Dr. Lisa Su, CEO of AMD, speaks at the All-In Hill & Valley Forum regarding the potential and limitations of AI in semiconductor design.
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Su: US-fabricated chips will carry a low double-digit cost premium
“Not, not 50% more. I mean, look, it, it's gonna be, you know, more than five percent, but, you know, let's call it less than 20%. So low, low, low double, let's say low double digits.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Su: Semiconductor reserves in a Taiwan disruption would last months, not years
“Yeah, you have to look across the supply chain, but, you know, from a structure standpoint, we all want to keep reserves for, you know, those times but it's months, it's not years.”
Prediction Open · timeframe Jul 2030
Su: Physical AI chip market will take five years to surpass datacenters
“At least five years.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Lisa Su: Reshoring cannot eliminate global semiconductor supply chain reliance
“We have to accept the fact that it's a global supply chain. Like, even if you were to reshore, you know, X number of components, you would still have Y components that are across the world.”
Assertion Supported
Lisa Su: AMD produced its first 4nm chips at TSMC Arizona
“We've been very early in Arizona with TSMC, and we did get our first chips out they're actually four nanometer”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Su: AMD's Arizona fab chip yields match its Taiwan yields
“We've been super impressed with the progress, and, you know, if we look at the main thing that we look at is, you know, yields and just how many chips do we get out on a given wafer, and I would say it's equivalent between what we get in Taiwan and what we get…”