People

Everyone on the record. Click any column header to sort the whole table, hover a header for what the column means, and click through for the full record. Corpus average certainty is 4.0/5; deltas show each person against it. Argument clarity carries a full score for 47 people (gold bar, raw unedited tape) and a coarse estimate for 68 more (blue bar). Roles and titles are extracted from the episodes themselves: they are as of the recording, and people move on, so some are out of date today.

227people on record
68repeat guests
144with 3+ resolved claims
13,205statements attributed
8,639are checkable claims
4,449resolved so far
Person EpsStatementsClaimsSupportedPartly supportedContradictedFull support rateCertaintyArgument clarityWPMFillers/1k
Dr. Marty Makary Professor Emeritus, Johns Hopkins University 1 43 33 13 12 5 43% 13/30 4.42/5 +0.5 4.2 225 14.7
John Fetterman ×2 U.S. Senator, United States Senate 2 43 22 7 6 1 50% 7/14 4.14/5 +0.2 3.1 214 20.1
Andrew Feldman ×3 Co-Founder and CEO, Cerebras Systems 3 44 25 4 0 2 67% 4/6 3.91/5 -0.0 254 14.5
Nate Silver ×2 Founder & Author, Silver Bulletin 2 47 27 11 3 0 79% 11/14 3.64/5 -0.3 3.8 255 17
Ryan Petersen ×4 Founder & CEO, Flexport 4 47 43 19 10 3 59% 19/32 3.83/5 -0.1 4.2 285 16.8
Ray Dalio ×3 Founder and Mentor, Bridgewater Associates 3 48 32 7 6 0 54% 7/13 3.91/5 -0.0 3.3 208 21.1
Donald J. Trump ×6 President, United States 6 49 31 2 8 4 14% 2/14 4.15/5 +0.2 3.0 235 10.8
Thomas Laffont ×4 Co-Founder & Senior Managing Director, Coatue Management 4 49 39 15 6 2 65% 15/23 3.73/5 -0.2 ≈3.5 265 10.7
Jensen Huang ×2 Founder and CEO, NVIDIA 2 54 37 4 6 4 29% 4/14 3.9/5 -0.1 3.7 254 13.9
Bill Gurley ×5 General Partner, Benchmark 5 55 27 8 8 1 47% 8/17 3.87/5 -0.1 ≈3.5 245 9.8
Antonio Gracias ×6 Founder & CEO, Valor Equity Partners 6 58 38 8 7 5 40% 8/20 4/5 +0.0 3.7 313 15.1
Matt Mahan Mayor, City of San José 1 60 39 9 15 2 35% 9/26 3.83/5 -0.1 ≈4.0 ≈232 ≥5.1
Ro Khanna ×4 U.S. Representative, U.S. House of Representatives 4 60 35 9 10 3 41% 9/22 3.98/5 +0.0 3.9 252 30.8
Travis Kalanick ×7 CEO, Atoms 7 60 33 6 7 5 33% 6/18 3.97/5 +0.0 ≈3.5 250 11.2
Brian Armstrong ×4 Co-Founder & CEO, Coinbase 4 63 34 16 5 0 76% 16/21 3.87/5 -0.1 4.0 287 13.1
Dave Ricks ×2 Chair & CEO, Eli Lilly and Company 2 71 57 16 7 6 55% 16/29 3.92/5 -0.0 4.2 265 17
Scott Bessent ×4 Secretary of the Treasury, U.S. Department of the Treasury 4 72 53 19 8 5 59% 19/32 3.69/5 -0.3 3.9 220 21.7
Howard Lutnick ×4 Commerce Secretary, U.S. Department of Commerce 4 78 54 11 9 13 33% 11/33 4.26/5 +0.3 ≈4.0 ≈278 ≥7.5
Mark Cuban ×3 Co-founder, Mark Cuban Cost Plus Drug Company 3 85 36 7 4 1 58% 7/12 4.07/5 +0.1 4.0 271 11.1
Tucker Carlson ×4 Founder, Tucker Carlson Network 4 87 38 3 3 8 21% 3/14 4.05/5 +0.1 ≈3.5 265 10.6
Elon Musk ×7 CEO, Tesla and SpaceX 7 136 88 13 11 7 42% 13/31 3.78/5 -0.2 3.6 276 58.8
Gavin Baker ×11 Managing Partner & CIO, Atreides Management 11 146 114 18 15 6 46% 18/39 3.55/5 -0.4 ≈4.0 248 11.4
Brad Gerstner ×25 Founder & CEO, Altimeter Capital 25 227 160 46 22 19 53% 46/87 3.75/5 -0.2 4.1 240 8.8
Jason Calacanis ×428 host Founder & CEO, LAUNCH 428 1,301 949 349 130 57 65% 349/536 3.81/5 -0.1 3.3 263 15.4
David Friedberg ×383 host Founder & CEO, The Production Board 383 1,799 1,344 380 218 123 53% 380/721 3.71/5 -0.2 4.0 269 16.2
David Sacks ×363 host Founding General Partner, Craft Ventures 363 2,594 1,712 562 220 144 61% 562/926 3.76/5 -0.2 4.2 261 10.8
Chamath Palihapitiya ×402 host Founder & CEO, Social Capital 402 2,683 1,686 366 191 207 48% 366/764 3.74/5 -0.2 4.0 263 9.6

Why this person has no speaking number

We measure speaking style by listening to the audio itself: a model transcribes the tape verbatim, every "um" and "uh" kept, and articulation rate comes from the word timings. A fair number needs at least 2,000 words from one person on tape we have measured, and we have less of them than that. A rate from a smaller sample would be noise, so we print nothing. It says nothing about how they speak.

A plain figure in these columns comes from raw-level tape. A dim figure with ≈ or ≥ comes from the aired feed of an edited show, where the editor cut some hesitation before release, so it is a floor. How it's measured →

eps counts appearances on the record; compilation re-airs and clips rolled into someone else's episode are left out, the same rule as the person page. statements counts everything they said on the record, the same number their page shows, compilation re-airs included. claims is the checkable subset: predictions and assertions, the statements the public record can support or contradict. Only claims can resolve to supported, partly supported or contradicted; claims not yet resolved are not yet assessed or name nothing precise enough to check, and re-air statements are never scored. full support rate = fully supported ÷ resolved, where resolved = supported + partly supported + contradicted, so partly supported claims sit in the denominator. Sorting that column puts records of five or more resolved claims first, so a 12/13 record outranks a lucky 3/3; percentages on fewer than 5 resolved statements are greyed. argument clarity = a 1–5 score against a rubric (directness, coherence, precision, compression), assessed with names hidden on question→answer exchanges. A gold bar is a full score: 8 or more exchanges on raw, unedited tape. A blue bar with ≈ is a coarse estimate at half point precision, pooled from whatever assessed exchanges exist when a full score is impossible; produced feed audio scores about 0.3 higher, which is why estimates stay coarse. A “—” never means zero. It means fewer than 3 scorable exchanges of that person exist anywhere (roundtables and news formats yield very few). Hover any bar or “—” for the exact basis. Argument clarity is a score, and we do not rank people on it: nobody is “worst”, and everyone scored has a number. WPM and fillers/1k are measurements of speaking style, made by listening to the audio itself rather than reading the cleaned transcript. They are not scores: across this corpus fluency and argument quality are nearly uncorrelated (ρ≈0.2). WPM is articulation rate while actually speaking, pauses excluded. A plain figure comes from raw-level tape. A dim ≈ or ≥ figure comes from the aired feed of an edited show, where some hesitation was cut before release, so the fillers figure there is a floor. A ? means under 2,000 words of measured tape.

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