The Ledger
Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.
why aren't all 13,205 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 498 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Dr. Oz: Audit reveals California improperly billed $1.5B for undocumented immigrant healthcare
“We've audited him now. This data's coming out this week. We have now found over one and a half billion dollars of money spent wrongly. We've audited it. They're not even arguing. One and a half billion dollars from that California charged the federal governmen…”
Armstrong: Biden administration unlawfully tried to kill US crypto industry
“The Biden administration really tried to unlawfully kill this industry in America”
Rogers: UK speech arrests in 2023 exceeded Russia, China, and Turkey
“So that was in a single year of slightly over 12,000 Brits arrested for speech acts, and that is more than were arrested that year in Russia, more than in China, more than in Turkey.”
Makary: FDA halted Biden-era policy allowing CAR-T cell editing in China
“We did find that there was in the Biden administration approval to have the cells of Americans for CAR T therapy shipped to China where the Chinese did the gene editing and then shipped back to the United States. To infuse in Americans. When I found out about …”
Carolla blames California overregulation on "gyno-fascism" and female leaders
“This is, what I'm starting to learn is basically what people are calling gyno-fascism, which is way too many women in positions of power with an eye on safety.”
Lutnick: US tariff revenues will grow from $500B to $1T per year
“And then you have the tariffs are five hundred billion a year now, and they will grow over time to a trillion a year”
Lutnick predicts US GDP growth will reach 5% in early 2026
“They could be this quarter, as in the first quarter, so then I'd say, well, you have to come back and see me when it's through five, but then you'll come back in a couple of months, and then you'd say, Howard, I just spoke to you for an hour. I don't, you know…”
Lutnick predicts 6% US GDP growth if Fed cuts interest rates
“And then if they cut rates, and that's the thing, I need a new Fed chair who cuts rates, and if they cut rates... You'll see sixes.”
Sacks: Stolen Minnesota fraud money is round-tripped back to politicians
“There's some round tripping here where some of the funds that are going into the pockets of the Somali community through this fraud end up back in the hands of politicians.”
Sacks: Gov. Tim Walz changed Minnesota's flag to resemble Somalia's
“And the really extreme example of this is that Tim Walts even changed the flag of Minnesota to resemble the Somali flag. I mean, he lowered the old flag and raised this new flag to that resembles the Somali flag, which shows the political clout of this communi…”
Sacks: Welfare entitlement fraud may be connected to stolen elections
“And some of this is even connected, I think, to voter fraud. So you're talking about here, stolen money, maybe leading to stolen elections.”
Shirley: 81% of Minnesota's Somali population receives state welfare
“That's why 81% of the population, Somali population side of Minnesota is on welfare”
Bessent claims a 150-year San Francisco Fed study shows tariffs are disinflationary
“There's a study from not a friend of the administration, the San Francisco fed with a 150 years of data. I would refer everyone to that. That shows that tariffs do not cause inflation, that they're actually disinflationary.”
Bessent reveals U.S. government is taking equity stakes in strategic industries
“If you look at the industries where we are taking stakes and moving forward, we've identified five to eight strategic industries where the U S we have to have endogenous production, or at least adjacent to us in North America or this hemisphere.”
Tucker Carlson claims sexual orientation is driven primarily by nurture, not genetics
“Clearly it's not nature, at least primarily, or we wouldn't be having an absolute rise in it, and there would be some hint of a gene responsible for it. I mean, so many different you know, genetic manifestations have been isolated from the decoding of the huma…”
Tucker Carlson calls NATO the most destructive force the US belongs to
“NATO is like the single most destructive force that we're a part of, way more than the UN.”
Tucker Carlson: What has happened in Gaza does not help the US at all
“I do think what's happened in Gaza does not help the United States at all.”
Calacanis: Nvidia will decline or severely downgrade investment in OpenAI
“I think NVIDIA is not going to take their option to invest in open AI, or they're going to really downgrade at 70, 80%, and they're going to allocate it to other players.”
Musk: UK released violent offenders to imprison people over social media posts
“They have, in a lot of cases, released people who have committed violent crimes in order to imprison people who have simply made posts on social media.”
Musk: Larry Page called him a 'speciesist' for favoring human over machine intelligence
“He called me a speciest like racist or something for being pro human intelligence instead of machine intelligence.”
Machado: Chávez and Maduro gave thousands of passports to Hezbollah and Hamas
“Even terrorist groups such as Hezbollah, Hamas to which Chavez and Maduro have given thousands of Venezuelan's identities and passports to travel around freely around the world.”
Sacks claims Biden's AI mandates were designed for long-term ideological indoctrination
“By the way, in my opinion, That was the end game for the Biden approach of requiring DEI values in these models.”
Biden threatened to never speak to Manchin if he killed rescue plan
“That's when he got pretty vulgar and just told me, I'm gonna, you're gonna, you know, if you kill my effing bill, I'll never talk to you again.”
Manchin opposed Build Back Better for shifting American mindset toward entitlement
“If we pass this piece of legislation you're asking me to vote for, the BBB, you're changing the psychic to the nation of how much more can my country do for me. I wasn't born that way, I wasn't raised that way, I don't believe that way, and I can't do it. You …”
Manchin reveals he and Mitt Romney discussed running on a third-party ticket
“Mitt Romney and I were talking about running. I said, Mitt, he said, Joe, let's, we have to start a new party.”
Wood: Global real GDP growth will accelerate to 7% within a decade
“We believe that the productivity uplift here is going to be so strong during the next five to 10 years. And I think president Trump's tax package is going to turbocharge this, that real GDP growth will accelerate from that three percent where it has been for t…”
Wood: Tesla stock will reach $2,600 per share in five years
“And we put out there five years. Yeah. Yeah. So and I think if he delivers on humanoid robots the way he thinks he is, we don't have enough in there. So our price target is 2600.”
Sacks: Left-wing NGOs laundered over $100M of public money for Antifa
“These NGOs have laundered over a hundred million dollars of our money to fund terrorist violence in our streets.”
Chamath: Energy providers will demand equity stakes in AI companies as power becomes the key constraint
“Energy will be the gating item beyond a shadow of a doubt. And so if you control electrons, any form of electrons, hydrocarbon to electron, electron to electron, photon to electron, doesn't matter. You will then be in a position to start asking for equity, ups…”
Palihapitiya advises retail investors to avoid investing in his new SPAC
“And what my honest advice is avoid Maybe not all SPACs, but definitely my SPAC, just avoid it.”
Caruso: LAFD ran short of water, equipment during Palisades wildfire
“We were actually on the seventh loaning equipment to LA Fire Department, who was running short of equipment, and we were actually loaning water because we were bringing in our water tanks when the water hydrants failed to work.”
Caruso: LA spends $900,000 per homeless person moved off streets
“We are spending in the city of Los Angeles. 900,000 dollars per person that they're moving from the streets. 900,000 dollars.”
Sacks: Data shows 3x more people on left endorse political violence
“Last week we showed you plenty of data showing that there was three times as many people on the left who are celebrating or endorsing political violence.”
Schmidt: Most of the world will use Chinese open-weight AI models
“China is competing with open weights and open training data, and the U.S. Is largely and majority focused on closed weights, closed data. That means that the majority of the world, think of it as the Belt and Road Initiative, are going to use Chinese models an…”
Jimmy Kimmel says MAGA tried to distance themselves from Kirk's killer
“We had some new lows over the weekend with the MAGA gang desperately trying to characterize this kid who murdered Charlie Kirk as anything other than one of them, and doing everything they can to score political points from it.”
Sacks: Political violence and censorship will lead to civil war
“It's the antithesis, and it's not Western civilization. It's something different and destructive, and where it will lead to is a civil war that none of us should want on either side of the political spectrum.”
Yakovenko: The internet will hold the most US Treasuries within five years
“I think within five years, the internet is going to be the largest holder of US treasuries.”
DNI Gabbard: Draft 2016 PDB finding no Russian election interference was pulled
“This December eighth president's daily brief was consistent with all of the other assessments, essentially saying there was no interference in the outcome of the election by Russia. That brief was pulled. It was never published. It was pulled back from publish…”
Gabbard: U.S. and Israeli strikes successfully destroyed Iran's nuclear capability
“Their nuclear capability was destroyed much of their infrastructure destroyed, much of their military capability destroyed. When you look at Israel's actions throughout that twelve-day war their economy is tanking their energy sector is tanking, so it's a, it,…”
Musk: AI could be smarter than any individual human by 2026
“I think that we might have AI smarter than any single human at anything as soon as next year.”
Musk: AI will probably be smarter than all humans combined by 2030
“And then probably within five, like say, 2030, probably AI is smarter than the sum of all humans.”
Musk: Actions of the West are indistinguishable from suicide
“Let's just say that the actions of the West are indistinguishable from suicide.”
Musk: Removing religion creates destructive substitutes like the 'woke mind virus'
“And if you take away religion, then I think you actually, you get something in its place which is actually worse than what was there before. I mean, it's like destructive, basically. You get like the white work mind virus filling, filling the hole that religio…”
Musk: Mars could become self-sustaining in roughly 25 to 30 years
“I think it can be done in, in 30 years. Provided there's an exponential increase in the tonnage to Mars, with each successive Mars transfer windows, which is every two years. So every two years, the planets align, and you can transfer to Mars. So I think in, R…”
Karp: Elite Western universities teach 'Stalinistic bullshit' that undermines achievement
“I do think there's an issue with our lead institutions that have taken the best and brightest and most valuable things you could teach someone and have turned it into some kind of Stalinistic bullshit that is anti-correlated with everything that, that works in…”
Karp: A Democratic administration asked Palantir to build a Muslim database
“We had a democratic administration come to us and basically ask us to do a Muslim database. Now, you would think, given the way I'm kind of besmirched as like some kind of, I don't know, it's like a Jewish conspiracy, that would be the first thing, according t…”