Dr. Lisa Su, CEO of AMD, responds to David Friedberg's question about reshoring critical chipmaking infrastructure such as lithography.
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Su: US-fabricated chips will carry a low double-digit cost premium
“Not, not 50% more. I mean, look, it, it's gonna be, you know, more than five percent, but, you know, let's call it less than 20%. So low, low, low double, let's say low double digits.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Su: Semiconductor reserves in a Taiwan disruption would last months, not years
“Yeah, you have to look across the supply chain, but, you know, from a structure standpoint, we all want to keep reserves for, you know, those times but it's months, it's not years.”
Prediction Open · timeframe Jul 2030
Su: Physical AI chip market will take five years to surpass datacenters
“At least five years.”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Lisa Su: AI will assist GPU design rather than fully automate it
“I don't necessarily see the AI, you know, designing our next generation GPU. But I do see it helping us design the next generation GPU much faster and more reliably, so.”
Assertion Supported
Lisa Su: AMD produced its first 4nm chips at TSMC Arizona
“We've been very early in Arizona with TSMC, and we did get our first chips out they're actually four nanometer”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Su: AMD's Arizona fab chip yields match its Taiwan yields
“We've been super impressed with the progress, and, you know, if we look at the main thing that we look at is, you know, yields and just how many chips do we get out on a given wafer, and I would say it's equivalent between what we get in Taiwan and what we get…”