths
“There's a lot of truth and positive parts of the BLM movement the last couple years, but it's actually led to thousands more deaths in the black community because of the things that it was pushing. Because of the bad ideas.”
Elon Musk estimates at least 20% of Twitter accounts are bots
“I think it's some number that is probably at least four or five times that number. I'd say at if you did sort of the lowest estimate would be probably 20%. And this is a bunch of quite smart outside firms have done analysis of Twitter and looked at the sort of…”
Chamath: Only 22 of 1,276 billion-dollar funds returned over 2.3x capital
“Okay, so now of those 1276 private equity funds, or growth funds, or crossover funds, how many do you think have actually managed to return more than 2.3 times the money? 22 of them.”
Sacks: 2014 removal of Yanukovych was a US-backed coup
“They had this basically pro-Russian democratically elected Prime Minister, President Yukinovich who was deposed in a coup in 2014, a coup that was supported by our State Department and probably the CIA, ok?”
Sacks: Chesa Boudin has done nothing except release perpetrators of anti-Asian violence
“Chase Boudin has done nothing except release the perpetrators.”
Sachs: Fauci participated in suppressing COVID-19 origin investigation
“Fauci, with respect to COVID, we talked about it before, 100% participated in a suppression of the investigation into the origins of COVID. There was an active attempt to suppress that.”
Sacks claims a Democratic super PAC astroturfed the viral Rogan video
“If you kind of look at you know, who's behind this clip, it's pretty clear that it was a democratic super PAC, put this together, and sort of astroturfed it as a viral video.”
Friedberg says commercial AI models regurgitated his proprietary scientific queries
“I have had experience where we've asked some fairly novel scientific questions and it identifies it as a novel insight. Is that, oh, never thought about that. Be interesting. Like blah, blah, blah. And then using a different account asking the same model later…”
Weinstein: Theoretical physics lost free speech protections to Restricted Data laws
“Theoretical physics is the only profession to have lost free speech because of something called restricted data, where I am not allowed to put pen to paper to write down a physics equation if in any way it affects nuclear weapons.”
Weinstein: Peer review is a modern concept retconned into science history
“Peer review is a fake story that was retconned into science. It is no, you can look it up on Google Ngrams, put quote, space peer review space, close quote. And you'll notice that there's really no mention of it before.”
Weinstein: Government special access programs definitely exist for UAPs
“There are definitely special access programs. That are all about this.”
Weinstein: 1971 Australian Intelligence Document Discloses 1960s Gravity Shielding Research
“There's a 1971 Australian intelligence document where Australia, which was the Testing ground for nukes that of the United Kingdom. Started seeing all these UAPs near their nuclear tests just the way we see them near ours. And the Australians revealed that all…”
Kratsios: 25% of Biden-Era NSF Grants Went to DEI Initiatives
“Senator Ted Cruz and the committee on at, on, in the Senate did an analysis of the grants that were given during the Biden administration. And they found that roughly one quarter Where, 25% of grants at NSF during that time period went towards DEI-related quot…”
Chamath: Closed AI models decay in harnesses while open-source models improve
“When you take a closed source model, it does really well on a benchmark. When you wrap it in its own harness, it decays in capability. When you take an open source model, And you use any other open source model, it improves in capability.”
Sacks: AI Boom Shows No Evidence of Job Loss, Only Job Creation
“There is no evidence of that. We're now years into the AI boom, and there's no evidence of that. We only see that job creation.”
Sacks: Anthropic Lobbied to Restrict Nvidia's International Chip Sales
“Anthropic has really been behind a lot of the political activity to restrict Nvidia's sales internationally.”
Baker: The overwhelming majority of AI tokens are profitable
“The overwhelming majority of tokens are profitable for everyone in the chain. Everyone. And I think the Anthropic S-one is kind of going to make that clear.”
Sacks: Anthropic surpassed $80B ARR and will beat year-end targets early
“The latest we heard is Anthropic is now over eighty billion of ARR. Started the year at 10. It had forecast a hundred billion as exit ARR for the year, and most people said that that would be impossible to achieve. Now it looks like they're gonna do it with a …”
Sacks: Senator Cantwell opposed AI safety bill at Dario Amodei's behest
“Cantwell, who's the ranking member on the Senate Commerce Committee, opposed it, supposedly at Dario's behest, because he will accept nothing less than an FDA for AI.”
Calacanis: Anthropic is destroying rare books for AI training data
“Anthropic is destroying rare books to get an edge in training data.”
Calacanis: Anthropic paid $1.5B in the largest US copyright settlement
“Obviously last week we saw anthropic paid the largest copyright case in us history, 1.5 billion for seven million books. They allegedly pirated authors get 3000 each lawyers got a hundred million for that one”
Sacks: Anthropic iterated prompts over 200 times in AI blackmail study
“Remember when Anthropic did the whole blackmail study, you know, where supposedly an agent displayed independent goal-seeking behavior and then blackmail an employee. It turned out that actually they iterated on the prompt over 200 times to get to that result.”
McMaster: Chinese quadruped robots in US are leaking data to China
“We've already heard about leaks that are happening with some of the quadrupeds that you're seeing in the United States and being back channeled back to China.”
Sacks: Anthropic's ARR grew from $10 billion to over $70 billion
“They started the year at ten billion of ARR. They're now over seventy billion of ARR.”
Sacks: Anthropic's proposed open-source AI bans do not solve model distillation
“These proposals to ban open source that are coming from Anthropic. They don't solve the distillation problem.”
Sacks: US frontier AI models remain six months ahead of China
“I don't believe that China has caught up. I still think we are six months ahead.”
Gerstner: Z.ai's GLM-5.2 contains watermarks showing distillation from Mythos
“GLM 5.2 has watermarks from mythos all over it, right? So we know they were distilling, etc.”
Karp: Enterprise clients have lost trust in frontier AI labs
“Our clients are just, to say they're unhappy with the frontier labs is to say I'm welcome at the Berkeley faculty. It's like, there's just a level of discomfort and loss of trust.”
Karp: Enterprises fear losing IP and getting no value from frontier AI
“The basic view among enterprises in this country is, I'm gonna chillax and waste my time with tokens, I'm gonna get no value, and they're gonna get my IP.”
Sacks: Anthropic CPO resigned from Figma board days before rival launch
“Anthropic's chief product officer had actually even served on Figma's board and didn't resign until three days before the launch of Claude Design.”
Friedberg: Claims of AI job destruction are an absolute scam
“There is no job loss with AI. It is an absolute scam to tell the world that AI is taking away jobs and destroying jobs and the world is shifting. It is clunky. It is valuable. It is going to take some time and it is going to create far more jobs than it is des…”
Nate Silver: California's official vote count accurately reflects ballots cast
“I think the California vote count is an accurate tally of the votes that were cast.”
Chamath: OpenAI-backed pro-AI groups beat Anthropic-backed anti-AI groups in key primaries
“In Utah and in New York, there was a couple of very important races where it was essentially anthropic funded anti AI groups, which is again, insane against In some ways, open AI funded pro AI groups and the pro AI groups won.”
Baker: Republican DAs reduce young Black male all-cause mortality by 7%
“There's a study that is uncontested that when you elect a Republican DA, all cause mortality for young black men in that city drops by seven percent.”
Sacks: Biden administration AI policy leaders immediately joined Anthropic
“The leaders of the Biden administration's AI policy, not just one of them, but all of them, went to go work at Anthropic, like, the minute the Biden administration was over.”
Calacanis: Anthropic secretly downgraded users training competing AI models
“If Fable five detects you're doing frontier AI research, in other words, using their model to make a better model, competitive model, they were downgrading you, but they weren't telling you, and this was buried deep in a 319 page documents.”
Friedberg: Anthropic restrictions force startups and enterprises to Chinese models
“So the restrictions that Anthropic and others are putting upon themselves and upon the industry is forcing a lot of companies to go and get open source Chinese models and run them. We're seeing this across the landscape with startups. We see it with large scal…”